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Toulouse v Lille : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 16:15 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Lille, led by manager Bruno Génésio, visit Carles Martínez Novell and his Toulouse side at the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse on Sunday afternoon in the Ligue 1. All the odds are delivered straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Ligue 1 match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Maybe it'd be too strong to say that we expect Carles Martínez Novell and Bruno Génésio to got all-out defensive here, but we do not expect a flood of goals as Toulouse and Lille go head-to-head. The stats belowpoint towards there being under 2.5 goals (i.e. 2 goals of fewer in total), and we think it's likely to go that way too. With best odds of 1.73 available on under 2.5 goals and neither side looking like strong favourites to win, that's the bet we'd advise you go for.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 38% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Toulouse 38%	2/1 3%	-
Draw 29%	9/4 2%	-
Lille 34%	27/20 2%	-
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1	-
Toulouse 1-0 12%	15/2	-
Lille 1-0 11%	13/2	-
Draw 0-0 11%	8/1 6%	-
Toulouse 2-1 8%	10/1	-
Lille 2-1 7%	17/2 5%	-
Toulouse 2-0 7%	14/1 15%	-
Lille 2-0 6%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	-
Toulouse 3-1 3%	25/1	-
Toulouse 3-0 3%	33/1 17%	-
Lille 3-1 3%	20/1	-
Lille 3-0 2%	22/1	-
Toulouse 3-2 2%	33/1	-
Lille 3-2 2%	28/1 15%	-
Over 2.5 Goals 39%	11/10 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 61%	8/11 4%	-
Home 1st Goal 47%	11/10	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	10/11	-
No 1st Goal 7%	8/1 6%	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	10/11	-
BTTS - No 54%	10/11	-
BTTS - Home Win 14%	11/2	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	7/2	-
BTTS - Away Win 13%	4/1 9%	-
Home/draw 67%	4/7 3%	-
Away/draw 62%	4/11 3%	-
Home/away 71%	1/3 2%	-
Over 1.5 Goals 66%	4/11 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 34%	11/5 7%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 19%	3/1	-
Under 3.5 Goals 81%	1/4	-
Over 4.5 Goals 8%	7/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 92%	1/12	-
Over 5.5 Goals 3%	16/1 11%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 97%	1/40 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 89%	1/14	-
Under 0.5 Goals 11%	8/1 6%	-
Home DNB 58%	11/10 5%	-
Away DNB 54%	4/6 3%	-
Toulouse win to nil 23%	4/1 11%	-
Lille win to nil 21%	11/4 6%	-
Toulouse / Toulouse 17%	4/1 5%	-
Toulouse / Lille 3%	28/1	-
Toulouse / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Toulouse 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Lille 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 5%	-
Lille / Toulouse 3%	28/1	-
Lille / Lille 21%	3/1	-
Lille / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Toulouse have conceded 19 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Toulouse have played 14 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 21 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Lille lay in 5th place on 47 points in the Ligue 1 league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 12, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 38 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Lille have conceded 24 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Lille have played 14 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Toulouse Lille
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	PSG	26	19	3	4	36	60	l 3-6A	Apr 3	d 1-1A	l 3-0A
2	Lens	27	19	2	6	30	59	l 0-3A	Apr 17	Apr 4	l 3-0A
3	Marseille	27	15	4	8	19	49	l 0-1A	d 2-2F	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
4	Lyon	27	14	5	8	12	47	May 9	w 1-2A	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
5	Lille	27	14	5	8	8	47	Apr 12	l 2-1F	-	-
6	Monaco	27	14	4	9	9	46	Apr 25	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	May 9
7	Rennes	27	12	8	7	6	44	d 2-2A	l 1-0A	l 0-2A	w 1-2F
8	Strasbourg	27	11	7	9	10	40	w 1-0F	May 3	l 1-4A	l 2-0A
9	Toulouse	27	10	7	10	6	37	-	-	w 2-1A	Apr 12
10	Lorient	27	9	10	8	-4	37	w 1-0F	d 1-1A	d 1-1F	w 1-7F
11	Brest	27	10	6	11	-5	36	w 2-0F	w 0-2F	d 1-1A	d 3-3F
12	Angers	27	9	5	13	-13	32	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	w 1-0F	w 0-1F
13	Paris FC	27	7	10	10	-11	31	d 1-1A	w 0-3F	w 4-2A	Apr 26
14	Le Havre	27	6	9	12	-13	27	d 0-00-0	l 2-1A	May 3	w 0-1F
15	Nice	27	7	6	14	-20	27	w 5-1F	w 0-1F	Apr 18	l 2-0A
16	Auxerre	27	5	7	15	-14	22	d 0-00-0	l 1-0A	May 16	w 3-4F
17	Nantes	26	4	5	17	-21	17	d 2-2A	May 16	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
18	Metz	27	3	5	19	-35	14	w 4-0F	w 3-4F	w 6-1F	d 0-00-0

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Lille have won 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse	1 - 0	Lorient
Toulouse	0 - 1	Marseille
Toulouse	1 - 1	Paris FC
Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
Toulouse	1 - 0	Strasbourg
Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
Toulouse	0 - 0	Le Havre
Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
Toulouse	4 - 0	Metz
Toulouse	2 - 2	Nantes
Toulouse	3 - 6	PSG
Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
Toulouse	1 - 1	Lens
Toulouse	2 - 1	Rennes
Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
Toulouse	2 - 4	Brest
Toulouse	1 - 1	Monaco
Toulouse	0 - 1	PSG

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Lorient
A	Toulouse	4 - 3	Metz
H	Toulouse	0 - 1	Marseille
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Rennes
H	Toulouse	1 - 1	Paris FC
A	Toulouse	1 - 2	Le Havre
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Auxerre
A	Toulouse	2 - 0	Brest
H	Toulouse	5 - 1	Nice
H	Toulouse	0 - 3	Lens
A	Toulouse	3 - 0	Paris FC
H	Toulouse	1 - 0	Strasbourg
A	Toulouse	2 - 2	Marseille
H	Toulouse	0 - 1	Angers
A	Toulouse	1 - 1	Lorient
H	Toulouse	0 - 0	Le Havre
H	Toulouse	2 - 2	Rennes
A	Toulouse	0 - 1	Monaco
H	Toulouse	4 - 0	Metz

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Marseille	1 - 2	Lille
Rennes	1 - 2	Lille
Angers	0 - 1	Lille
Metz	0 - 0	Lille
Lyon	1 - 0	Lille
PSG	3 - 0	Lille
Auxerre	3 - 4	Lille
Le Havre	0 - 1	Lille
Strasbourg	2 - 0	Lille
Nice	2 - 0	Lille
Nantes	0 - 2	Lille
Lens	3 - 0	Lille
Lorient	1 - 7	Lille
Brest	3 - 3	Lille
Brest	2 - 0	Lille
Angers	0 - 2	Lille
Toulouse	1 - 2	Lille
Lyon	2 - 1	Lille
Nantes	1 - 0	Lille
PSG	4 - 1	Lille

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Lille	2 - 1	Marseille
A	Lille	2 - 1	Rennes
H	Lille	1 - 1	Lorient
H	Lille	1 - 0	Nantes
A	Lille	1 - 0	Angers
H	Lille	1 - 1	Brest
A	Lille	0 - 0	Metz
A	Lille	0 - 1	Lyon
H	Lille	1 - 4	Strasbourg
A	Lille	0 - 3	PSG
H	Lille	0 - 2	Rennes
A	Lille	4 - 3	Auxerre
H	Lille	1 - 0	Marseille
A	Lille	1 - 0	Le Havre
H	Lille	4 - 2	Paris FC
A	Lille	0 - 2	Strasbourg
H	Lille	1 - 0	Angers
A	Lille	0 - 2	Nice
H	Lille	6 - 1	Metz
A	Lille	2 - 0	Nantes

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Toulouse

Lille

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

2 / 10

TOU

LIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
	1 - 2	Lille
Toulouse	3 - 1
	0 - 2	Lille
Toulouse	2 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Lille
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Toulouse	3 - 2
	1 - 2	Lille

Lille

Toulouse

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 11

6 / 11

Clean sheets

5 / 11

0 / 11

TOU

LIL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lille
Lille	2 - 1
Lille	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Lille	2 - 1
Lille	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Toulouse
Lille	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Toulouse
Lille	1 - 0
Lille	3 - 0
Lille	1 - 0

Goal Statistics

Lille's defensive record is to be admired, B. Génésio's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Ligue 1 games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.2 for Toulouse makes sense in this context.

	Toulouse 9th	Lille 5th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 31% 1 36% 2 21% 3 8% 4+ There is a 67% probability that Toulouse will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Lille will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-11 Toulouse have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted	-1 Lille’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.4 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.5 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season

better

TOU

LIL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

TOU

LIL

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Toulouse v Lille Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	8	5	7
G. Restes	Y Gboho	A Dönnum	A Dönnum

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G. Restes GLK	27			3 -
D Sidibé DEF	27	3	3	1 -
R Nicolaisen DEF	26			1 -
Y Gboho FWD	26	8	4	1 -
M McKenzie DEF	24		2	6 -
C Cresswell DEF	24	3	2	6 -
C Yepes MID	24	1	1	5 -
S Hidalgo FWD	23	4	4	4 -
A Dönnum MID	22	4	5	7 -
D. Methalie DEF	21			6 -
M Sauer MID	21	1		2 -
Emersonn FWD	21	4	2	4 1
W Kamanzi DEF	18		1	1 -
A. Vossah MID	18	1	1	3 1
F Magri FWD	17	5	1	3 -
R. Messali MID	12			2 -
J. Vignolo FWD	12	2		-
N. Edjouma FWD	12			-
A Francis MID	8			2 -
S. Koumbassa DEF	5			-
K Haug GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	17	5	8
Y Gboho	Emersonn	A Dönnum	A Dönnum

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Gboho FWD	8	15	4	3
F Magri FWD	5	12	1	1
S Hidalgo FWD	4	9	4	3
A Dönnum MID	4	12	5	8
Emersonn FWD	4	17	2	2
D Sidibé DEF	3	4	3	4
C Cresswell DEF	3	9	2	1
J. Vignolo FWD	2	7
C Yepes MID	1	5	1	4
M Sauer MID	1	3
A. Vossah MID	1	2	1	1
R Nicolaisen DEF		4
M McKenzie DEF		1	2	4
D. Methalie DEF		5		1
W Kamanzi DEF		1	1
R. Messali MID				1
N. Edjouma FWD		3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1223	65	151
C Cresswell	C Yepes	C Cresswell

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Cresswell DEF	1223	23	151
C Yepes MID	1075	65	128
R Nicolaisen DEF	991	17	98
M McKenzie DEF	969	38	82
D Sidibé DEF	854	44	82
A Dönnum MID	814	35	90
Y Gboho FWD	686	18	148
G. Restes GLK	646		11
D. Methalie DEF	358	44	83
A. Vossah MID	273	10	33
W Kamanzi DEF	255	15	33
A Francis MID	238	19	33
S Hidalgo FWD	224	28	69
M Sauer MID	217	11	23
F Magri FWD	203	8	78
Emersonn FWD	196	17	82
R. Messali MID	177	10	29
S. Koumbassa DEF	84	4	5
N. Edjouma FWD	62	5	19
J. Vignolo FWD	40	3	8
K Haug GLK	11

Lille Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	5	8
B Özer	H Haraldsson	F Correia	N Ngoy

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Correia FWD	27	3	5	2 -
B Özer GLK	25		1	2 -
H Haraldsson MID	25	6	1	5 -
O Giroud FWD	24	6	1	2 -
R Perraud DEF	23	2	3	4 1
N Ngoy DEF	23	1	2	7 1
N Mukau MID	23	1		2 -
A Mandi DEF	22	1		7 -
N Bentaleb MID	22	2	2	3 -
M Fernandez FWD	22	5	4	4 -
B André MID	20	2	1	7 -
T Meunier DEF	19	1	2	2 -
O Sahraoui FWD	16	1	2	-
C Verdonk DEF	13			3 1
T Santos DEF	13			-
I. Hamza FWD	13	5	1	2 -
C Mbemba DEF	12			1 -
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	11	3	1	-
M Broholm FWD	11	1	1	-
Alexsandro DEF	8			1
A Bodart GLK	3			-
A Gomes MID	2			-
O. Touré DEF	1			-
U Raghouber MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	22	5	9
H Haraldsson	M Fernandez	F Correia	F Correia

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Haraldsson MID	6	9	1	3
O Giroud FWD	6	15	1	2
M Fernandez FWD	5	22	4	6
I. Hamza FWD	5	9	1	2
F Correia FWD	3	6	5	9
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	3	6	1	1
R Perraud DEF	2	10	3	6
N Bentaleb MID	2	5	2	3
B André MID	2	4	1	2
N Ngoy DEF	1	5	2	3
N Mukau MID	1	3
A Mandi DEF	1	2
T Meunier DEF	1	3	2	4
O Sahraoui FWD	1	5	2	2
M Broholm FWD	1	3	1
B Özer GLK			1
C Verdonk DEF				1
T Santos DEF				1
C Mbemba DEF		3		1
Alexsandro DEF		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1342	46	152
A Mandi	B André	B André

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Mandi DEF	1342	27	77
N Ngoy DEF	1284	28	61
B André MID	1106	46	152
H Haraldsson MID	901	17	65
B Özer GLK	826	2	19
R Perraud DEF	825	35	93
N Bentaleb MID	732	14	41
T Meunier DEF	712	25	50
F Correia FWD	677	21	64
C Mbemba DEF	598	14	37
M Fernandez FWD	505	18	78
C Verdonk DEF	478	14	29
Alexsandro DEF	453	11	39
N Mukau MID	406	20	52
O Giroud FWD	325	7	84
T Santos DEF	279	14	40
O Sahraoui FWD	240	5	43
E. Mbappé Lottin MID	145	10	18
I. Hamza FWD	127	8	32
M Broholm FWD	117	10	22
A Bodart GLK	89
O. Touré DEF	21	1	3
A Gomes MID	7		3
U Raghouber MID	6