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Dundalk v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 29th May, 19:45 BST, Oriel Park, Dundalk

Tiernan Lynch leads his Derry City charges to the Oriel Park in the Premier Division on Friday evening, with 's Dundalk their rivals. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't think there's a clear favourite to claim victory here, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Dundalk and Derry have taken part in a host of under 3.5 goal games lately, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dundalk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dundalk
45%
11/8-
Draw
27%
11/5-
Derry
28%
7/4-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Dundalk 1-0
12%
15/2-
Dundalk 2-1
9%
17/2-
Derry 1-0
9%
17/2-
Dundalk 2-0
8%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Derry 2-1
7%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1-
Derry 2-0
5%
14/1-
Dundalk 3-1
4%
18/1-
Dundalk 3-0
4%
22/1-
Derry 3-1
2%
22/1-
Dundalk 3-2
2%
28/1-
Derry 3-2
2%
28/1-
Derry 3-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
51%
10/11-
Away 1st Goal
44%
21/20-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
50%
3/4-
BTTS - No
50%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
12%
9/2-
Home/draw
72%
4/11-
Away/draw
55%
1/2-
Home/away
73%
1/3-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
64%
8/11-
Away DNB
47%
1/1-
Dundalk win to nil
26%
10/3-
Derry win to nil
16%
4/1-
Dundalk / Dundalk
21%
3/1-
Dundalk / Derry
3%
28/1-
Dundalk / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Dundalk
14%
5/1-
Draw / Derry
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Derry / Dundalk
3%
25/1-
Derry / Derry
18%
15/4-
Derry / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Dundalk have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier Division league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 4, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Dundalk have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Dundalk have played 9 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 2 games. They have scored 16 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Derry are in 6th position in the Premier Division on 20 points having played 17 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Derry have conceded 10 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dundalk
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock171334 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Oct 30
Aug 7
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
Aug 28
Jun 22
2
St Patrick's171531 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
Sep 4
Jul 24
May 22
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 9
Jul 31
3
Bohemians17728 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
Oct 9
Jun 19
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
Jun 12
Aug 21
4
Dundalk17225 
-
-
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Oct 23
May 29
5
Shelbourne16021 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
Sep 18
Jul 3
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2F
May 25
Sep 11
6
Derry17020 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 29
Oct 23
-
-
-
-
7
Galway16-120 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
Aug 21
Jun 12
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
Sep 18
Jun 19
8
Drogheda17-719 
d
 
1-1F
May 22
Jul 10
Aug 28
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
Jun 26
Oct 16
9
Sligo17-1116 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Jul 31
Oct 17
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 7
Oct 30
10
Waterford17-1810 
w
 
5-0F
d
 
3-3F
Jun 26
Sep 11
w
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
Jul 3
Sep 4
Win / draw / win form
Dundalk 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Dundalk1 - 0Shamrock
Dundalk1 - 3Bohemians
Dundalk1 - 2Shelbourne
Dundalk2 - 1Galway
Dundalk2 - 2Derry
Dundalk2 - 0St Patrick's
Dundalk1 - 0Sligo
Dundalk5 - 0Waterford
Dundalk1 - 1Drogheda
Dundalk0 - 1Shamrock
Dundalk0 - 2Derry
Dundalk0 - 2Bohemians
Dundalk1 - 2St Patrick's
Dundalk0 - 1Shelbourne
Dundalk0 - 2Galway
Dundalk4 - 2Drogheda
Dundalk0 - 2Waterford
Dundalk1 - 0Sligo
Dundalk0 - 0Derry
Dundalk1 - 0Shamrock
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HDundalk1 - 0Shamrock
HDundalk1 - 3Bohemians
ADundalk3 - 3Waterford
HDundalk1 - 2Shelbourne
ADundalk0 - 2Sligo
HDundalk2 - 1Galway
HDundalk2 - 2Derry
HDundalk2 - 0St Patrick's
ADundalk3 - 2Shelbourne
ADundalk1 - 1Bohemians
HDundalk1 - 0Sligo
HDundalk5 - 0Waterford
ADundalk2 - 2Galway
ADundalk0 - 4St Patrick's
ADundalk1 - 1Shamrock
HDundalk1 - 1Drogheda
ADundalk2 - 2Derry
ADundalk0 - 0Drogheda
HDundalk0 - 1Shamrock
HDundalk0 - 2Derry
Derry 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Waterford2 - 2Derry
Drogheda1 - 0Derry
Bohemians1 - 1Derry
Shelbourne1 - 2Derry
Dundalk2 - 2Derry
Sligo0 - 0Derry
Galway2 - 1Derry
St Patrick's0 - 0Derry
Shamrock1 - 0Derry
Cork0 - 1Derry
Waterford1 - 2Derry
Drogheda1 - 1Derry
Bohemians3 - 4Derry
Galway1 - 2Derry
Shamrock2 - 0Derry
Sligo2 - 0Derry
St Patrick's0 - 1Derry
Shelbourne0 - 1Derry
Bohemians1 - 0Derry
Drogheda1 - 1Derry
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ADerry2 - 2Waterford
ADerry0 - 1Drogheda
HDerry1 - 1Galway
ADerry1 - 1Bohemians
HDerry1 - 0Shamrock
ADerry2 - 1Shelbourne
ADerry2 - 2Dundalk
ADerry0 - 0Sligo
ADerry1 - 2Galway
HDerry2 - 2Drogheda
ADerry0 - 0St Patrick's
HDerry1 - 2Shelbourne
ADerry0 - 1Shamrock
HDerry4 - 2Waterford
HDerry0 - 1Bohemians
HDerry2 - 2Dundalk
HDerry2 - 1Sligo
ADerry1 - 0Cork
HDerry2 - 1Shamrock
ADerry2 - 1Waterford
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
10
Derry have not lost to Dundalk in 10 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dundalk since 2019
Dundalk
Derry
Goals: Scored
15
17
Games: Scored
10 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
2 / 12
DLK
3
D
6
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Dundalk
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Derry
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Derry
Dundalk2 - 1
Dundalk1 - 0
Dundalk1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Dundalk
Goals: Scored
16
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
DLK
4
D
5
DER
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Derry
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Derry4 - 1
Derry3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Dundalk
1 - 2Dundalk
Derry1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Dundalk
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Dundalk
Goal Statistics

Derry City's defensive record is to be admired, T. Lynch's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Premier Division outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Dundalk makes sense in this context.

Dundalk 4th Derry 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Dundalk will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Derry will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
Dundalk’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-6
Derry’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2026/2026 season
Dundalk
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1.4
1.1
Attack rating
25%
better
DLK
DER
view stats
Games scored15
12
Failed to score2
5
Scored first11
6
Goals scored28
21
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.2
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+25%
Defence rating
5%
better
DLK
DER
view stats
Games conceded13
14
Clean sheets4
3
Conceded first6
9
Goals conceded26
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against15%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+5%

Dundalk v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Dundalk Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE