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Milan v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Inter Milan, led by manager Simone Inzaghi, visit Giuseppe Pillon and his Milan side at the Giuseppe Meazza on Sunday evening in the Serie A. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats for this fixture are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Milan's next match is v Feyenoord at 20:00 on Wednesday 12th February
Inter Milan's next match is v Juventus at 19:45 on Sunday 16th February
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Inter was on Sunday 2nd February 2025
Italian Serie A
February 2nd 2025
Milan 1
1 Inter
 
T. Reijnders 45'90' S. de Vrij
 
ACM
INT
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
1
7
Corners
8
11
Possession
38%
62%
Fouls
5
9
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
MilanInter
 
M. Maignan
K. Walker
S. Pavlović
F. Tomori
T. Hernández
T. Reijndersfootball icon
Y. Musah (F. Terracciano 78')
I. Bennacer (A. Jiménez Sánchez 46')
C. Pulisic (S. Chukwueze 86')
R. Conceição Leão (M. Gabbia 85')
K. Bakumo-Abraham (F. Camarda 78')
Y. Sommer
(Y. Bisseck 63') B. Pavard
football iconS. de Vrij
(C. Zopalato Neves 63') A. Bastoni
(N. Zalewski 76') F. Dimarco
D. Dumfries
(D. Frattesi 76') H. Mkhitaryan
N. Barella
(P. Zieliński 63') H. Çalhanoğlu
L. Martínez
M. Thuram

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this fixture, meaning that the teams will score at least two goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Milan and Inter's recent form stats suggest goals are to be expected, while their head-to-head (H2H) record also supports the bet. The bookies make it the most likely outcome in this market too, available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
23%
10/3
44%
16/5
45%
Draw
24%
5/2
6%
5/2
Inter
53%
17/20
20%
10/11
17%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Inter 1-0
10%
7/1
11%
6/1
13%
Inter 2-1
10%
15/2
11%
13/2
12%
Inter 2-0
9%
17/2
21%
15/2
23%
Milan 1-0
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
22%
Milan 2-1
6%
12/1
18%
11/1
26%
Draw 0-0
6%
11/18/1
5%
Inter 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
20%
Inter 3-0
5%
14/1
29%
12/1
24%
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
Milan 2-0
3%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Inter 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Inter 4-1
3%
28/1
29%
20/1
19%
Inter 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
32%
Milan 3-1
2%
33/1
48%
22/1
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/54/5
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/110/11
2%
Home 1st Goal
43%
13/8
19%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/15
12%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10
2%
8/11
5%
BTTS - No
46%
21/20
2%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
36%
11/2
30%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
17/5
5%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4
13%
13/5
14%
Home/draw
47%
10/11
22%
17/20
18%
Away/draw
77%
1/5
12%
2/9
13%
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
3/10
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
3/15/2
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
2/119/10
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
2/54/11
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/72/15
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
8/1
5%
Home DNB
40%
2/1
43%
15/8
37%
Away DNB
70%
4/11
19%
4/11
19%
Milan win to nil
11%
7/1
45%
-
Inter win to nil
28%
12/5
21%
-
Milan / Milan
12%
11/2
37%
11/2
44%
Milan / Inter
4%
20/1
9%
18/1
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
8%
Draw / Milan
10%
15/2
31%
7/1
23%
Draw / Inter
17%
4/1
9%
18/5
16%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/219/5
4%
Inter / Milan
3%
33/1
31%
25/1
24%
Inter / Inter
27%
2/1
20%
19/10
19%
Inter / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Milan have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Milan have played 11 games at home, winning 5, drawing 5 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 2nd place on 50 points in the Serie A league table having played 21 matches. Inter are unbeaten away after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 15, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 54 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 17 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Inter have played 10 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli2417432255 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
d
 
1-1A
Mar 2
2
Inter Away2416623554 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
3
Atalanta2415542850 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
4
Lazio2414371345 
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
May 18
w
 
0-6F
5
Juventus24101312043 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
4-4F
Feb 16
6
Fiorentina2412661642 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
7
Milan Home2310851138 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
8
Bologna239113838 
May 11
Feb 26
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
9
Roma24978634 
d
 
1-1F
May 18
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
10
Udinese248610-830 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
11
Torino246108-328 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
w
 
3-2F
May 11
12
Genoa24699-1127 
d
 
0-00-0
May 4
Feb 22
d
 
2-2A
13
Cagliari246612-1324 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
Apr 13
w
 
0-3F
14
Lecce246612-2324 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
15
Verona247215-2723 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
May 4
w
 
0-5F
16
Como 1907245712-1222 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 25
17
Empoli244911-1321 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
18
Parma244812-1420 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
Apr 6
19
Venezia243714-1716 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza242715-1813 
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Mar 9
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
Milan 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
9
L
2
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Inter 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
55
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Inter
Goals: Scored
13
16
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
ACM
2
D
4
INT
4
League games at Inter since 2015
Inter
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
13
Games: Scored
10 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
1 / 11
ACM
3
D
2
INT
6
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan's defensive record is to be admired, Simone Inzaghi's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Inter Milan have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 24 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.8 against Milan on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Milan 7th Inter 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+45
Inter have scored 45% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
2.8
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283266/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
ACM
INT
40%
better
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score4
0
Scored first10
15
Goals scored29
51
Avg. goals scored1.5
2.6
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate for13
22
Avg. XG for1.7
2
KickOff rating
+40%
Defence rating
ACM
INT
14%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
10
Clean sheets8
10
Conceded first8
5
Goals conceded21
18
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+14%

Milan v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23763
M Maignan T ReijndersC PulisicF Tomori
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK23
1
-
K Walker DEF2
-
F Tomori DEF14
2
1
S Pavlovic DEF1311
2
-
T Hernández DEF2032
2
1
Y Musah MID182
2
-
I Bennacer MID6
2
-
T Reijnders MID2273
2
1
C Pulisic FWD1966
-
T Abraham FWD1822
-
R Leão FWD2154
2
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK
-
L. Torriani GLK
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF6
2
-
M Thiaw DEF14
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
1
M Gabbia DEF141
3
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-
F Terracciano MID9
2
-
L Jović  FWD5
1
-
N Okafor FWD1
-
S Chukwueze FWD192
-
F. Camarda FWD8
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241354
Y SommerM ThuramN Barella D Dumfries
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK24
-
B Pavard DEF151
3
-
S Vrij DEF192
1
-
A Bastoni DEF2314
3
-
D Dumfries MID2061
4
-
N Barella  MID2135
2
-
H Calhanoglu  MID1642
3
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2214
3
-
F Dimarco MID2134
2
-
M Thuram FWD24134
1
-
L Martínez FWD2293
-
Subs
J Martínez GLK
-
A. Calligaris GLK
-
F Acerbi DEF101
-
C Augusto DEF1721
-
Y Bisseck DEF1511
3
-
M Darmian DEF2022
2
-
P Zielinski MID1822
-
D Frattesi MID2041
1
-
K Asllani MID142
3
-
G. De Pieri MID
-
N Zalewski MID21
1
-
M Arnautovic  FWD911
1
-
M Taremi FWD1811
1
-