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FC St. Pauli v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

Bayer Leverkusen are on the road on Sunday evening, as manager Xabi Alonso takes his men to visit FC St. Pauli and Alexander Blessin at the Millerntor-Stadion in the Bundesliga. All the odds are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head records. Explore it all using the tabs below.

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FC St. Pauli's next match is v Stuttgart at 14:30 on Saturday 3rd May
Bayer Leverkusen's next match is v Freiburg at 16:30 on Sunday 4th May

The last German Bundesliga meeting between St. Pauli and Leverkusen was on Sunday 20th April 2025

German Bundesliga

April 20th 2025

St. Pauli 1	1 Leverkusen

C. Boukhalfa 78'	32' P. Schick

	STP B04
Shots On	5 4
Shots Off	3 2
Corners	4 4
Possession	42% 58%
Fouls	12 12
Yellow/red cards	1/0 4/0

St. Pauli	Leverkusen

N. Vasilj M. Saliakas P. Treu S. Van der Heyden D. Nemeth H. Wahl C. Boukhalfa (R. Wagner 85') E. Smith C. Metcalfe (N. Weißhaupt 59') D. Sinani (E. Saad 90') M. Guilavogui (O. Afolayan 90')	L. Hradecký J. Tah A. Grimaldo García (E. Buendía 89') E. Tapsoba P. Hincapié Reyna J. Frimpong E. Palacios (V. Boniface 89') N. Tella F. Wirtz G. Xhaka (A. Adli 66') P. Schick

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that St. Pauli and Leverkusen will score at least a couple of between them during 90 minutes. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 74%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Leverkusen coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
St. Pauli 22%	15/4	-
Draw 25%	29/10 4%	-
Leverkusen 53%	4/6	-
Leverkusen 1-0 12%	13/2 15%	-
Draw 1-1 12%	13/2	-
Leverkusen 2-0 10%	7/1 7%	-
Leverkusen 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Draw 0-0 7%	11/1 20%	-
St. Pauli 1-0 7%	12/1 8%	-
St. Pauli 2-1 6%	14/1	-
Leverkusen 3-0 5%	12/1	-
Leverkusen 3-1 5%	12/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1 12%	-
St. Pauli 2-0 3%	25/1 13%	-
Leverkusen 3-2 3%	22/1 21%	-
Leverkusen 4-0 2%	25/1	-
Leverkusen 4-1 2%	25/1 10%	-
St. Pauli 3-1 2%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	10/11 5%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	10/11 6%	-
Home 1st Goal 42%	15/8 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 54%	4/9	-
No 1st Goal 5%	11/1 20%	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	4/5 8%	-
BTTS - No 50%	19/20 8%	-
BTTS - Home Win 10%	15/2 11%	-
BTTS - Draw 17%	4/1	-
BTTS - Away Win 23%	5/2 13%	-
Home/draw 47%	23/20	-
Away/draw 78%	2/11	-
Home/away 75%	1/4	-
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	2/7 3%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	11/4 10%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	11/5 9%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	4/11 5%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	5/1 8%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1/8 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	12/1 13%	-
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1/25 1%	-
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1/20 1%	-
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	10/1 10%	-
Home DNB 40%	5/2	-
Away DNB 70%	2/7	-
St. Pauli win to nil 12%	8/1 13%	-
Leverkusen win to nil 30%	2/1 9%	-
St. Pauli / St. Pauli 10%	7/1 6%	-
St. Pauli / Leverkusen 4%	20/1 9%	-
St. Pauli / Draw 6%	14/1 12%	-
Draw / St. Pauli 8%	9/1 5%	-
Draw / Leverkusen 18%	7/2 4%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1 9%	-
Leverkusen / St. Pauli 2%	33/1 17%	-
Leverkusen / Leverkusen 32%	13/8 5%	-
Leverkusen / Draw 6%	14/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

St. Pauli have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

24 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 5 and won 5. St. Pauli have conceded 30 goals, scored 18, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 7 clean sheets.

Home league performance

St. Pauli have played 14 games at home, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 9 times in home league games.

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 63 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Leverkusen have conceded 33 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Leverkusen have played 14 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	St. Pauli Leverkusen
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	31	23	6	2	61	75	l 0-1A	l 3-2A	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F
2	Leverkusen Away	31	19	10	2	31	67	d 1-1A	l 2-1A	-	-
3	E.Frankfurt	31	16	7	8	20	55	l 0-1A	May 11	w 2-1A	w 1-4F
4	Freiburg	31	15	6	10	-3	51	l 0-1A	w 0-3F	w 5-1F	May 4
5	RB Leipzig	31	13	10	8	6	49	d 0-00-0	l 2-0A	l 2-3F	d 2-2F
6	Dortmund	31	14	6	11	11	48	l 0-2A	l 2-1A	May 11	w 2-3F
7	Mainz	31	13	8	10	9	47	l 0-3A	l 2-0A	w 1-0F	May 17
8	W.Bremen	31	13	7	11	-6	46	l 0-2A	d 0-00-0	l 0-2A	d 2-2F
9	B. M'gladbach	31	13	5	13	1	44	d 1-1A	l 2-0A	w 3-1F	w 2-3F
10	Augsburg	31	11	10	10	-9	43	d 1-1F	l 3-1A	w 2-0F	w 0-2F
11	Stuttgart	31	11	8	12	5	41	May 3	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	w 3-4A
12	Wolfsburg	31	10	9	12	5	39	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	w 4-3A	d 0-00-0
13	Union Berlin	31	9	9	13	-14	36	w 3-0F	l 1-0A	d 0-00-0	w 1-2F
14	St. Pauli Home	31	8	7	16	-10	31	-	-	w 2-1F	d 1-1F
15	Hoffenheim	31	7	9	15	-18	30	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	w 3-1F	w 1-4F
16	Heidenheim	31	7	4	20	-27	25	l 0-2A	w 0-2F	w 5-2A	w 0-1F
17	Holstein	31	5	7	19	-29	22	w 3-1F	w 1-2A	d 2-2F	w 0-2F
18	VfL Bochum	31	5	6	20	-33	21	May 17	l 1-0A	w 3-1F	d 1-1F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg
St. Pauli	1 - 1	Augsburg
St. Pauli	3 - 0	Union Berlin
St. Pauli	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
St. Pauli	0 - 2	W.Bremen
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Holstein
St. Pauli	0 - 1	Bayern
St. Pauli	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
St. Pauli	0 - 3	Mainz
St. Pauli	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Heidenheim
St. Pauli	3 - 1	Osnabruck
St. Pauli	1 - 0	Rostock
St. Pauli	3 - 4	Elversberg
St. Pauli	2 - 1	Paderborn
St. Pauli	2 - 0	H.Berlin
St. Pauli	1 - 0	E. Braun

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

11 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

9 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	St. Pauli	2 - 1	Holstein
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	St. Pauli	2 - 3	Bayern
H	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Hoffenheim
A	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	Mainz
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Freiburg
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	St. Pauli	1 - 1	Augsburg
H	St. Pauli	3 - 0	Union Berlin
A	St. Pauli	2 - 0	Heidenheim
A	St. Pauli	0 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	St. Pauli	1 - 0	Stuttgart
H	St. Pauli	0 - 2	W.Bremen
A	St. Pauli	1 - 2	Leverkusen
H	St. Pauli	3 - 1	Holstein
A	St. Pauli	0 - 2	B. M'gladbach
H	St. Pauli	0 - 1	Bayern

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Stuttgart	3 - 4	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 4	Leverkusen
Holstein	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Wolfsburg	0 - 0	Leverkusen
RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Dortmund	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Augsburg	0 - 2	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	1 - 2	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	1 - 1	Leverkusen
W.Bremen	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Bayern	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Hoffenheim	1 - 4	Leverkusen
B. M'gladbach	2 - 3	Leverkusen
VfL Bochum	0 - 5	Leverkusen
E.Frankfurt	1 - 5	Leverkusen
Dortmund	1 - 1	Leverkusen
Union Berlin	0 - 1	Leverkusen
Freiburg	2 - 3	Leverkusen
Köln	0 - 2	Leverkusen

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	VfL Bochum
A	Leverkusen	4 - 3	Stuttgart
H	Leverkusen	0 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Leverkusen	4 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Holstein
H	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Bayern
A	Leverkusen	0 - 0	Wolfsburg
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	Leverkusen	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Leverkusen	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	Leverkusen	1 - 0	Mainz
A	Leverkusen	3 - 2	Dortmund
H	Leverkusen	5 - 1	Freiburg
A	Leverkusen	2 - 0	Augsburg
H	Leverkusen	2 - 1	St. Pauli
A	Leverkusen	2 - 1	Union Berlin
H	Leverkusen	5 - 2	Heidenheim
A	Leverkusen	1 - 1	VfL Bochum

Goal Statistics

	St. Pauli 14th	Leverkusen 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 38% 1 37% 2 18% 3 4+ There is a 75% probability of St. Pauli scoring 1 goal or less	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Leverkusen will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-31 St. Pauli have scored 31% fewer goals at home than predicted	+23 Leverkusen have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
	1.1 average goals scored	2.4 average goals scored
	1.1 conceded	1.0 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2024/2025 season

STP

B04

47%

better

view stats

Games scored	15		24
Failed to score	14		5
Scored first	9		20
Goals scored	25		63
Avg. goals scored	0.9		2.2
Avg. shots per game	8		11
Avg. shots per goal	9		5
Conversion rate for	11		19
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.9
KickOff rating		+47%

STP

B04

better

view stats

Games conceded	21		21
Clean sheets	8		8
Conceded first	18		5
Goals conceded	35		34
Avg. goals conceded	1.2		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		16%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1
KickOff rating		+8%

St. Pauli v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Pauli Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	5	4	6
N Vasilj	M Guilavogui	J Eggestein	E Smith

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Vasilj GLK	31			-
D Nemeth DEF	21		1	3 -
H Wahl DEF	30			1 -
S Heyden DEF	11	1		2 -
M Saliakas MID	27	1	1	4 -
C Metcalfe MID	9			1 1
E Smith MID	29	1	1	6 -
P Treu MID	30		2	2 -
M Guilavogui FWD	22	5	1	6 -
D Sinani FWD	23	2	2	2 -
C Boukhalfa FWD	22	2		-
Subs
B Voll GLK				-
L Ritzka DEF	19	1		1 -
A Dzwigala DEF	14			2 1
E Ahlstrand MID	5			-
R Wagner MID	10			1 -
J Eggestein FWD	26	3	4	3 -
N Weißhaupt FWD	16	1		-
O Afolayan FWD	29	3	1	3 -
E Saad FWD	18	3	2	1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	13	4	19
M Guilavogui	M Guilavogui	J Eggestein	M Saliakas

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Guilavogui FWD	5	13	1	18
D Sinani FWD	2	12	2	9
C Boukhalfa FWD	2	4		7
S Heyden DEF	1	2
M Saliakas MID	1	5	1	19
E Smith MID	1	9	1	17
N Vasilj GLK				1
D Nemeth DEF		1	1	2
H Wahl DEF		4		5
C Metcalfe MID		3
P Treu MID		4	2	11
Subs
J Eggestein FWD	3	13	4	15
O Afolayan FWD	3	12	1	15
E Saad FWD	3	8	2	7
L Ritzka DEF	1	1		2
N Weißhaupt FWD	1	3		9

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1600	56	133
H Wahl	P Treu	M Guilavogui

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
H Wahl DEF	1600	34	98
E Smith MID	1423	40	93
N Vasilj GLK	1220		8
P Treu MID	1092	56	117
D Nemeth DEF	999	41	89
M Saliakas MID	925	39	70
M Guilavogui FWD	476	33	133
C Boukhalfa FWD	389	21	71
S Heyden DEF	389	17	56
D Sinani FWD	379	12	36
C Metcalfe MID	107	2	21
Subs
J Eggestein FWD	501	5	53
O Afolayan FWD	368	16	116
L Ritzka DEF	294	46	55
N Weißhaupt FWD	254	6	73
E Saad FWD	218	22	70
A Dzwigala DEF	168	19	35
R Wagner MID	121	9	20
E Ahlstrand MID	13

Leverkusen Bundesliga squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
31	19	10	7
G Xhaka	P Schick	F Wirtz	P Hincapié

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Hradecky GLK	27			1 -
E Tapsoba DEF	26			4 -
J Tah DEF	30	2		2 -
P Hincapié DEF	29	2	2	7 -
J Frimpong MID	31	4	5	4 -
E Palacios MID	21	1	7	1 -
G Xhaka MID	31	2	7	3 -
A Grimaldo MID	29	2	6	4 1
N Tella FWD	24	2	3	1 -
F Wirtz FWD	28	9	10	2 -
P Schick FWD	28	19		4 -
Subs
M Kovář GLK	4			-
Arthur DEF	17		1	-
N Mukiele DEF	15	1	1	3 -
J Hofmann MID	9	1	1	1 -
R Andrich MID	21	2	1	7 -
E Buendía MID	9	2		-
A García MID	25	3	3	2 -
A Adli FWD	17	2	1	2 -
V Boniface FWD	19	8	1	2 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	34	10	31
P Schick	F Wirtz	F Wirtz	G Xhaka

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Schick FWD	19	33		4
F Wirtz FWD	9	34	10	31
J Frimpong MID	4	15	5	20
J Tah DEF	2	6		3
P Hincapié DEF	2	3	2	9
G Xhaka MID	2	3	7	31
A Grimaldo MID	2	13	6	31
N Tella FWD	2	10	3	8
E Palacios MID	1	9	7	10
E Tapsoba DEF		2		3
Subs
V Boniface FWD	8	18	1	5
A García MID	3	4	3	12
R Andrich MID	2	4	1	4
E Buendía MID	2	4		3
A Adli FWD	2	6	1	2
N Mukiele DEF	1	3	1	4
J Hofmann MID	1	4	1	3
Arthur DEF			1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2592	44	154
G Xhaka	P Hincapié	F Wirtz

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
G Xhaka MID	2592	44	114
J Tah DEF	2140	15	92
P Hincapié DEF	1768	44	142
E Tapsoba DEF	1737	34	97
A Grimaldo MID	1563	23	75
F Wirtz FWD	1413	33	154
E Palacios MID	915	18	39
L Hradecky GLK	730		2
J Frimpong MID	671	31	92
P Schick FWD	333	6	72
N Tella FWD	291	14	76
Subs
A García MID	1185	11	25
R Andrich MID	899	22	61
N Mukiele DEF	525	21	60
Arthur DEF	280	15	36
A Adli FWD	270	13	51
V Boniface FWD	237	5	59
J Hofmann MID	157	2	12
E Buendía MID	127	5	17
M Kovář GLK	110		2

German Bundesliga match betting previews, predictions and odds

Heidenheim v VfL Bochum

Fri 2nd May, 19:30

B. M'gladbach v Hoffenheim

Sat 3rd May, 14:30

St. Pauli v Stuttgart

Sat 3rd May, 14:30

RB Leipzig v Bayern

Sat 3rd May, 14:30

Union Berlin v W.Bremen

Freiburg v Leverkusen

Sun 4th May, 16:30

Mainz v E.Frankfurt

Sun 4th May, 18:30

Wolfsburg v Hoffenheim

Fri 9th May, 19:30

VfL Bochum v Mainz

Sat 10th May, 14:30

Union Berlin v Heidenheim

Sat 10th May, 14:30

W.Bremen v RB Leipzig

Sat 10th May, 14:30

Holstein v Freiburg

Sat 10th May, 14:30

Bayern v B. M'gladbach

Sat 10th May, 17:30

Leverkusen v Dortmund

Sun 11th May, 14:30

E.Frankfurt v St. Pauli

Sun 11th May, 16:30

Stuttgart v Augsburg

Sun 11th May, 18:30

FC St. Pauli v Bayer Leverkusen : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

St. Pauli have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Leverkusen lay in 2nd place on 63 points in the Bundesliga league table having played 29 matches. Leverkusen are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

St. Pauli v Leverkusen Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

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