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FC St. Pauli v FC Union Berlin : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 16:30 BST, Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Steffen Baumgart pays counterpart Alexander Blessin a visit on Sunday afternoon in the Bundesliga, as their FC Union Berlin and FC St. Pauli teams go head to head at the Millerntor-Stadion. For each and every Bundesliga fixture, KickOff dives into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective bosses Alexander Blessin or Steffen Baumgart find a tactical plan to top their opponent? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, do not suggest so.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Pauli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
St. Pauli 39%	2.35 4%	2.38
Draw 23%	3.30 3%	3.30
Union Berlin 38%	3.10 8%	3.00
Draw 1-1 10%	6.00 8%	6.00
St. Pauli 2-1 8%	9.50	8.50
Union Berlin 2-1 8%	11.00	9.50
Draw 2-2 7%	15.00	12.00
St. Pauli 1-0 7%	7.50 6%	7.00
Union Berlin 1-0 6%	9.00	8.00
St. Pauli 2-0 5%	11.00 8%	10.00
Union Berlin 2-0 5%	15.00	12.00
St. Pauli 3-1 4%	19.00 10%	15.00
Union Berlin 3-1 4%	26.00 13%	19.00
Draw 0-0 4%	9.00 10%	8.00
St. Pauli 3-2 4%	29.00	21.00
Union Berlin 3-2 4%	34.00	23.00
St. Pauli 3-0 3%	21.00 9%	17.00
Union Berlin 3-0 3%	34.00 17%	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	2.10 5%	2.00
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	1.73 4%	1.73
Home 1st Goal 49%	1.83 4%	1.91
Away 1st Goal 49%	2.10 2%	2.20
No 1st Goal 2%	9.00 10%	8.00
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.80 3%	1.80
BTTS - No 36%	1.95 3%	1.91
BTTS - Home Win 22%	5.00	4.60
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 22%	6.50 18%	5.50
Home/draw 62%	1.36 3%	1.36
Away/draw 62%	1.57 3%	1.57
Home/away 77%	1.33 2%	1.33
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.33	1.33
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	3.40	3.10
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	3.75 7%	3.50
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1.29 1%	1.29
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	7.00 8%	6.50
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.10 1%	1.09
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	15.00	13.00
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.03	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.07 1%	1.06
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	9.00 10%	8.00
Home DNB 55%	1.67 3%	1.65
Away DNB 54%	2.10 5%	2.10
St. Pauli win to nil 16%	3.75 6%	-
Union Berlin win to nil 16%	5.00	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 21%	3.75 6%	3.70
St. Pauli / Union Berlin 3%	29.00	23.00
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / St. Pauli 15%	5.50 8%	5.25
Draw / Union Berlin 12%	7.00 8%	6.50
Draw / Draw 17%	5.00	4.60
Union Berlin / St. Pauli 3%	26.00	21.00
Union Berlin / Union Berlin 17%	5.00 5%	4.60
Union Berlin / Draw 6%	15.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. St. Pauli have conceded 20 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Union Berlin lay in 11th place on 12 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 10 matches. Union Berlin are unbeaten in 2 games against teams below them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 2 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 3 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Union Berlin have conceded 1 goal and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Union Berlin have played 4 away games, winning 1, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.3 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	St. Pauli Union Berlin
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	10	9	1	0	29	28	Apr 11	Nov 29	d 2-2F	Mar 21
2	RB Leipzig	10	7	1	2	7	22	Jan 10	May 9	Dec 12	Apr 25
3	Dortmund	10	6	3	1	9	21	d 3-3A	Jan 17	Jan 24	l 3-0A
4	Stuttgart	10	7	0	3	5	21	Feb 7	l 2-0A	w 2-1F	Jan 18
5	Leverkusen	10	6	2	2	10	20	l 1-2A	Feb 14	Feb 21	l 2-0A
6	Hoffenheim	10	6	1	3	5	19	l 0-3A	Feb 28	l 2-4A	Jan 31
7	E.Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	4	17	Mar 7	l 2-0A	Feb 7	w 3-4F
8	W.Bremen	10	4	3	3	-3	15	Feb 21	l 1-0A	Mar 7	l 1-0A
9	Köln	10	4	2	4	2	14	Apr 18	Dec 6	May 2	Dec 20
10	Freiburg	10	3	4	3	-1	13	Mar 21	l 2-1A	d 0-00-0	Mar 14
11	Union Berlin	10	3	3	4	-4	12	Nov 23	Apr 4	-	-
12	B. M'gladbach	10	2	3	5	-6	9	l 0-4A	Mar 14	w 3-1F	Feb 28
13	Hamburg	10	2	3	5	-7	9	Jan 23	w 0-2F	d 0-00-0	Feb 14
14	Wolfsburg	10	2	2	6	-6	8	May 16	Jan 14	Apr 18	Dec 6
15	Augsburg	10	2	1	7	-10	7	w 2-1A	Jan 31	May 16	Jan 15
16	St. Pauli	10	2	1	7	-11	7	-	-	Apr 4	Nov 23
17	Mainz	10	1	2	7	-8	5	May 2	Dec 21	Jan 10	May 9
18	Heidenheim	10	1	2	7	-15	5	Dec 13	Apr 25	Nov 29	Apr 11

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

St. Pauli have lost 7 consecutive league games

St. Pauli have not won in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 0	Union Berlin
St. Pauli	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli	0 - 2	W.Bremen
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Holstein
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Bayern
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Freiburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 4	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 3	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Augsburg
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Hamburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
A	St. Pauli	2 - 2	E.Frankfurt
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Stuttgart
A	St. Pauli	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Leverkusen
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Wolfsburg

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
W.Bremen	1 - 0	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt	3 - 4	Union Berlin
Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin
Augsburg	1 - 2	Union Berlin
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin
Freiburg	1 - 2	Union Berlin
E.Frankfurt	1 - 2	Union Berlin
Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin
Hoffenheim	0 - 4	Union Berlin
St. Pauli	3 - 0	Union Berlin
Heidenheim	2 - 0	Union Berlin
W.Bremen	4 - 1	Union Berlin
Stuttgart	3 - 2	Union Berlin
Wolfsburg	1 - 0	Union Berlin
Bayern	3 - 0	Union Berlin
Holstein	0 - 2	Union Berlin
B. M'gladbach	1 - 0	Union Berlin
RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Union Berlin	2 - 2	Bayern
H	Union Berlin	0 - 0	Freiburg
A	Union Berlin	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Union Berlin	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Union Berlin	0 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Union Berlin	0 - 0	Hamburg
A	Union Berlin	4 - 3	E.Frankfurt
H	Union Berlin	2 - 4	Hoffenheim
A	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Dortmund
H	Union Berlin	2 - 1	Stuttgart
A	Union Berlin	2 - 1	Augsburg
H	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Heidenheim
H	Union Berlin	2 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Union Berlin	1 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Union Berlin	4 - 4	Stuttgart
A	Union Berlin	0 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Union Berlin	1 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Union Berlin	2 - 1	Freiburg
H	Union Berlin	1 - 1	Bayern
A	Union Berlin	2 - 1	E.Frankfurt

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

St. Pauli

Union Berlin

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

3 / 5

Clean sheets

2 / 5

STP

FCU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT St. Pauli
St. Pauli	3 - 0
St. Pauli	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Union Berlin
	1 - 2	Union Berlin
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Union Berlin

St. Pauli

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 5

2 / 5

Clean sheets

3 / 5

0 / 5

FCU

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Union Berlin
Union Berlin	1 - 0
Union Berlin	4 - 1
Union Berlin	1 - 0
Union Berlin	2 - 0
Draw	3 - 3	Draw

Goal Statistics

FC St. Pauli's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday afternoon, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.6 for A. Blessin's side suggests that run should continue.

	St. Pauli 16th	Union Berlin 11th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that St. Pauli will score 1 or more goals	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-38 St. Pauli have scored 38% fewer goals at home than predicted	-15 Union Berlin have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	0.8 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

STP

FCU

23%

better

view stats

Games scored	5		5
Failed to score	5		5
Scored first	1		4
Goals scored	9		13
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1.3
Avg. shots per game	8		9
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	11		14
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.3
KickOff rating		+23%

STP

FCU

25%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		8
Clean sheets	1		2
Conceded first	9		4
Goals conceded	20		17
Avg. goals conceded	2		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	4		6
Conversion rate against	24%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.7
KickOff rating		+25%

St. Pauli v Union Berlin Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	3	1	3
N Vasilj	A Hountondji	C Metcalfe	A Dzwigala

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	10			-
L. Oppie DEF	10	1		-
E Smith DEF	10	1		2 -
C Metcalfe MID	10		1	-
D Sinani MID	10	2	1	2 -
J Fujita MID	10		1	2 -
M Lage FWD	10		1	1 -
H Wahl DEF	9	1		-
J Sands MID	9			2 -
M Kaars FWD	9			-
A Hountondji FWD	9	3		1 -
M Saliakas DEF	8		1	2 -
A Pyrka DEF	7			2 -
O Afolayan FWD	7			1 -
A. Ceesay FWD	7			2 -
A Dzwigala DEF	6	1		3 -
L Ritzka DEF	6			-
K Mets DEF	4			-
J Irvine MID	3			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	1	3
A Hountondji	M Lage	C Metcalfe	D Sinani

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Hountondji FWD	3	6
D Sinani MID	2	5	1	3
L. Oppie DEF	1	3		1
E Smith DEF	1	3
H Wahl DEF	1	2
A Dzwigala DEF	1	1
C Metcalfe MID		2	1	2
J Fujita MID			1	3
M Lage FWD		8	1	1
J Sands MID		2		1
M Kaars FWD		3
M Saliakas DEF		2	1
A Pyrka DEF		1
O Afolayan FWD		2
A. Ceesay FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
673	24	63
E Smith	J Sands	J Sands

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Smith DEF	673	12	40
H Wahl DEF	616	13	34
J Fujita MID	487	20	36
D Sinani MID	438	9	29
L. Oppie DEF	370	17	32
J Sands MID	355	24	63
N Vasilj GLK	339	1	5
M Saliakas DEF	288	13	23
A Dzwigala DEF	240	14	23
A Pyrka DEF	211	7	16
K Mets DEF	204	3	8
M Lage FWD	187	17	48
L Ritzka DEF	133	7	12
M Kaars FWD	124		10
C Metcalfe MID	102	6	14
A Hountondji FWD	77	5	19
O Afolayan FWD	64	4	15
A. Ceesay FWD	28	1	15
J Irvine MID	26		2

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
10	4	5	5
F Rönnow	D Doekhi	A Ilić	C Trimmel

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
F Rönnow GLK	10			-
D Köhn DEF	10			2 -
L Querfeld DEF	10			3 -
D Doekhi DEF	10	4		1 -
J Haberer MID	10		1	4 -
R Khedira MID	10	1		3 -
I Ansah FWD	10	4	1	-
T Rothe DEF	9	1		1 1
C Trimmel DEF	9		1	5 -
O Burke FWD	9	3		-
A Ilić FWD	9		5	3 -
T Skarke FWD	9			-
A Kemlein MID	8			-
W Jeong MID	8			-
D Leite DEF	7			1 -
A Schäfer MID	7			-
A Kral MID	6			1 -
R Skov MID	3			-
J Juranovic DEF	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	7	5	4
D Doekhi	I Ansah	A Ilić	L Querfeld

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Doekhi DEF	4	4
I Ansah FWD	4	7	1
O Burke FWD	3	6
R Khedira MID	1	3		1
T Rothe DEF	1	2		1
D Köhn DEF		2
L Querfeld DEF		1		4
J Haberer MID			1	1
C Trimmel DEF			1	4
A Ilić FWD		5	5	3
T Skarke FWD		3
W Jeong MID		1
A Schäfer MID		1
A Kral MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
302	27	67
F Rönnow	R Khedira	D Doekhi

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
F Rönnow GLK	302		6
L Querfeld DEF	301	15	52
D Doekhi DEF	299	18	67
R Khedira MID	210	27	42
J Haberer MID	193	10	29
D Leite DEF	188	8	27
T Rothe DEF	167	7	23
C Trimmel DEF	166	6	15
A Kemlein MID	160	11	27
A Ilić FWD	128	2	56
D Köhn DEF	116	10	19
A Schäfer MID	116	13	35
I Ansah FWD	102	4	35
T Skarke FWD	82	2	7
O Burke FWD	77	4	18
R Skov MID	62	6	13
W Jeong MID	54	3	13
A Kral MID	43	3	10
J Juranovic DEF	5