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Paris Saint-Germain v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th Jan, 20:00 BST, Parc des Princes, Paris

Friday night sees Luis Enrique Martínez García’s Paris Saint-Germain and Bruno Génésio’s Lille go up against one another in a Ligue 1 battle at the Parc des Princes. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Ligue 1 matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Friday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect PSG and Lille to score 3 goals or more between them during the standard 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think it looks like a great bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think PSG are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.44.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
PSG
59%
21/504/9
Draw
20%
4/119/5
Lille
21%
11/211/2
PSG 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
PSG 2-0
8%
7/1
6%
13/2
PSG 1-0
8%
8/1
10%
7/1
PSG 3-1
7%
10/117/2
PSG 3-0
6%
9/1
8%
17/2
Draw 2-2
6%
16/112/1
Lille 2-1
5%
18/114/1
Lille 1-0
4%
20/114/1
PSG 3-2
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
PSG 4-1
4%
18/114/1
Draw 0-0
4%
18/1
11%
14/1
PSG 4-0
3%
16/114/1
Lille 2-0
3%
33/122/1
Lille 3-2
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
8/15
5%
1/2
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
6/4
10%
7/5
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/52/5
Away 1st Goal
43%
15/811/5
No 1st Goal
2%
18/1
11%
14/1
BTTS - Yes
61%
7/10
3%
7/10
BTTS - No
39%
21/20
5%
21/20
BTTS - Home Win
32%
7/4
5%
7/4
BTTS - Draw
17%
5/1
10%
9/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/1
6%
8/1
Home/draw
79%
1/91/9
Away/draw
41%
7/417/10
Home/away
80%
1/62/11
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/6
3%
2/13
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/1
9%
19/5
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
13/10
8%
5/4
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
8/13
6%
4/7
Over 4.5 Goals
24%
3/1
8%
14/5
Under 4.5 Goals
76%
1/4
2%
2/9
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
6/1
14%
6/1
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1/10
2%
1/12
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
1/66
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
18/1
21%
14/1
Home DNB
73%
1/62/13
Away DNB
35%
4/118/5
PSG win to nil
27%
13/8
8%
-
Lille win to nil
8%
12/1-
PSG / PSG
39%
21/2021/20
PSG / Lille
2%
40/1
21%
33/1
PSG / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / PSG
18%
10/317/5
Draw / Lille
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/26/1
Lille / PSG
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
Lille / Lille
8%
10/1
5%
15/2
Lille / Draw
5%
16/114/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

PSG have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 league table. PSG are unbeaten at home after 8 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 11, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. PSG have outscored their opponents by 37 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

PSG have played 8 games at home winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Lille are in 4th position in the Ligue 1 on 32 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 17 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 1 and won 1. Lille have conceded 4 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
PSG
Lille
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 12
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
2
PSG1712322239 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Jan 16
3
Marseille1710251932 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
4
Lille1710251132 
Jan 16
d
 
1-1F
-
-
5
Lyon17935830 
Apr 19
w
 
2-3F
l
 
0-1A
Feb 1
6
Rennes17863530 
w
 
5-0F
Feb 15
l
 
0-2A
Mar 15
7
Strasbourg17737524 
d
 
3-3F
Feb 1
Jan 25
l
 
2-0A
8
Toulouse17656223 
Apr 5
w
 
3-6F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 12
9
Monaco17728-323 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 9
10
Angers17647-222 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
11
Brest17647-422 
May 9
w
 
0-3F
Feb 15
d
 
3-3F
12
Lorient17476-919 
May 3
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
w
 
1-7F
13
Le Havre17467-818 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 1
May 3
w
 
0-1F
14
Nice17539-1018 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
15
Paris FC17449-916 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
w
 
4-2A
Apr 26
16
Nantes17359-1214 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
w
 
0-2F
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 23
May 16
w
 
3-4F
18
Metz173311-2012 
Feb 22
w
 
2-3F
w
 
6-1F
Feb 8
Win / draw / win form
4
PSG have won 4 consecutive home league games
9
PSG have not lost in 9 consecutive home league games
PSG 2ND
20 league games
Home
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSG2 - 1Paris FC
PSG5 - 0Rennes
PSG3 - 0Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Nice
PSG3 - 3Strasbourg
PSG2 - 0Auxerre
PSG2 - 0Lens
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Auxerre
PSG1 - 3Nice
PSG2 - 1Le Havre
PSG1 - 0Angers
PSG3 - 1Marseille
PSG4 - 1Lille
PSG4 - 1Monaco
PSG1 - 1Reims
PSG2 - 1St Etienne
PSG3 - 1Lyon
PSG1 - 1Nantes
PSG3 - 0Toulouse
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPSG2 - 1Paris FC
APSG3 - 2Metz
HPSG5 - 0Rennes
APSG0 - 1Monaco
HPSG3 - 0Le Havre
APSG3 - 2Lyon
HPSG1 - 0Nice
APSG1 - 1Lorient
APSG3 - 0Brest
HPSG3 - 3Strasbourg
APSG1 - 1Lille
HPSG2 - 0Auxerre
APSG0 - 1Marseille
HPSG2 - 0Lens
APSG6 - 3Toulouse
HPSG1 - 0Angers
APSG1 - 0Nantes
HPSG3 - 1Auxerre
APSG4 - 1Montpellier
APSG1 - 2Strasbourg
Lille 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Auxerre3 - 4Lille
Le Havre0 - 1Lille
Strasbourg2 - 0Lille
Nice2 - 0Lille
Nantes0 - 2Lille
Lens3 - 0Lille
Lorient1 - 7Lille
Brest3 - 3Lille
Brest2 - 0Lille
Angers0 - 2Lille
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Lyon2 - 1Lille
Nantes1 - 0Lille
PSG4 - 1Lille
Rennes0 - 2Lille
Strasbourg2 - 1Lille
Auxerre0 - 0Lille
Marseille1 - 1Lille
Montpellier2 - 2Lille
Nice2 - 2Lille
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLille0 - 2Rennes
ALille4 - 3Auxerre
HLille1 - 0Marseille
ALille1 - 0Le Havre
HLille4 - 2Paris FC
ALille0 - 2Strasbourg
HLille1 - 0Angers
ALille0 - 2Nice
HLille6 - 1Metz
ALille2 - 0Nantes
HLille1 - 1PSG
HLille0 - 1Lyon
ALille0 - 3Lens
HLille2 - 1Toulouse
ALille7 - 1Lorient
HLille1 - 0Monaco
ALille3 - 3Brest
HLille2 - 1Reims
ALille0 - 2Brest
HLille1 - 1Marseille
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
PSG have beaten Lille in 4 consecutive home league meetings
9
PSG have not lost to Lille in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at PSG since 2013
PSG
Lille
Goals: Scored
30
13
Games: Scored
10 / 12
10 / 12
Clean sheets
2 / 12
2 / 12
PSG
9
D
2
LIL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT PSG
PSG4 - 1
PSG3 - 1
PSG4 - 3
PSG2 - 1
0 - 1Lille
PSG2 - 0
PSG2 - 1
PSG3 - 1
PSG2 - 1
Draw0 - 0Draw
PSG6 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Lille since 2014
Lille
PSG
Goals: Scored
12
29
Games: Scored
8 / 13
12 / 13
Clean sheets
1 / 13
5 / 13
PSG
8
D
4
LIL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 7PSG
1 - 5PSG
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2PSG
Lille5 - 1
0 - 3PSG
0 - 1PSG
0 - 1PSG
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 3PSG
Goal Statistics

Paris Saint-Germain's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 2.1 suggests that run should continue on Friday night.

PSG 2nd Lille 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that PSG will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
PSG’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+8
Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.4
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
PSG
PG (predicted goals)
Lille
2.1
1.2
Attack rating
18%
better
PSG
LIL
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score2
5
Scored first15
9
Goals scored37
33
Avg. goals scored2.2
1.9
Avg. shots per game14
10
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for16
20
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
+18%
Defence rating
32%
better
PSG
LIL
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first2
8
Goals conceded15
22
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
17%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+32%

PSG v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

PSG Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15563
W Zaïre-EmeryB BarcolaVitinhaI Zabarnyi 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Zaïre-Emery MID1712
1
-
G Ramos FWD174
2
-
Vitinha MID1616
1
-
L Chevalier GLK15
-
I Zabarnyi  DEF141
3
-
K Lee MID1412
2
-
I. Mbaye FWD1412
-
B Barcola FWD145
2
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1433
1
-
S. Mayulu MID1322
1
-
W Pacho DEF12
-
L Hernández  DEF121
2
-
F Ruiz MID1212
1
-
N Mendes  DEF1122
1
-
J Neves MID1051
-
Q. Ndjantou Mbitcha FWD1011
1
-
A Hakimi DEF92
2
-
L Beraldo DEF91
-
O Dembélé FWD932
-
Marquinhos DEF8
-
D Doué FWD831
-
M Safonov GLK2
-
Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15546
B ÖzerH HaraldssonF CorreiaB André
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Correia FWD1734
1
-
H Haraldsson MID1651
3
-
B Özer GLK151
1
-
N Ngoy  DEF151
2
1
N Bentaleb MID1521
1
-
O Sahraoui FWD1512
-
O Giroud FWD1541
1
-
A Mandi DEF141
4
-
R Perraud DEF1423
3
1
B André MID1421
6
-
T Meunier DEF13
2
-
N Mukau MID131
1
-
I. Hamza FWD1351
2
-
M Fernandez FWD1223
2
-
E. Mbappé Lottin MID931
-
C Mbemba DEF8
1
-
M Broholm FWD71
-
C Verdonk DEF6
2
1
Alexsandro DEF5
1
T Santos DEF4
-
A Bodart GLK2
-
A Gomes MID2
-
O. Touré DEF1
-
U Raghouber MID1
-