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Milan v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 18th Oct, 17:00 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Milan are in Serie A action on Sunday evening, as Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim aims to beat Maurizio Sarri and his Atalanta side at the Giuseppe Meazza. For each and every Serie A preview, KickOff dives into the stats for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside the best odds.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there is a 79% chance of Milan and Atalanta scoring a minimum of a couple of goals in this Serie A clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and it seems the bookmakers favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Milan are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
52%
1.90-
Draw
23%
3.50-
Atalanta
25%
4.00-
Draw 1-1
11%
6.50-
Milan 2-1
10%
8.50-
Milan 1-0
10%
8.00-
Milan 2-0
8%
9.50-
Atalanta 2-1
6%
13.00-
Atalanta 1-0
6%
13.00-
Milan 3-1
6%
15.00-
Draw 2-2
6%
13.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
12.00-
Milan 3-0
5%
17.00-
Atalanta 2-0
4%
21.00-
Milan 3-2
3%
23.00-
Milan 4-1
3%
29.00-
Atalanta 3-1
2%
29.00-
Milan 4-0
2%
34.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.80-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.00-
Home 1st Goal
53%
1.62
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.40
1%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11.00
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.70-
BTTS - No
43%
2.05-
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3.75-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4.50-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7.50-
Home/draw
75%
1.22-
Away/draw
48%
1.91-
Home/away
77%
1.29-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.25-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.00-
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
3.20
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1.36
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.14-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
11.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.05-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.05
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11.00
8%
-
Home DNB
68%
1.36-
Away DNB
41%
3.00-
Milan win to nil
26%
3.40-
Atalanta win to nil
12%
8.00-
Milan / Milan
28%
3.00-
Milan / Atalanta
2%
34.00-
Milan / Draw
6%
13.00-
Draw / Milan
17%
5.00-
Draw / Atalanta
10%
8.50-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Atalanta / Milan
4%
21.00-
Atalanta / Atalanta
13%
6.50-
Atalanta / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Roma54101113 
May 16
Jan 9
Jan 17
l
 
2-1F
2
Inter5410713 
Oct 31
Feb 14
Nov 22
Feb 28
3
Lazio5410513 
May 2
d
 
2-2A
Feb 7
Dec 6
4
Cagliari5401312 
Mar 7
Nov 30
l
 
1-2A
Apr 11
5
Milan5320611 
-
-
Mar 21
Oct 18
6
Frosinone5311510 
Nov 22
Jan 24
Oct 25
May 9
7
Juventus5311410 
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
May 2
l
 
2-0A
8
Como 19075311310 
Dec 19
Feb 28
Jan 6
May 16
9
Napoli521217 
Apr 18
Dec 13
Dec 20
May 30
10
Sassuolo521207 
Mar 14
Oct 11
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
11
Atalanta5203-26 
Oct 18
Mar 21
-
-
12
Lecce5203-56 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
May 23
Nov 30
13
Udinese5113-34 
May 30
Oct 25
Apr 18
Jan 3
14
Torino5113-34 
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
Mar 7
Jan 10
15
Parma5113-34 
Dec 6
May 9
Nov 2
Apr 25
16
Monza5113-44 
Apr 4
Jan 2
Feb 21
Nov 8
17
Fiorentina5113-64 
Jan 5
Apr 11
Jan 31
Oct 29
18
Bologna5023-32 
Oct 28
Feb 7
w
 
1-0F
Jan 24
19
Genoa5014-71 
Feb 21
Nov 8
Dec 14
Feb 14
20
Venezia5005-90 
w
 
2-0F
May 23
Oct 12
Mar 14
Win / draw / win form
Milan 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan3 - 0Lecce
Milan2 - 0Venezia
Milan1 - 2Cagliari
Milan2 - 3Atalanta
Milan0 - 0Juventus
Milan0 - 3Udinese
Milan3 - 2Torino
Milan1 - 0Inter
Milan0 - 1Parma
Milan1 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 1Genoa
Milan3 - 0Verona
Milan2 - 2Sassuolo
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 1Juventus
HMilan2 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 1Torino
HMilan1 - 2Cagliari
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
HMilan2 - 3Atalanta
AMilan0 - 2Sassuolo
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
Atalanta 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus2 - 0Atalanta
Roma2 - 1Atalanta
Fiorentina1 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 3Atalanta
Cagliari3 - 2Atalanta
Roma1 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 3Atalanta
Inter1 - 1Atalanta
Sassuolo2 - 1Atalanta
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Como 19070 - 0Atalanta
Pisa1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna0 - 2Atalanta
Genoa0 - 1Atalanta
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Udinese1 - 0Atalanta
Cremonese1 - 1Atalanta
Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
Torino0 - 3Atalanta
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta0 - 2Juventus
HAtalanta1 - 2Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 2Roma
HAtalanta1 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta2 - 1Sassuolo
AAtalanta1 - 1Fiorentina
HAtalanta0 - 1Bologna
AAtalanta3 - 2Milan
HAtalanta0 - 0Genoa
AAtalanta2 - 3Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 1Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta1 - 0Verona
AAtalanta1 - 1Inter
HAtalanta2 - 2Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 2Sassuolo
HAtalanta2 - 1Napoli
AAtalanta2 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta2 - 1Cremonese
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
10
14
Games: Scored
6 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
6 / 12
ACM
2
D
5
ATA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
2 - 3Atalanta
0 - 1Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
11 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
1 / 12
ACM
4
D
4
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
Atalanta5 - 0
1 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
Goal Statistics

Milan have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Atalanta on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Milan 5th Atalanta 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-10
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2027 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
41%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games scored5
4
Failed to score0
1
Scored first4
3
Goals scored10
5
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal5
8
Conversion rate for21
12
Avg. XG for1.6
0.9
KickOff rating
+41%
Defence rating
25%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games conceded3
4
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded4
7
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded7
15
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against12%
9%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+25%

Milan v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
M Maignan D MoreiraA RabiotS Pavlovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK5
-
M Gila  DEF5
1
-
S Pavlovic DEF51
2
-
K Winter DEF5
1
-
P Estupiñán DEF5
1
-
L Modric MID5
-
Y Musah MID5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID5
1
-
A Rabiot MID522
-
S Chukwueze FWD52
-
G Ramos FWD511
-
A Cissè MID42
1
-
A Saelemaekers MID41
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF3
-
D Moreira MID33
-
A Jashari MID3
-
M Gabbia DEF2
-
F. Camarda FWD2
-
C Pulisic FWD211
1
-
F Terracciano DEF1
-
O Hutchinson FWD1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5111
M CarnesecchiÉdersonC KetelaereN Krstovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK5
-
G Scalvini DEF5
-
Éderson MID51
-
L Samardžić MID51
-
C Ketelaere MID51
-
G Scamacca FWD51
-
N Krstovic FWD51
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF4
-
R Bellanova DEF4
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF4
-
E Elmas MID4
-
G Gaetano MID41
1
M Pasalic MID4
-
G Raspadori FWD41
-
D Zappacosta DEF3
-
L Bernasconi DEF3
-
N Zalewski MID31
-
F Kessié MID3
1
-
J Rowe FWD2
-
T Kristensen DEF1
1
-