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Derry City v Dundalk : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Feb, 19:45 BST, Brandywell Stadium, Derry

Tiernan Lynch and clash in the Premier Division on Friday evening, as Derry City face Dundalk at the Brandywell Stadium. Our predictions are based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the main markets. The data and the odds is designed to fit each market, and head to head (H2H) stats are included across the board.


Best Tip: Derry to win

A Premier Division victory in front of their own fans for Tiernan Lynch's Derry team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookies suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A Derry win is the bet we'd suggest, even if a tight match is possible.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Derry are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.48.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Derry
64%
1.48
9%
-
Draw
21%
4.50
10%
-
Dundalk
15%
5.75
23%
-
Derry 1-0
12%
6.50-
Derry 2-0
12%
6.50-
Draw 1-1
10%
8.50
11%
-
Derry 2-1
10%
8.50-
Derry 3-0
8%
10.00
18%
-
Draw 0-0
6%
11.00
15%
-
Derry 3-1
6%
13.00
8%
-
Dundalk 1-0
5%
13.00
24%
-
Dundalk 2-1
4%
19.00
10%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
21.00
9%
-
Derry 4-0
4%
19.00
27%
-
Derry 4-1
3%
23.00
10%
-
Derry 3-2
3%
29.00-
Dundalk 2-0
2%
29.00
29%
-
Derry 5-0
1%
41.00
41%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
1.90
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1.90
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.44
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
38%
3.00
12%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11.00
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
2.05-
BTTS - No
52%
1.70-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
3.60
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6.50
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12.00
20%
-
Home/draw
85%
1.14
4%
-
Away/draw
36%
2.63
12%
-
Home/away
79%
1.18
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1.29
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3.50
13%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
3.40
24%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1.30
7%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
6.50
18%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1.11
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
36%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.03
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11.00
15%
-
Home DNB
79%
1.18
4%
-
Away DNB
30%
4.50
25%
-
Derry win to nil
38%
2.25
7%
-
Dundalk win to nil
8%
10.00
23%
-
Derry / Derry
36%
2.25
13%
-
Derry / Dundalk
2%
41.00
20%
-
Derry / Draw
5%
15.00
12%
-
Draw / Derry
20%
4.00-
Draw / Dundalk
6%
13.00
24%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
6.00
14%
-
Dundalk / Derry
4%
21.00-
Dundalk / Dundalk
7%
11.00
27%
-
Dundalk / Draw
4%
19.00
10%
-
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table
Won
Draw
Lost
Derry
Dundalk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Derry113 
-
-
-
-
Apr 10
Feb 13
May 29
Oct 23
2
Drogheda113 
Mar 20
May 8
Jun 26
Oct 16
Feb 20
May 22
Jul 10
Aug 28
3
Waterford101 
Feb 27
May 15
Jul 3
Sep 4
Mar 13
May 4
Jun 26
Sep 11
4
Shelbourne101 
Mar 13
Apr 17
May 25
Sep 11
May 1
Apr 3
Sep 18
Jul 3
5
Bohemians101 
Feb 20
May 1
Jun 12
Aug 21
May 8
Mar 20
Oct 9
Jun 19
6
St Patrick's101 
May 22
Mar 16
Oct 9
Jul 31
Apr 6
Feb 27
Sep 4
Jul 24
7
Dundalk000 
Feb 13
Apr 10
Oct 23
May 29
-
-
-
-
8
Shamrock000 
Apr 24
Mar 6
Aug 28
Jun 22
May 15
Aug 7
Oct 30
-
9
Sligo1-10 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Aug 7
Oct 30
Mar 16
Apr 25
Jul 31
Oct 17
10
Galway1-10 
May 4
Apr 3
Sep 18
Jun 19
Apr 17
Mar 6
Aug 21
Jun 12
Win / draw / win form
Derry
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Derry2 - 1Sligo
Derry2 - 1Shamrock
Derry1 - 0Sligo
Derry1 - 1Shelbourne
Derry2 - 2St Patrick's
Derry0 - 0Cork
Derry1 - 1Bohemians
Derry7 - 2Waterford
Derry3 - 0Drogheda
Derry1 - 1Galway
Derry1 - 2Shamrock
Derry1 - 0St Patrick's
Derry2 - 0Shelbourne
Derry3 - 0Sligo
Derry1 - 3Drogheda
Derry2 - 1Cork
Derry1 - 1Galway
Derry1 - 2Waterford
Derry1 - 0Bohemians
Derry0 - 1Shelbourne
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDerry2 - 1Sligo
ADerry1 - 0Cork
HDerry2 - 1Shamrock
ADerry2 - 1Waterford
HDerry1 - 0Sligo
ADerry1 - 1Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry4 - 3Bohemians
HDerry2 - 2St Patrick's
ADerry2 - 1Galway
HDerry0 - 0Cork
ADerry0 - 2Shamrock
HDerry1 - 1Bohemians
ADerry0 - 2Sligo
HDerry7 - 2Waterford
HDerry3 - 0Drogheda
ADerry1 - 0St Patrick's
ADerry1 - 0Shelbourne
HDerry1 - 1Galway
ADerry0 - 1Bohemians
Dundalk
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Drogheda0 - 0Dundalk
Galway1 - 1Dundalk
Sligo2 - 1Dundalk
Waterford2 - 1Dundalk
Derry1 - 1Dundalk
Bohemians1 - 1Dundalk
Shamrock1 - 0Dundalk
Shelbourne1 - 0Dundalk
St Patrick's2 - 3Dundalk
Galway2 - 0Dundalk
Waterford4 - 1Dundalk
Drogheda2 - 1Dundalk
Sligo1 - 1Dundalk
Bohemians1 - 0Dundalk
Derry4 - 1Dundalk
Shelbourne2 - 1Dundalk
St Patrick's1 - 0Dundalk
Shamrock1 - 1Dundalk
UC Dublin1 - 5Dundalk
Sligo0 - 2Dundalk
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADundalk0 - 0Drogheda
HDundalk0 - 1Shamrock
HDundalk0 - 2Derry
ADundalk1 - 1Galway
HDundalk0 - 2Bohemians
ADundalk1 - 2Sligo
ADundalk1 - 2Waterford
HDundalk1 - 2St Patrick's
HDundalk0 - 1Shelbourne
ADundalk1 - 1Derry
HDundalk0 - 2Galway
ADundalk1 - 1Bohemians
HDundalk4 - 2Drogheda
ADundalk0 - 1Shamrock
HDundalk0 - 2Waterford
HDundalk1 - 0Sligo
ADundalk0 - 1Shelbourne
ADundalk3 - 2St Patrick's
HDundalk0 - 0Derry
ADundalk0 - 2Galway
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Derry have not lost to Dundalk in 8 consecutive league meetings
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Dundalk
Goals: Scored
14
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
3 / 11
DER
3
D
4
DLK
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derry4 - 1
Derry3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Dundalk
1 - 2Dundalk
Derry1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Dundalk
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Dundalk
League games at Dundalk since 2019
Dundalk
Derry
Goals: Scored
13
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
DER
3
D
5
DLK
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dundalk
0 - 2Derry
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Derry
Dundalk2 - 1
Dundalk1 - 0
Dundalk1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Goal Statistics

Derry City have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 9 consecutive Premier Division outings. Their PG of 1.9 against Dundalk on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks unlikely for Dundalk, failing to score in 3 consecutive Premier Division outings.

Derry Dundalk
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 86% probability that Derry will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Dundalk scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+6
Derry’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Dundalk have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2026/2026 season
Derry
PG (predicted goals)
Dundalk
1.9
0.8
Attack rating
43%
better
DER
DLK
view stats
Games scored1
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored2
0
Avg. goals scored2
0
Avg. shots per game15
0
Avg. shots per goal8
0
Conversion rate for13
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
DER
DLK
57%
better
view stats
Games conceded1
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first1
0
Goals conceded1
0
Avg. goals conceded1
0
Avg. shots/game conceded4
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded4
0
Conversion rate against25%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+57%

Derry v Dundalk Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Dundalk Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE