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FC St. Pauli v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Aug, 17:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Saturday evening at the Millerntor-Stadion, and it’s a Bundesliga clash between FC St. Pauli and Borussia Dortmund. Alexander Blessin and Niko Kalliokoski will be doing all they can to guide their side to the win. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% probability of St. Pauli and Dortmund scoring at least a couple of goals in this Bundesliga clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies are predicting the same. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 55% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Pauli
22%
4.334.50
Draw
23%
4.003.90
Dortmund
55%
1.701.75
Draw 1-1
11%
7.507.00
Dortmund 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Dortmund 1-0
10%
8.007.00
Dortmund 2-0
9%
9.008.00
Dortmund 3-1
6%
13.0011.00
St. Pauli 2-1
6%
13.0012.00
St. Pauli 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Dortmund 3-0
6%
13.0012.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
5%
13.0010.00
Dortmund 3-2
3%
23.0017.00
St. Pauli 2-0
3%
23.0019.00
Dortmund 4-1
3%
26.0019.00
Dortmund 4-0
3%
26.0019.00
St. Pauli 3-1
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
1.731.73
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
2.102.00
Home 1st Goal
43%
2.502.70
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.571.57
No 1st Goal
3%
13.0010.00
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.701.73
BTTS - No
44%
2.052.00
BTTS - Home Win
12%
7.507.00
BTTS - Draw
17%
5.004.80
BTTS - Away Win
27%
3.403.30
Home/draw
45%
2.102.05
Away/draw
78%
1.201.20
Home/away
77%
1.221.25
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.251.22
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.003.75
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
3.002.75
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.401.40
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
5.005.00
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1.171.14
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.009.50
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.051.04
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.041.03
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.0010.00
Home DNB
38%
3.253.25
Away DNB
71%
1.331.30
St. Pauli win to nil
11%
8.00-
Dortmund win to nil
28%
3.25-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli
11%
7.506.50
St. Pauli / Dortmund
4%
21.0017.00
St. Pauli / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / St. Pauli
9%
9.509.00
Draw / Dortmund
17%
4.754.50
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Dortmund / St. Pauli
3%
34.0029.00
Dortmund / Dortmund
30%
2.632.62
Dortmund / Draw
6%
13.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
St. Pauli
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Leverkusen000000 
Sep 27
Feb 14
Apr 11
Nov 29
2
Dortmund000000 
Aug 23
Jan 17
-
-
3
B. M'gladbach000000 
Nov 1
Mar 14
Dec 20
May 2
4
E.Frankfurt000000 
Mar 7
Oct 25
May 9
Jan 10
5
Augsburg000000 
Sep 14
Jan 31
Mar 14
Nov 1
6
Bayern000000 
Apr 11
Nov 29
Feb 28
Oct 18
7
Köln000000 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Oct 25
Mar 7
8
Union Berlin000000 
Nov 22
Apr 4
Aug 31
Jan 24
9
Mainz000000 
May 2
Dec 20
Feb 14
Sep 27
10
Hamburg000000 
Jan 24
Aug 29
Mar 21
Nov 8
11
Heidenheim000000 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Jan 31
Sep 13
12
RB Leipzig000000 
Jan 10
May 9
Oct 4
Feb 21
13
Freiburg000000 
Mar 21
Nov 8
Apr 25
Dec 13
14
St. Pauli000000 
-
-
Jan 17
Aug 23
15
Hoffenheim000000 
Oct 18
Feb 28
Dec 6
Apr 18
16
Stuttgart000000 
Feb 7
Sep 19
Nov 22
Apr 4
17
Wolfsburg000000 
May 16
Jan 13
Sep 21
Feb 7
18
W.Bremen000000 
Feb 21
Oct 4
Jan 13
May 16
Win / draw / win form
5
Dortmund have won 5 consecutive league games
5
St. Pauli have not won in 5 consecutive league games
8
Dortmund have not lost in 8 consecutive league games
St. Pauli
20 league games
Home
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
St. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
St. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
St. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
St. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
St. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli0 - 2W.Bremen
St. Pauli3 - 1Holstein
St. Pauli0 - 1Bayern
St. Pauli0 - 0Wolfsburg
St. Pauli0 - 3Mainz
St. Pauli0 - 0RB Leipzig
St. Pauli0 - 2Heidenheim
St. Pauli3 - 1Osnabruck
St. Pauli1 - 0Rostock
St. Pauli3 - 4Elversberg
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HSt. Pauli0 - 2VfL Bochum
ASt. Pauli2 - 2E.Frankfurt
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Stuttgart
ASt. Pauli0 - 0W.Bremen
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Leverkusen
ASt. Pauli2 - 1Holstein
HSt. Pauli1 - 1B. M'gladbach
ASt. Pauli2 - 3Bayern
HSt. Pauli1 - 0Hoffenheim
ASt. Pauli1 - 1Wolfsburg
HSt. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
ASt. Pauli0 - 2Mainz
HSt. Pauli0 - 1Freiburg
ASt. Pauli0 - 2RB Leipzig
HSt. Pauli1 - 1Augsburg
HSt. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
ASt. Pauli2 - 0Heidenheim
ASt. Pauli0 - 1VfL Bochum
HSt. Pauli0 - 1E.Frankfurt
ASt. Pauli1 - 0Stuttgart
Dortmund
20 league games
Away
Overall
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Holstein4 - 2Dortmund
Wolfsburg1 - 3Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 1Dortmund
Mainz3 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Stuttgart5 - 1Dortmund
W.Bremen0 - 0Dortmund
Mainz3 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig4 - 1Dortmund
B. M'gladbach1 - 2Dortmund
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDortmund3 - 0Holstein
ADortmund4 - 2Leverkusen
HDortmund4 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund3 - 2Hoffenheim
HDortmund3 - 2B. M'gladbach
ADortmund2 - 2Bayern
ADortmund4 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund3 - 1Mainz
ADortmund0 - 2RB Leipzig
HDortmund0 - 1Augsburg
ADortmund2 - 0St. Pauli
HDortmund6 - 0Union Berlin
ADortmund0 - 2VfL Bochum
HDortmund1 - 2Stuttgart
ADortmund2 - 1Heidenheim
HDortmund2 - 2W.Bremen
ADortmund0 - 2E.Frankfurt
ADortmund2 - 4Holstein
HDortmund2 - 3Leverkusen
ADortmund3 - 1Wolfsburg
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Bundesliga games. Their PG of 1.9 against FC St. Pauli on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

St. Pauli Dortmund
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that St. Pauli will score no more than 1 goal
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-39
St. Pauli have scored 39% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
St. Pauli
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.1
1.9
Attack rating
0%
better
STP
BVB
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
0%
better
STP
BVB
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

St. Pauli v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S. Spari GLK
-
B Voll GLK
-
N Vasilj GLK
-
J. Robatsch DEF
-
A Pyrka DEF
-
L. Oppie DEF
-
H Wahl DEF
-
E Smith DEF
-
M Saliakas DEF
-
D Nemeth  DEF
-
A Dzwigala DEF
-
L Ritzka DEF
-
K Mets DEF
-
F Stevens DEF
-
J Fujita MID
-
E Ahlstrand MID
-
J Sands MID
-
C Metcalfe MID
-
D Sinani MID
-
M. Schmitz MID
-
J Irvine MID
-
R Jade-Jones FWD
-
M Lage FWD
-
A Hountondji FWD
-
R. Aigbekaen FWD
-
S Banks FWD
-
O Afolayan FWD
-
A. Ceesay FWD
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
0000
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Ostrzinski GLK
-
A Meyer GLK
-
P Drewes GLK
-
G Kobel GLK
-
Y Couto DEF
-
D Svensson DEF
-
R Bensebaini DEF
-
A. Raouf Mohammed Kabar DEF
-
N Süle DEF
-
J Ryerson DEF
-
W Anton DEF
-
F. Mane DEF
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF
-
G Reyna MID
-
S Özcan MID
-
P Groß MID
-
J Brandt MID
-
M Sabitzer  MID
-
F Nmecha MID
-
J Bellingham MID
-
E Can MID
-
S Haller  FWD
-
W Campbell FWD
-
M Beier FWD
-
S Guirassy  FWD
-
K Adeyemi  FWD
-
J Duranville FWD
-