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AC Monza v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 14:00 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

AC Monza and their manager Alessandro Mangiarratti will be looking to get one over on Gian Piero Gasperini and his Atalanta side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Stadio Brianteo in the Serie A. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Atalanta to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the home team, that way is Atalanta's. We predict Sunday's visitors to Stadio Brianteo will be coming away victorious, and there's plenty of evidence to support that view in the sides' recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from bookies too. They make an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely result, and give a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 72% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
9%
13.00
30%
-
Draw
18%
6.00
9%
-
Atalanta
72%
1.25
3%
-
Atalanta 2-0
15%
6.50
7%
-
Atalanta 1-0
15%
8.50
6%
-
Atalanta 3-0
10%
7.50
6%
-
Atalanta 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
11.00
10%
-
Draw 0-0
7%
17.00
13%
-
Atalanta 3-1
6%
11.00-
Atalanta 4-0
5%
11.00
15%
-
Monza 1-0
4%
29.00
26%
-
Atalanta 4-1
3%
17.00-
Draw 2-2
3%
23.00
10%
-
Monza 2-1
2%
29.00
12%
-
Atalanta 5-0
2%
21.00
9%
-
Atalanta 3-2
2%
26.00-
Atalanta 5-1
1%
29.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
1.50
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
2.62
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
32%
4.75
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
63%
1.18
2%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
17.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
39%
2.00
3%
-
BTTS - No
61%
1.75
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
4%
19.00
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
11%
7.50
7%
-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
2.88-
Home/draw
28%
3.75
7%
-
Away/draw
91%
1.04
2%
-
Home/away
82%
1.12
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
1.17-
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2.30
3%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.62
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
4.00
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1.25
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
7.00
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.10
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.02
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
17.00
13%
-
Home DNB
22%
10.00
25%
-
Away DNB
85%
1.06
2%
-
Monza win to nil
6%
19.00
12%
-
Atalanta win to nil
49%
2.00
5%
-
Monza / Monza
4%
21.00
24%
-
Monza / Atalanta
4%
19.00-
Monza / Draw
4%
23.00
10%
-
Draw / Monza
4%
23.00
21%
-
Draw / Atalanta
21%
4.00-
Draw / Draw
9%
9.00
13%
-
Atalanta / Monza
2%
51.00-
Atalanta / Atalanta
48%
1.73
5%
-
Atalanta / Draw
4%
21.00
11%
-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 20th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

34 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 23 games, drawn 9 and won 2. Monza have conceded 59 goals, scored 25, failed to score in 15 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 17 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 11 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 3rd place on 65 points in the Serie A league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 30 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 62 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 17 away games, winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monza
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3422842974 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
2
Inter3421853971 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
3
Atalanta Away3419873665 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
Juventus34161442062 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
5
Bologna34161351561 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
6
Roma3417981760 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
May 12
w
 
0-2F
7
Lazio3417981260 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
8
Fiorentina3417891959 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Milan34159101554 
l
 
0-1A
May 25
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
10
Torino34101311-143 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
11
Como 19073411914-442 
l
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
12
Udinese3411815-1241 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
13
Genoa3491213-1239 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
5-1F
May 18
14
Cagliari348917-1433 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
15
Parma3461414-1332 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 25
w
 
1-3F
16
Verona349520-3232 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
17
Lecce346919-3227 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
18
Venezia3441317-2125 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
19
Empoli3441317-2725 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
20
Monza Home342923-3415 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
May 4
Win / draw / win form
6
Monza have not won in 6 consecutive home league games
Monza 20TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza0 - 1Napoli
Monza1 - 3Como 1907
Monza1 - 1Parma
Monza0 - 2Torino
Monza0 - 0Lecce
Monza0 - 1Verona
Monza2 - 1Fiorentina
Monza1 - 2Cagliari
Monza1 - 2Juventus
Monza1 - 2Udinese
Monza0 - 1Lazio
Monza0 - 1Milan
Monza2 - 2Venezia
Monza1 - 1Roma
Monza1 - 2Bologna
Monza1 - 1Inter
Monza0 - 1Genoa
Monza0 - 1Frosinone
Monza2 - 2Lazio
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
D
2
Lost
17
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMonza0 - 2Juventus
HMonza0 - 1Napoli
AMonza0 - 1Venezia
HMonza1 - 3Como 1907
AMonza0 - 3Cagliari
HMonza1 - 1Parma
AMonza2 - 3Inter
HMonza0 - 2Torino
AMonza0 - 4Roma
HMonza0 - 0Lecce
AMonza1 - 5Lazio
HMonza0 - 1Verona
AMonza0 - 2Genoa
AMonza1 - 3Bologna
HMonza2 - 1Fiorentina
HMonza1 - 2Cagliari
AMonza1 - 2Parma
HMonza1 - 2Juventus
AMonza1 - 2Lecce
HMonza1 - 2Udinese
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Juventus0 - 4Atalanta
Empoli0 - 5Atalanta
Verona0 - 5Atalanta
Como 19071 - 2Atalanta
Udinese0 - 0Atalanta
Lazio1 - 1Atalanta
Cagliari0 - 1Atalanta
Roma0 - 2Atalanta
Parma1 - 3Atalanta
Napoli0 - 3Atalanta
Venezia0 - 2Atalanta
Bologna1 - 1Atalanta
Inter4 - 0Atalanta
Torino2 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Atalanta
Salernitana1 - 2Atalanta
Monza1 - 2Atalanta
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta1 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 0Milan
HAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta0 - 1Lazio
AAtalanta0 - 1Fiorentina
HAtalanta0 - 2Inter
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
AAtalanta5 - 0Verona
HAtalanta1 - 1Torino
AAtalanta2 - 1Como 1907
HAtalanta2 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta0 - 0Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 1Lazio
HAtalanta3 - 2Empoli
AAtalanta1 - 0Cagliari
HAtalanta2 - 1Milan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Atalanta have beaten Monza in 5 consecutive league meetings
5
Atalanta have not lost to Monza in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Monza since 2022
Monza
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
1
4
Games: Scored
1 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
1 / 2
ATA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monza
1 - 2Atalanta
0 - 2Atalanta
League games at Atalanta since 2023
Atalanta
Monza
Goals: Scored
10
2
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
ATA
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta2 - 0
Atalanta3 - 0
Atalanta5 - 2
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for AC Monza fans, as should a 5 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Monza 20th Atalanta 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.6
goals
2.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Monza will fail to score
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
16%
There is a 61% probability that Atalanta will score 2 or more goals in this match
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Monza have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
+25
Atalanta have scored 25% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283382/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
0.6
2.1
Attack rating
MON
ATA
44%
better
view stats
Games scored19
27
Failed to score15
7
Scored first9
19
Goals scored25
67
Avg. goals scored0.7
2
Avg. shots per game7
11
Avg. shots per goal9
6
Conversion rate for11
18
Avg. XG for0.8
1.9
KickOff rating
+44%
Defence rating
MON
ATA
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded31
20
Clean sheets3
14
Conceded first23
12
Goals conceded59
31
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against17%
12%
Avg. XG against1.6
1
KickOff rating
+42%

Monza v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
305412
S TuratiD MotaG KyriakopoulosA Izzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Pereira DEF3213
10
-
S Turati GLK30
1
-
A Bianco MID301
8
-
G Kyriakopoulos MID2924
5
-
G Caprari FWD2921
3
-
A Izzo DEF2811
12
-
D Mota FWD2852
3
-
A Carboni DEF231
5
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF201
2
1
P Ciurria MID1711
1
-
S Birindelli DEF162
2
-
S Vignato MID15
-
L Caldirola DEF10
5
-
M Pessina MID10
2
-
J Akpro  MID10
3
-
S Sensi  MID91
-
G Castrovilli MID9
-
K. Maussi Martins FWD91
1
-
A Petagna FWD9
1
-
K Urbański MID8
1
-
K Baldé FWD81
1
-
R Gagliardini MID7
1
-
S Ganvoula FWD7
-
O. Forson FWD7
-
T Palacios DEF6
1
-
S Lekovic DEF6
-
K. Zeroli MID6
-
S Pizzignacco GLK4
-
A Brorsson DEF3
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
312489
M RoonM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Roon MID3343
5
-
Éderson MID3341
4
1
M Retegui FWD32245
2
-
C Ketelaere FWD3255
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK31
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF3112
4
-
R Bellanova MID308
3
-
M Pasalic MID3033
1
-
L Samardžić MID2921
3
-
I Hien DEF28
9
-
A Lookman FWD28135
5
-
M Ruggeri MID272
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2742
3
-
M Brescianini MID2532
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF232
7
-
J Cuadrado MID212
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF14
1
-
R Tolói DEF10
1
-
M Palestra MID7
-
G Scalvini DEF6
2
-
I Sulemana MID6
1
-
D Maldini MID6
-
S Posch DEF4
-
R Patrício GLK2
-
G Scamacca FWD1
-