TSG 1899 Hoffenheim's team badge 1. FSV Mainz 05's team badge

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v 1. FSV Mainz 05 : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 14:30 BST, Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena, Zuzenhausen

It's an away match for Urs Fischer's 1. FSV Mainz 05 side on Saturday afternoon, as they travel to the Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena for a Bundesliga meeting with Christian Ilzer's TSG 1899 Hoffenheim. In this preview you'll find the best odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home, away and overall records can be found, while you'll also find head-to-head history towards the bottom of the page.


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Best Tip: Hoffenheim to win

We are predicting Hoffenheim will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Saturday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home supporters when that final whistle blows at Wirsol Rhein-Neckar-Arena.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hoffenheim are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hoffenheim
64%
1.751.80
Draw
20%
3.804.00
Mainz
17%
4.333.90
Hoffenheim 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Hoffenheim 2-0
10%
10.009.50
Draw 1-1
9%
7.507.50
Hoffenheim 1-0
9%
10.009.00
Hoffenheim 3-1
7%
13.0011.00
Hoffenheim 3-0
7%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
12.0010.00
Mainz 2-1
5%
15.0012.00
Mainz 1-0
4%
17.0013.00
Draw 0-0
4%
17.0013.00
Hoffenheim 4-1
4%
23.0019.00
Hoffenheim 4-0
4%
29.0021.00
Hoffenheim 3-2
4%
19.0015.00
Mainz 2-0
2%
26.0017.00
Hoffenheim 4-2
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
1.571.53
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
2.382.38
Home 1st Goal
57%
1.571.57
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.382.45
No 1st Goal
3%
17.0013.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.531.55
BTTS - No
43%
2.382.38
BTTS - Home Win
32%
3.103.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
4.504.50
BTTS - Away Win
9%
6.505.75
Home/draw
83%
1.201.25
Away/draw
36%
2.002.00
Home/away
80%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
1.171.15
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
5.004.80
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
2.302.25
Under 3.5 Goals
60%
1.621.57
Over 4.5 Goals
22%
4.333.90
Under 4.5 Goals
78%
1.221.22
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
8.007.00
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1.081.08
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.031.02
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
15.0013.00
Home DNB
77%
1.331.36
Away DNB
31%
3.252.90
Hoffenheim win to nil
32%
3.75-
Mainz win to nil
7%
9.00-
Hoffenheim / Hoffenheim
30%
2.752.62
Hoffenheim / Mainz
3%
29.0023.00
Hoffenheim / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Hoffenheim
16%
5.005.00
Draw / Mainz
9%
9.508.50
Draw / Draw
13%
6.506.00
Mainz / Hoffenheim
4%
19.0017.00
Mainz / Mainz
13%
6.505.75
Mainz / Draw
6%
15.0012.00
Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

Hoffenheim have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the Bundesliga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Hoffenheim have outscored their opponents by 54 goals to 31 goals.

Home League Performance

Hoffenheim have played 13 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 15 goals at home.

Mainz are in 14th position in the Bundesliga on 27 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 25 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Mainz have conceded 35 goals, scored 24, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern2722417270 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
5-1A
Apr 25
d
 
2-2A
2
Dortmund2718723061 
Apr 18
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
3
RB Leipzig2715571850 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
5-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
4
Stuttgart2615561750 
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1F
5
Hoffenheim2715571550 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
6
Leverkusen2713771646 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
3-4A
d
 
1-1F
7
E.Frankfurt261088038 
l
 
1-3A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
8
Freiburg269710-634 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 12
l
 
4-0A
9
Augsburg269413-1431 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
10
Union Berlin278712-1531 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
May 9
d
 
2-2F
11
Hamburg277911-930 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 25
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
12
B. M'gladbach277812-1329 
w
 
5-1F
May 16
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
13
W.Bremen277713-1728 
May 9
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
14
Mainz266911-1027 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
-
-
15
Köln276813-926 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
16
St. Pauli266614-1924 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
May 2
17
Wolfsburg275616-2221 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
18
Heidenheim273618-3415 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-1F
May 16
Win / draw / win form
Hoffenheim 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Mainz 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Hoffenheim since 2013
Hoffenheim
Mainz
Goals: Scored
25
20
Games: Scored
11 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
2 / 13
TSG
6
D
3
M05
4
League games at Mainz since 2012
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Goals: Scored
29
16
Games: Scored
12 / 13
9 / 13
Clean sheets
4 / 13
1 / 13
TSG
2
D
4
M05
7
Goal Statistics
Hoffenheim 5th Mainz 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that Hoffenheim will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Mainz will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Hoffenheim’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Mainz’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season
Hoffenheim
PG (predicted goals)
Mainz
2.2
1
Attack rating
28%
better
TSG
M05
view stats
Games scored22
17
Failed to score5
9
Scored first12
11
Goals scored54
31
Avg. goals scored2
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
9%
better
TSG
M05
view stats
Games conceded21
23
Clean sheets6
3
Conceded first14
14
Goals conceded39
41
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
15%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+9%

Hoffenheim v Mainz Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Hoffenheim Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271078
O BaumannA KramaricB. TouréA Hajdari 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Baumann GLK27
1
-
V Coufal DEF2716
3
-
G Prömel  MID2772
3
-
A Kramaric MID27105
1
-
L Avdullahu MID261
4
-
F Asllani FWD2686
1
-
R Hranáč DEF25
4
-
A Prass MID2532
2
-
W Burger MID2446
4
1
A Hajdari  DEF2311
8
-
B. Touré FWD2327
2
-
Bernardo DEF22
7
-
T Lemperle FWD2272
1
-
O Kabak DEF184
2
-
M. Moerstedt FWD182
2
-
I Bebou FWD15
1
-
M Damar  MID13
-
V Gendrey DEF811
-
K Akpoguma DEF5
1
U Tohumcu MID5
2
-
A Chaves DEF4
1
-
A Hlozek FWD3
-
K Machida DEF1
1
-
L. Đurić MID1
-
Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261039
K SanoN AmiriD CostaD Kohr
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa DEF2623
3
-
K Sano MID2611
1
-
J Lee MID2442
3
-
P Nebel MID2221
2
2
P Mwene DEF211
3
-
D Kohr DEF211
7
2
S Widmer  DEF202
5
-
N Amiri MID20102
6
-
D Hoof DEF1821
4
-
N Weiper FWD17
1
-
L Maloney MID16
1
-
N Veratschnig MID161
2
-
A Sieb FWD162
1
-
D Batz GLK14
1
-
B Hollerbach FWD1413
-
A Hanche-Olsen  DEF131
3
-
A Nordin FWD13
-
R Zentner GLK9
2
1
S Kawasaki MID7
1
-
W Bøving FWD71
1
-
L Rieß GLK4
-
A Caci DEF4
1
-
M Leitsch  DEF3
-
B Bobzien FWD1
-