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Bayern Munich v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 17:30 BST, Allianz Arena, München

Bayern Munich and Hamburger SV go head to head at the Allianz Arena on Saturday evening, with both Vincent Kompany and Luis Freire hoping for success in the Bundesliga. You'll find stats supporting our top of Bayern to win below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Bundesliga performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

As the stadium fills and the Bayern players ready themselves for this game, the bookies are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match statistics below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Allianz Arena hasn't been an easy place to go for Hamburg in the past, and we expect more of the same come Saturday evening. A win / draw / win home win is the way to go.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Bayern are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 89% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Bayern
89%
1/121/11
Draw
8%
17/211/1
Hamburg
3%
25/120/1
Bayern 3-0
12%
6/1-
Bayern 2-0
10%
7/1-
Bayern 4-0
10%
7/1-
Bayern 5-0
7%
10/1-
Bayern 3-1
7%
11/1-
Bayern 2-1
6%
12/1-
Bayern 4-1
6%
12/1-
Bayern 1-0
6%
12/1-
Bayern 5-1
4%
18/1-
Bayern 6-0
4%
18/1-
Draw 1-1
4%
18/1-
Bayern 6-1
2%
28/1-
Bayern 3-2
2%
33/1-
Bayern 7-0
2%
33/1-
Draw 2-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
76%
1/4-
Under 2.5 Goals
23%
3/1-
Home 1st Goal
68%
2/11-
Away 1st Goal
31%
7/2-
No 1st Goal
1%
28/1-
BTTS - Yes
43%
11/10-
BTTS - No
57%
4/6-
BTTS - Home Win
35%
8/5-
BTTS - Draw
6%
10/1-
BTTS - Away Win
2%
33/1-
Home/draw
96%
1/100-
Away/draw
11%
7/1-
Home/away
92%
1/14-
Over 1.5 Goals
91%
1/14-
Under 1.5 Goals
9%
8/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
57%
4/6-
Under 3.5 Goals
43%
6/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
38%
6/4-
Under 4.5 Goals
62%
8/15-
Over 5.5 Goals
22%
3/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
78%
1/4-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/80-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
25/1-
Home DNB
94%
1/66-
Away DNB
9%
20/1-
Bayern win to nil
53%
8/11-
Hamburg win to nil
1%
40/1-
Bayern / Bayern
60%
4/11-
Bayern / Hamburg
1%
80/1-
Bayern / Draw
3%
28/1-
Draw / Bayern
20%
3/1-
Draw / Hamburg
2%
40/1-
Draw / Draw
5%
16/1-
Hamburg / Bayern
4%
18/1-
Hamburg / Hamburg
2%
40/1-
Hamburg / Draw
2%
33/1-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Bayern
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
E.Frankfurt220056 
Feb 21
Oct 4
Dec 20
May 2
2
St. Pauli211024 
Nov 29
Apr 11
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
3
Bayern110063 
-
-
Jan 31
Sep 13
4
Augsburg110023 
Jan 24
Aug 30
Apr 4
Nov 22
5
Wolfsburg110023 
Jan 10
May 9
Oct 25
Mar 7
6
Union Berlin110013 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Feb 14
Sep 28
7
Köln110013 
May 16
Jan 13
Mar 14
Nov 1
8
Stuttgart210103 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Nov 29
Apr 11
9
Hoffenheim2101-13 
Feb 7
Sep 20
Apr 25
Dec 13
10
RB Leipzig2101-43 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 17
Feb 28
Oct 18
11
Dortmund101001 
Oct 18
Feb 28
Nov 8
Mar 21
12
Leverkusen2011-11 
Nov 1
Mar 14
Jan 13
May 16
13
B. M'gladbach2011-11 
Mar 7
Oct 25
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
14
Hamburg2011-21 
Sep 13
Jan 31
-
-
15
W.Bremen2011-31 
Sep 26
Feb 14
Dec 6
Apr 18
16
Mainz1001-10 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Oct 4
Feb 21
17
Freiburg1001-20 
Nov 22
Apr 4
May 9
Jan 10
18
Heidenheim2002-40 
May 2
Dec 20
Sep 20
Feb 7
Win / draw / win form
3
Bayern have won 3 consecutive home league games
5
Bayern have not lost in 5 consecutive home league games
3
Bayern have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive home league games
Bayern 2ND
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
63
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
58
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Hamburg 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Bayern since 2013
Bayern
Hamburg
Goals: Scored
28
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
FCB
4
League games at Hamburg since 2012
Hamburg
Bayern
Goals: Scored
2
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
3 / 5
FCB
5
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.6, Hamburger SV look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Bayern Munich haven't conceded a goal in 3 consecutive Bundesliga games, and it could be a long evening for Luis Freire's men.

Bayern 2nd Hamburg 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
5+
29%
There is a 29% probability that Bayern will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
55%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 55% probability that Hamburg will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Bayern have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Hamburg have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
3.2
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Bayern
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
3.4
0.6
Attack rating
%
better
FCB
HSV
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FCB
HSV
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Bayern v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Bayern Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1321
M Neuer H KaneS GnabryJ Tah
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Neuer  GLK1
-
D Upamecano DEF1
-
J Stanisic DEF1
-
J Tah DEF1
1
-
M Kim DEF11
-
S Boey DEF1
-
L. Karl MID1
-
A Pavlović MID1
-
L Goretzka MID1
-
J Kimmich MID1
1
-
K Laimer MID1
1
-
M Olise MID12
1
-
S Gnabry FWD12
-
H Kane FWD13
-
L Díaz  FWD112
-
J. Kusi-Asare FWD1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2002
D FernandesG Gocholeishvili
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK2
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF2
1
1
W Omari DEF2
-
J Torunarigha DEF2
-
M Muheim DEF2
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF2
-
N Capaldo  MID2
1
-
N Remberg MID2
-
D Elfadli MID2
-
R Philippe FWD2
-
R Königsdörffer FWD2
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
M Dompé FWD2
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD2
-
Y Poulsen FWD2
1
-
J Meffert MID1
-
O. Emerson Stange FWD1
-