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AC Monza v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadio Brianteo, Monza

Gian Piero Gasperini is aiming for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Atalanta side to the Stadio Brianteo to visit AC Monza and Raffaele Palladino. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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AC Monza's next match is v Frosinone at 14:00 on Sunday 19th May
Atalanta's next match is v Lecce at 17:00 on Saturday 18th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Monza and Atalanta was on Sunday 21st April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 21st 2024
Monza 1
2 Atalanta
 
D. Maldini 89'44' C. De Ketelaere
72' E. Toure
 
MON
ATA
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
9
5
Corners
2
8
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
8
14
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/0
 
MonzaAtalanta
 
M. Di Gregorio
A. Izzo (L. Caldirola 78')
P. Marí Villar
S. Birindelli
A. Colpani (V. Carboni 54')
M. Pessina
W. Bondo
R. Gagliardini (D. D'Ambrosio 78')
G. Kiriakopoulos (D. Maldini 65')
A. Zerbin
M. Đurić (L. Colombo 78')
M. Carnesecchi
(B. Djimsiti 68') R. Tolói
S. Kolašinac
I. Hien
(M. de Roon 68') É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
(T. Koopmeiners 64') football iconC. De Ketelaere
(M. Ruggeri 46') M. Bakker
M. Pašalić
(H. Hateboer 28') E. Holm
A. Lookman
football iconE. Toure
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Monza and Atalanta will score a minimum of two between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
32%
11/4
5%
16/5
3%
Draw
24%
3/1
11%
13/5
Atalanta
44%
17/2017/20
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
6/1
Atalanta 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Atalanta 1-0
9%
7/17/1
6%
Monza 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
12/1
8%
Monza 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
12/1
8%
Atalanta 2-0
7%
8/117/2
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
Atalanta 3-1
5%
14/114/1
Monza 2-0
5%
18/1
10%
22/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
14/114/1
Monza 3-1
3%
28/133/1
17%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/1
13%
22/1
Monza 3-2
3%
33/133/1
Monza 3-0
2%
40/160/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/53/4
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/119/20
3%
Home 1st Goal
47%
8/58/5
2%
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/74/6
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
11/1
8%
BTTS - Yes
59%
3/4
3%
7/10
3%
BTTS - No
41%
1/1
2%
11/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
11/2
7%
6/1
BTTS - Draw
19%
4/1
11%
17/5
BTTS - Away Win
23%
11/4
7%
5/2
3%
Home/draw
56%
10/1119/20
1%
Away/draw
68%
1/4
3%
2/9
Home/away
76%
2/9
5%
2/7
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
3%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
6%
27/10
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
11/5
7%
19/10
4%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/29/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/72/15
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
18%
11/1
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/22
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/22
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
Home DNB
49%
7/4
5%
2/1
Away DNB
61%
2/5
3%
4/11
Monza win to nil
15%
11/2
14%
13/2
Atalanta win to nil
21%
12/5
3%
23/10
3%
Monza / Monza
13%
11/213/2
Monza / Atalanta
4%
20/1
10%
22/1
13%
Monza / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Draw / Monza
10%
15/28/1
Draw / Atalanta
17%
4/118/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/29/2
Atalanta / Monza
2%
33/140/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
27%
2/12/1
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Monza have conceded 30 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Monza have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 7th place on 51 points in the Serie A league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 5 games. They have scored 43 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 17 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 16 away games, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Monza
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Atalanta
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-5A
l
 
2-0A
 Inter3629526792 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
4-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Milan3622862974 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
 Bologna36181352467 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
May 26
 Juventus36181352167 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Atalanta Away35196102663 
-
-
l
 
1-4A
l
 
1-0A
 Roma36179101960 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Lazio36185131059 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
 Fiorentina36159121354 
Jun 2
l
 
3-2F
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
 Napoli37131311752 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Torino36121410150 
May 26
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
 Genoa36111312-146 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
-
-
 Monza Home36111213-945 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Lecce3681315-2037 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3681018-1434 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
 Udinese3651813-1733 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
 Cagliari3671217-2733 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 19
w
 
2-3F
 Frosinone3671118-2532 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
 Empoli368820-2632 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Sassuolo367821-3029 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Salernitana3621024-4816 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
Monza 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is to be admired, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for AC Monza makes sense in this context.

Atalanta have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.6 against AC Monza on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Monza 12th Atalanta 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Monza will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
=0
Monza’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+10
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264613/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
MON
ATA
34%
better
view stats
Games scored24
31
Failed to score12
4
Scored first14
23
Goals scored39
65
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.9
Avg. shots per game9
11
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate13%
17%
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
MON
ATA
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded24
22
Clean sheets12
13
Conceded first17
11
Goals conceded48
39
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate13%
13%
KickOff rating
+13%

Monza v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35849
M PessinaA ColpaniA ColpaniA Izzo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gregorio GLK33
-
S Birindelli DEF332
7
-
A Izzo DEF21
9
-
P Marí DEF32
7
-
G Kyriakopoulos DEF263
3
-
R Gagliardini MID3112
5
-
W Bondo MID2311
8
-
A Colpani MID3684
1
-
M Pessina MID3563
4
-
A Zerbin MID111
-
M Djuric FWD1541
2
-
Subs
A Sorrentino GLK5
-
S Gori GLK
-
A Carboni DEF211
1
-
G Donati DEF4
3
-
L Caldirola DEF2911
6
-
P Pereira DEF212
3
-
D D'Ambrosio DEF22
4
-
V Carboni MID2923
1
-
S Vignato FWD101
2
-
L Colombo FWD2541
3
-
D Maldini FWD1141
-
A Ferraris FWD
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212610
ÉdersonT KoopmeinersM PasalicM Roon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK26
-
R Tolói DEF15
4
-
I Hien DEF131
2
-
S Kolasinac DEF311
5
-
E Holm MID2111
5
-
Éderson MID3561
8
-
M Pasalic MID3256
2
-
M Bakker MID131
1
-
C Ketelaere MID3296
1
-
A Lookman MID2996
4
-
E Touré FWD82
1
-
Subs
J Musso GLK10
-
F Rossi GLK
-
D Zappacosta DEF2921
5
-
B Djimsiti DEF351
4
-
M Ruggeri DEF334
3
-
H Hateboer DEF211
4
-
G Bonfanti DEF1
-
T Koopmeiners MID33125
5
-
M Roon MID315
10
-
M Adopo MID91
-
A Miranchuk MID2435
1
-
G Scamacca FWD27105
1
-