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Milan v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Cristian Eugen Chivu is aiming for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Inter Milan side to the Giuseppe Meazza to visit Milan and Massimiliano Allegri. We've got bespoke stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are calculated from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Milan's next match is v Lazio at 19:45 on Sunday 15th March
Inter Milan's next match is v Atalanta at 14:00 on Saturday 14th March

The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Inter was on Sunday 8th March 2026

Italian Serie A

March 8th 2026

Milan 1	0 Inter

P. Estupiñán Tenorio 35'

	ACM INT
Shots On	2 2
Shots Off	6 5
Corners	1 6
Possession	37% 63%
Fouls	8 12
Yellow/red cards	2/0 2/0

Milan	Inter

K. De Winter A. Rabiot R. Conceição Leão (N. Füllkrug 73') C. Pulisic (C. Nkunku 84') L. Modrić M. Maignan P. Estupiñán Tenorio F. Tomori S. Pavlović Y. Fofana (S. Ricci 73') A. Saelemaekers	Y. Sommer P. Zieliński (D. Dumfries 59') L. Tomaz de Lima A. Bonny M. Akanji (A. Diouf 80') Y. Bisseck F. Dimarco (P. Sučić 59') H. Mkhitaryan (D. Frattesi 68') N. Barella F. Esposito (C. Zopalato Neves 68') A. Bastoni

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We're suggesting it's fairly unlikely that this match will deliver 4+ goals, and the odds and stats are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Milan and Inter haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, in the absence of a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.30.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Milan 28%	9/4	1/40 5%
Draw 27%	2/1 8%	14/1 3%
Inter 46%	29/20 12%	100/1 6%
Draw 1-1 13%	9/2 15%	5/1 4%
Inter 1-0 12%	15/2 20%	9/2 7%
Inter 2-1 9%	17/2 6%	40/1 6%
Milan 1-0 9%	9/1 10%	2/7 6%
Inter 2-0 9%	11/1 20%	17/2 5%
Draw 0-0 8%	8/1	17/5 6%
Milan 2-1 7%	11/1	28/1 5%
Draw 2-2 5%	11/1 27%	100/1 8%
Milan 2-0 5%	16/1	7/1
Inter 3-1 4%	18/1 12%	150/1
Inter 3-0 4%	22/1 10%	22/1
Milan 3-1 2%	25/1 12%	150/1 10%
Inter 3-2 2%	28/1 10%	125/1
Milan 3-2 2%	33/1 15%	200/1 12%
Milan 3-0 2%	33/1	50/1 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%	1/1 5%	60/1 5%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%	4/5 6%	1/500 5%
Home 1st Goal 44%	11/10 5%	7/5 2%
Away 1st Goal 51%	5/6 2%	11/10 1%
No 1st Goal 5%	8/1	17/5 6%
BTTS - Yes 49%	7/10 7%	12/1 6%
BTTS - No 51%	21/20 8%	1/50 5%
BTTS - Home Win 12%	11/2 8%	28/1 13%
BTTS - Draw 18%	3/1 17%	5/1 5%
BTTS - Away Win 19%	15/4	33/1 2%
Home/draw 54%	8/15 8%	1/1000 3%
Away/draw 72%	1/3	12/1 2%
Home/away 73%	4/11 2%	1/66 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%	3/10 1%	8/1 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 29%	5/2 7%	1/20 3%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%	12/5 9%	60/1 6%
Under 3.5 Goals 76%	1/3 5%	1/1000 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	11/2 8%	1/50 8%
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/9 2%	1/50 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1 13%	1/50 15%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25 1%	1/50 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/14	2/11
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	8/1	7/2
Home DNB 46%	6/5 2%	1/1000 7%
Away DNB 64%	8/13 3%	33/1 5%
Milan win to nil 16%	9/2 9%	-
Inter win to nil 27%	3/1 15%	-
Milan / Milan 17%	15/4 14%	4/7 4%
Milan / Inter 3%	25/1 12%	13/2
Milan / Draw 6%	12/1 13%	13/5
Draw / Milan 12%	6/1	25/1 7%
Draw / Inter 14%	9/2	20/1
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1 10%	18/1 2%
Inter / Milan 3%	28/1	100/1 19%
Inter / Inter 21%	11/4 7%	70/1 9%
Inter / Draw 7%	12/1	100/1 8%

Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Milan have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost zero games, drawn zero and won 1. Milan have conceded zero goals, scored 1, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Milan have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 67 points in the Serie A league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 1 and losing 4 games. They have scored 64 goals and kept 15 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Inter have played 13 away games, winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Milan Inter
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Inter	28	22	1	5	42	67	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	-	-
2	Milan	28	17	9	2	24	60	-	-	l 0-1A	l 1-0A
3	Napoli	28	17	5	6	14	56	w 2-1F	Apr 6	d 2-2F	l 3-1A
4	Roma	28	16	3	9	17	51	w 1-0F	d 1-1F	Apr 5	w 0-1F
5	Como 1907	28	14	9	5	25	51	d 1-1A	w 1-3A	w 4-0F	Apr 12
6	Juventus	28	14	8	6	22	50	Apr 26	d 0-00-0	w 3-2F	l 4-3A
7	Atalanta	28	12	10	6	13	46	May 10	d 1-1F	Mar 14	w 0-1F
8	Bologna	28	11	6	11	3	39	w 1-0F	w 0-3F	w 3-1F	May 24
9	Sassuolo	28	11	5	12	-3	38	d 2-2A	May 3	w 2-1F	w 0-5F
10	Lazio	28	9	10	9	0	37	w 1-0F	Mar 15	w 2-0F	May 10
11	Udinese	28	10	6	12	-8	36	Apr 12	w 0-3F	l 1-2F	w 0-1F
12	Parma	28	8	10	10	-12	34	l 0-1A	d 2-2F	May 3	w 0-2F
13	Genoa	28	7	9	12	-6	30	d 1-1A	May 17	w 2-0F	w 1-2F
14	Cagliari	28	7	9	12	-8	30	May 24	w 0-1F	Apr 19	w 0-2F
15	Torino	28	8	6	14	-21	30	Mar 21	w 2-3A	w 5-0F	Apr 26
16	Lecce	28	7	6	15	-17	27	w 1-0F	w 0-2F	w 1-0F	w 0-2F
17	Fiorentina	28	5	10	13	-12	25	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	w 3-0F	Mar 22
18	Cremonese	28	5	9	14	-18	24	l 1-2A	w 0-2F	w 4-1F	w 0-2F
19	Verona	28	3	9	16	-27	18	w 3-0F	Apr 19	May 17	w 1-2F
20	Pisa	28	1	12	15	-28	15	d 2-2F	w 1-2F	w 6-2A	w 0-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Inter have won 9 consecutive away league games

Inter have not lost in 15 consecutive league games

Inter have kept a clean sheet for 6 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

13 / 20

Clean sheets

7 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Draw

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan	0 - 1	Parma
Milan	1 - 1	Como 1907
Milan	1 - 0	Lecce
Milan	1 - 1	Genoa
Milan	3 - 0	Verona
Milan	2 - 2	Sassuolo
Milan	1 - 0	Lazio
Milan	1 - 0	Roma
Milan	2 - 2	Pisa
Milan	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 1	Napoli
Milan	1 - 0	Bologna
Milan	1 - 2	Cremonese
Milan	2 - 0	Monza
Milan	3 - 1	Bologna
Milan	0 - 1	Atalanta
Milan	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 1	Como 1907
Milan	1 - 2	Lazio
Milan	1 - 0	Verona

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Milan	2 - 0	Cremonese
H	Milan	0 - 1	Parma
H	Milan	1 - 1	Como 1907
A	Milan	2 - 1	Pisa
A	Milan	3 - 0	Bologna
A	Milan	1 - 1	Roma
H	Milan	1 - 0	Lecce
A	Milan	3 - 1	Como 1907
A	Milan	1 - 1	Fiorentina
H	Milan	1 - 1	Genoa
A	Milan	1 - 0	Cagliari
H	Milan	3 - 0	Verona
H	Milan	2 - 2	Sassuolo
A	Milan	3 - 2	Torino
H	Milan	1 - 0	Lazio
A	Milan	1 - 0	Inter
A	Milan	2 - 2	Parma
H	Milan	1 - 0	Roma
A	Milan	1 - 1	Atalanta
H	Milan	2 - 2	Pisa

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce	0 - 2	Inter
Sassuolo	0 - 5	Inter
Cremonese	0 - 2	Inter
Udinese	0 - 1	Inter
Parma	0 - 2	Inter
Atalanta	0 - 1	Inter
Genoa	1 - 2	Inter
Pisa	0 - 2	Inter
Verona	1 - 2	Inter
Napoli	3 - 1	Inter
Roma	0 - 1	Inter
Cagliari	0 - 2	Inter
Juventus	4 - 3	Inter
Como 1907	0 - 2	Inter
Torino	0 - 2	Inter
Bologna	1 - 0	Inter
Parma	2 - 2	Inter
Atalanta	0 - 2	Inter
Napoli	1 - 1	Inter
Juventus	1 - 0	Inter

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

8 / 20

Clean sheets

12 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Inter	2 - 0	Genoa
A	Inter	2 - 0	Lecce
H	Inter	3 - 2	Juventus
A	Inter	5 - 0	Sassuolo
A	Inter	2 - 0	Cremonese
H	Inter	6 - 2	Pisa
A	Inter	1 - 0	Udinese
H	Inter	1 - 0	Lecce
H	Inter	2 - 2	Napoli
A	Inter	2 - 0	Parma
H	Inter	3 - 1	Bologna
A	Inter	1 - 0	Atalanta
A	Inter	2 - 1	Genoa
H	Inter	4 - 0	Como 1907
A	Inter	2 - 0	Pisa
H	Inter	0 - 1	Milan
H	Inter	2 - 0	Lazio
A	Inter	2 - 1	Verona
H	Inter	3 - 0	Fiorentina
A	Inter	1 - 3	Napoli

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Milan

Inter

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

3 / 11

ACM

INT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Inter
Milan	3 - 2
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 3	Inter
	0 - 2	Inter
	2 - 3	Inter
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Milan	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Inter

Milan

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

2 / 12

ACM

INT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Inter
	0 - 1	Milan
	1 - 2	Milan
Inter	5 - 1
Inter	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Milan
	1 - 2	Milan
Inter	4 - 2
Inter	1 - 0
Inter	3 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Inter	1 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw

Goal Statistics

Milan's defensive record is very strong, M. Allegri's men having conceded 1 or less in 12 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.4 for Inter Milan makes sense in this context.

	Milan 2nd	Inter 1st
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.0 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 35% 1 37% 2 19% 3 4+ There is a 72% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-10 Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+8 Inter’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.5 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	0.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season

ACM

INT

21%

better

view stats

Games scored	25		26
Failed to score	2		1
Scored first	17		23
Goals scored	43		64
Avg. goals scored	1.6		2.4
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	6		6
Conversion rate for	16		17
Avg. XG for	1.7		2.1
KickOff rating		+21%

ACM

INT

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		12
Clean sheets	12		15
Conceded first	9		4
Goals conceded	20		21
Avg. goals conceded	0.7		0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		6
Avg. shots/goal conceded	11		8
Conversion rate against	9%		13%
Avg. XG against	1.2		0.8
KickOff rating		+8%

Milan v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
27	9	4	6
M Maignan	R Leão	A Rabiot	A Rabiot

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Maignan GLK	27			3 -
F Tomori DEF	25		2	4 -
K Winter DEF	20	1	1	1 -
S Pavlovic DEF	24	3	1	2 -
A Saelemaekers MID	26	2	3	4 -
Y Fofana MID	23	1	3	4 -
L Modric MID	27	2	3	4 -
A Rabiot MID	20	4	4	5 1
P Estupiñán MID	15	1	1	2 1
C Pulisic FWD	21	8	2	-
R Leão FWD	21	9	2	3 -
Subs
P Terracciano GLK	2			-
L. Torriani GLK				-
Z. Athekame DEF	18	1	1	3 -
D Odogu DEF	1			-
D. Bartesaghi DEF	22	2		2 -
A Jashari MID	8		1	-
S Ricci MID	23	1	3	1 -
N Füllkrug FWD	12	1		-
C Nkunku FWD	22	5	3	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	22	4	6
R Leão	C Pulisic	A Rabiot	Y Fofana

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
R Leão FWD	9	22	2	6
C Pulisic FWD	8	22	2	5
Subs
C Nkunku FWD	5	11	3	3
A Rabiot MID	4	7	4	6
S Pavlovic DEF	3	4	1
A Saelemaekers MID	2	6	3	4
L Modric MID	2	7	3	6
Subs
D. Bartesaghi DEF	2	6		4
K Winter DEF	1	1	1	1
Y Fofana MID	1	12	3	6
P Estupiñán MID	1	1	1	3
Subs
Z. Athekame DEF	1	2	1	4
S Ricci MID	1	6	3	4
N Füllkrug FWD	1	4		2
F Tomori DEF		2	2	2
Subs
A Jashari MID		2	1	2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1768	56	154
L Modric	F Tomori	A Saelemaekers

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
L Modric MID	1768	44	91
F Tomori DEF	1284	56	80
S Pavlovic DEF	1267	32	116
A Saelemaekers MID	1016	54	154
A Rabiot MID	919	39	121
K Winter DEF	911	20	65
M Maignan GLK	800		12
Subs
D. Bartesaghi DEF	765	43	79
Y Fofana MID	573	33	66
Subs
S Ricci MID	504	10	38
R Leão FWD	444	4	73
C Pulisic FWD	443	11	54
P Estupiñán MID	421	12	27
Subs
A Jashari MID	259	10	18
C Nkunku FWD	219	4	38
Z. Athekame DEF	190	7	19
N Füllkrug FWD	83	2	16
P Terracciano GLK	31
D Odogu DEF	1		1

Inter Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
26	14	14	6
Y Sommer	L Martínez	F Dimarco	A Bastoni

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Y Sommer GLK	26			-
Y Bisseck DEF	17	2	2	2 -
M Akanji DEF	26	2		3 -
A Bastoni DEF	24	1	4	6 -
L Henrique MID	23	1	2	1 -
N Barella MID	25	1	5	5 -
P Zielinski MID	25	5	1	1 -
H Mkhitaryan MID	21	2	1	3 -
F Dimarco MID	26	6	14	2 -
A Bonny FWD	23	5	3	-
F. Esposito FWD	26	4	4	1 -
Subs
R Gennaro GLK				-
J Martínez GLK	2			-
D Dumfries DEF	12	1		2 -
S Vrij DEF	7			1 -
F Acerbi DEF	13		1	2 -
C Augusto DEF	25	1	1	3 -
M Darmian DEF	3			-
P. Sučić MID	25	1	2	2 -
D Frattesi MID	16			-
A Diouf MID	14			-
H Calhanoglu MID	18	8	2	6 -
L Martínez FWD	25	14	4	3 -
M. Lavelli FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
14	32	14	26
L Martínez	L Martínez	F Dimarco	F Dimarco

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Martínez FWD	14	32	4	10
H Calhanoglu MID	8	15	2	6
F Dimarco MID	6	19	14	26
P Zielinski MID	5	9	1	6
A Bonny FWD	5	9	3	4
F. Esposito FWD	4	16	4	2
Y Bisseck DEF	2	9	2	1
M Akanji DEF	2	4		2
H Mkhitaryan MID	2	9	1	3
A Bastoni DEF	1	7	4	7
L Henrique MID	1	6	2	5
N Barella MID	1	3	5	11
Subs
D Dumfries DEF	1	4		2
C Augusto DEF	1	4	1	1
P. Sučić MID	1	4	2	5
S Vrij DEF		2
F Acerbi DEF		1	1	1
D Frattesi MID		3		1
A Diouf MID		2		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1646	44	115
M Akanji	A Bastoni	A Bastoni

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
M Akanji DEF	1646	39	92
A Bastoni DEF	1645	44	115
N Barella MID	1231	40	84
Subs
H Calhanoglu MID	1148	24	48
P Zielinski MID	1092	17	52
F Dimarco MID	1086	43	67
Y Bisseck DEF	916	21	74
Y Sommer GLK	786		2
H Mkhitaryan MID	730	26	60
Subs
P. Sučić MID	726	30	74
L Henrique MID	703	19	32
Subs
C Augusto DEF	675	27	89
F Acerbi DEF	641	8	56
L Martínez FWD	523	20	99
S Vrij DEF	288	8	21
F. Esposito FWD	245	6	81
Subs
D Dumfries DEF	223	8	35
A Bonny FWD	184	12	48
Subs
A Diouf MID	123	6	16
D Frattesi MID	104	13	30
J Martínez GLK	63
M Darmian DEF	33		1
M. Lavelli FWD	1		1

Milan v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Milan have played 27 matches so far this season and are in 2nd position in the league. Milan have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Inter lay in 1st place on 67 points in the Serie A league table having played 27 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

Milan v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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