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Bayern Munich v FC St. Pauli : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 29th Nov, 14:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

We’ve Bundesliga action to enjoy on Saturday afternoon, as Vincent Kompany and his Bayern Munich side host Alexander Blessin’s FC St. Pauli at the Allianz Arena. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Bayern to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this match, and it's Bayern. Their recent form stats show their ability in front of their own fans, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against St. Pauli too. The odds point towards Vincent Kompany's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 86% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.12.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
86%
1.11
1%
1.12
1%
Draw
10%
9.509.50
5%
St. Pauli
4%
19.00
10%
19.00
10%
Bayern 2-0
14%
8.00
11%
7.00
13%
Bayern 3-0
14%
7.00
13%
7.00
7%
Bayern 4-0
10%
8.50
6%
8.00
6%
Bayern 1-0
10%
12.00
20%
9.50
14%
Bayern 2-1
7%
12.009.50
5%
Bayern 3-1
7%
11.009.50
Bayern 5-0
6%
13.00
8%
11.00
Bayern 4-1
5%
13.00
8%
11.00
Draw 1-1
5%
19.0015.00
Draw 0-0
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Bayern 5-1
3%
19.00
12%
15.00
15%
Bayern 6-0
3%
21.0017.00
13%
Draw 2-2
2%
29.0023.00
St. Pauli 1-0
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
29%
Bayern 3-2
2%
29.00
12%
21.00
11%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
1.29
6%
1.29
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
3.75
13%
3.40
15%
Home 1st Goal
69%
1.221.17
2%
Away 1st Goal
29%
4.005.00
5%
No 1st Goal
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
BTTS - Yes
37%
2.00
3%
2.00
5%
BTTS - No
63%
1.75
3%
1.73
5%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
2.50
11%
2.45
9%
BTTS - Draw
7%
11.00
10%
10.00
BTTS - Away Win
2%
26.00
10%
21.00
9%
Home/draw
96%
1.021.01
1%
Away/draw
14%
6.50
7%
6.00
8%
Home/away
90%
1.071.06
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.08
2%
1.08
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
8.00
20%
7.00
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
1.73
10%
1.70
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
2.10
12%
2.05
11%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
2.63
14%
2.50
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.50
7%
1.48
9%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
4.33
15%
4.00
18%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1.22
5%
1.20
7%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1.011.00
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Home DNB
93%
1.03
1%
1.02
1%
Away DNB
11%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Bayern win to nil
57%
1.83
4%
-
St. Pauli win to nil
2%
29.00
15%
-
Bayern / Bayern
57%
1.401.44
Bayern / St. Pauli
1%
67.0056.00
Bayern / Draw
3%
26.0023.00
Draw / Bayern
19%
4.00
8%
4.33
Draw / St. Pauli
2%
41.0026.00
10%
Draw / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
8%
St. Pauli / Bayern
5%
17.0017.00
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
3%
34.0021.00
19%
St. Pauli / Draw
3%
34.0023.00
12%
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Bayern have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Bundesliga league table. Bayern are unbeaten in 10 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 10 games. Bayern have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 10 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost no matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Bayern have outscored their opponents by 35 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Bayern have played 5 games at home winning 5, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

St. Pauli are in 16th position in the Bundesliga on 7 points having played 10 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 3 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
St. Pauli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern109102928 
-
-
Apr 11
Nov 29
2
RB Leipzig10712722 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 17
Jan 10
May 9
3
Dortmund10631921 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 28
d
 
3-3A
Jan 17
4
Stuttgart10703521 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Feb 7
l
 
2-0A
5
Leverkusen106221020 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 14
l
 
1-2A
Feb 14
6
Hoffenheim10613519 
Feb 7
w
 
1-4F
l
 
0-3A
Feb 28
7
E.Frankfurt10523417 
Feb 21
w
 
0-3F
Mar 7
l
 
2-0A
8
W.Bremen10433-315 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 14
Feb 21
l
 
1-0A
9
Köln10424214 
May 16
Jan 14
Apr 18
Dec 6
10
Freiburg10343-113 
Nov 22
Apr 4
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
11
Union Berlin10334-412 
Mar 21
d
 
2-2A
Nov 23
Apr 4
12
B. M'gladbach10235-69 
Mar 7
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-4A
Mar 14
13
Hamburg10235-79 
w
 
5-0F
Jan 31
Jan 23
w
 
0-2F
14
Wolfsburg10226-68 
Jan 11
May 9
May 16
Jan 14
15
Augsburg10217-107 
Jan 24
w
 
2-3F
w
 
2-1A
Jan 31
16
St. Pauli10217-117 
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
-
17
Mainz10127-85 
Dec 14
Apr 25
May 2
Dec 21
18
Heidenheim10127-155 
May 2
Dec 21
Dec 13
Apr 25
Win / draw / win form
4
St. Pauli have lost 4 consecutive away league games
Bayern 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
70
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
1
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern3 - 0Leverkusen
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Bayern4 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
Bayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
Bayern2 - 0B. M'gladbach
Bayern3 - 0Mainz
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
Bayern4 - 0E.Frankfurt
Bayern3 - 0W.Bremen
Bayern4 - 3Holstein
Bayern3 - 2Wolfsburg
Bayern5 - 0Hoffenheim
Bayern5 - 1RB Leipzig
Bayern4 - 2Heidenheim
Bayern3 - 0Augsburg
Bayern3 - 0Union Berlin
Bayern4 - 0Stuttgart
Goals: Scored
62
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ABayern2 - 2Union Berlin
HBayern3 - 0Leverkusen
ABayern3 - 0B. M'gladbach
HBayern2 - 1Dortmund
ABayern3 - 0E.Frankfurt
HBayern4 - 0W.Bremen
ABayern4 - 1Hoffenheim
HBayern5 - 0Hamburg
ABayern3 - 2Augsburg
HBayern6 - 0RB Leipzig
ABayern4 - 0Hoffenheim
HBayern2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ABayern3 - 3RB Leipzig
HBayern3 - 0Mainz
ABayern4 - 0Heidenheim
HBayern2 - 2Dortmund
ABayern3 - 1Augsburg
HBayern3 - 2St. Pauli
ABayern1 - 1Union Berlin
HBayern2 - 3VfL Bochum
St. Pauli 16TH
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
D
3
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Freiburg2 - 1St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 0St. Pauli
W.Bremen1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
Hamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
E.Frankfurt2 - 2St. Pauli
W.Bremen0 - 0St. Pauli
Holstein1 - 2St. Pauli
Bayern3 - 2St. Pauli
Wolfsburg1 - 1St. Pauli
Mainz2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
Heidenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
VfL Bochum1 - 0St. Pauli
Stuttgart0 - 1St. Pauli
Leverkusen2 - 1St. Pauli
B. M'gladbach2 - 0St. Pauli
Hoffenheim0 - 2St. Pauli
Dortmund2 - 1St. Pauli
Freiburg0 - 3St. Pauli
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Pauli1 - 2Freiburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 4B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli0 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 3Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 2Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Stuttgart
HSt. Pauli2 - 1Augsburg
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Hamburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
HSt. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
ASt. Pauli2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli0 - 0W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Holstein
HSt. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Wolfsburg
Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 18 consecutive Bundesliga matches. A PG of 2.9 suggests that run should continue on Saturday afternoon.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.5 should cause concerns for FC St. Pauli fans, as should a 7 Bundesliga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Bayern 1st St. Pauli 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.9
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
16%
2
23%
3
22%
4
16%
5+
22%
There is a 84% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
61%
1
30%
2
3
4+
There is a 61% probability that St. Pauli will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Bayern have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-19
St. Pauli have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
St. Pauli
2.9
0.5
Attack rating
%
better
FCB
STP
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FCB
STP
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bayern v St. Pauli Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
91344
K LaimerH KaneL Díaz K Laimer
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
K Laimer DEF1013
4
-
J Kimmich MID1012
2
-
L Díaz  FWD1064
4
-
M Olise FWD1043
3
-
H Kane FWD10133
-
M Neuer  GLK9
-
D Upamecano DEF9
2
-
J Tah DEF91
1
-
S Boey DEF9
1
-
L Goretzka MID9
3
-
S Gnabry FWD943
1
-
L. Karl MID811
-
A Pavlović MID81
1
-
T Bischof MID83
1
-
N Jackson FWD81
-
R Guerreiro DEF612
-
J Stanisic DEF51
1
-
M Kim DEF51
-
J Urbig GLK1
-
W. Okpako Mike FWD1
-
St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10313
N VasiljA HountondjiJ FujitaA Dzwigala
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Vasilj GLK10
-
L. Oppie DEF101
-
E Smith DEF101
2
-
J Fujita MID101
2
-
C Metcalfe MID101
-
D Sinani MID1021
2
-
M Lage FWD101
1
-
H Wahl DEF91
-
J Sands MID9
2
-
M Kaars FWD9
-
A Hountondji FWD93
1
-
M Saliakas DEF81
2
-
A Pyrka DEF7
2
-
O Afolayan FWD7
1
-
A. Ceesay FWD7
2
-
A Dzwigala DEF61
3
-
L Ritzka DEF6
-
K Mets DEF4
-
J Irvine MID3
-