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Toulouse v Lens : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 2nd Jan, 19:45 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Friday evening at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, and it’s a Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Lens. Carles Martínez Novell and Pierre Sage going all-out to ensure the win. Statistics drive the algorithmic predictions below for seventeen markets, and switching between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Toulouse or Lens are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Lens coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
37%
-9/5
2%
Draw
25%
-12/5
Lens
38%
-6/4
Draw 1-1
11%
-5/1
Lens 2-1
8%
-15/2
Toulouse 2-1
8%
-8/1
Lens 1-0
8%
-7/1
Toulouse 1-0
8%
-15/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-10/1
Lens 2-0
6%
-10/1
Toulouse 2-0
6%
-11/1
Draw 0-0
5%
-17/2
6%
Lens 3-1
4%
-14/1
Toulouse 3-1
4%
-16/1
Lens 3-2
3%
-20/1
11%
Toulouse 3-2
3%
-22/1
10%
Lens 3-0
3%
-18/1
Toulouse 3-0
3%
-22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
-17/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
-17/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
48%
-21/20
Away 1st Goal
49%
-19/20
No 1st Goal
3%
-8/1
BTTS - Yes
59%
-7/10
BTTS - No
41%
-21/20
BTTS - Home Win
20%
-4/1
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
-16/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
-7/2
Home/draw
62%
-8/15
2%
Away/draw
63%
-4/9
Home/away
75%
-3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
-2/7
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
-12/5
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
-21/10
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
-1/3
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
-19/4
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
-1/9
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/33
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/20
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-17/2
6%
Home DNB
54%
-19/20
Away DNB
56%
-3/4
Toulouse win to nil
17%
--
Lens win to nil
18%
--
Toulouse / Toulouse
18%
-16/5
3%
Toulouse / Lens
4%
-20/1
Toulouse / Draw
7%
-10/1
8%
Draw / Toulouse
12%
-11/2
8%
Draw / Lens
13%
-5/1
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
-19/5
Lens / Toulouse
4%
-20/1
Lens / Lens
20%
-11/4
1%
Lens / Draw
6%
-11/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 16 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 13 goals, scored 11, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 8 games at home, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 14 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Lens lay in 1st place on 37 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lens have conceded 13 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lens have played 8 away games, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Lens
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1612131537 
Jan 2
Apr 19
-
-
2
PSG1611322136 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
Apr 12
l
 
2-0A
3
Marseille1610242132 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 24
4
Lille1610241332 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
5
Lyon16835627 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-1A
May 16
6
Rennes16763327 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
7
Strasbourg16727523 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
8
Toulouse16655523 
-
-
Apr 19
Jan 2
9
Monaco16727-123 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
w
 
1-4F
10
Angers16646-122 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 8
Mar 22
w
 
1-2F
11
Brest16547-619 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
12
Lorient16466-918 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 15
13
Nice16529-1017 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
14
Paris FC16448-816 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
15
Le Havre16367-915 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Jan 30
w
 
1-2F
16
Auxerre163310-1112 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
17
Nantes16259-1411 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
May 9
w
 
1-2F
18
Metz163211-2011 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
Mar 8
l
 
2-0A
Win / draw / win form
6
Lens have won 6 consecutive league games
6
Lens have not lost in 6 consecutive league games
Toulouse 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 1St Etienne
Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre
Toulouse1 - 0Reims
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
AToulouse1 - 0Nice
AToulouse3 - 2St Etienne
HToulouse1 - 1Lens
HToulouse2 - 1Rennes
AToulouse0 - 0Nantes
Lens 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nantes1 - 2Lens
Angers1 - 2Lens
Monaco1 - 4Lens
Metz2 - 0Lens
Auxerre1 - 2Lens
Rennes0 - 0Lens
PSG2 - 0Lens
Le Havre1 - 2Lens
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Lyon1 - 2Lens
Brest1 - 3Lens
Lille1 - 0Lens
Marseille0 - 1Lens
Nantes3 - 1Lens
Nice2 - 0Lens
Montpellier0 - 2Lens
Le Havre1 - 2Lens
Auxerre2 - 2Lens
Reims0 - 2Lens
PSG1 - 0Lens
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLens2 - 0Nice
ALens2 - 1Nantes
ALens2 - 1Angers
HLens1 - 0Strasbourg
ALens4 - 1Monaco
HLens3 - 0Lorient
ALens0 - 2Metz
HLens2 - 1Marseille
HLens2 - 1Paris FC
ALens2 - 1Auxerre
ALens0 - 0Rennes
HLens3 - 0Lille
ALens0 - 2PSG
HLens3 - 1Brest
ALens2 - 1Le Havre
HLens0 - 1Lyon
HLens4 - 0Monaco
ALens1 - 1Toulouse
ALens2 - 1Lyon
HLens0 - 4Auxerre
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2014
Toulouse
Lens
Goals: Scored
1
6
Games: Scored
1 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
3 / 4
D
1
LEN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Lens
0 - 1Lens
0 - 2Lens
League games at Lens since 2015
Lens
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
6
2
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
TOU
1
LEN
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lens
0 - 1Toulouse
Lens2 - 1
Lens3 - 0
Lens1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Lens have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 6 consecutive Ligue 1 matches. Their PG of 1.5 against Toulouse on Friday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Toulouse 8th Lens 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Lens will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Toulouse’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-1
Lens’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Lens
1.5
1.5
Attack rating
TOU
LEN
9%
better
view stats
Games scored12
12
Failed to score4
4
Scored first7
10
Goals scored24
28
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
17
Avg. XG for1.6
2
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
TOU
LEN
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded10
11
Clean sheets6
5
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded19
13
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.6
KickOff rating
+16%

Toulouse v Lens Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16535
G. RestesY GbohoD SidibéA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK16
2
-
D. Methalie DEF16
4
-
D Sidibé DEF1623
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF16
1
-
C Cresswell DEF1631
3
-
F Magri FWD164
3
-
M McKenzie DEF151
3
-
C Yepes MID15
3
-
Y Gboho FWD1553
-
A Dönnum MID1333
5
-
W Kamanzi DEF12
-
A. Vossah MID1211
1
1
M Sauer MID12
1
-
Emersonn FWD1232
3
-
S Hidalgo FWD1222
1
-
N. Edjouma FWD10
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
R. Messali MID6
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD4
-
S. Koumbassa DEF1
-
Lens Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16755
R RisserO EdouardM UdolA Thomasson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Risser GLK16
1
-
M Udol DEF165
1
-
R Aguilar DEF161
3
-
F Thauvin FWD1652
3
-
W Saïd  FWD1662
-
S Baidoo DEF1521
2
-
M Sarr DEF15
2
-
A Thomasson MID1515
5
-
M Sangaré MID1511
1
-
M Guilavogui FWD141
2
1
O Edouard FWD1372
1
-
R. Fofana FWD132
-
F Sotoca FWD11
1
-
S Abdulhamid DEF101
-
J Gradit DEF10
2
1
A Sima FWD71
2
-
A. Bulatović MID61
-
P Ganiou DEF51
1
1
D Machado DEF5
1
-
A. Bermont FWD4
-
F. Sylla MID2
-
French Ligue 1 match betting previews, predictions and odds
Toulouse v Lens
Fri 2nd Jan, 19:45