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RB Leipzig v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Red Bull Arena Salzburg, Wals-Siezenheim

Borussia Dortmund are away from home on Saturday evening, as manager Niko Kalliokoski takes his men to visit RB Leipzig and Marco Rose at the Red Bull Arena Salzburg in the Bundesliga. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are included as well.

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RB Leipzig's next match is v B. M'gladbach at 14:30 on Saturday 29th March
Borussia Dortmund's next match is v Mainz at 16:30 on Sunday 30th March
The last German Bundesliga meeting between RB Leipzig and Dortmund was on Saturday 15th March 2025
German Bundesliga
March 15th 2025
RB Leipzig 2
0 Dortmund
 
X. Simons 18'
L. Openda 48'
 
RBL
BVB
Shots On
5
9
Shots Off
5
9
Corners
3
12
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
14
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
3/0
 
RB LeipzigDortmund
 
P. Gulácsi
L. Geertruida
W. Orban
E. Bitshiabu
D. Raum (C. Lukeba 81')
R. Baku
C. Baumgartner (K. Kampl 61')
N. Seiwald (A. Haidara 81')
X. Simonsfootball icon (T. Gomis 81')
L. Opendafootball icon (L. Klostermann 66')
B. Šeško
G. Kobel
(C. Chukwuemeka 72') J. Ryerson
W. Anton
N. Schlotterbeck
J. Brandt
P. Groß
(R. Bensebaini 32') M. Sabitzer
E. Can
(J. Bynoe-Gittens 72') K. Adeyemi
M. Beier
S. Guirassy

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

RB Leipzig may feel optimistic ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Dortmund. The bookmakers can't split them and neither can we – there's no clear victor in this tie. So we look to the both teams to score market, where there's far more reason to be certain. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and we think that's the tip to go with here.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think RB Leipzig are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 46% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
RB Leipzig
46%
17/10
6%
17/10
4%
Draw
23%
13/5
3%
12/5
6%
Dortmund
32%
29/20
4%
6/4
Draw 1-1
10%
6/111/2
7%
RB Leipzig 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Dortmund 2-1
7%
17/2
5%
15/2
6%
RB Leipzig 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
RB Leipzig 2-0
6%
14/112/1
Dortmund 1-0
6%
10/1
15%
17/2
5%
RB Leipzig 3-1
5%
18/114/1
Dortmund 2-0
4%
12/1
13%
11/1
8%
RB Leipzig 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
10/1
15%
RB Leipzig 3-0
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
Dortmund 3-1
4%
16/1
11%
14/1
Dortmund 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
16/1
RB Leipzig 4-1
2%
40/128/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
4/6
6%
8/13
6%
Under 2.5 Goals
36%
6/5
8%
23/20
10%
Home 1st Goal
51%
21/20
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
47%
4/5
6%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
8/15
2%
8/15
3%
BTTS - No
36%
11/8
5%
11/8
5%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
15/4
10%
16/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
19%
10/33/1
3%
Home/draw
68%
8/15
2%
1/2
Away/draw
54%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
Home/away
77%
2/73/10
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
1/5
3%
1/5
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
7/2
10%
16/5
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
13/8
10%
6/4
9%
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/2
4%
10/21
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
7/2
4%
10/3
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/5
2%
2/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
8/1
13%
7/1
14%
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/14
1%
1/16
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/25
2%
1/33
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/1
24%
10/1
15%
Home DNB
62%
10/11
4%
10/11
3%
Away DNB
48%
4/5
2%
4/5
3%
RB Leipzig win to nil
19%
9/2-
Dortmund win to nil
13%
4/1
9%
-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig
19%
10/3
8%
16/5
8%
RB Leipzig / Dortmund
4%
22/118/1
RB Leipzig / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Draw / RB Leipzig
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Dortmund
13%
5/1
8%
5/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/14/1
9%
Dortmund / RB Leipzig
4%
22/118/1
Dortmund / Dortmund
20%
3/129/10
Dortmund / Draw
7%
12/110/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

RB Leipzig have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 7th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 45 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

RB Leipzig have played 12 games at home winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Dortmund are in 11th position in the Bundesliga on 35 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Dortmund have conceded 22 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2619525162 
May 3
l
 
5-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
2
Leverkusen2616822656 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-3A
l
 
2-3A
May 11
3
Mainz2613671645 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 30
l
 
3-1A
4
E.Frankfurt2613671445 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
5
RB Leipzig Home261196842 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
6
Freiburg261268-242 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
Apr 5
7
B. M'gladbach2612410340 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 29
Apr 20
d
 
1-1F
8
Wolfsburg261088938 
l
 
1-5A
Apr 11
May 3
w
 
1-3F
9
Augsburg261088-638 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
10
Stuttgart261079437 
May 17
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
11
Dortmund Away2610511435 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
-
-
12
W.Bremen269611-1333 
w
 
4-2F
May 10
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Union Berlin267712-1428 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
6-0F
l
 
2-1A
14
Hoffenheim266812-1626 
Apr 5
l
 
4-3F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
15
St. Pauli267415-1025 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
16
Heidenheim265417-2119 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
1-2F
17
VfL Bochum264616-2718 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-0A
18
Holstein264517-2617 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
May 17
l
 
4-2A
Win / draw / win form
RB Leipzig 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Dortmund 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
RB Leipzig have beaten Dortmund in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at RB Leipzig since 2016
RB Leipzig
Dortmund
Goals: Scored
12
9
Games: Scored
6 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
2 / 8
RBL
4
D
1
BVB
3
League games at Dortmund since 2017
Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Goals: Scored
20
18
Games: Scored
9 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
0 / 9
RBL
3
D
1
BVB
5
Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because RB Leipzig have conceded in each of their last 17 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for Niko Kalliokoski's side suggests that run should continue.

RB Leipzig 5th Dortmund 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
RB Leipzig’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-27
Dortmund have scored 27% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283643/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
RB Leipzig
PG (predicted goals)
Dortmund
1.8
1.5
Attack rating
RBL
BVB
9%
better
view stats
Games scored19
21
Failed to score6
4
Scored first13
13
Goals scored39
45
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.8
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for18
19
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
27%
better
RBL
BVB
view stats
Games conceded13
20
Clean sheets12
5
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded33
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
20%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.2
KickOff rating
+27%

RB Leipzig v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
251067
P Gulácsi B SeskoL OpendaA Haidara
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gulácsi  GLK25
-
L Geertruida DEF191
2
-
W Orbán DEF235
4
2
E Bitshiabu DEF15
1
-
D Raum DEF1813
3
-
R Baku MID11
-
N Seiwald MID22
2
-
C Baumgartner MID2422
5
-
X Simons MID1874
4
-
L Openda FWD2586
3
1
B Sesko FWD25105
1
1
Subs
M Vandevoordt GLK2
-
L Klostermann DEF21
2
-
K. Nedeljković DEF3
-
C Lukeba DEF16
2
-
K Kampl MID231
4
-
A Haidara MID222
7
-
A Vermeeren MID211
5
-
X Schlager MID4
1
-
T. Gomis FWD2
-
Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241477
G KobelS Guirassy P GroßN Schlotterbeck
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Kobel GLK24
1
-
W Anton DEF182
3
-
E Can DEF232
4
1
N Schlotterbeck DEF222
5
2
J Ryerson DEF2111
5
1
M Sabitzer  MID231
2
-
P Groß MID247
4
1
K Adeyemi  MID1734
4
-
J Brandt MID2235
1
-
M Beier MID2553
2
-
S Guirassy  FWD23141
3
-
Subs
A Meyer GLK2
-
Y Couto DEF17
4
-
R Bensebaini DEF2315
6
-
N Süle DEF8
1
-
S Özcan MID11
-
G Reyna MID142
3
-
C Chukwuemeka MID3
1
-
J Duranville FWD10
3
-
J Bynoe-Gittens FWD2673
3
-