1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge Sport-Club Freiburg's team badge

1. FSV Mainz 05 v Sport-Club Freiburg : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 and their boss Urs Fischer will be hoping for victory against Julian Schuster and his Sport-Club Freiburg side on Sunday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Mewa Arena in the Bundesliga. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that will help you do exactly that. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

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1. FSV Mainz 05's next match is v Bayern at 14:30 on Saturday 25th April
Sport-Club Freiburg's next match is v Dortmund at 16:30 on Sunday 26th April
The last German Bundesliga meeting between Mainz and Freiburg was on Sunday 12th April 2026
German Bundesliga
April 12th 2026
Mainz 0
1 Freiburg
 
47' L. Höler
 
M05
SCF
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
6
2
Corners
6
4
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
4/0
 
MainzFreiburg
 
S. Posch
K. Sano
P. Nebel (A. Sieb 74')
D. Batz
P. Mwene (A. Caci 74')
D. Vieira da Costa (N. Weiper 83')
D. Kohr
N. Veratschnig (S. Widmer 62')
S. Kawasaki (N. Amiri 62')
S. Becker
P. Tietz
N. Atubolu
(P. Treu 64') L. Kübler
(J. Makengo 83') M. Ginter
M. Eggestein
(V. Grifo 74') D. Scherhant
football iconL. Höler
C. Günter
(J. Beste 64') C. Irié
I. Matanovic
(P. Lienhart 46') B. Ogbus
J. Manzambi

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there's no obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Mainz and Freiburg will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Urs Fischer or Julian Schuster has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.29 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Mainz
53%
5/4
2%
125/1
Draw
24%
2/120/1
Freiburg
23%
5/2
5%
1/200
Draw 1-1
11%
5/111/2
Mainz 1-0
11%
15/2
6%
19/5
Mainz 2-1
10%
17/245/1
Mainz 2-0
9%
10/1
9%
9/1
Freiburg 1-0
7%
10/12/9
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
17/2
8%
21/10
Freiburg 2-1
6%
11/140/1
Mainz 3-1
6%
16/1200/1
Mainz 3-0
5%
20/125/1
Draw 2-2
5%
11/1150/1
Freiburg 2-0
4%
18/117/2
Mainz 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
250/1
Mainz 4-1
2%
40/1150/1
Mainz 4-0
2%
40/160/1
Freiburg 3-1
2%
25/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
10/11
6%
22/1
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
1/1000
Home 1st Goal
54%
4/513/10
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/57/4
No 1st Goal
4%
17/2
8%
21/10
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10
5%
5/1
BTTS - No
46%
21/20
5%
1/9
BTTS - Home Win
24%
7/2
8%
40/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
3/111/2
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11/2
8%
33/1
Home/draw
77%
2/7
2%
5/1
Away/draw
47%
8/13
2%
1/1000
Home/away
76%
4/111/11
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
3/1
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
11/4
6%
2/9
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5
7%
80/1
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1/3
3%
1/500
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
9%
1/50
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/8
1%
1/50
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1
18%
1/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25
1%
1/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
1%
1/3
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
17/2
8%
21/10
Home DNB
69%
8/1533/1
Away DNB
40%
11/81/1000
2%
Mainz win to nil
28%
3/1-
Freiburg win to nil
12%
11/2-
Mainz / Mainz
24%
13/517/2
Mainz / Freiburg
3%
28/133/1
13%
Mainz / Draw
7%
12/118/1
Draw / Mainz
15%
9/213/5
5%
Draw / Freiburg
11%
13/23/1
Draw / Draw
16%
4/18/5
4%
Freiburg / Mainz
4%
22/133/1
Freiburg / Freiburg
15%
9/210/1
Freiburg / Draw
7%
12/120/1
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Mainz have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Mainz have conceded 27 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Mainz have played 14 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 17 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Freiburg lay in 8th place on 37 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 27 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Freiburg have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Freiburg have played 14 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Mainz
Freiburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3025418079 
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-3F
l
 
6-2F
2
Dortmund3019743064 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
3
RB Leipzig3018572259 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
May 16
l
 
2-0A
4
Stuttgart3017582056 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
5
Hoffenheim3016681554 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
6
Leverkusen3015781952 
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
7
Freiburg3012711-443 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
-
-
8
E.Frankfurt3011910-242 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-0A
9
Augsburg3010614-1636 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
10
Mainz3081012-934 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Union Berlin308814-1832 
May 10
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
12
Köln3071013-731 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
4-1A
13
B. M'gladbach3071013-1431 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Hamburg3071013-1531 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 10
15
W.Bremen308715-1831 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
16
St. Pauli306816-2526 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2A
17
Wolfsburg306618-2524 
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
3-4F
18
Heidenheim304719-3319 
w
 
2-1F
May 16
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
Win / draw / win form
Mainz 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Freiburg 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Freiburg have not lost to Mainz in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Mainz since 2013
Mainz
Freiburg
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
9 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
3 / 12
M05
5
D
5
SCF
2
League games at Freiburg since 2012
Freiburg
Mainz
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
12 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
1 / 13
M05
4
D
4
SCF
5
Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05 have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Sport-Club Freiburg on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

1. FSV Mainz 05's defensive record is very strong, U. Fischer's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Bundesliga matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Sport-Club Freiburg makes sense in this context.

Mainz 10th Freiburg 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Freiburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Mainz have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
-7
Freiburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Mainz
PG (predicted goals)
Freiburg
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
M05
SCF
6%
better
view stats
Games scored19
20
Failed to score9
8
Scored first13
12
Goals scored35
41
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.5
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for15
16
Avg. XG for1.5
1.6
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
M05
SCF
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
23
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded43
47
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against15%
17%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+3%

Mainz v Freiburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3011311
K SanoN AmiriD CostaD Kohr
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Batz GLK18
1
-
D Costa DEF3023
3
-
S Posch DEF12
4
-
D Kohr DEF251
9
2
K Sano MID3011
1
-
N Veratschnig MID201
3
-
P Nebel MID2641
2
2
S Kawasaki MID10
1
-
P Mwene MID252
4
-
S Becker FWD1012
1
-
P Tietz FWD1532
2
-
Subs
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF6
2
-
S Widmer  DEF242
5
-
K. Potulski DEF121
3
-
N Amiri MID22112
6
-
L Maloney MID18
1
-
N Weiper FWD20
1
-
A Sieb FWD192
1
-
W Bøving FWD81
1
-
Freiburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30846
N AtuboluI MatanovicM GinterJ. Manzambi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N Atubolu GLK30
1
-
L Kübler DEF1921
2
-
M Ginter DEF2924
1
-
B. Ogbus DEF14
1
-
C Günter DEF223
3
-
M Eggestein MID3031
4
-
J. Manzambi MID2452
4
2
C. Irié MID9
3
-
L Höler MID2931
3
-
D Scherhant  MID2741
1
-
I Matanovic FWD2781
-
Subs
F Müller GLK
-
P Lienhart DEF161
3
1
J Beste DEF2413
5
-
P Treu DEF2512
2
-
J Makengo DEF18
1
-
Y Suzuki MID2443
3
-
N Höfler MID9
-
V Grifo MID2973
-
M Philipp FWD
-