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1. FSV Mainz 05 v Borussia Dortmund : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 27th Sep, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

1. FSV Mainz 05 and Borussia Dortmund go head to head at the Mewa Arena on Saturday afternoon, with both Bo Henriksen and Niko Kovač hoping for success in the Bundesliga. Statistics for our tip of both teams to score are shown below, including head-to-head history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.

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Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here is a pair of effective, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we are predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 mins. Can respective managers Bo Henriksen or Niko Kovač mastermind a defensive masterclass to scupper our tip? Recent form stats and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookmakers, suggest that's unlikely.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Dortmund coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 30%	3.25	3.20
Draw 23%	3.70	3.70
Dortmund 47%	2.05	2.10
Draw 1-1 10%	7.50	7.00
Dortmund 2-1 9%	9.00	8.00
Dortmund 1-0 7%	11.00	9.00
Mainz 2-1 7%	12.00	10.00
Dortmund 2-0 7%	12.00	11.00
Draw 2-2 7%	12.00	10.00
Mainz 1-0 6%	15.00	11.00
Dortmund 3-1 6%	15.00	12.00
Draw 0-0 4%	17.00	12.00
Mainz 2-0 4%	19.00	15.00
Dortmund 3-0 4%	21.00	15.00
Dortmund 3-2 4%	21.00	15.00
Mainz 3-1 3%	23.00	17.00
Mainz 3-2 3%	26.00	19.00
Dortmund 4-1 2%	29.00	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 62%	1.62	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals 38%	2.30	2.25
Home 1st Goal 46%	2.10	2.20
Away 1st Goal 51%	1.73	1.75
No 1st Goal 2%	17.00	12.00
BTTS - Yes 63%	1.53	1.53
BTTS - No 37%	2.38	2.38
BTTS - Home Win 18%	5.50	4.80
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.33	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 26%	3.50	3.40
Home/draw 53%	1.73	1.70
Away/draw 70%	1.33	1.35
Home/away 77%	1.29	1.25
Over 1.5 Goals 83%	1.17	1.18
Under 1.5 Goals 17%	5.00	4.40
Over 3.5 Goals 40%	2.38	2.40
Under 3.5 Goals 60%	1.57	1.53
Over 4.5 Goals 22%	4.33	4.20
Under 4.5 Goals 78%	1.22	1.20
Over 5.5 Goals 11%	8.00	7.50
Under 5.5 Goals 89%	1.08	1.07
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1.03	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	17.00	12.00
Home DNB 46%	2.38	2.30
Away DNB 63%	1.53	1.55
Mainz win to nil 13%	7.00	-
Dortmund win to nil 20%	4.33	-
Mainz / Mainz 16%	5.00	4.80
Mainz / Dortmund 4%	21.00	17.00
Mainz / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00
Draw / Mainz 11%	7.50	7.00
Draw / Dortmund 15%	5.50	5.25
Draw / Draw 13%	6.50	5.50
Dortmund / Mainz 3%	26.00	21.00
Dortmund / Dortmund 25%	3.25	3.20
Dortmund / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Mainz Dortmund
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	3	3	0	0	12	9	Apr 25	Dec 13	Feb 28	Oct 18
2	Dortmund	3	2	1	0	5	7	Sep 27	Feb 14	-	-
3	Köln	3	2	1	0	4	7	l 0-1A	Jan 17	Oct 25	Mar 7
4	St. Pauli	3	2	1	0	3	7	Dec 20	May 2	Jan 17	d 3-3F
5	E.Frankfurt	3	2	0	1	3	6	Mar 21	Nov 9	May 9	Jan 10
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	0	1	1	6	Nov 21	Apr 4	Dec 6	Apr 18
7	RB Leipzig	3	2	0	1	-3	6	l 0-1A	Jan 31	Oct 4	Feb 21
8	Wolfsburg	3	1	2	0	2	5	Jan 24	d 1-1A	Sep 21	Feb 7
9	W.Bremen	3	1	1	1	1	4	Nov 1	Mar 14	Jan 14	May 16
10	Leverkusen	3	1	1	1	1	4	Oct 18	Feb 28	Apr 11	Nov 29
11	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	0	3	Feb 7	Sep 20	Mar 14	Oct 31
12	Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	-2	3	Mar 7	Oct 26	Nov 22	Apr 4
13	Freiburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3	Apr 11	Nov 30	Apr 25	Dec 13
14	Union Berlin	3	1	0	2	-4	3	May 9	Jan 10	w 3-0F	Jan 24
15	Mainz	3	0	1	2	-2	1	-	-	Feb 14	Sep 27
16	B. M'gladbach	3	0	1	2	-5	1	Dec 6	Apr 18	Dec 20	May 2
17	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-7	1	Feb 21	Oct 5	Mar 21	Nov 8
18	Heidenheim	3	0	0	3	-6	0	Jan 14	May 16	Jan 31	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Dortmund have not lost in 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 2	Heidenheim
Mainz	1 - 2	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mainz	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
A	Mainz	1 - 1	Wolfsburg
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
A	Mainz	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Union Berlin

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Heidenheim	0 - 2	Dortmund
St. Pauli	3 - 3	Dortmund
Leverkusen	2 - 4	Dortmund
Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Dortmund
Bayern	2 - 2	Dortmund
Freiburg	1 - 4	Dortmund
RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Dortmund
St. Pauli	0 - 2	Dortmund
VfL Bochum	2 - 0	Dortmund
Heidenheim	1 - 2	Dortmund
E.Frankfurt	2 - 0	Dortmund
Holstein	4 - 2	Dortmund
Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Dortmund
B. M'gladbach	1 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Augsburg	2 - 1	Dortmund
Union Berlin	2 - 1	Dortmund
Stuttgart	5 - 1	Dortmund
W.Bremen	0 - 0	Dortmund
Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Dortmund	3 - 3	St. Pauli
H	Dortmund	3 - 0	Holstein
A	Dortmund	4 - 2	Leverkusen
H	Dortmund	4 - 0	Wolfsburg
A	Dortmund	3 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Dortmund	3 - 2	B. M'gladbach
A	Dortmund	2 - 2	Bayern
A	Dortmund	4 - 1	Freiburg
H	Dortmund	3 - 1	Mainz
A	Dortmund	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
H	Dortmund	0 - 1	Augsburg
A	Dortmund	2 - 0	St. Pauli
H	Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin
A	Dortmund	0 - 2	VfL Bochum
H	Dortmund	1 - 2	Stuttgart
A	Dortmund	2 - 1	Heidenheim
H	Dortmund	2 - 2	W.Bremen
A	Dortmund	0 - 2	E.Frankfurt

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mainz

Dortmund

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 13

11 / 13

Clean sheets

2 / 13

4 / 13

M05

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
Mainz	3 - 1
Mainz	3 - 0
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 1	Dortmund
	1 - 3	Dortmund
	0 - 4	Dortmund
	1 - 2	Dortmund
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Dortmund
Mainz	2 - 0
	1 - 3	Dortmund
	1 - 2	Dortmund

Dortmund

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

1 / 11

M05

BVB

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dortmund
Dortmund	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Dortmund	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	Mainz
Dortmund	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Mainz
Dortmund	2 - 0
Dortmund	4 - 2
Dortmund	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Borussia Dortmund have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 11 consecutive Bundesliga outings. Their PG of 1.8 against 1. FSV Mainz 05 on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Mainz 15th	Dortmund 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.4 goals	1.8 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 11% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 17% 1 30% 2 27% 3 16% 4+ 11% There is a 83% probability that Dortmund will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Mainz have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	-2 Dortmund’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.4 average goals scored	1.6 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

M05

BVB

76%

better

view stats

Games scored	1		3
Failed to score	2		0
Scored first	0		3
Goals scored	1		8
Avg. goals scored	0.3		2.7
Avg. shots per game	9		10
Avg. shots per goal	27		4
Conversion rate for	4		27
Avg. XG for	1.7		2
KickOff rating		+76%

M05

BVB

35%

better

view stats

Games conceded	3		1
Clean sheets	0		2
Conceded first	3		0
Goals conceded	3		3
Avg. goals conceded	1		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		8
Conversion rate against	10%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.1		1
KickOff rating		+35%

Mainz v Dortmund Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	0	1
R Zentner	N Amiri		R Zentner

Players	Appserances	goals	cards
R Zentner GLK	3		1 -
A Caci DEF	3		1 -
P Mwene DEF	3		-
D Kohr DEF	3		-
D Hoof DEF	3		1 -
D Costa DEF	3		1 -
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	3		1 -
N Amiri MID	3	1	-
K Sano MID	3		-
A Sieb FWD	3		1 -
N Weiper FWD	3		-
S Widmer DEF	2		-
N Veratschnig DEF	2		-
J Lee MID	2		-
A Nordin FWD	2		-
W Bøving MID	1		-
S Kawasaki MID	1		-
P Nebel MID	1		1
L Maloney MID	1		-
B Hollerbach FWD	1		-
B Bobzien FWD	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	2	0	1
N Amiri	N Amiri		P Mwene

Players	goals	shots on	big chances
N Amiri MID	1	2	1
P Mwene DEF			1
D Kohr DEF		1
D Hoof DEF			1
A Sieb FWD		1
N Weiper FWD		2
J Lee MID			1
A Nordin FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
171	7	30
D Costa	D Kohr	D Kohr

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Costa DEF	171	4	16
N Amiri MID	158	5	14
D Kohr DEF	156	7	30
A Caci DEF	128	4	8
K Sano MID	107	2	15
R Zentner GLK	104		2
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	90	4	16
P Mwene DEF	62	1	4
J Lee MID	54	4	13
A Nordin FWD	52	2	5
N Weiper FWD	49		14
D Hoof DEF	48	1	12
S Widmer DEF	23	2	6
P Nebel MID	20		3
N Veratschnig DEF	19	1	2
W Bøving MID	18
A Sieb FWD	14		3
L Maloney MID	10		1
B Bobzien FWD	10	2	2
S Kawasaki MID	5	1	2
B Hollerbach FWD	3		1

Dortmund Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	4	1	1
G Kobel	S Guirassy	Y Couto	Y Couto

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
G Kobel GLK	3			-
Y Couto DEF	3		1	1 -
D Svensson DEF	3			-
R Bensebaini DEF	3			1 -
W Anton DEF	3	1		-
P Groß MID	3		1	-
F Nmecha MID	3	1	1	-
J Bellingham MID	3			-
S Guirassy FWD	3	4		1 -
K Adeyemi FWD	3		1	1 -
J Ryerson DEF	2		1	1 -
F. Mane DEF	2			1
J Brandt MID	2	1		-
M Sabitzer MID	2		1	1 -
C Chukwuemeka MID	2			-
S Özcan MID	2			-
M Beier FWD	2	1	1	-
A Anselmino DEF	1			-
W Campbell FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	13	1	2
S Guirassy	S Guirassy	Y Couto	K Adeyemi

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S Guirassy FWD	4	13
W Anton DEF	1	1
F Nmecha MID	1	1	1
J Brandt MID	1	2		1
M Beier FWD	1	1	1	1
Y Couto DEF			1	1
D Svensson DEF				1
R Bensebaini DEF		1		1
P Groß MID		1	1	1
K Adeyemi FWD		2	1	2
J Ryerson DEF			1	1
M Sabitzer MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
327	5	15
W Anton	Y Couto	W Anton

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
W Anton DEF	327	5	15
R Bensebaini DEF	321	2	14
D Svensson DEF	148		4
Y Couto DEF	143	5	12
P Groß MID	131	3	5
J Ryerson DEF	115	3	3
J Bellingham MID	103	2	10
F Nmecha MID	99	2	9
M Sabitzer MID	78	2	3
A Anselmino DEF	78	2	4
J Brandt MID	76	2	7
G Kobel GLK	76		1
S Guirassy FWD	72		12
F. Mane DEF	66
M Beier FWD	58		2
C Chukwuemeka MID	29	2	8
S Özcan MID	27
K Adeyemi FWD	24		8
W Campbell FWD	5