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Napoli v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Paolo, Castelvolturno

Daniele De Rossi will be hoping for a crucial away win in the Serie A on Sunday evening, as he takes his Roma side to the San Paolo to visit Napoli and Francesco Calzona. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the selected market. Head to head (H2H) statistics between the team are also given if there are are enough previous meetings. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Napoli's next match is v Udinese at 19:45 on Monday 6th May
Roma's next match is v Juventus at 19:45 on Sunday 5th May
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Napoli and Roma was on Sunday 28th April 2024
Italian Serie A
April 28th 2024
Napoli 2
2 Roma
 
M. Olivera Miramontes 64'59' P. Exequiel Dybala
V. Osimhen 84'88' K. Bakumo-Abraham
 
NAP
RMA
Shots On
9
4
Shots Off
12
4
Corners
9
2
Possession
48%
52%
Fouls
10
4
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
NapoliRoma
 
A. Meret
J. Nunes Jesus
A. Rrahmani
M. Olivera Miramontesfootball icon
G. Di Lorenzo
S. Lobotka
A. Zambo Anguissa
J. Cajuste (C. Ngonge 69')
V. Osimhenfootball icon
K. Kvaratskhelia (G. Raspadori 86')
M. Politano (R. Luz Sanches 69')
M. Svilar
O. N'Dicka
(T. Baldanzi 86') R. Kristensen
L. Spinazzola
G. Mancini
L. Pellegrini
(H. Traorè 69') E. Bove
B. Cristante
football iconP. Exequiel Dybala
(K. Bakumo-Abraham 69') S. Azmoun
(J. Esmoris Tasende 61') S. El Shaarawy
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest there isn't an obvious winner for this clash, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Napoli and Roma will score 2 or more goals between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in the past, and neither Francesco Calzona or Daniele De Rossi has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.25 equating to approximately a 75% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Napoli are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Napoli
37%
10/11
15%
20/21
3%
Evs-
Draw
25%
13/5
11%
5/25/2-
Roma
38%
14/5
19%
11/4
1%
11/4-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
8%
6/1
8%
6/1-
Roma 1-0
9%
11/1
26%
11/111/1-
Napoli 1-0
9%
7/1
7%
7/17/1-
Roma 2-1
8%
12/1
8%
11/111/1-
Napoli 2-1
8%
15/2
11%
15/215/2-
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
16%
11/110/1-
Roma 2-0
6%
20/1
40%
20/118/1-
Napoli 2-0
6%
17/2
14%
9/19/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
13%
12/112/1-
Roma 3-1
4%
28/1
12%
28/125/1-
Napoli 3-1
4%
14/1
21%
14/114/1-
Roma 3-0
3%
40/1
21%
50/140/1-
Napoli 3-0
3%
16/1
19%
16/1
11%
16/1-
Roma 3-2
3%
33/133/128/1-
Napoli 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
22/1
12%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
10%
3/4
3%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
11%
19/20
2%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
48%
4/7
9%
7/10
2%
4/6-
Away 1st Goal
48%
6/4
9%
29/2011/8-
No 1st Goal
4%
10/1
16%
11/110/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
7/10
6%
4/64/6-
BTTS - No
44%
21/20
5%
11/1011/10-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
11/4
21%
27/10
1%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2
4%
13/410/3-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
6/1
8%
11/211/2-
Home/draw
62%
1/4
8%
1/4
3%
2/7-
Away/draw
63%
5/6
13%
4/54/5-
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
2/7
1%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
6%
1/41/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
18%
11/4
4%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1
14%
19/10
3%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5
8%
4/114/11-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
21%
9/2
4%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
4%
2/15
1%
1/8-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
27%
11/1
8%
--
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
1/22
1%
--
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/201/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
16%
11/1
9%
9/1-
Home DNB
55%
2/5
14%
4/94/9-
Away DNB
56%
7/4
25%
13/813/8-
Napoli win to nil
19%
5/2
7%
13/512/5-
Roma win to nil
19%
6/1
27%
6/16/1-
Napoli / Napoli
27%
21/10
17%
9/4
2%
21/10-
Napoli / Roma
2%
28/140/133/1-
Napoli / Draw
6%
12/114/112/1-
Draw / Napoli
17%
4/1
9%
19/54/1-
Draw / Roma
10%
7/1
14%
7/18/1-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
9/2
5%
9/2-
Roma / Napoli
4%
20/1
19%
25/122/1-
Roma / Roma
13%
5/1
20%
11/25/1-
Roma / Draw
6%
14/114/114/1-
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Napoli have conceded 17 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Napoli have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 22 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Roma lay in 5th place on 58 points in the Serie A league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 7 and losing 2 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Roma have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Roma have played 16 away games, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.3 goals per away game.

Napoli
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Roma
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
 Inter3428516389 
l
 
2-4A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
 Milan3421762570 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
 Juventus34181152165 
May 5
l
 
1-0A
May 11
d
 
0-00-0
 Bologna35171352264 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Roma Away3417892059 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
 Atalanta33176102457 
d
 
1-1A
May 12
l
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
 Lazio3417413855 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-3A
May 19
 Fiorentina33148111350 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
-
-
 Napoli Home34131110950 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
 Torino35111410047 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-4A
 Monza34111112-844 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Genoa34101212-242 
May 19
l
 
4-1A
May 26
w
 
0-4F
 Lecce3481214-1836 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Cagliari3471116-2332 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-3F
 Verona3471017-1431 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
 Frosinone3471017-2031 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Empoli348719-2431 
w
 
7-0F
May 26
w
 
4-1F
May 6
 Udinese3441713-1929 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-6A
 Sassuolo346820-3026 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Salernitana342923-4715 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Napoli 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Roma 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Napoli have not lost to Roma in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Napoli since 2014
Napoli
Roma
Goals: Scored
15
11
Games: Scored
8 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
1 / 9
NAP
4
D
3
RMA
2
All league games since 2014
Napoli
Roma
Goals: Scored
26
19
Games: Scored
14 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
5 / 19
NAP
9
D
4
RMA
6
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is very strong, D. De Rossi's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.4 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Napoli 9th Roma 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Roma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Napoli have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+6
Roma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264625/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
NAP
RMA
26%
better
view stats
Games scored23
29
Failed to score11
5
Scored first11
18
Goals scored52
61
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.8
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal8
5
Conversion rate12%
20%
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
NAP
RMA
15%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
24
Clean sheets6
10
Conceded first20
14
Goals conceded43
41
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate16%
14%
KickOff rating
+15%

Napoli v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321366
S LobotkaV OsimhenG LorenzoG Lorenzo
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Meret GLK25
-
G Lorenzo DEF3116
6
-
A Rrahmani DEF262
4
-
J Jesus DEF201
6
-
M Olivera DEF181
3
-
F Anguissa MID282
1
-
S Lobotka MID321
4
-
J Cajuste MID211
5
-
M Politano FWD3185
2
1
V Osimhen FWD20133
5
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD29106
6
-
Subs
N Contini GLK1
-
H Idasiak GLK
-
M Rui DEF212
6
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF181
4
-
L Østigård DEF201
3
-
Natan DEF13
2
-
L Dendoncker MID3
-
H Traorè MID6
1
-
J Lindström MID201
2
-
G Raspadori FWD3253
-
G Simeone FWD231
3
-
C Ngonge FWD71
1
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301289
G ManciniP DybalaP DybalaG Mancini
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK8
1
-
R Kristensen DEF2512
5
-
G Mancini DEF3041
9
-
E Ndicka DEF192
5
-
L Spinazzola DEF2112
-
E Bove MID262
2
-
B Cristante MID3023
8
-
L Pellegrini MID2273
6
-
P Dybala FWD22128
3
-
S Azmoun FWD172
4
-
S Shaarawy FWD2733
1
-
Subs
P Boer GLK
-
R Patrício GLK23
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF122
4
-
A Angeliño DEF9
1
-
Z Celik DEF14
1
-
H Aouar MID143
3
-
T Baldanzi MID7
1
-
N Zalewski MID191
2
-
R. Pagano MID4
-
R Sanches  MID61
2
-
T Abraham FWD1
-
J. e Costa Cesco FWD
-