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Toulouse v Nice : Ligue 1 match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 17th Jan, 18:00 BST, Stadium Municipal, Toulouse, Toulouse

Carles Martínez Novell's Toulouse side will have home backing in the Ligue 1 on Saturday evening, as Franck Haise's Nice travel to the Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Ligue 1 match data, including head-to-head performance. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Ligue 1 Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 81% chance of Toulouse and Nice serving up at least a couple of goals in this Ligue 1 clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it would appear that the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Toulouse are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Toulouse
52%
9/10
10%
19/20
Draw
23%
5/2
3%
13/5
Nice
25%
3/1
11%
11/4
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2
7%
11/2
Toulouse 2-1
10%
15/27/1
Toulouse 1-0
8%
7/1
7%
6/1
Toulouse 2-0
8%
17/2
12%
15/2
Nice 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Toulouse 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Nice 1-0
6%
12/19/1
Toulouse 3-0
5%
16/1
31%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
10/19/1
Toulouse 3-2
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Nice 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
14/1
Toulouse 4-1
3%
28/122/1
Nice 3-1
3%
28/1
29%
22/1
Nice 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/5
6%
5/6
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
1/1
5%
10/11
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
13/20
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8
8%
29/20
No 1st Goal
3%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
60%
7/10
6%
3/4
BTTS - No
40%
21/20
5%
19/20
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/4
4%
11/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
5%
7/2
BTTS - Away Win
14%
13/2
12%
11/2
Home/draw
75%
2/9
3%
1/4
Away/draw
48%
10/11
7%
17/20
Home/away
77%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/4
3%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
3/1
7%
5/2
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
11/52/1
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
4/117/20
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
9/2
8%
19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1/7
1%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10/1
15%
10/1
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/20
1%
1/33
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
10/19/1
Home DNB
68%
4/11
5%
2/5
Away DNB
41%
2/1
14%
17/10
Toulouse win to nil
25%
12/5
13%
-
Nice win to nil
11%
6/1
13%
-
Toulouse / Toulouse
27%
2/1
9%
15/8
Toulouse / Nice
3%
33/125/1
Toulouse / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
Draw / Toulouse
16%
4/1
5%
4/1
Draw / Nice
10%
15/2
11%
7/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Nice / Toulouse
4%
20/116/1
Nice / Nice
13%
11/2
13%
19/4
Nice / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Ligue 1 table

Toulouse have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Ligue 1 league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Toulouse have outscored their opponents by 24 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Toulouse have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 14 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Nice are in 14th position in the Ligue 1 on 18 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Nice have conceded 26 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Toulouse
Nice
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lens1713131840 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 19
May 3
l
 
2-0A
2
PSG1712322239 
l
 
3-6A
Apr 5
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
3
Marseille1710251932 
Mar 8
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-5A
Apr 26
4
Lille1710251132 
Apr 12
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 19
5
Lyon17935830 
May 9
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
6
Rennes17863530 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
Mar 8
w
 
1-2F
7
Strasbourg17737524 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1A
Apr 5
8
Toulouse17656223 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 17
9
Monaco17728-323 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
Feb 8
d
 
2-2F
10
Angers17647-222 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 8
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
11
Brest17647-422 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 25
Feb 1
l
 
4-1A
12
Lorient17476-919 
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
l
 
3-1F
13
Le Havre17467-818 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Apr 12
l
 
3-1A
14
Nice17539-1018 
Jan 17
w
 
0-1F
-
-
15
Paris FC17449-916 
Feb 22
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 1
16
Nantes17359-1214 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
w
 
1-0F
Jan 25
17
Auxerre173311-1312 
Feb 1
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-1F
May 9
18
Metz173311-2012 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 15
May 16
l
 
2-1F
Win / draw / win form
4
Nice have lost 4 consecutive away league games
7
Nice have not won in 7 consecutive league games
Toulouse 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Toulouse0 - 3Lens
Toulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
Toulouse0 - 1Angers
Toulouse0 - 0Le Havre
Toulouse2 - 2Rennes
Toulouse4 - 0Metz
Toulouse2 - 2Nantes
Toulouse3 - 6PSG
Toulouse2 - 0Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Lens
Toulouse2 - 1Rennes
Toulouse1 - 2Lille
Toulouse2 - 4Brest
Toulouse1 - 1Monaco
Toulouse0 - 1PSG
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Toulouse1 - 2Montpellier
Toulouse1 - 2Strasbourg
Toulouse2 - 1St Etienne
Toulouse2 - 0Auxerre
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToulouse0 - 3Lens
AToulouse3 - 0Paris FC
HToulouse1 - 0Strasbourg
AToulouse2 - 2Marseille
HToulouse0 - 1Angers
AToulouse1 - 1Lorient
HToulouse0 - 0Le Havre
HToulouse2 - 2Rennes
AToulouse0 - 1Monaco
HToulouse4 - 0Metz
AToulouse2 - 1Lyon
HToulouse2 - 2Nantes
AToulouse0 - 1Auxerre
AToulouse1 - 2Lille
HToulouse3 - 6PSG
HToulouse2 - 0Brest
AToulouse1 - 0Nice
AToulouse3 - 2St Etienne
HToulouse1 - 1Lens
HToulouse2 - 1Rennes
Nice 13TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lens2 - 0Nice
Lorient3 - 1Nice
Metz2 - 1Nice
PSG1 - 0Nice
Rennes1 - 2Nice
Monaco2 - 2Nice
Brest4 - 1Nice
Le Havre3 - 1Nice
Rennes2 - 0Nice
PSG1 - 3Nice
Strasbourg2 - 2Nice
Monaco2 - 1Nice
St Etienne1 - 3Nice
Le Havre1 - 3Nice
Toulouse1 - 1Nice
Lille2 - 1Nice
Reims2 - 4Nice
Montpellier2 - 2Nice
Lyon4 - 1Nice
Brest0 - 1Nice
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNice1 - 1Strasbourg
ANice0 - 2Lens
HNice0 - 1Angers
ANice1 - 3Lorient
HNice1 - 5Marseille
ANice1 - 2Metz
ANice0 - 1PSG
HNice2 - 0Lille
ANice2 - 1Rennes
HNice3 - 2Lyon
ANice2 - 2Monaco
HNice1 - 1Paris FC
ANice1 - 4Brest
HNice1 - 0Nantes
ANice1 - 3Le Havre
HNice3 - 1Auxerre
HNice0 - 1Toulouse
HNice6 - 0Brest
ANice0 - 2Rennes
HNice1 - 0Reims
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Toulouse since 2013
Toulouse
Nice
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
TOU
3
D
4
NIC
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toulouse
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toulouse2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 2Nice
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Nice
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toulouse2 - 0
2 - 3Nice
Toulouse1 - 0
League games at Nice since 2014
Nice
Toulouse
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
7 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
4 / 11
TOU
3
D
3
NIC
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nice
0 - 1Toulouse
Draw1 - 1Draw
Nice1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Nice3 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Toulouse
Nice3 - 0
Nice1 - 0
Nice3 - 2
0 - 2Toulouse
Goal Statistics

Toulouse's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Nice have conceded in each of their last 19 Ligue 1 matches. A PG of 1.8 for C. Martínez Novell's side suggests that run should continue.

Goals have been difficult to come by for Nice of late. It has been 12 Ligue 1 games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Saturday evening against Toulouse.

Toulouse 8th Nice 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Toulouse will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Nice will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Toulouse have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Nice’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ligue 1 - 2025/2026 season
Toulouse
PG (predicted goals)
Nice
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
TOU
NIC
1%
better
view stats
Games scored12
13
Failed to score5
4
Scored first7
9
Goals scored24
20
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.5
1.3
KickOff rating
+1%
Defence rating
20%
better
TOU
NIC
view stats
Games conceded11
15
Clean sheets6
2
Conceded first9
8
Goals conceded22
30
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against17%
17%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.9
KickOff rating
+20%

Toulouse v Nice Ligue 1 lLine ups will show here when available.

Toulouse Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
17535
G. RestesY GbohoD SidibéA Dönnum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G. Restes GLK17
2
-
D Sidibé DEF1723
1
-
R Nicolaisen DEF17
1
-
C Cresswell DEF1731
4
-
D. Methalie DEF16
4
-
M McKenzie DEF161
3
-
C Yepes MID16
3
-
Y Gboho FWD1653
-
F Magri FWD164
3
-
A Dönnum MID1433
5
-
W Kamanzi DEF13
-
A. Vossah MID1311
1
1
M Sauer MID13
2
-
Emersonn FWD1332
3
1
S Hidalgo FWD1322
1
-
N. Edjouma FWD10
-
A Francis MID8
2
-
R. Messali MID7
2
-
J. Vignolo FWD5
-
S. Koumbassa DEF2
-
Nice Ligue 1 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16625
Y DioufS DiopS DiopA Mendy
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Bard DEF1711
2
-
S Diop FWD1762
3
-
Y Diouf GLK16
-
K Oppong DEF161
2
-
M Sanson MID151
-
A Mendy DEF14
5
-
J Clauss  DEF1412
-
J Boga FWD1422
-
A. Juma Bah DEF13
4
-
S Samed MID13
2
-
H Boudaoui MID1312
3
-
C Vanhoutte MID122
5
-
T Louchet MID122
1
1
I Jansson FWD121
2
-
M Cho FWD1022
-
T Gouveia FWD10
1
-
K Carlos FWD10
1
-
T Moffi FWD102
-
A Abdi DEF9
2
1
B. Nguene FWD6
1
-
T Ndombélé MID3
-
M Bombito DEF2
1
-
Dante DEF2
-
M Dupé GLK1
-