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Milan v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

the Giuseppe Meazza masses welcome Atalanta's supporters on Sunday evening, as Massimiliano Allegri's Milan face Raffaele Palladino's team in the Serie A. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head to head (H2H) stats between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Milan's next match is v Cagliari at 01:00 on Sunday 24th May
Atalanta's next match is v Fiorentina at 01:00 on Sunday 24th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Milan and Atalanta was on Sunday 10th May 2026
Italian Serie A
May 10th 2026
Milan 2
3 Atalanta
 
S. Pavlović 88'7' É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
C. Nkunku 90'29' D. Zappacosta
51' G. Raspadori
 
ACM
ATA
Shots On
9
5
Shots Off
8
2
Corners
2
2
Possession
58%
42%
Fouls
8
17
Yellow/red cards
3/0
4/0
 
MilanAtalanta
 
K. De Winter (Z. Athekame 58')
S. Ricci
R. Loftus-Cheek (C. Nkunku 46')
S. Giménez (N. Füllkrug 58')
R. Conceição Leão (Y. Fofana 58')
A. Rabiot
M. Maignan
S. Pavlovićfootball icon
D. Bartesaghi (P. Estupiñán Tenorio 80')
M. Gabbia
A. Saelemaekers
M. Carnesecchi
I. Hien
S. Kolašinac
M. de Roon
(M. Pašalić 63') C. De Ketelaere
football iconÉ. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
(K. Odilon 48') G. Scalvini
football iconG. Raspadori
N. Zalewski
(R. Bellanova 55') football iconD. Zappacosta
N. Krstović

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Milan and Atalanta combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records have led us to this conclusion, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of it being a winning tip. The best price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 36% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
35%
5/480/1
Draw
28%
9/411/1
Atalanta
37%
9/41/25
Draw 1-1
13%
5/14/1
Atalanta 1-0
11%
10/16/1
Milan 1-0
11%
7/113/2
Draw 0-0
10%
9/115/2
Atalanta 2-1
8%
11/13/1
Milan 2-1
8%
8/17/1
Atalanta 2-0
7%
16/129/10
Milan 2-0
6%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/2
Atalanta 3-1
3%
25/13/10
Milan 3-1
3%
16/114/1
Atalanta 3-0
3%
33/11/2
Milan 3-0
2%
20/116/1
Atalanta 3-2
2%
33/14/1
Milan 3-2
2%
25/116/1
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
10/112/9
Under 2.5 Goals
58%
10/1129/10
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/55/6
Away 1st Goal
47%
6/56/5
No 1st Goal
6%
9/115/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
7/1012/5
BTTS - No
52%
21/202/7
BTTS - Home Win
14%
7/280/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/322/1
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/21/1000
Home/draw
63%
1/315/2
Away/draw
65%
8/131/1000
Home/away
72%
1/31/20
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
2/71/12
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
11/46/1
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/57/5
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
4/118/15
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
5/19/4
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/83/10
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
12/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/251/10
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/161/18
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
9/18/1
Home DNB
54%
4/780/1
Away DNB
57%
5/41/1000
Milan win to nil
21%
3/1-
Atalanta win to nil
22%
5/1-
Milan / Milan
23%
13/5125/1
Milan / Atalanta
3%
28/11/50
Milan / Draw
7%
12/11/50
Draw / Milan
14%
9/280/1
Draw / Atalanta
11%
6/1125/1
Draw / Draw
16%
9/290/1
Atalanta / Milan
4%
25/112/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
16%
4/11/6
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/15/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 8 and lost 5 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Milan have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 47 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Atalanta are in 7th position in the Serie A on 55 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3727555486 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
2
Napoli3722782173 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
3
Milan37201071970 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-3F
4
Roma37224112670 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
5
Como 190737191173368 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
6
Juventus37191172768 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta37151391558 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
8
Bologna3716714355 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
9
Lazio37131212051 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
10
Udinese3714815-250 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
11
Sassuolo3714716-349 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
12
Torino3712817-1944 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
13
Parma37101215-1942 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
Genoa37101116-941 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
15
Fiorentina3791414-941 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 24
16
Cagliari37101017-1440 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
17
Lecce379820-2335 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
18
Cremonese3781019-2234 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Verona3731222-3421 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
20
Pisa3721223-4418 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Milan0 - 3Udinese
Milan3 - 2Torino
Milan1 - 0Inter
Milan0 - 1Parma
Milan1 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 1Genoa
Milan3 - 0Verona
Milan2 - 2Sassuolo
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan0 - 2Sassuolo
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari3 - 2Atalanta
Roma1 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 3Atalanta
Inter1 - 1Atalanta
Sassuolo2 - 1Atalanta
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Como 19070 - 0Atalanta
Pisa1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna0 - 2Atalanta
Genoa0 - 1Atalanta
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Udinese1 - 0Atalanta
Cremonese1 - 1Atalanta
Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
Torino0 - 3Atalanta
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Genoa2 - 3Atalanta
Monza0 - 4Atalanta
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta0 - 0Genoa
AAtalanta2 - 3Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 1Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta1 - 0Verona
AAtalanta1 - 1Inter
HAtalanta2 - 2Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 2Sassuolo
HAtalanta2 - 1Napoli
AAtalanta2 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta2 - 1Cremonese
AAtalanta0 - 0Como 1907
HAtalanta4 - 0Parma
AAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta1 - 0Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Inter
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Atalanta have not lost to Milan in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
ACM
2
D
5
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
0 - 1Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
11 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
1 / 12
ACM
4
D
4
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
Atalanta5 - 0
1 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Milan of late. It has been 5 Serie A matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Sunday evening against Atalanta.

Milan 3rd Atalanta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Milan have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.4
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
3%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games scored28
28
Failed to score7
7
Scored first20
18
Goals scored48
47
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for14
13
Avg. XG for1.6
1.7
KickOff rating
+3%
Defence rating
10%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games conceded20
22
Clean sheets15
13
Conceded first13
14
Goals conceded29
32
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
9
Conversion rate against10%
11%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+10%

Milan v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
36946
M Maignan R LeãoS RicciA Rabiot
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK36
3
-
K Winter DEF2611
1
-
M Gabbia DEF29
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF3351
3
-
A Saelemaekers MID3423
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2831
2
-
S Ricci MID3114
3
-
A Rabiot MID2864
5
1
D. Bartesaghi MID302
3
-
R Leão FWD2893
5
-
S Giménez FWD15
2
-
Subs
P Terracciano GLK2
-
M. Pittarella GLK
-
D Odogu DEF2
-
P Estupiñán DEF1911
5
1
Z. Athekame DEF2622
3
-
Y Fofana MID3223
4
-
A Jashari MID131
-
N Füllkrug FWD191
-
C Nkunku  FWD3173
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
371058
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicC KetelaereM Roon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK37
-
G Scalvini DEF2331
2
-
I Hien DEF271
5
-
S Kolasinac DEF19
3
-
D Zappacosta MID3433
2
-
M Roon MID3312
7
1
Éderson MID3021
3
-
N Zalewski MID3324
3
-
C Ketelaere FWD3035
4
-
G Raspadori FWD1231
-
N Krstovic FWD33105
4
-
Subs
F Rossi GLK
-
M Sportiello GLK
-
O Kossounou  DEF191
1
-
M Bakker DEF1
-
R Bellanova DEF231
2
-
R. Obrić DEF
-
H. Ahanor DEF21
1
1
Y Musah MID181
1
-
M Pasalic MID3235
3
-
L Samardžić MID2522
1
-
D. Vavassori FWD
-
K Sulemana FWD2422
3
-
G Scamacca FWD23101
2
-