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RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1, Leipzig

the Red Bull Arena faithful welcome Borussia Dortmund's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Marco Rose's RB Leipzig take on Edin Terzic's troops in the Bundesliga. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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RB Leipzig's next match is v Hoffenheim at 19:30 on Friday 3rd May
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Augsburg at 14:30 on Saturday 4th May
The last German Bundesliga meeting between RB Leipzig and Dortmund was on Saturday 27th April 2024
German Bundesliga
April 27th 2024
RB Leipzig 4
1 Dortmund
 
L. Openda 23'20' J. Sancho
B. Šeško 45'
M. Simakan 46'
C. Baumgartner 80'
 
RBL
BVB
Shots On
7
6
Shots Off
11
4
Corners
5
8
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
11
7
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
RB LeipzigDortmund
 
P. Gulácsi
M. Simakanfootball icon (B. Henrichs 51')
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
W. Orban
A. Haidara (K. Kampl 87')
X. Simons
D. Olmo Carvajal
X. Schlager (N. Seiwald 87')
L. Opendafootball icon (L. Klostermann 88')
B. Šeškofootball icon (C. Baumgartner 70')
G. Kobel
N. Schlotterbeck
(N. Süle 51') M. Hummels
M. Wolf
(Y. Moukoko 71') J. Ryerson
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 63') S. Özcan
F. Nmecha
J. Brandt
(M. Reus 46') K. Adeyemi
N. Füllkrug
football iconJ. Sancho
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We are making over 1.5 goals our tip on this fixture, meaning that the sides will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both RB Leipzig and Dortmund's latest form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.10.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
RB Leipzig
45%
8/15
10%
8/15
12%
--
Draw
24%
7/2
7%
7/2
7%
--
Dortmund
30%
17/4
21%
17/4
25%
--
Draw 1-1
11%
9/1
5%
17/2--
RB Leipzig 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
--
RB Leipzig 1-0
9%
12/1
13%
11/1
20%
--
Dortmund 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
--
RB Leipzig 2-0
7%
10/1
15%
10/1
15%
--
Dortmund 1-0
7%
25/125/1
13%
--
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
11/1
9%
--
Draw 0-0
6%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
--
RB Leipzig 3-1
5%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
--
Dortmund 2-0
5%
33/140/1
21%
--
RB Leipzig 3-0
4%
12/1
24%
12/1
24%
--
RB Leipzig 3-2
3%
16/1
13%
14/1--
Dortmund 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
40/1
41%
--
Dortmund 3-2
3%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
--
RB Leipzig 4-1
2%
16/1
11%
16/1
11%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/5
9%
19/10
6%
--
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/11
6%
1/2
4%
--
Away 1st Goal
46%
15/8
10%
9/5
12%
--
No 1st Goal
3%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
--
BTTS - Yes
58%
4/9
6%
4/9
8%
--
BTTS - No
42%
13/8
13%
33/20
12%
--
BTTS - Home Win
23%
6/429/20
4%
--
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
15%
19/5
9%
--
BTTS - Away Win
16%
6/1
17%
6/1
33%
--
Home/draw
70%
1/6
3%
1/7
7%
--
Away/draw
55%
11/8
13%
7/5
14%
--
Home/away
76%
2/11
3%
2/11
3%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/10
2%
1/11
1%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
6/1
13%
11/2--
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
10/11
6%
5/6
5%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
10/11
5%
4/5
4%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
2/1
9%
15/8
7%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/5
3%
1/3
2%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
4/1
11%
19/5
7%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/6
3%
2/15
2%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/661/80--
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
20/1
28%
22/1
12%
--
Home DNB
63%
2/9
6%
1/4
8%
--
Away DNB
47%
3/1
18%
11/4
25%
--
RB Leipzig win to nil
22%
5/2
19%
5/2
19%
--
Dortmund win to nil
14%
12/114/1
25%
--
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
36%
13/10
12%
11/8
12%
--
RB Leipzig / Dortmund
2%
28/1
12%
40/1
21%
--
RB Leipzig / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/1--
Draw / RB Leipzig
18%
15/4
5%
18/5
8%
--
Draw / Dortmund
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
20%
--
Draw / Draw
10%
15/2
6%
7/1
7%
--
Dortmund / RB Leipzig
5%
14/1
12%
16/1--
Dortmund / Dortmund
10%
7/1
23%
17/2
27%
--
Dortmund / Draw
5%
14/116/1
13%
--
bet365
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. RB Leipzig have outscored their opponents by 69 goals to 58 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 15 games at home winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 35 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 5th position in the Bundesliga on 57 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 30 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Dortmund have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

RB Leipzig
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Dortmund
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-2A
 Leverkusen3125605581 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Bayern3122365169 
l
 
0-4A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
5-1A
l
 
5-2A
 Stuttgart3120473264 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
-
-
 RB Leipzig Home3119573862 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
4-1F
w
 
4-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Dortmund Away3116962057 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
May 18
 E.Frankfurt3111128545 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
3-3A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-4F
 Freiburg3111713-1240 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2A
 Augsburg3110912-439 
May 4
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Hoffenheim3111614-839 
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Heidenheim3191012-837 
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
May 11
d
 
1-1F
 W.Bremen3110714-937 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Wolfsburg319715-1434 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 B. M'gladbach3171113-732 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Union Berlin318617-2430 
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-4A
 VfL Bochum3161213-2530 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
 Mainz3151313-1728 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-5F
 Köln3141116-3023 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Darmstadt313820-4317 
May 18
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Dortmund 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
5 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
2 / 7
RBL
3
D
1
BVB
3
All league games since 2016
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
25
26
Games: Scored
12 / 15
13 / 15
Clean sheets
2 / 15
3 / 15
RBL
6
D
2
BVB
7
Goal Statistics

RB Leipzig's defensive record is very strong, Marco Rose's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Bundesliga outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Borussia Dortmund makes sense in this context.

RB Leipzig 4th Dortmund 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Dortmund will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-2
RB Leipzig’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+20
Dortmund have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Statistics Bundesliga - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/263627/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
4%
better
RBL
BVB
view stats
Games scored28
28
Failed to score4
3
Scored first20
21
Goals scored74
59
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.9
Avg. shots per game12
11
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate19%
17%
KickOff rating
+4%
Defence rating
1%
better
RBL
BVB
view stats
Games conceded22
22
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first10
9
Goals conceded36
39
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate13%
12%
KickOff rating
+1%

RB Leipzig v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2822108
D RaumL OpendaX SimonsX Simons
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK9
-
M Simakan DEF2811
7
-
W Orbán DEF14
2
-
C Lukeba DEF271
3
-
D Raum DEF2827
5
-
A Haidara MID1521
5
-
X Schlager MID265
7
-
D Olmo MID1846
-
X Simons MID28710
8
-
L Openda FWD29226
4
-
B Sesko FWD2692
-
Subs
J Blaswich GLK20
-
B Henrichs DEF2814
2
-
E Bitshiabu DEF4
-
L Klostermann DEF201
3
-
E Elmas MID11
-
N Seiwald MID161
1
-
C Baumgartner MID2741
3
-
K Kampl MID221
3
-
Y Poulsen FWD2652
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2811115
N SchlotterbeckN FüllkrugJ BrandtM Hummels
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK23
1
-
M Wolf DEF171
2
-
M Hummels DEF223
4
1
N Schlotterbeck DEF2821
1
-
J Ryerson DEF1841
3
-
J Sancho MID1011
-
S Özcan MID19
3
-
F Nmecha MID152
3
-
J Brandt MID27611
2
-
K Adeyemi  MID1831
5
-
N Füllkrug FWD26118
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK7
-
N Süle DEF201
-
M Bauzà DEF1
-
M Sabitzer  MID2242
3
1
O Pohlmann MID1
-
K. Wätjen MID
-
M Reus MID2143
1
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD2013
1
-
Y Moukoko FWD173
1
-