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Dundalk v Derry City : Premier Division match betting preview, prediction and odds

Oriel Park, Dundalk

Dundalk are in Premier Division action on Friday evening, as attempts to outsmart Tiernan Lynch and his Derry City side at the Oriel Park. All statistics, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you browse each of the betting markets via the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

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Dundalk's next match is v Galway at 19:45 on Friday 17th April
Derry City's next match is v Shelbourne at 19:45 on Friday 17th April
The last Irish Premier Division meeting between Dundalk and Derry was on Friday 10th April 2026
Irish Premier Division
April 10th 2026
Dundalk 2
2 Derry
 
T. Wilson 35'14' J. Clarke
R. Teahan 79'45' D. Akinyemi
 
DLK
DER
Shots On
8
3
Shots Off
6
3
Corners
6
Possession
67%
33%
Fouls
2
15
Yellow/red cards
3/0
8/1
 
DundalkDerry
 
Enda Minogue
B. Burns (A. Dervin 60')
M. Animasahun
H. Warren
H. Groome (S. Tracey 60')
G. Arubi
T. Wilsonfootball icon
J. Wilson
E. Kenny
K. Buckley (R. Teahan 60')
D. McDaid
(J. Thomas 73') B. Cotter
J. Stott
E. Beach
(C. Dummigan 55') R. Slevin
B. Doherty
B. Fleming
C. Barr
(J. McClean 61') A. O'Reilly
(J. Olayinka 61') football iconJ. Clarke
C. Winchester
(K. Carvalho Santos 73') football iconD. Akinyemi

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Fans may not be thrilled to read this, but we don't predict a high-scoring affair here. The stats suggest Dundalk and Derry both can struggle to find the net on occasion, and the odds point towards a tie with fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals feels like the right bet on this match.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Dundalk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Dundalk
58%
11/816/1
Draw
27%
9/41/1000
Derry
15%
7/433/1
Dundalk 1-0
19%
13/211/2
Dundalk 2-0
14%
10/19/1
Draw 0-0
13%
8/111/2
Draw 1-1
11%
11/229/10
Dundalk 2-1
8%
17/218/5
Derry 1-0
8%
15/24/1
Dundalk 3-0
7%
22/118/1
Dundalk 3-1
4%
20/117/2
Derry 2-1
3%
10/18/11
Dundalk 4-0
2%
50/133/1
Draw 2-2
2%
14/12/13
Derry 2-0
2%
12/15/1
Dundalk 4-1
1%
40/122/1
Dundalk 3-2
1%
28/113/2
Dundalk 5-0
1%
125/160/1
Over 2.5 Goals
33%
43/402/9
Under 2.5 Goals
67%
8/1114/5
Home 1st Goal
58%
10/111/1
Away 1st Goal
33%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
10%
8/111/2
BTTS - Yes
34%
4/51/2
BTTS - No
67%
19/207/5
BTTS - Home Win
15%
4/113/2
BTTS - Draw
14%
7/21/7
BTTS - Away Win
4%
5/19/1
Home/draw
85%
2/51/33
Away/draw
42%
8/151/14
Home/away
73%
1/34/1
Over 1.5 Goals
60%
1/32/15
Under 1.5 Goals
40%
9/419/5
Over 3.5 Goals
15%
11/41/1
Under 3.5 Goals
85%
1/47/10
Over 4.5 Goals
5%
7/118/5
Under 4.5 Goals
95%
1/121/7
Over 5.5 Goals
2%
16/122/1
Under 5.5 Goals
98%
1/401/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
87%
1/141/12
Under 0.5 Goals
13%
8/111/2
Home DNB
77%
8/114/5
Away DNB
34%
1/110/11
Dundalk win to nil
43%
3/1-
Derry win to nil
10%
7/2-
Dundalk / Dundalk
20%
3/110/1
Dundalk / Derry
3%
28/145/1
Dundalk / Draw
6%
14/122/1
Draw / Dundalk
13%
5/121/10
Draw / Derry
13%
11/214/5
Draw / Draw
17%
4/18/5
Derry / Dundalk
3%
28/140/1
Derry / Derry
18%
15/412/1
Derry / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Win / draw / win Premier Division table

Dundalk have played 10 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Premier Division league table. Dundalk are unbeaten in 6 games against teams below them in the league and kept 2 clean sheets out of 6 games. Dundalk are unbeaten at home after 4 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Dundalk have outscored their opponents by 18 goals to 12 goals.

Home League Performance

Dundalk have played 4 games at home winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 9 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Derry are in 7th position in the Premier Division on 10 points having played 10 matches so far this season. Derry are winless in the 6 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games. Derry are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 3 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won zero. Derry have conceded 8 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Dundalk
Derry
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Shamrock11822 
May 15
d
 
1-1A
Oct 30
Aug 7
Apr 24
l
 
1-0A
Aug 28
Jun 22
2
St Patrick's11920 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
Sep 4
Jul 24
May 22
d
 
0-00-0
Oct 9
Jul 31
3
Bohemians11720 
May 8
d
 
1-1A
Oct 9
Jun 19
l
 
0-1A
May 1
Jun 12
Aug 21
4
Dundalk11518 
-
-
-
-
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
Oct 23
May 29
5
Galway10-114 
Apr 17
d
 
2-2F
Aug 21
Jun 12
May 4
l
 
2-1A
Sep 18
Jun 19
6
Shelbourne10013 
May 1
w
 
2-3F
Sep 18
Jul 3
l
 
1-2A
Apr 17
May 25
Sep 11
7
Derry11-111 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 29
Oct 23
-
-
-
-
8
Drogheda10-310 
d
 
1-1F
May 22
Jul 10
Aug 28
d
 
2-2F
May 8
Jun 26
Oct 16
9
Sligo11-118 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 25
Jul 31
Oct 17
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Aug 7
Oct 30
10
Waterford10-134 
w
 
5-0F
May 4
Jun 26
Sep 11
w
 
4-2A
May 15
Jul 3
Sep 4
Win / draw / win form
6
Derry have not won in 6 consecutive league games
Dundalk 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
Derry 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Derry have not lost to Dundalk in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Dundalk since 2019
Dundalk
Derry
Goals: Scored
13
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
DLK
3
D
5
DER
3
League games at Derry since 2019
Derry
Dundalk
Goals: Scored
16
14
Games: Scored
9 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
3 / 12
DLK
4
D
5
DER
3
Goal Statistics
Dundalk 4th Derry 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Dundalk will score 1 or more goals
0
56%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Derry will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Dundalk have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-11
Derry have scored 11% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premier Division - 2026/2026 season
Dundalk
PG (predicted goals)
Derry
1.4
0.6
Attack rating
39%
better
DLK
DER
view stats
Games scored9
6
Failed to score1
4
Scored first7
1
Goals scored18
12
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for18
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+39%
Defence rating
18%
better
DLK
DER
view stats
Games conceded7
8
Clean sheets3
2
Conceded first3
7
Goals conceded13
13
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against14%
19%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+18%

Dundalk v Derry Premier Division lLine ups will show here when available.

Dundalk Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10326
B BurnsE KennyG ArubiA Dervin
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Minogue GLK5
-
J Wilson DEF101
1
-
M Animasahun DEF7
1
-
H. Warren DEF7
2
-
T Wilson DEF1121
1
-
H. Groome MID10
1
-
B Burns MID112
2
-
E Kenny MID113
-
K Buckley MID111
3
-
D McDaid MID1111
1
-
G Arubi FWD1132
1
-
Subs
P Cherrie GLK1
-
L Mulligan DEF
-
S. Spaight DEF3
-
A Dervin MID91
5
1
R. Teahan MID72
1
-
S. Tracey MID41
-
L. Gaxha FWD
-
T. Molloy FWD
-
Derry Premier Division squad statistics 2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10234
B FlemingJ ClarkeJ McCleanJ McClean
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E. Beach GLK9
1
-
C Barr DEF5
-
J Stott DEF91
3
-
R Slevin DEF5
1
-
B Cotter MID8
1
-
C Winchester MID7
1
-
A O'Reilly MID10
1
-
B Fleming MID101
1
-
J Clarke FWD102
3
-
B Doherty FWD52
2
-
D Akinyemi FWD102
1
-
Subs
S. Callister GLK1
-
C Dummigan  DEF3
-
A Bannon DEF611
-
J McClean DEF103
3
1
D Markey MID711
2
-
K. Carvalho Santos MID2
-
H Rylah MID611
-
J Olayinka MID8
-
J Thomas FWD111
2
-