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FC Union Berlin v TSG 1899 Hoffenheim : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 14:30 BST, An der Alten Forsterei, Berlin

Christian Ilzer guides his TSG 1899 Hoffenheim charges to the An der Alten Forsterei in the Bundesliga on Saturday afternoon, with Steffen Baumgart's FC Union Berlin the opponent. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Union Berlin or Hoffenheim are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 77% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Union Berlin are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Union Berlin
41%
2.402.40
Draw
25%
3.303.30
Hoffenheim
34%
2.902.90
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50-
Union Berlin 1-0
9%
9.00-
Union Berlin 2-1
9%
9.50-
Hoffenheim 1-0
8%
10.00-
Hoffenheim 2-1
8%
11.00-
Union Berlin 2-0
7%
12.00-
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Hoffenheim 2-0
5%
15.00-
Union Berlin 3-1
4%
19.00-
Hoffenheim 3-1
3%
23.00-
Union Berlin 3-0
3%
23.00-
Union Berlin 3-2
3%
26.00-
Hoffenheim 3-2
3%
29.00-
Hoffenheim 3-0
2%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
1.91-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
1.91-
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.83-
Away 1st Goal
47%
2.05-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00-
BTTS - Yes
56%
1.70-
BTTS - No
44%
2.05-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
4.50-
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.33-
BTTS - Away Win
17%
5.50-
Home/draw
66%
1.40-
Away/draw
59%
1.53-
Home/away
75%
1.33-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1.29-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3.75-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
3.20-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
1.36-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.13-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
13.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.04-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00-
Home DNB
59%
1.73-
Away DNB
52%
2.00-
Union Berlin win to nil
21%
4.33-
Hoffenheim win to nil
17%
5.50-
Union Berlin / Union Berlin
21%
4.00-
Union Berlin / Hoffenheim
3%
29.00-
Union Berlin / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Union Berlin
14%
6.00-
Draw / Hoffenheim
13%
6.50-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Hoffenheim / Union Berlin
3%
26.00-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
19%
4.50-
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
13.00-
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table
Won
Draw
Lost
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern220076 
Nov 8
Mar 21
Sep 20
Feb 7
2
E.Frankfurt220056 
Feb 7
Sep 21
l
 
1-3A
Jan 24
3
St. Pauli211024 
Apr 4
Nov 22
Feb 28
Oct 18
4
Wolfsburg110023 
Apr 18
Dec 6
Mar 14
Nov 1
5
Augsburg210113 
May 16
Jan 13
Nov 29
Apr 11
6
Union Berlin110013 
-
-
Jan 31
Sep 13
7
Köln110013 
May 2
Dec 20
Oct 4
Feb 21
8
Stuttgart210103 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
May 2
Dec 20
9
Hoffenheim2101-13 
Sep 13
Jan 31
-
-
10
RB Leipzig2101-43 
Dec 13
Apr 25
Nov 8
Mar 21
11
Dortmund101001 
Jan 24
Aug 31
Apr 18
Dec 6
12
Leverkusen2011-11 
Feb 21
Oct 4
Jan 17
w
 
1-2A
13
B. M'gladbach2011-11 
Oct 18
Feb 28
Jan 13
May 16
14
Hamburg2011-21 
Sep 28
Feb 14
Dec 13
Apr 25
15
W.Bremen2011-31 
Mar 7
Oct 25
May 9
Jan 10
16
Mainz1001-10 
Jan 10
May 9
Apr 4
Nov 22
17
Freiburg1001-20 
Nov 1
Mar 14
Feb 14
Sep 28
18
Heidenheim2002-40 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Oct 25
Mar 7
Win / draw / win form
Union Berlin 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Hoffenheim 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
41
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Union Berlin have beaten Hoffenheim in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Union Berlin since 2019
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
8
8
Games: Scored
4 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
2 / 6
FCU
3
D
1
TSG
2
League games at Hoffenheim since 2020
Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
Goals: Scored
11
12
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
FCU
3
D
1
TSG
2
Goal Statistics

FC Union Berlin's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because TSG 1899 Hoffenheim have conceded in each of their last 6 Bundesliga outings. A PG of 1.5 for Steffen Baumgart's side suggests that run should continue.

Union Berlin 7th Hoffenheim 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Union Berlin will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Hoffenheim will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Union Berlin’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Hoffenheim have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Union Berlin
PG (predicted goals)
Hoffenheim
1.5
1.3
Attack rating
%
better
FCU
TSG
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
FCU
TSG
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Union Berlin v Hoffenheim Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Union Berlin Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1211
F RönnowI AnsahA IlićC Trimmel 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Rönnow GLK1
-
D Köhn DEF1
-
T Rothe DEF1
-
L Querfeld DEF1
-
D Doekhi DEF1
-
C Trimmel  DEF1
1
-
J Juranovic DEF1
-
A Schäfer  MID1
-
A Kral MID1
-
J Haberer  MID1
1
-
R Khedira MID1
1
-
R Skov MID1
-
I Ansah FWD12
-
O Burke FWD1
-
A Ilić FWD11
1
-
Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
1111
O BaumannT LemperleB. TouréK Machida
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK1
-
V Coufal DEF1
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-
Bernardo DEF1
-
A Chaves DEF1
-
K Akpoguma DEF1
-
A Prass DEF1
-
R Hranáč DEF1
-
W Burger MID1
-
L Avdullahu MID1
1
-
G Prömel  MID1
-
A Kramaric MID1
1
-
U Tohumcu MID1
1
-
B. Touré FWD11
-
T Lemperle FWD11
-
F Asllani FWD111
-