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1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC Koln : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side will have home backing in the Bundesliga on Sunday afternoon, as Timo Schultz's FC Koln arrive at the Mewa Arena. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head performance. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Heidenheim at 18:30 on Sunday 5th May
FC Koln's next match is v Freiburg at 17:30 on Saturday 4th May

The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Köln was on Sunday 28th April 2024

German Bundesliga

April 28th 2024

Mainz 1	1 Köln

L. Barreiro Martins 29'	90' F. Kainz

	M05 KOE
Shots On	4 6
Shots Off	5 7
Corners	6 6
Possession	39% 61%
Fouls	17 13
Yellow/red cards	4/1 4/0

Mainz	Köln

R. Zentner A. Caci (E. Fernandes 64') A. Hanche-Olsen P. Mwene S. van den Berg N. Amiri L. Barreiro Martins D. Kohr B. Gruda (L. Ajorque 87') K. Onisiwo (S. Widmer 56') J. Burkardt	M. Schwäbe B. Schmitz T. Hübers M. Finkgräfe J. Chabot (L. Maina 62') J. Thielmann E. Martel (F. Kainz 72') D. Huseinbasic (S. Adamyan 83') F. Alidou (D. Downs 62') S. Tigges (M. Uth 62') G. Waldschmidt

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

This match should deliver some entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral	Betfred	888Sport
Mainz 56%	11/20 4%	4/7 3%	-	-
Draw 25%	16/5	16/5 8%	-	-
Köln 20%	19/4 15%	24/5 10%	-	-
Mainz 1-0 14%	7/1	7/1 7%	-	-
Draw 1-1 12%	7/1	7/1 7%	-	-
Mainz 2-0 11%	7/1	7/1	-	-
Mainz 2-1 9%	15/2	7/1	-	-
Draw 0-0 8%	12/1	14/1 15%	-	-
Köln 1-0 7%	16/1 13%	16/1	-	-
Mainz 3-0 6%	10/1 8%	11/1	-	-
Mainz 3-1 5%	11/1 8%	11/1	-	-
Köln 2-1 5%	16/1 13%	16/1	-	-
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	14/1	-	-
Köln 2-0 3%	28/1 12%	33/1	-	-
Mainz 4-0 2%	20/1 9%	22/1 12%	-	-
Mainz 3-2 2%	22/1	20/1 9%	-	-
Mainz 4-1 2%	20/1 9%	22/1 12%	-	-
Köln 3-1 1%	40/1	50/1 11%	-	-
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	4/6 3%	3/5 4%	-	-
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	6/5 5%	11/10 5%	-	-
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/11 3%	1/2	-	-
Away 1st Goal 39%	11/5 7%	2/1	-	-
No 1st Goal 6%	12/1	14/1 15%	-	-
BTTS - Yes 46%	4/5 3%	7/10 2%	-	-
BTTS - No 54%	19/20 3%	21/20 3%	-	-
BTTS - Home Win 21%	11/5 2%	2/1 6%	-	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	9/2	4/1 4%	-	-
BTTS - Away Win 8%	9/1 18%	8/1 6%	-	-
Home/draw 80%	1/7 3%	1/7	-	-
Away/draw 44%	11/8 6%	29/20 9%	-	-
Home/away 75%	2/9	1/4 2%	-	-
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	2/9	2/11 2%	-	-
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	10/3	3/1 5%	-	-
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	7/4	29/20 8%	-	-
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	4/9	4/9 3%	-	-
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	4/1	10/3 9%	-	-
Under 4.5 Goals 90%	1/6	1/6 3%	-	-
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	9/1	15/2 15%	-	-
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/16	1/18 1%	-	-
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/25	1/33 1%	-	-
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	12/1	12/1 8%	-	-
Home DNB 73%	1/5 4%	2/9 2%	-	-
Away DNB 37%	10/3 15%	3/1 7%	-	-
Mainz win to nil 34%	13/8 5%	9/5 3%	-	-
Köln win to nil 11%	10/1 22%	10/1 10%	-	-
Mainz / Mainz 35%	11/8 5%	29/20 6%	-	-
Mainz / Köln 2%	33/1	50/1	-	-
Mainz / Draw 5%	14/1	16/1	-	-
Draw / Mainz 20%	10/3 4%	13/4	-	-
Draw / Köln 7%	10/1	11/1 9%	-	-
Draw / Draw 13%	11/2	11/2 8%	-	-
Köln / Mainz 4%	20/1	20/1 9%	-	-
Köln / Köln 9%	17/2 12%	10/1 16%	-	-
Köln / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	16/1	-	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 16th place in the Bundesliga league table. Mainz are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Mainz have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Mainz have played 15 games at home winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Köln are in 17th position in the Bundesliga on 22 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 10 and won 3. Köln have conceded 51 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 12 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Mainz

Won

Draw

Lost

Scores

Köln

HOME	AWAY	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY
l 0-3A	l 2-1A	Leverkusen	31	25	6	0	55	81	l 0-2A	l 3-0A
l 1-3A	l 8-1A	Bayern	31	22	3	6	51	69	l 0-1A	l 2-0A
l 1-3A	l 3-1A	Stuttgart	31	20	4	7	32	64	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
w 2-0F	d 0-00-0	RB Leipzig	31	19	5	7	38	62	l 1-5A	l 6-0A
May 11	d 1-1A	Dortmund	31	16	9	6	20	57	l 0-4A	l 1-0A
d 1-1F	l 1-0A	E.Frankfurt	31	11	12	8	5	45	w 2-0F	d 1-1F
l 0-1A	d 1-1A	Freiburg	31	11	7	13	-12	40	May 4	l 2-0A
w 1-0F	l 2-1F	Augsburg	31	10	9	12	-4	39	d 1-1F	d 1-1A
w 4-1A	d 1-1F	Hoffenheim	31	11	6	14	-8	39	l 1-3A	d 1-1F
l 0-1A	May 5	Heidenheim	31	9	10	12	-8	37	d 1-1F	May 18
l 0-1A	l 4-0A	W.Bremen	31	10	7	14	-9	37	l 0-1A	l 2-1F
d 1-1A	May 18	Wolfsburg	31	9	7	15	-14	34	l 1-2F	d 1-1F
d 1-1F	d 2-2A	B. M'gladbach	31	7	11	13	-7	32	w 3-1F	d 3-3F
d 1-1A	l 4-1A	Union Berlin	31	8	6	17	-24	30	May 11	l 2-0A
w 2-0F	d 2-2A	VfL Bochum	31	6	12	13	-25	30	w 2-1A	d 1-1A
-	-	Mainz Home	31	5	13	13	-17	28	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
d 1-1F	d 0-00-0	Köln Away	31	4	11	16	-30	23	-	-
w 4-0F	d 0-00-0	Darmstadt	31	3	8	20	-43	17	l 0-2A	w 0-1F

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM
Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	RB Leipzig
Mainz	1 - 3	Bayern
Mainz	0 - 3	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	1 - 4	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 3	Schalke
Mainz	3 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 2	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Freiburg
H	Mainz	4 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	4 - 0	Darmstadt
A	Mainz	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
A	Mainz	1 - 8	Bayern
H	Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	1 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Mainz	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Dortmund
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Köln
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Mainz	0 - 0	Darmstadt

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM
Bayern	2 - 0	Köln
Augsburg	1 - 1	Köln
B. M'gladbach	3 - 3	Köln
Stuttgart	1 - 1	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	Köln
Wolfsburg	1 - 1	Köln
Union Berlin	2 - 0	Köln
Freiburg	2 - 0	Köln
Darmstadt	0 - 1	Köln
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Köln
RB Leipzig	6 - 0	Köln
Leverkusen	3 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	2 - 1	Köln
E.Frankfurt	1 - 1	Köln
Dortmund	1 - 0	Köln
W.Bremen	1 - 1	Köln
Leverkusen	1 - 2	Köln
Hoffenheim	1 - 3	Köln
Augsburg	1 - 3	Köln
Dortmund	6 - 1	Köln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM
H	Köln	0 - 2	Darmstadt
A	Köln	0 - 2	Bayern
H	Köln	2 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	Köln	1 - 1	Augsburg
H	Köln	1 - 5	RB Leipzig
A	Köln	3 - 3	B. M'gladbach
H	Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Köln	1 - 1	Stuttgart
H	Köln	0 - 1	W.Bremen
A	Köln	1 - 1	Hoffenheim
H	Köln	2 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	Köln	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Köln	0 - 4	Dortmund
H	Köln	1 - 1	Heidenheim
A	Köln	0 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Köln	0 - 2	Freiburg
H	Köln	0 - 0	Mainz
A	Köln	1 - 0	Darmstadt
H	Köln	0 - 1	Bayern
A	Köln	1 - 1	VfL Bochum

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mainz

Köln

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 8

4 / 8

Clean sheets

4 / 8

2 / 8

M05

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz	5 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	3 - 1
Mainz	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Köln
Mainz	2 - 0

Mainz

Köln

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 17

10 / 17

Clean sheets

7 / 17

6 / 17

M05

KOE

FIXTURE HISTORY
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	5 - 0
Köln	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 3	Mainz
	0 - 1	Köln
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Mainz	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	1 - 0
Köln	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	2 - 3	Köln
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Mainz	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Koln have conceded in each of their last 10 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.6 for Bo Henriksen's side suggests that run should continue.

	Mainz 16th	Köln 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ There is a 80% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 43% 1 36% 2 15% 3 4+ There is a 79% probability of Köln scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-14 Mainz have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted	-10 Köln’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season

15%

better

M05

KOE

view stats

Games scored	22		18
Failed to score	9		13
Scored first	10		11
Goals scored	32		24
Avg. goals scored	1		0.8
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	10		12
Conversion rate	10%		9%
KickOff rating		+15%

13%

better

M05

KOE

view stats

Games conceded	24		28
Clean sheets	7		3
Conceded first	18		19
Goals conceded	49		54
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		11
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		6
Conversion rate	18%		16%
KickOff rating		+13%

Mainz v Köln Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	5	3	12
S Berg	J Burkardt	N Amiri	D Kohr

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
R Zentner GLK	25			3 -
D Kohr DEF	26	1		12 -
S Berg DEF	28	2		9 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	10	1		2 -
A Caci MID	26	2	1	6 -
L Barreiro MID	26	2		6 -
N Amiri MID	11	1	3	4 -
P Mwene MID	20	1	2	4 -
B Gruda MID	24	3	2	5 -
J Burkardt MID	16	5	2	1 -
K Onisiwo FWD	22	1	3	1 -
Subs
L Rieß GLK				-
D Costa DEF	17		1	1 -
S Widmer DEF	15	1	2	4 -
E Fernandes MID	18		2	4 -
A Cil MID	10		1	1 -
M Papela MID	11			1 -
M Richter FWD	18	1		3 -
L Ajorque FWD	23	2		4 -
N Weiper FWD	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	6
J Burkardt	J Burkardt	N Amiri	B Gruda

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Burkardt MID	5	11	2	3
B Gruda MID	3	10	2	6
S Berg DEF	2	6		1
A Caci MID	2	6	1	3
L Barreiro MID	2	10
D Kohr DEF	1	7		1
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1	1
N Amiri MID	1	8	3	5
P Mwene MID	1	8	2	4
K Onisiwo FWD	1	6	3	3
Subs
L Ajorque FWD	2	10
M Richter FWD	1	9		2
S Widmer DEF	1	3	2	5
D Costa DEF		1	1	1
E Fernandes MID		1	2	1
A Cil MID			1
M Papela MID		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1277	52	198
S Berg	L Barreiro	S Berg

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
S Berg DEF	1277	36	198
A Caci MID	1111	47	105
D Kohr DEF	922	44	106
L Barreiro MID	775	52	150
R Zentner GLK	723	2	17
P Mwene MID	590	25	62
N Amiri MID	519	16	65
B Gruda MID	442	20	119
K Onisiwo FWD	293	15	99
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	249	11	35
J Burkardt MID	233	8	53
Subs
E Fernandes MID	665	24	55
L Ajorque FWD	405	3	86
S Widmer DEF	405	17	32
D Costa DEF	299	16	34
M Richter FWD	237	10	47
A Cil MID	177	14	23
M Papela MID	81	4	12
N Weiper FWD	34	1	3

Köln Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	4	4	7
M Schwäbe	F Alidou	F Kainz	J Chabot

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Schwäbe GLK	29			-
B Schmitz DEF	18		1	3 -
T Hübers DEF	26			5 -
J Chabot DEF	27			7 -
M Finkgräfe DEF	20	1		3 -
E Martel MID	25	1	1	5 -
D Huseinbašić MID	22		3	4 -
J Thielmann MID	18	1		4 1
L Waldschmidt MID	18	3		-
F Alidou MID	21	4		3 -
S Tigges FWD	20	1		-
Subs
P Pentke GLK				1 -
D Heintz DEF	9			-
R Carstensen DEF	22			1 -
J Christensen MID	6			1 -
F Kainz MID	28	3	4	3 -
L Maina MID	26	1	2	3 -
D Downs FWD	7	1		-
M Uth FWD	7			1 -
S Adamyan FWD	16	1	2	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	14	4	5
F Alidou	L Waldschmidt	F Kainz	R Carstensen

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
F Alidou MID	4	9
L Waldschmidt MID	3	14		3
M Finkgräfe DEF	1	3		1
E Martel MID	1	7	1	1
J Thielmann MID	1	11		1
S Tigges FWD	1	6
B Schmitz DEF		4	1	1
T Hübers DEF		2
J Chabot DEF		3
D Huseinbašić MID		2	3
Subs
F Kainz MID	3	6	4	4
L Maina MID	1	10	2	5
D Downs FWD	1	1
S Adamyan FWD	1	11	2	3
R Carstensen DEF		4		5
M Uth FWD		1		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1410	62	168
T Hübers	E Martel	J Chabot

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
T Hübers DEF	1410	57	149
J Chabot DEF	1332	46	168
M Schwäbe GLK	1037	1	7
E Martel MID	898	62	153
D Huseinbašić MID	601	31	55
M Finkgräfe DEF	479	57	117
B Schmitz DEF	416	21	43
J Thielmann MID	347	25	75
L Waldschmidt MID	311	16	49
F Alidou MID	190	9	60
S Tigges FWD	126	5	37
Subs
F Kainz MID	821	28	86
R Carstensen DEF	603	45	86
L Maina MID	419	15	50
D Heintz DEF	254	12	23
S Adamyan FWD	150	13	41
M Uth FWD	87	6	20
J Christensen MID	48	6	6
D Downs FWD	21	1	2