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FC Union Berlin v Hamburger SV : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 28th Sep, 18:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

Steffen Baumgart welcomes Luis Freire to the An der Alten Forsterei on Sunday evening, as their FC Union Berlin and Hamburger SV troops meet in the Bundesliga. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Bundesliga match data, including head-to-head records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Union Berlin or Hamburg are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
48%
21/2011/10
Draw
24%
23/105/2
Hamburg
28%
27/1012/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Union Berlin 1-0
10%
7/113/2
Union Berlin 2-1
9%
8/17/1
Union Berlin 2-0
8%
9/117/2
Hamburg 1-0
7%
11/117/2
Hamburg 2-1
7%
12/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/18/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
Union Berlin 3-1
5%
14/112/1
Union Berlin 3-0
4%
18/114/1
Hamburg 2-0
4%
18/114/1
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Hamburg 3-1
3%
28/118/1
Hamburg 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Union Berlin 4-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
10/114/5
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
10/1110/11
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/113/4
Away 1st Goal
45%
13/1013/10
No 1st Goal
3%
10/18/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/107/10
BTTS - No
44%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/114/5
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/310/3
BTTS - Away Win
14%
6/119/4
Home/draw
72%
2/73/10
Away/draw
52%
8/118/11
Home/away
76%
1/33/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/15/2
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
11/519/10
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
4/114/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/19/2
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/82/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/251/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/201/20
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/117/2
Home DNB
65%
4/91/2
Away DNB
45%
13/829/20
Union Berlin win to nil
24%
11/4-
Hamburg win to nil
14%
6/1-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
25%
9/411/5
Union Berlin / Hamburg
3%
28/122/1
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Union Berlin
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Hamburg
11%
7/16/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Hamburg / Union Berlin
4%
22/118/1
Hamburg / Hamburg
15%
9/217/4
Hamburg / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Hamburg
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern3300129 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Jan 31
l
 
5-0A
2
Dortmund321057 
Jan 24
l
 
3-0A
Nov 8
Mar 21
3
Köln321047 
May 2
Dec 20
Mar 14
Nov 2
4
St. Pauli321037 
Apr 4
Nov 23
l
 
0-2A
Jan 24
5
E.Frankfurt320136 
Feb 7
Sep 21
Dec 20
May 2
6
Hoffenheim320116 
l
 
2-4A
Jan 31
Apr 25
Dec 13
7
RB Leipzig3201-36 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Feb 28
Oct 18
8
Wolfsburg312025 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Oct 25
Mar 7
9
W.Bremen311114 
Mar 7
Oct 24
Dec 6
Apr 18
10
Leverkusen311114 
Feb 21
Oct 4
Jan 14
May 16
11
Augsburg310203 
May 16
Jan 14
Apr 4
Nov 22
12
Stuttgart3102-23 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
Nov 30
Apr 11
13
Freiburg3102-33 
Nov 1
Mar 14
May 9
Jan 10
14
Union Berlin3102-43 
-
-
Feb 14
Sep 28
15
Mainz3012-21 
Jan 10
May 9
Oct 5
Feb 21
16
B. M'gladbach3012-51 
Oct 17
Feb 28
Jan 17
d
 
0-00-0
17
Hamburg3012-71 
Sep 28
Feb 14
-
-
18
Heidenheim3003-60 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Sep 20
Feb 7
Win / draw / win form
Union Berlin 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Union Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
Union Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
Union Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
Union Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
Union Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
Union Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1Bayern
Union Berlin0 - 1Holstein
Union Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
Union Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
Union Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Union Berlin0 - 2Augsburg
Union Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
Union Berlin1 - 2Leverkusen
Union Berlin0 - 0Freiburg
Union Berlin1 - 1E.Frankfurt
Union Berlin2 - 1Dortmund
Union Berlin2 - 1Hoffenheim
Union Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
Union Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HUnion Berlin2 - 4Hoffenheim
AUnion Berlin0 - 3Dortmund
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Augsburg
HUnion Berlin0 - 3Heidenheim
HUnion Berlin2 - 2W.Bremen
AUnion Berlin1 - 1VfL Bochum
HUnion Berlin4 - 4Stuttgart
AUnion Berlin0 - 0Leverkusen
HUnion Berlin1 - 0Wolfsburg
AUnion Berlin2 - 1Freiburg
HUnion Berlin1 - 1Bayern
AUnion Berlin2 - 1E.Frankfurt
HUnion Berlin0 - 1Holstein
AUnion Berlin0 - 6Dortmund
HUnion Berlin1 - 2B. M'gladbach
AUnion Berlin4 - 0Hoffenheim
HUnion Berlin0 - 0RB Leipzig
AUnion Berlin0 - 3St. Pauli
HUnion Berlin2 - 1Mainz
Hamburg 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern5 - 0Hamburg
B. M'gladbach0 - 0Hamburg
Greuther3 - 2Hamburg
Darmstadt0 - 4Hamburg
Schalke2 - 2Hamburg
Nurnberg0 - 3Hamburg
Magdeburg0 - 3Hamburg
Paderborn2 - 0Hamburg
Regensburg1 - 1Hamburg
Preussen Munster1 - 2Hamburg
H.Berlin2 - 3Hamburg
Ulm1 - 1Hamburg
Karlsruher1 - 3Hamburg
E. Braun3 - 1Hamburg
Elversberg4 - 2Hamburg
Dusseldorf0 - 3Hamburg
Kaiserslautern2 - 2Hamburg
Hannover1 - 0Hamburg
Köln1 - 2Hamburg
Paderborn1 - 0Hamburg
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AHamburg0 - 5Bayern
HHamburg0 - 2St. Pauli
AHamburg0 - 0B. M'gladbach
AHamburg2 - 3Greuther
HHamburg6 - 1Ulm
AHamburg4 - 0Darmstadt
HHamburg1 - 2Karlsruher
AHamburg2 - 2Schalke
HHamburg2 - 4E. Braun
AHamburg3 - 0Nurnberg
HHamburg0 - 0Elversberg
AHamburg3 - 0Magdeburg
HHamburg4 - 1Dusseldorf
AHamburg0 - 2Paderborn
HHamburg3 - 0Kaiserslautern
AHamburg1 - 1Regensburg
AHamburg2 - 1Preussen Munster
HHamburg2 - 2Hannover
AHamburg3 - 2H.Berlin
HHamburg1 - 0Köln
Goal Statistics

Hamburger SV's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday evening, not least because FC Union Berlin have conceded in each of their last 8 Bundesliga games. A PG of 1.6 for Luis Freire's side suggests that run should continue.

Union Berlin 14th Hamburg 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Hamburg will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-13
Union Berlin have scored 13% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Hamburg’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Hamburg
1.6
1.2
Attack rating
60%
better
FCU
HSV
view stats
Games scored2
0
Failed to score1
3
Scored first1
0
Goals scored4
0
Avg. goals scored1.3
0
Avg. shots per game11
5
Avg. shots per goal8
0
Conversion rate for13
0
Avg. XG for1.5
0.5
KickOff rating
+60%
Defence rating
FCU
HSV
27%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded8
7
Avg. goals conceded2.7
2.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
14
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
6
Conversion rate against25%
17%
Avg. XG against2.3
1.8
KickOff rating
+27%

Union Berlin v Hamburg Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3311
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićT Rothe
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK3
-
D Köhn DEF3
-
T Rothe DEF31
1
L Querfeld DEF3
1
-
D Doekhi DEF3
-
C Trimmel  DEF3
1
-
A Kral MID3
-
J Haberer  MID3
1
-
R Khedira MID3
1
-
R Skov MID3
-
I Ansah FWD33
-
O Burke FWD3
-
A Ilić FWD31
1
-
A Kemlein MID2
-
W Jeong MID2
-
T Skarke FWD2
-
J Juranovic DEF1
-
A Schäfer  MID1
-
Hamburg Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3002
D FernandesG Gocholeishvili
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Fernandes GLK3
-
W Omari DEF3
-
M Muheim DEF3
1
-
D Elfadli DEF3
-
W Mikelbrencis DEF3
-
N Capaldo  MID3
1
-
N Remberg MID3
-
A. Røssing-Lelesiit FWD3
-
R Philippe FWD3
-
R Königsdörffer FWD3
-
G Gocholeishvili DEF2
1
1
J Torunarigha DEF2
-
J Meffert MID2
-
Y Poulsen FWD2
1
-
E Sahiti FWD2
-
M Dompé FWD2
-
L. Vušković DEF1
-
A. Souhmahoro DEF1
1
-
F Vieira MID1
-
F. Uri Baldé FWD1
-
R Glatzel FWD1
-