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Milan v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Stefano Pioli and Simone Inzaghi clash in the Serie A on Monday evening, as Milan face Inter Milan at the Giuseppe Meazza. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for the 17 biggest betting markets plus predictions, stats and head to head (H2H) data for these two clubs. You can access it all using the tabs below.

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Milan's next match is v Torino at 19:45 on Saturday 18th May
Inter Milan's next match is v Lazio at 17:00 on Sunday 19th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Inter was on Monday 22nd April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 22nd 2024
Milan 1
2 Inter
 
F. Tomori 80'18' F. Acerbi
49' M. Thuram
 
ACM
INT
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
6
6
Corners
5
3
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
19
10
Yellow/red cards
3/2
2/1
 
MilanInter
 
M. Maignan
D. Calabria
T. Hernández
M. Gabbia
F. Tomorifootball icon
Y. Musah (N. Okafor 77')
T. Reijnders (O. Giroud 52')
R. Loftus-Cheek (S. Chukwueze 68')
Y. Adli (I. Bennacer 68')
C. Pulisic
R. Conceição Leão
Y. Sommer
(D. Dumfries 84') M. Darmian
(C. Zopalato Neves 78') F. Dimarco
B. Pavard
football iconF. Acerbi
(S. de Vrij 88') A. Bastoni
(K. Asllani 84') H. Çalhanoğlu
H. Mkhitaryan
(D. Frattesi 77') N. Barella
L. Martínez
football iconM. Thuram
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but good reason to think Milan and Inter will score at least a couple of goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Stefano Pioli or Simone Inzaghi has subjected their supporters to too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to roughly a 77% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Inter coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
31%
11/4
25%
27/10
16%
Draw
25%
12/55/2
3%
Inter
44%
1/1
15%
1/1
11%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Inter 1-0
10%
15/27/1
6%
Inter 2-1
9%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
Milan 1-0
8%
11/1
20%
11/1
9%
Inter 2-0
7%
9/1
17%
9/1
17%
Milan 2-1
7%
12/1
18%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
10%
11/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/112/1
Milan 2-0
5%
18/1
27%
20/1
24%
Inter 3-1
5%
14/1
21%
14/1
12%
Inter 3-0
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
17%
Milan 3-1
3%
28/1
26%
28/1
26%
Inter 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
Milan 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
33/1
17%
Milan 3-0
2%
40/1
21%
50/1
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
3%
4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
3%
10/11
Home 1st Goal
45%
7/5
6%
29/20
9%
Away 1st Goal
51%
8/13
3%
8/11
7%
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
10%
11/1
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/6
2%
4/6
3%
BTTS - No
44%
11/10
2%
11/10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
15%
11/2
8%
5/1
15%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/313/4
1%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/1
11%
11/4
6%
Home/draw
56%
4/5
8%
4/5
8%
Away/draw
69%
1/4
5%
2/7
5%
Home/away
75%
3/103/10
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
3%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
7%
13/5
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/5
12%
2/1
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/11
5%
4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
8%
19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
2%
1/8
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
15%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/22
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/22
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
10%
10/1
Home DNB
48%
13/8
25%
13/8
19%
Away DNB
62%
4/9
14%
4/9
10%
Milan win to nil
15%
6/1
27%
6/1
13%
Inter win to nil
23%
11/4
6%
13/5
13%
Milan / Milan
14%
9/2
16%
11/2
24%
Milan / Inter
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
Milan / Draw
6%
14/114/1
Draw / Milan
11%
13/2
15%
7/1
14%
Draw / Inter
17%
4/1
9%
19/5
9%
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
Inter / Milan
2%
28/140/1
21%
Inter / Inter
25%
9/4
13%
23/10
11%
Inter / Draw
6%
12/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 32 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Milan have a shocking record against teams above them in the league, they have lost all 1 matches and failed to score in 0 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won zero. Milan have conceded 5 goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Milan have played 15 games at home, winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 26 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 83 points in the Serie A league table having played 32 matches. Inter are unbeaten away after 15 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 32 games against teams below them in the table, winning 26, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 77 goals and kept 19 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 17 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Inter have played 15 away games, winning 13, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.5 goals per away game.

Milan
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Inter
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-1A
 Inter Away3629526792 
-
-
-
-
 Milan Home3622862974 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-2F
 Bologna36181352467 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Juventus36181352167 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2A
 Atalanta35196102663 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
 Roma36179101960 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Lazio36185131059 
May 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Fiorentina36159121354 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Napoli37131311752 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
4-1F
May 18
 Torino36121410150 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Genoa36111312-146 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
4-2A
 Monza36111213-945 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-5F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Lecce3681315-2037 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3681018-1434 
w
 
2-1F
May 26
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
 Udinese3651813-1733 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
5-1F
w
 
1-3A
 Cagliari3671217-2733 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Frosinone3671118-2532 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
 Empoli368820-2632 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
 Sassuolo367821-3029 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
May 26
d
 
2-2F
 Salernitana3621024-4816 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-4F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
48
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Inter
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
ACM
2
D
4
INT
3
All league games since 2014
Milan
Inter
Goals: Scored
23
33
Games: Scored
12 / 19
16 / 19
Clean sheets
3 / 19
7 / 19
ACM
4
D
6
INT
9
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 40 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Milan on Monday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Milan 2nd Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
21%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 79% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Milan have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+53
Inter have scored 53% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
2.5
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
0.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264609/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.2
1.5
Attack rating
ACM
INT
21%
better
view stats
Games scored33
35
Failed to score3
1
Scored first25
33
Goals scored72
86
Avg. goals scored2
2.4
Avg. shots per game11
12
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate18%
20%
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
ACM
INT
44%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
15
Clean sheets13
21
Conceded first10
3
Goals conceded43
19
Avg. goals conceded1.2
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
14
Conversion rate13%
7%
KickOff rating
+44%

Milan v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3114912
T ReijndersO GiroudR LeãoT Hernández
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK291
1
1
D Calabria DEF283
4
1
M Gabbia DEF1721
5
-
F Tomori DEF244
6
-
T Hernández DEF3154
11
1
T Reijnders MID3433
8
-
Y Adli MID2312
3
-
Y Musah MID292
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2961
5
-
C Pulisic MID34127
2
-
R Leão FWD3289
5
-
Subs
M Sportiello GLK6
-
L Nava GLK
-
M Caldara DEF
-
A Florenzi  DEF2913
5
-
F Terracciano MID2
1
-
I Bennacer MID1712
2
-
L Jović  FWD2161
2
1
N Okafor FWD2762
1
-
S Chukwueze FWD2413
1
-
O Giroud FWD33148
1
1
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
342486
H MkhitaryanL MartínezH MkhitaryanB Pavard
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK33
1
-
B Pavard DEF222
6
-
F Acerbi DEF2731
1
-
A Bastoni DEF2713
5
-
M Darmian MID3221
2
-
N Barella  MID3523
6
-
H Calhanoglu  MID30133
5
-
H Mkhitaryan MID3528
4
-
F Dimarco MID2856
-
M Thuram FWD33137
3
-
L Martínez FWD32243
5
-
Subs
R Gennaro GLK
-
E Audero GLK3
-
D Dumfries DEF2935
2
1
S Vrij DEF251
-
C Augusto DEF353
1
-
Y Bisseck DEF152
-
S Sensi  MID41
-
J Cuadrado MID92
1
-
D Klaassen MID13
1
-
D Frattesi MID3062
1
-
T Buchanan MID81
-
K Asllani MID2212
1
-
M Arnautovic  FWD2633
-
A Sánchez FWD2124
-