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Toulouse v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 10th May, 20:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Franck Haise pays counterpart Carles Martínez Novell a visit on Saturday night in the Ligue 1, as their Lens and Toulouse sides face each other at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Toulouse and Lens will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Carles Martínez Novell or Franck Haise has suffered the frustration of many 0-0s lately either. The bookies are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 74% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Lens coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
36%
2.25-
Draw
26%
3.50-
Lens
38%
3.10-
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Lens 1-0
10%
11.00-
Toulouse 1-0
9%
9.00-
Lens 2-1
8%
11.00-
Toulouse 2-1
8%
9.00-
Draw 0-0
7%
12.00-
Lens 2-0
6%
17.00-
Toulouse 2-0
6%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
5%
13.00-
Lens 3-1
4%
23.00-
Toulouse 3-1
3%
17.00-
Lens 3-0
3%
34.00-
Toulouse 3-0
3%
21.00-
Lens 3-2
2%
29.00-
Toulouse 3-2
2%
23.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
47%
1.73-
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.25-
No 1st Goal
5%
12.00-
BTTS - Yes
54%
1.67-
BTTS - No
46%
2.10-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
4.33-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
5.50-
Home/draw
62%
1.36-
Away/draw
64%
1.62-
Home/away
74%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
3.20
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1.36
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
11.00
8%
-
Home DNB
54%
1.62-
Away DNB
56%
2.20-
Toulouse win to nil
19%
4.00-
Lens win to nil
20%
5.50-
Toulouse / Toulouse
23%
3.60-
Toulouse / Lens
3%
29.00-
Toulouse / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Toulouse
15%
5.50-
Draw / Lens
12%
7.00-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Lens / Toulouse
4%
23.00-
Lens / Lens
16%
5.00-
Lens / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 12 games, drawn 5 and won 3. Toulouse have conceded 33 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lens lay in 8th place on 45 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Lens
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
PSG3124615378 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Marseille3118492358 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
3
Lille3116871756 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
4
Monaco3116782255 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
May 17
d
 
1-1A
5
Lyon3116692054 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
6
Nice3115972054 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
7
Strasbourg3115971354 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
2-2F
8
Lens Away3113612-245 
May 10
w
 
0-1F
-
-
9
Brest3113513-444 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3A
10
Auxerre3111812041 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-4A
d
 
2-2F
11
Rennes3112217238 
May 3
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Toulouse Home319814-135 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 10
13
Reims318914-1033 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-2F
14
Nantes3171113-1532 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-1A
15
Angers318617-2130 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Le Havre318419-3128 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
3-4F
w
 
1-2A
17
St Etienne317618-3727 
w
 
2-1A
May 17
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Montpellier314423-4916 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Toulouse 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Lens 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
1
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Lens have beaten Toulouse in 3 consecutive away league meetings
3
Lens have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive away league meetings with Toulouse
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lens
Goals: Scored
0
5
Games: Scored
0 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
3 / 3
LEN
3
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
TOU
1
LEN
3
Goal Statistics
Toulouse 12th Lens 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Lens will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Toulouse have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.1
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/279238/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
6%
better
TOU
LEN
view stats
Games scored23
21
Failed to score8
10
Scored first12
15
Goals scored38
35
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal7
9
Conversion rate for14
11
Avg. XG for1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
TOU
LEN
11%
better
view stats
Games conceded21
19
Clean sheets10
12
Conceded first16
14
Goals conceded39
37
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
7
Conversion rate against18%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.5
KickOff rating
+11%

Toulouse v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29769
A DönnumZ AboukhlalG SuazoC Yepes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Dönnum DEF3012
4
-
C Cresswell DEF2931
4
-
G Suazo DEF296
-
C Yepes MID2913
9
-
S Babicka FWD2942
2
-
M McKenzie DEF281
1
1
Y Gboho FWD2823
2
-
F Magri FWD285
5
1
G. Restes GLK26
-
V Sierro MID2651
4
-
D Sidibé DEF252
1
-
J King FWD2552
2
-
Z Aboukhlal FWD2472
4
-
W Kamanzi DEF211
3
-
M Zajc MID18
2
-
J. Canvot DEF15
2
-
N Schmidt MID81
-
U Akdag DEF7
2
-
R Nicolaisen DEF71
-
K Haug GLK6
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
286412
A ThomassonM Nzola A ThomassonF Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Diouf MID3111
2
-
A Thomasson MID3024
6
-
F Sotoca FWD2911
3
1
F Medina DEF261
11
1
D Machado DEF2514
5
2
A Zaroury MID252
1
1
A Fulgini MID2311
4
-
J Gradit DEF22
4
-
W Saïd  FWD223
3
-
N Aynaoui MID2151
4
-
M Nzola  FWD2161
3
1
M Sarr DEF19
-
H. Ojediran MID161
5
-
R Aguilar DEF1511
4
-
R Lascary FWD1421
5
-
G Koyalipou FWD123
-
M Ryan GLK11
-
J Chávez DEF101
1
-
J. Agbonifo FWD81
1
-
A. Juma Bah DEF7
2
-
N Mendy MID7
-
T. Pouilly MID7
1
-
H Koffi GLK5
2
-
M Satriano FWD4
-