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RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 21st Feb, 17:30 BST, Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund take on one another at the Red Bull Arena Salzburg on Saturday evening, with both Ole Werner and Niko Kovač hoping for success in the Bundesliga. All of the key stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

After surveying all relevant stats, including historical head-to-head (H2H) data, we fully expect this fixture to deliver both happiness and sadness to both home and away fans. We expect both RB Leipzig and Dortmund to find the back of the net during the 90 mins, but the ultimate victor of the match seems less clear. Bookmaker's odds also point towards a both teams to score bet, and that's our recommendation.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
41%
2.25
12%
2.25
Draw
23%
3.80
1%
3.90
4%
Dortmund
36%
3.00
18%
2.88
Draw 1-1
10%
8.00
7%
7.00
RB Leipzig 2-1
9%
9.50
5%
8.50
Dortmund 2-1
8%
11.00
10%
9.50
Draw 2-2
7%
11.009.50
RB Leipzig 1-0
7%
13.0011.00
Dortmund 1-0
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
RB Leipzig 2-0
5%
15.00
12%
12.00
RB Leipzig 3-1
5%
15.00
12%
13.00
Dortmund 2-0
5%
19.00
12%
15.00
Dortmund 3-1
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
Draw 0-0
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
Dortmund 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
RB Leipzig 3-0
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
Dortmund 3-0
3%
34.00
31%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
1.501.48
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
2.632.50
4%
Home 1st Goal
50%
1.80
6%
1.80
Away 1st Goal
48%
2.00
5%
2.05
No 1st Goal
2%
21.00
11%
15.00
BTTS - Yes
64%
1.40
3%
1.44
BTTS - No
36%
2.75
5%
2.62
3%
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.50
13%
3.40
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
8%
4.20
5%
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4.50
13%
4.20
Home/draw
64%
1.36
9%
1.40
Away/draw
59%
1.62
8%
1.62
Home/away
77%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1.141.14
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
5.505.25
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
2.10
5%
2.15
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1.73
4%
1.65
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
3.75
6%
3.60
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1.29
3%
1.25
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
6.50
7%
6.50
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1.11
1%
1.10
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.021.01
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
21.00
11%
15.00
Home DNB
57%
1.62
11%
1.67
1%
Away DNB
52%
2.20
20%
2.10
RB Leipzig win to nil
17%
5.00
17%
-
Dortmund win to nil
15%
7.00
17%
-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
24%
3.50
13%
3.30
RB Leipzig / Dortmund
4%
23.00
10%
19.00
RB Leipzig / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / RB Leipzig
13%
6.00
8%
6.00
Draw / Dortmund
11%
7.50
15%
7.00
Draw / Draw
12%
7.00
8%
6.00
Dortmund / RB Leipzig
4%
21.0017.00
Dortmund / Dortmund
18%
4.50
13%
4.20
3%
Dortmund / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 4th position in the league. RB Leipzig are winless in the 4 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

4 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 1 and won zero. RB Leipzig have conceded 15 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

RB Leipzig have played 10 games at home, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 23 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Dortmund lay in 2nd place on 48 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 21 matches. Dortmund are unbeaten in 20 games against teams below them in the league and kept 10 clean sheets out of 20 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 6 and losing 0 games. They have scored 42 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Dortmund have conceded 18 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Dortmund have played 11 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2117316054 
l
 
1-5F
l
 
6-0A
Feb 28
l
 
2-1A
2
Dortmund2114612348 
Feb 21
d
 
1-1F
-
-
3
Hoffenheim2113351642 
Mar 20
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 18
4
RB Leipzig2112361239 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Feb 21
5
Stuttgart2112361039 
w
 
3-1F
Mar 15
d
 
3-3F
Apr 4
6
Leverkusen2011361236 
l
 
1-3F
May 2
Apr 11
w
 
1-2F
7
Freiburg21867-130 
w
 
2-0F
May 16
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
8
E.Frankfurt21777-528 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 18
May 9
d
 
3-3F
9
Union Berlin21678-825 
Apr 25
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
10
Köln216510-423 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
1-0F
Mar 7
11
Hamburg20578-822 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
12
B. M'gladbach21579-922 
Apr 11
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
May 2
13
Augsburg216411-1522 
Mar 7
w
 
0-6F
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
14
Mainz215610-821 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 13
w
 
0-2F
15
Wolfsburg215412-1519 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
16
W.Bremen214710-1719 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 4
w
 
3-0F
May 16
17
St. Pauli214512-1517 
May 9
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
3-3F
18
Heidenheim213414-2813 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
RB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
RB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
RB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
RB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
RB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
RB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
RB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
RB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 3Stuttgart
RB Leipzig3 - 3Bayern
RB Leipzig1 - 1Holstein
RB Leipzig3 - 1Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
RB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
RB Leipzig2 - 2Heidenheim
RB Leipzig2 - 0St. Pauli
RB Leipzig2 - 2Leverkusen
RB Leipzig4 - 2W.Bremen
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARB Leipzig2 - 1Köln
HRB Leipzig1 - 2Mainz
ARB Leipzig1 - 1St. Pauli
ARB Leipzig3 - 0Heidenheim
HRB Leipzig1 - 5Bayern
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Freiburg
HRB Leipzig1 - 3Leverkusen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Union Berlin
HRB Leipzig6 - 0E.Frankfurt
ARB Leipzig0 - 0B. M'gladbach
HRB Leipzig2 - 0W.Bremen
ARB Leipzig1 - 3Hoffenheim
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Stuttgart
ARB Leipzig6 - 0Augsburg
HRB Leipzig2 - 1Hamburg
ARB Leipzig1 - 1Dortmund
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Wolfsburg
HRB Leipzig3 - 1Köln
ARB Leipzig1 - 0Mainz
HRB Leipzig2 - 0Heidenheim
Dortmund 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Wolfsburg1 - 2Dortmund
Union Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
E.Frankfurt3 - 3Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 1Dortmund
Leverkusen1 - 2Dortmund
Hamburg1 - 1Dortmund
Augsburg0 - 1Dortmund
Bayern2 - 1Dortmund
Mainz0 - 2Dortmund
Heidenheim0 - 2Dortmund
St. Pauli3 - 3Dortmund
Leverkusen2 - 4Dortmund
Hoffenheim2 - 3Dortmund
Bayern2 - 2Dortmund
Freiburg1 - 4Dortmund
RB Leipzig2 - 0Dortmund
St. Pauli0 - 2Dortmund
VfL Bochum2 - 0Dortmund
Heidenheim1 - 2Dortmund
E.Frankfurt2 - 0Dortmund
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADortmund2 - 1Wolfsburg
HDortmund3 - 2Heidenheim
ADortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
HDortmund3 - 2St. Pauli
HDortmund3 - 0W.Bremen
ADortmund3 - 3E.Frankfurt
HDortmund2 - 0B. M'gladbach
ADortmund1 - 1Freiburg
HDortmund2 - 0Hoffenheim
ADortmund2 - 1Leverkusen
HDortmund3 - 3Stuttgart
ADortmund1 - 1Hamburg
ADortmund1 - 0Augsburg
HDortmund1 - 0Köln
ADortmund1 - 2Bayern
HDortmund1 - 1RB Leipzig
ADortmund2 - 0Mainz
HDortmund1 - 0Wolfsburg
ADortmund2 - 0Heidenheim
HDortmund3 - 0Union Berlin
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
RB Leipzig have beaten Dortmund in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
14
9
Games: Scored
7 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
2 / 9
RBL
5
D
1
BVB
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2 - 0
RB Leipzig4 - 1
RB Leipzig3 - 0
RB Leipzig2 - 1
1 - 3Dortmund
0 - 2Dortmund
0 - 1Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
RB Leipzig1 - 0
League games at Dortmund since 2017
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
21
19
Games: Scored
10 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
0 / 10
RBL
3
D
2
BVB
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Draw1 - 1Draw
Dortmund2 - 1
2 - 3RB Leipzig
Dortmund2 - 1
1 - 4RB Leipzig
Dortmund3 - 2
Draw3 - 3Draw
Dortmund4 - 1
2 - 3RB Leipzig
Dortmund1 - 0
Goal Statistics

RB Leipzig have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Bundesliga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Borussia Dortmund on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

RB Leipzig 4th Dortmund 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
RB Leipzig have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+17
Dortmund have scored 17% more goals when away than predicted
2.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.7
1.6
Attack rating
RBL
BVB
21%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score2
0
Scored first18
19
Goals scored40
43
Avg. goals scored1.9
2
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
22
Avg. XG for2.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
RBL
BVB
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
11
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded28
20
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

RB Leipzig v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21875
P Gulácsi C BaumgartnerC BaumgartnerD Raum
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK21
1
-
D Raum DEF2134
5
-
W Orbán DEF211
2
-
N Seiwald MID212
1
-
C Baumgartner MID2087
5
-
Y. Diomande FWD2074
2
-
R Baku DEF1912
3
-
E Banzuzi MID181
3
-
C Harder FWD1822
3
-
A Nusa FWD1822
-
X Schlager MID1721
2
-
R Rômulo FWD1764
-
C Lukeba DEF161
1
-
J Bakayoko FWD132
1
-
T. Gomis FWD131
-
A Ouédraogo MID1233
-
A. Maksimović MID8
-
E Bitshiabu DEF7
-
K. Nedeljković DEF5
-
M Finkgräfe DEF4
-
L Klostermann DEF4
-
B Henrichs DEF4
-
K Kampl MID3
-
T Werner FWD3
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21975
G KobelS Guirassy J RyersonN Schlotterbeck
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK21
2
-
D Svensson DEF2111
-
F Nmecha MID2123
-
S Guirassy  FWD2092
2
-
J Ryerson DEF197
4
-
W Anton DEF192
3
-
J Bellingham MID192
1
1
M Beier FWD1963
2
-
K Adeyemi  FWD1952
3
-
C Chukwuemeka MID182
-
N Schlotterbeck DEF1731
5
-
J Brandt MID1662
-
F Silva FWD155
1
-
M Sabitzer  MID1411
2
-
Y Couto MID1313
4
-
R Bensebaini DEF121
3
-
P Groß MID111
-
E Can DEF83
3
-
N Süle DEF71
2
-
S Özcan MID7
-
A Anselmino DEF61
-
F. Mane DEF4
1
W Campbell FWD1
-