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Milan v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 10th May, 19:45 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Sunday evening, as Massimiliano Allegri and his Milan side host Raffaele Palladino’s Atalanta at the Giuseppe Meazza. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but there are 16 other betting markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you're able to make the smartest bet choices. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Milan
34%
--
Draw
29%
--
Atalanta
38%
--
Draw 1-1
13%
--
Atalanta 1-0
12%
--
Milan 1-0
11%
--
Draw 0-0
10%
--
Atalanta 2-1
8%
--
Milan 2-1
7%
--
Atalanta 2-0
7%
--
Milan 2-0
6%
--
Draw 2-2
4%
--
Atalanta 3-1
3%
--
Atalanta 3-0
3%
--
Milan 3-1
3%
--
Milan 3-0
2%
--
Atalanta 3-2
2%
--
Milan 3-2
2%
--
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
--
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
--
Home 1st Goal
46%
--
Away 1st Goal
47%
--
No 1st Goal
7%
--
BTTS - Yes
46%
--
BTTS - No
54%
--
BTTS - Home Win
13%
--
BTTS - Draw
18%
--
BTTS - Away Win
14%
--
Home/draw
62%
--
Away/draw
66%
--
Home/away
71%
--
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
--
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
--
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
--
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
--
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
--
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
--
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
--
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
--
Home DNB
54%
--
Away DNB
58%
--
Milan win to nil
21%
--
Atalanta win to nil
23%
--
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Milan have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 9 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Milan have outscored their opponents by 48 goals to 45 goals.

Home League Performance

Milan have played 16 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 16 goals at home.

Atalanta are in 7th position in the Serie A on 54 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 20 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 6 and won 2. Atalanta have conceded 11 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Milan
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3325354978 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
2
Napoli3421671969 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
3
Milan3319952166 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
May 10
4
Juventus3318962863 
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
5
Roma34194111961 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
6
Como 190733161072958 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
7
Atalanta33141271654 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
-
-
8
Bologna3414614148 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
May 17
w
 
0-2F
9
Lazio33121110447 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
10
Sassuolo3413714-346 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
11
Udinese3312714-543 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
0-3F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Parma34101212-1542 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Torino3311715-1740 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
14
Genoa3310914-639 
d
 
1-1A
May 17
May 2
w
 
0-1F
15
Fiorentina3481313-737 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
May 24
16
Cagliari338916-1433 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 27
17
Lecce347819-2429 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-1F
w
 
0-3F
18
Cremonese3461018-2528 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
19
Verona3431021-3319 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
20
Pisa3421220-3718 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Milan 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Milan0 - 3Udinese
Milan3 - 2Torino
Milan1 - 0Inter
Milan0 - 1Parma
Milan1 - 1Como 1907
Milan1 - 0Lecce
Milan1 - 1Genoa
Milan3 - 0Verona
Milan2 - 2Sassuolo
Milan1 - 0Lazio
Milan1 - 0Roma
Milan2 - 2Pisa
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Milan1 - 0Bologna
Milan1 - 2Cremonese
Milan2 - 0Monza
Milan3 - 1Bologna
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
AMilan3 - 0Bologna
AMilan1 - 1Roma
HMilan1 - 0Lecce
AMilan3 - 1Como 1907
AMilan1 - 1Fiorentina
HMilan1 - 1Genoa
AMilan1 - 0Cagliari
HMilan3 - 0Verona
HMilan2 - 2Sassuolo
AMilan3 - 2Torino
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma1 - 1Atalanta
Lecce0 - 3Atalanta
Inter1 - 1Atalanta
Sassuolo2 - 1Atalanta
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Como 19070 - 0Atalanta
Pisa1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna0 - 2Atalanta
Genoa0 - 1Atalanta
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Udinese1 - 0Atalanta
Cremonese1 - 1Atalanta
Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
Torino0 - 3Atalanta
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Genoa2 - 3Atalanta
Monza0 - 4Atalanta
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta1 - 1Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Lecce
HAtalanta1 - 0Verona
AAtalanta1 - 1Inter
HAtalanta2 - 2Udinese
AAtalanta1 - 2Sassuolo
HAtalanta2 - 1Napoli
AAtalanta2 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta2 - 1Cremonese
AAtalanta0 - 0Como 1907
HAtalanta4 - 0Parma
AAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta1 - 0Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Inter
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 3Verona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
ACM
2
D
5
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
0 - 1Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
11 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
1 / 12
ACM
4
D
4
ATA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
Atalanta5 - 0
1 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Milan makes sense in this context.

Milan 3rd Atalanta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Milan’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-3
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Milan
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ACM
ATA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Milan v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32946
M Maignan R LeãoA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK32
3
-
L Modric MID3223
4
-
A Saelemaekers MID3123
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF2941
3
-
F Tomori DEF292
5
-
Y Fofana MID2823
4
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF272
2
-
S Ricci MID2713
1
-
C Nkunku  FWD2753
-
C Pulisic FWD2683
-
M Gabbia DEF25
3
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2531
1
-
R Leão FWD2593
4
-
K Winter DEF2411
1
-
A Rabiot MID2464
5
1
Z. Athekame DEF2312
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF1611
3
1
N Füllkrug FWD161
-
S Giménez FWD12
2
-
A Jashari MID101
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF2
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331058
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicM PasalicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK33
-
B Djimsiti DEF30
4
-
D Zappacosta MID3023
2
-
N Zalewski MID2924
3
-
M Roon MID2912
7
1
N Krstovic FWD29104
2
-
M Pasalic MID2835
2
-
C Ketelaere MID2635
4
-
Éderson MID261
2
-
I Hien DEF251
4
-
L Bernasconi MID233
3
-
L Samardžić MID2322
1
-
K Sulemana FWD2322
3
-
R Bellanova MID211
1
-
G Scamacca FWD2181
2
-
G Scalvini DEF193
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF18
1
1
O Kossounou  DEF171
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF16
3
-
Y Musah MID161
1
-
G Raspadori FWD821
-