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Napoli v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 15th Feb, 19:45 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Sunday evening at the San Paolo, and it’s a Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma. Antonio Conte and Gian Piero Gasperini going all-out to guide their side to the win. Statistics drive the predictions below for seventeen markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and unique league tables. The best odds are also provided. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this match will deliver 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Napoli and Roma haven't typically been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a compelling favourite draw or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.18.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
44%
-5/4
2%
Draw
27%
-21/10
Roma
29%
-12/5
6%
Draw 1-1
13%
-19/4
Napoli 1-0
12%
-19/4
Roma 1-0
10%
-13/2
Draw 0-0
9%
-11/2
Napoli 2-1
9%
-15/2
Napoli 2-0
8%
-15/2
Roma 2-1
7%
-10/1
Roma 2-0
5%
-12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-14/1
Napoli 3-1
4%
-16/1
Napoli 3-0
4%
-16/1
Roma 3-1
2%
-22/1
12%
Napoli 3-2
2%
-25/1
Roma 3-0
2%
-25/1
10%
Roma 3-2
2%
-28/1
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
-7/5
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
-8/15
Home 1st Goal
50%
-5/6
2%
Away 1st Goal
44%
-7/5
2%
No 1st Goal
6%
-11/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
-11/10
2%
BTTS - No
52%
-7/10
BTTS - Home Win
18%
-4/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
-7/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
12%
-6/1
7%
Home/draw
71%
-3/10
1%
Away/draw
56%
-8/13
2%
Home/away
73%
-7/20
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
-10/21
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
-8/5
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
-18/5
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
-1/6
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
-17/2
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
-1/20
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
-18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
-1/500
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
-1/11
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
-11/2
Home DNB
63%
-8/15
2%
Away DNB
48%
-13/10
4%
Napoli win to nil
26%
--
Roma win to nil
17%
--
Napoli / Napoli
22%
-5/2
3%
Napoli / Roma
3%
-25/1
10%
Napoli / Draw
6%
-12/1
8%
Draw / Napoli
15%
-4/1
Draw / Roma
11%
-6/1
7%
Draw / Draw
18%
-16/5
Roma / Napoli
3%
-22/1
Roma / Roma
15%
-17/4
Roma / Draw
6%
-12/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Serie A league table. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 11 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Napoli have outscored their opponents by 33 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Napoli have played 11 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Roma are in 5th position in the Serie A on 43 points having played 23 matches so far this season. Roma are winless in the 5 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Roma have conceded 6 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Roma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2318143355 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
2
Milan2314812150 
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
3
Napoli2314451246 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Feb 15
4
Juventus2313642145 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
Mar 1
l
 
2-1A
5
Roma2314181343 
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
-
-
6
Como 19072311842141 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
7
Atalanta239951036 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 22
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
8
Lazio23887332 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
May 17
w
 
0-1F
9
Udinese23959-832 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Bologna23869230 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
11
Sassuolo238510-229 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
12
Cagliari23779-328 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 22
Feb 9
l
 
1-0A
13
Torino237511-1826 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
14
Cremonese235810-1123 
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
Feb 22
w
 
1-3F
15
Parma235810-1523 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
May 10
16
Genoa235810-723 
w
 
2-1A
Feb 7
w
 
3-1F
Mar 8
17
Lecce234613-1718 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
18
Fiorentina233812-1117 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
19
Pisa2311111-2114 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
20
Verona232813-2314 
d
 
2-2A
Mar 1
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Win / draw / win form
22
Napoli have not lost in 22 consecutive home league games
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Home
22
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Napoli1 - 0Sassuolo
Napoli0 - 0Parma
Napoli2 - 2Verona
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli0 - 0Como 1907
Napoli3 - 1Inter
Napoli2 - 1Genoa
Napoli3 - 2Pisa
Napoli1 - 0Cagliari
Napoli2 - 0Cagliari
Napoli2 - 2Genoa
Napoli2 - 0Torino
Napoli3 - 0Empoli
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Napoli1 - 1Inter
Napoli1 - 1Udinese
Napoli2 - 1Juventus
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
ANapoli0 - 3Juventus
HNapoli1 - 0Sassuolo
HNapoli0 - 0Parma
ANapoli2 - 2Inter
HNapoli2 - 2Verona
ANapoli2 - 0Lazio
ANapoli2 - 0Cremonese
ANapoli0 - 1Udinese
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli1 - 0Roma
HNapoli3 - 1Atalanta
ANapoli0 - 2Bologna
HNapoli0 - 0Como 1907
ANapoli1 - 0Lecce
HNapoli3 - 1Inter
ANapoli0 - 1Torino
HNapoli2 - 1Genoa
ANapoli1 - 2Milan
HNapoli3 - 2Pisa
Roma 4TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Udinese1 - 0Roma
Torino0 - 2Roma
Lecce0 - 2Roma
Atalanta1 - 0Roma
Juventus2 - 1Roma
Cagliari1 - 0Roma
Cremonese1 - 3Roma
Milan1 - 0Roma
Sassuolo0 - 1Roma
Fiorentina1 - 2Roma
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Pisa0 - 1Roma
Torino0 - 2Roma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Inter0 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lecce0 - 1Roma
Empoli0 - 1Roma
Parma0 - 1Roma
Venezia0 - 1Roma
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
12
D
1
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARoma0 - 1Udinese
HRoma1 - 1Milan
ARoma2 - 0Torino
HRoma2 - 0Sassuolo
ARoma2 - 0Lecce
ARoma0 - 1Atalanta
HRoma3 - 1Genoa
ARoma1 - 2Juventus
HRoma1 - 0Como 1907
ARoma0 - 1Cagliari
HRoma0 - 1Napoli
ARoma3 - 1Cremonese
HRoma2 - 0Udinese
ARoma0 - 1Milan
HRoma2 - 1Parma
ARoma1 - 0Sassuolo
HRoma0 - 1Inter
ARoma2 - 1Fiorentina
HRoma2 - 0Verona
ARoma1 - 0Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Napoli have not lost to Roma in 7 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Napoli since 2014
Napoli
Roma
Goals: Scored
18
13
Games: Scored
10 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
1 / 11
NAP
5
D
4
RMA
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Napoli1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Napoli2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Napoli4 - 0
Napoli2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 4Roma
1 - 3Roma
Draw0 - 0Draw
Napoli2 - 0
League games at Roma since 2015
Roma
Napoli
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
7 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
5 / 12
NAP
6
D
2
RMA
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
0 - 1Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
Roma2 - 0
0 - 1Napoli
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Napoli
Roma2 - 1
1 - 4Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
1 - 2Napoli
Roma1 - 0
Roma1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is to be admired, G. Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Napoli 3rd Roma 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Napoli have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
-18
Roma have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.4
1
Attack rating
10%
better
NAP
RMA
view stats
Games scored17
16
Failed to score6
7
Scored first13
13
Goals scored33
27
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
12
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
NAP
RMA
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded14
13
Clean sheets9
10
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded21
14
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
13
Conversion rate against12%
8%
Avg. XG against1.1
1
KickOff rating
+13%

Napoli v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23636
G LorenzoR HöjlundS McTominayJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
S McTominay MID2253
1
-
M Politano FWD213
1
-
E Elmas MID201
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF1922
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF191
2
-
S Lobotka MID1911
1
-
R Höjlund FWD1962
1
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK17
-
J Jesus DEF16
6
-
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
A Rrahmani DEF141
2
-
M Gutiérrez DEF131
-
M Olivera DEF13
2
-
S Beukema DEF121
2
-
F Anguissa MID1141
1
-
B Gilmour MID91
1
-
K Bruyne MID84
1
-
A Meret GLK61
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF6
1
A Vergara MID611
1
-
R Lukaku  FWD2
-
Giovane FWD2
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23647
M SvilarM MalvanoM MalvanoG Mancini
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK23
-
M Malvano FWD2364
1
-
G Mancini DEF221
7
-
M Koné MID2221
2
-
B Cristante MID221
5
-
Wesley DEF213
4
-
Z Celik DEF2011
1
1
E Ndicka DEF18
4
-
M Hermoso DEF171
5
-
P Dybala FWD1723
-
E Ferguson FWD1632
1
-
L Pellegrini MID153
2
-
D Rensch DEF131
-
N Aynaoui MID131
3
-
A Dovbyk FWD1331
-
S Shaarawy FWD132
2
-
K Tsimikas DEF12
1
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF10
2
-
N Pisilli MID101
-
D Ghilardi DEF9
-
A Angeliño DEF5
1
-
D Malen FWD31
-
R. Vaz FWD3
-
L. Venturino FWD2
-