Sassuolo's team badge Milan's team badge

Sassuolo v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 11th Oct, 17:00 BST, MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol, Reggio Emilia

Ruben Filipe Marques Amorim is aiming for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Milan side to the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol to visit Sassuolo and Alberto Aquilani. We've got predictions, tips, and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Serie A clash.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Sassuolo or Milan are in the kind of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sassuolo
24%
16/5
7%
-
Draw
23%
27/10
6%
-
Milan
53%
4/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1
8%
-
Milan 1-0
10%
13/2-
Milan 2-1
10%
15/2-
Milan 2-0
9%
8/1
6%
-
Sassuolo 1-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Sassuolo 2-1
6%
12/1
13%
-
Milan 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Milan 3-0
5%
14/1-
Sassuolo 2-0
3%
20/1
9%
-
Milan 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
-
Milan 4-1
3%
28/1-
Milan 4-0
2%
28/1-
Sassuolo 3-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
4/5
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
1/1
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
8/13-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
45%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/2
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/4
6%
-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
11/4-
Home/draw
47%
19/20-
Away/draw
76%
2/9
3%
-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
15%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1-
Home DNB
40%
2/1
12%
-
Away DNB
69%
4/11
5%
-
Sassuolo win to nil
11%
7/1-
Milan win to nil
28%
9/4
8%
-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
12%
6/1
7%
-
Sassuolo / Milan
4%
20/1
9%
-
Sassuolo / Draw
5%
14/1-
Draw / Sassuolo
9%
8/1-
Draw / Milan
17%
15/4-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Milan / Sassuolo
2%
33/1-
Milan / Milan
29%
15/8-
Milan / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Sassuolo
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Roma54101113 
Feb 21
Nov 7
May 16
Jan 9
2
Inter5410713 
May 30
Jan 3
Oct 31
Feb 14
3
Lazio5410513 
Oct 27
May 9
May 2
d
 
2-2A
4
Cagliari5401312 
Mar 21
Jan 11
Mar 7
Nov 30
5
Milan5320611 
Oct 11
Mar 14
-
-
6
Frosinone5311510 
May 2
Oct 16
Nov 22
Jan 24
7
Juventus5311410 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 7
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
8
Como 19075311310 
Jan 31
Oct 24
Dec 19
Feb 28
9
Napoli521217 
Nov 29
Apr 11
Apr 18
Dec 13
10
Sassuolo521207 
-
-
Mar 14
Oct 11
11
Atalanta5203-26 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
Oct 18
Mar 21
12
Lecce5203-56 
Apr 18
Dec 12
w
 
3-0F
Apr 25
13
Udinese5113-34 
Jan 7
May 23
May 30
Oct 25
14
Torino5113-34 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 14
Jan 17
w
 
1-2F
15
Parma5113-34 
Dec 19
Feb 28
Dec 6
May 9
16
Monza5113-44 
Jan 17
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
Jan 2
17
Fiorentina5113-64 
Nov 2
Jan 24
Jan 5
Apr 11
18
Bologna5023-32 
Mar 7
d
 
2-2F
Oct 28
Feb 7
19
Genoa5014-71 
Nov 22
Apr 25
Feb 21
Nov 8
20
Venezia5005-90 
May 16
Dec 7
w
 
2-0F
May 23
Win / draw / win form
Sassuolo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sassuolo3 - 2Juventus
Sassuolo2 - 1Torino
Sassuolo2 - 3Lecce
Sassuolo2 - 0Milan
Sassuolo2 - 1Como 1907
Sassuolo2 - 1Cagliari
Sassuolo0 - 1Bologna
Sassuolo2 - 1Atalanta
Sassuolo3 - 0Verona
Sassuolo0 - 5Inter
Sassuolo1 - 0Cremonese
Sassuolo0 - 3Juventus
Sassuolo1 - 1Parma
Sassuolo0 - 1Torino
Sassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
Sassuolo2 - 2Pisa
Sassuolo1 - 2Genoa
Sassuolo0 - 1Roma
Sassuolo3 - 1Udinese
Sassuolo1 - 0Lazio
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASassuolo1 - 2Monza
HSassuolo3 - 2Juventus
ASassuolo2 - 2Bologna
HSassuolo2 - 1Torino
ASassuolo1 - 2Atalanta
ASassuolo0 - 1Parma
HSassuolo2 - 3Lecce
ASassuolo1 - 2Torino
HSassuolo2 - 0Milan
ASassuolo0 - 0Fiorentina
HSassuolo2 - 1Como 1907
ASassuolo1 - 2Genoa
HSassuolo2 - 1Cagliari
ASassuolo1 - 1Juventus
HSassuolo0 - 1Bologna
ASassuolo1 - 2Lazio
HSassuolo2 - 1Atalanta
HSassuolo3 - 0Verona
ASassuolo2 - 1Udinese
HSassuolo0 - 5Inter
Milan 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
7
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio2 - 2Milan
Juventus1 - 1Milan
Torino1 - 2Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Sassuolo2 - 0Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Napoli1 - 0Milan
Lazio1 - 0Milan
Cremonese0 - 2Milan
Pisa1 - 2Milan
Bologna0 - 3Milan
Roma1 - 1Milan
Como 19071 - 3Milan
Fiorentina1 - 1Milan
Cagliari0 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 3Milan
Inter0 - 1Milan
Parma2 - 2Milan
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMilan3 - 0Lecce
AMilan2 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 1Juventus
HMilan2 - 0Venezia
AMilan2 - 1Torino
HMilan1 - 2Cagliari
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
HMilan2 - 3Atalanta
AMilan0 - 2Sassuolo
HMilan0 - 0Juventus
AMilan1 - 0Verona
HMilan0 - 3Udinese
AMilan0 - 1Napoli
HMilan3 - 2Torino
AMilan0 - 1Lazio
HMilan1 - 0Inter
AMilan2 - 0Cremonese
HMilan0 - 1Parma
HMilan1 - 1Como 1907
AMilan2 - 1Pisa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sassuolo since 2015
Sassuolo
Milan
Goals: Scored
13
19
Games: Scored
7 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
4 / 11
SAS
3
D
2
ACM
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sassuolo
Sassuolo2 - 0
Draw3 - 3Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 3Milan
1 - 2Milan
1 - 2Milan
1 - 4Milan
0 - 2Milan
0 - 1Milan
Sassuolo2 - 0
Sassuolo3 - 2
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
16
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
1 / 11
SAS
4
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
Draw2 - 2Draw
Milan1 - 0
2 - 5Sassuolo
1 - 3Sassuolo
1 - 2Sassuolo
Draw0 - 0Draw
Milan1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan4 - 3
Milan2 - 1
1 - 2Sassuolo
Goal Statistics

Milan have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Sassuolo on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Sassuolo 10th Milan 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Sassuolo will score no more than 1 goal
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+22
Sassuolo have scored 22% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2027 season
Sassuolo
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.1
1.8
Attack rating
SAS
ACM
10%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score0
0
Scored first3
4
Goals scored9
10
Avg. goals scored1.8
2
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
21
Avg. XG for1.8
1.6
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
SAS
ACM
49%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
3
Clean sheets0
2
Conceded first2
1
Goals conceded9
4
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
9
Conversion rate against16%
12%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%

Sassuolo v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5312
A MuricV AdžićF LeysenL Lipani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muric GLK5
-
F Leysen DEF51
1
-
J Doig DEF51
-
V Adžić MID531
-
S. Cinquegrano MID51
-
K Thorstvedt MID5
-
N Matić MID51
1
-
A Laurienté FWD51
1
-
K Bowie FWD51
-
D. Bakola MID41
-
L Lipani MID4
2
-
D Berardi FWD41
-
B Domínguez FWD4
-
J Idzes DEF3
1
-
C Volpato FWD31
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF2
-
R Obrador DEF2
-
S Esposito FWD21
-
C Odenthal DEF11
-
I Sulemana MID1
-
A Ghion MID1
-
L Skjellerup FWD1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
M Maignan D MoreiraA RabiotS Pavlovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK5
-
S Pavlovic DEF51
2
-
K Winter DEF5
1
-
P Estupiñán DEF5
1
-
M Gila  DEF5
1
-
L Modric MID5
-
Y Musah MID5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID5
1
-
A Rabiot MID522
-
S Chukwueze FWD52
-
G Ramos FWD511
-
A Cissè MID42
1
-
A Saelemaekers MID41
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF3
-
D Moreira MID33
-
A Jashari MID3
-
M Gabbia DEF2
-
F. Camarda FWD2
-
C Pulisic FWD211
1
-
F Terracciano DEF1
-
O Hutchinson FWD1
-