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1. FSV Mainz 05 v RB Leipzig : Bundesliga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 13th Sep, 14:30 BST, Mewa Arena, Mainz

It's a long trek for Ole Werner's RB Leipzig side on Saturday afternoon, as they travel to the Mewa Arena for a Bundesliga showdown with Bo Henriksen's 1. FSV Mainz 05. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our 20+ year database and pulled out the statistics that matter the most. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds are there to ensure you get the best price.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Bundesliga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Both RB Leipzig and Mainz supporters may have some reason for celebration ahead as their clubs go head-to-head, with a match prediction of both teams to score looking a much better pick than any bet on the WDW market. The two teams have goals in them, as is borne out by the statistics and past head-to-head data below. Even the bookies odds are not finding anything to pick between the sides, with equal threat among their respective squads. Both teams to score is the tip of the day here.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Mainz are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Mainz 41%	7/5	11/8
Draw 24%	13/5	13/5
RB Leipzig 35%	7/4	7/4
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1	-
Mainz 2-1 9%	17/2	-
RB Leipzig 2-1 8%	9/1	-
Mainz 1-0 7%	9/1	-
RB Leipzig 1-0 7%	10/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Mainz 2-0 6%	12/1	-
RB Leipzig 2-0 5%	14/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	14/1	-
Mainz 3-1 5%	16/1	-
RB Leipzig 3-1 4%	20/1	-
Mainz 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Mainz 3-0 3%	22/1	-
RB Leipzig 3-2 3%	25/1	-
RB Leipzig 3-0 2%	28/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 59%	8/11	-
Under 2.5 Goals 41%	11/10	-
Home 1st Goal 50%	5/6	-
Away 1st Goal 48%	1/1	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	4/7	-
BTTS - No 39%	5/4	-
BTTS - Home Win 22%	10/3	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 20%	15/4	-
Home/draw 65%	2/5	-
Away/draw 59%	8/15	-
Home/away 76%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 81%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 19%	10/3	-
Over 3.5 Goals 37%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 63%	4/9	-
Over 4.5 Goals 20%	4/1	-
Under 4.5 Goals 80%	1/6	-
Over 5.5 Goals 9%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 91%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	12/1	-
Home DNB 58%	8/11	-
Away DNB 52%	1/1	-
Mainz win to nil 18%	7/2	-
RB Leipzig win to nil 16%	9/2	-
Mainz / Mainz 22%	11/4	-
Mainz / RB Leipzig 3%	25/1	-
Mainz / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Mainz 14%	5/1	-
Draw / RB Leipzig 13%	11/2	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
RB Leipzig / Mainz 4%	22/1	-
RB Leipzig / RB Leipzig 18%	7/2	-
RB Leipzig / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Bundesliga table

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Mainz RB Leipzig
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Bayern	2	2	0	0	7	6	Apr 25	Dec 13	Jan 17	l 6-0A
2	E.Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	5	6	Mar 21	Nov 8	Dec 6	Apr 18
3	St. Pauli	2	1	1	0	2	4	Dec 20	May 2	May 9	Jan 10
4	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	2	3	Jan 24	Aug 31	Feb 14	Sep 27
5	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	1	3	Feb 7	Sep 20	Mar 7	Oct 25
6	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	1	3	May 9	Jan 10	Apr 25	Dec 13
7	Köln	1	1	0	0	1	3	l 0-1A	Jan 17	Sep 20	Feb 7
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	0	3	Mar 7	Oct 25	Nov 1	Mar 14
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	-1	3	Nov 22	Apr 4	Mar 21	Nov 8
10	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	-4	3	Sep 13	Jan 31	-	-
11	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	0	1	Sep 27	Feb 14	Feb 21	Oct 4
12	Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	-1	1	Oct 18	Feb 28	Dec 20	May 2
13	B. M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-1	1	Dec 6	Apr 18	Apr 11	Nov 29
14	Hamburg	2	0	1	1	-2	1	Feb 21	Oct 4	Oct 18	Feb 28
15	W.Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	1	Nov 1	Mar 14	Nov 22	Apr 4
16	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-1	0	-	-	Jan 31	Sep 13
17	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0	Apr 11	Nov 29	Jan 13	May 16
18	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	-4	0	Jan 13	May 16	w 2-0F	Jan 24

	UEFA Champions League
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	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Mainz have not won in 6 consecutive home league games

RB Leipzig have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum
Mainz	2 - 1	Bayern
Mainz	2 - 0	Hoffenheim
Mainz	3 - 1	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	B. M'gladbach
Mainz	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 2	Heidenheim
Mainz	1 - 2	W.Bremen
Mainz	1 - 1	Union Berlin
Mainz	3 - 0	Dortmund
Mainz	1 - 1	Köln

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Mainz	0 - 1	Köln
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	Mainz	4 - 1	VfL Bochum
H	Mainz	1 - 1	E.Frankfurt
A	Mainz	0 - 3	Bayern
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Wolfsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 2	Hoffenheim
H	Mainz	1 - 1	Holstein
A	Mainz	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Mainz	2 - 2	Freiburg
A	Mainz	3 - 1	B. M'gladbach
A	Mainz	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
H	Mainz	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	Mainz	2 - 0	Heidenheim
H	Mainz	0 - 0	Augsburg
A	Mainz	0 - 1	W.Bremen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	Stuttgart
A	Mainz	1 - 2	Union Berlin
A	Mainz	0 - 1	Leverkusen
H	Mainz	2 - 0	VfL Bochum

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern	6 - 0	RB Leipzig
W.Bremen	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt	4 - 0	RB Leipzig
Wolfsburg	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
B. M'gladbach	1 - 0	RB Leipzig
Freiburg	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
Augsburg	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
Union Berlin	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
VfL Bochum	3 - 3	RB Leipzig
Stuttgart	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Bayern	5 - 1	RB Leipzig
Holstein	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	4 - 3	RB Leipzig
Dortmund	2 - 1	RB Leipzig
Mainz	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Heidenheim	0 - 1	RB Leipzig
St. Pauli	0 - 0	RB Leipzig
Leverkusen	2 - 3	RB Leipzig
E.Frankfurt	2 - 2	RB Leipzig
Hoffenheim	1 - 1	RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Heidenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 6	Bayern
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 3	Stuttgart
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	W.Bremen
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 3	Bayern
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 4	E.Frankfurt
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 1	Holstein
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 2	Wolfsburg
H	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Hoffenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 1	B. M'gladbach
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	Dortmund
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Freiburg
H	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Mainz
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Heidenheim
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Augsburg
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 0	St. Pauli
A	RB Leipzig	0 - 0	Union Berlin
H	RB Leipzig	2 - 2	Leverkusen
A	RB Leipzig	3 - 3	VfL Bochum
A	RB Leipzig	1 - 2	Stuttgart

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Mainz

RB Leipzig

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

6 / 9

Clean sheets

3 / 9

2 / 9

M05

RBL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Mainz
	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Mainz	2 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Mainz	1 - 0
Mainz	3 - 2
	0 - 5	RB Leipzig
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Mainz	3 - 0
	2 - 3	RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

Mainz

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 9

Clean sheets

2 / 9

M05

RBL

FIXTURE HISTORY AT RB Leipzig
	1 - 2	Mainz
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 3	Mainz
RB Leipzig	4 - 1
RB Leipzig	3 - 1
RB Leipzig	8 - 0
RB Leipzig	4 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
RB Leipzig	3 - 1

Goal Statistics

1. FSV Mainz 05's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because RB Leipzig have conceded in each of their last 17 Bundesliga matches. A PG of 1.6 for Bo Henriksen's side suggests that run should continue.

	Mainz 14th	RB Leipzig 18th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.6 goals	1.5 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Mainz will score 1 or more goals	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that RB Leipzig will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Mainz have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	-28 RB Leipzig have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Bundesliga - 2025/2025 season

better

M05

RBL

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	1		1
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	7		3
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	2		0.7
KickOff rating		+8%

30%

better

M05

RBL

view stats

Games conceded	1		1
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	1		1
Goals conceded	1		6
Avg. goals conceded	1		3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		7
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		2
Conversion rate against	10%		43%
Avg. XG against	1.2		2
KickOff rating		+30%

Mainz v RB Leipzig Bundesliga lLine ups will show here when available.

Mainz Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	0	0	1
R Zentner			P Nebel

Players	Appserances	cards
R Zentner GLK	1	-
D Costa DEF	1	-
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	1	-
A Caci DEF	1	-
P Mwene DEF	1	-
S Widmer DEF	1	-
D Kohr DEF	1	-
D Hoof DEF	1	-
P Nebel MID	1	1
N Amiri MID	1	-
J Lee MID	1	-
L Maloney MID	1	-
K Sano MID	1	-
B Hollerbach FWD	1	-
A Sieb FWD	1	-
N Weiper FWD	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	1	0	1
	N Amiri		D Hoof

Players	shots on	big chances
D Hoof DEF		1
N Amiri MID	1
N Weiper FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
47	4	9
D Costa	D Kohr	D Kohr

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Costa DEF	47		5
D Kohr DEF	47	4	9
N Amiri MID	43		2
A Hanche-Olsen DEF	38	1	8
J Lee MID	35	2	8
R Zentner GLK	33		1
K Sano MID	32		4
A Caci DEF	22	1	2
P Nebel MID	20		3
P Mwene DEF	19	1	3
N Weiper FWD	17		4
S Widmer DEF	14	2	5
L Maloney MID	10		1
D Hoof DEF	8	1	5
B Hollerbach FWD	3		1
A Sieb FWD	2

RB Leipzig Bundesliga squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
1	0	0	1
P Gulácsi			W Orbán

Players	Appserances	cards
P Gulácsi GLK	1	-
R Baku DEF	1	-
D Raum DEF	1	-
C Lukeba DEF	1	-
W Orbán DEF	1	1 -
E Banzuzi MID	1	-
N Seiwald MID	1	-
C Baumgartner MID	1	-
A Ouédraogo MID	1	-
X Schlager MID	1	-
R Rômulo FWD	1	-
Y. Diomande FWD	1	-
J Bakayoko FWD	1	-
L Openda FWD	1	-
A Nusa FWD	1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	1	0	1
	D Raum		J Bakayoko

Players	shots on	big chances
D Raum DEF	1
C Baumgartner MID	1
J Bakayoko FWD		1
A Nusa FWD	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
61	7	7
C Lukeba	R Baku	R Baku

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Lukeba DEF	61		2
P Gulácsi GLK	43
D Raum DEF	41	1	5
R Baku DEF	35	7	7
N Seiwald MID	33	2	3
W Orbán DEF	29		1
X Schlager MID	27	1	2
J Bakayoko FWD	24	1	1
R Rômulo FWD	14	1	3
L Openda FWD	11		2
Y. Diomande FWD	10		2
A Nusa FWD	10	1	5
C Baumgartner MID	4		1
E Banzuzi MID	3	2	2
A Ouédraogo MID	1		2