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Sassuolo v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol, Reggio Emilia

Sassuolo and their boss Fabio Grosso will be looking to get one over on Paolo Vanoli and his Fiorentina side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair meet at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol in the Serie A. Serie A stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. It's all on this page, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets using the tabs.

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Sassuolo's next match is v Milan at 11:30 on Sunday 14th December
Fiorentina's next match is v Dynamo Kyiv at 17:45 on Thursday 11th December
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Sassuolo and Fiorentina was on Saturday 6th December 2025
Italian Serie A
December 6th 2025
Sassuolo 3
1 Fiorentina
 
C. Volpato 13'9' R. Mandragora
T. Muharemovic 45'
I. Koné 65'
 
SAS
FIO
Shots On
5
1
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
7
1
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
15
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
SassuoloFiorentina
 
J. Doig
S. Walukiewicz (W. Coulibaly 78')
J. Idzes
C. Volpatofootball icon (N. Pierini 78')
N. Matić
A. Murić
T. Muharemovicfootball icon
K. Thorstvedt
I. Konéfootball icon
A. Lauriente (A. Fadera 54')
A. Pinamonti (W. Cheddira 54')
(C. Kouamé 84') D. Cordeiro dos Santos
(M. Viti 63') L. Ranieri
P. Comuzzo
P. Marí Villar
(C. Ndour 46') S. Sohm
football iconR. Mandragora
A. Gudmundsson
M. Kean
D. de Gea Quintana
(N. Fortini 62') F. Parisi
(R. Piccoli 62') N. Fagioli

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think there's minimal chance that this game will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Sassuolo and Fiorentina have rarely been involved in goal-fests of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in their head-to-head duals. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Sassuolo are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sassuolo
41%
17/101/1000
Draw
28%
9/4150/1
Fiorentina
31%
13/8750/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/114/5
Sassuolo 1-0
12%
15/213/2
Fiorentina 1-0
10%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
10%
8/16/1
Sassuolo 2-1
8%
9/129/20
Sassuolo 2-0
8%
12/111/1
Fiorentina 2-1
7%
9/117/4
Fiorentina 2-0
5%
12/16/1
Draw 2-2
4%
12/13/1
Sassuolo 3-1
4%
20/12/7
Sassuolo 3-0
3%
25/122/1
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
20/110/1
Fiorentina 3-0
2%
25/110/1
Sassuolo 3-2
2%
33/111/2
Fiorentina 3-2
2%
33/112/1
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
11/102/9
Under 2.5 Goals
59%
8/1114/5
Home 1st Goal
49%
1/111/10
Away 1st Goal
45%
20/211/1
No 1st Goal
6%
8/16/1
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/54/11
BTTS - No
53%
19/2019/10
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/21/300
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/333/1
BTTS - Away Win
13%
9/2100/1
Home/draw
69%
1/21/1000
Away/draw
59%
2/555/1
Home/away
72%
1/31/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
1/31/14
Under 1.5 Goals
32%
12/57/1
Over 3.5 Goals
21%
11/41/2
Under 3.5 Goals
79%
2/729/20
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
6/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/101/8
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/133/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/331/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/12
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/16/1
Home DNB
61%
10/111/1000
Away DNB
50%
4/5100/1
Sassuolo win to nil
25%
7/2-
Fiorentina win to nil
18%
10/3-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
18%
10/39/1
Sassuolo / Fiorentina
3%
28/133/1
Sassuolo / Draw
6%
14/120/1
Draw / Sassuolo
12%
5/113/5
Draw / Fiorentina
14%
5/127/10
Draw / Draw
18%
4/113/8
Fiorentina / Sassuolo
3%
28/133/1
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
21%
10/39/1
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/120/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Sassuolo have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 11th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Sassuolo have outscored their opponents by 16 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Sassuolo have played 6 games at home winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 8 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 19th position in the Serie A on 6 points having played 13 matches so far this season. Fiorentina are winless in the 13 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 11 of those games. Fiorentina are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 4 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 6 and won zero. Fiorentina have conceded 21 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Milan149411131 
May 3
Dec 14
Jan 11
l
 
2-1F
2
Napoli1410131031 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 17
l
 
1-3A
Feb 1
3
Inter1410041930 
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
4
Roma14905727 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 10
l
 
1-2F
May 3
5
Bologna147431125 
Mar 15
Dec 28
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
6
Como 190714662824 
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
7
Juventus14653423 
Jan 6
Mar 22
d
 
1-1A
May 17
8
Cremonese14554120 
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
Jan 4
Mar 15
9
Sassuolo14626220 
-
-
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
10
Lazio14545519 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
Apr 12
Jan 7
11
Udinese14536-718 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Dec 21
Mar 1
12
Atalanta14374016 
Mar 1
w
 
0-3F
May 24
l
 
2-0A
13
Cagliari14356-514 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2F
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
14
Torino14356-1214 
Dec 21
May 10
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
15
Parma14356-714 
Jan 3
May 24
Mar 8
Dec 27
16
Genoa14356-614 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 12
May 10
d
 
2-2A
17
Lecce14347-913 
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
18
Pisa14176-910 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 1
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
19
Verona14167-109 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
Dec 14
Apr 4
20
Fiorentina14068-136 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
-
-
Win / draw / win form
Sassuolo 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
2
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sassuolo since 2015
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
16
16
Games: Scored
10 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
0 / 10
SAS
4
D
3
FIO
3
League games at Fiorentina since 2014
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
19
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
2 / 10
SAS
2
D
3
FIO
5
Goal Statistics
Sassuolo 9th Fiorentina 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Sassuolo will score no more than 1 goal
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Fiorentina will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Sassuolo have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-15
Fiorentina have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Sassuolo
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
24%
better
SAS
FIO
view stats
Games scored9
8
Failed to score4
5
Scored first5
4
Goals scored16
10
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.8
Avg. shots per game8
8
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
20%
better
SAS
FIO
view stats
Games conceded9
11
Clean sheets4
2
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded16
21
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded11
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against12%
16%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+20%

Sassuolo v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14444
A PinamontiA PinamontiC VolpatoJ Doig
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Muric GLK13
3
-
S Walukiewicz DEF13
2
-
J Idzes DEF13
-
T Muharemović DEF1112
3
-
J Doig DEF13
4
-
I Koné MID122
2
1
N Matić MID131
1
-
K Thorstvedt MID1211
4
-
C Volpato FWD914
2
-
A Pinamonti FWD144
1
-
A Laurienté FWD1422
-
Subs
G Satalino GLK
-
G Zacchi GLK
-
F Candé DEF8
1
-
W Coulibaly DEF7
-
C Odenthal DEF
-
E Iannoni MID71
2
-
L Lipani MID3
-
W Cheddira FWD101
1
-
A Fadera FWD1311
1
-
L Moro FWD4
-
N Pierini FWD6
1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14414
D GeaR Mandragora S SohmL Ranieri
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK14
-
P. Comuzzo DEF8
-
P Marí DEF10
3
-
L Ranieri DEF131
4
-
N Fagioli MID11
2
-
Dodô MID14
2
-
R Mandragora  MID144
3
-
S Sohm MID121
2
-
F Parisi MID6
2
-
M Kean FWD1321
2
-
A Gudmundsson FWD1221
2
-
Subs
L Lezzerini GLK
-
T Martinelli GLK
-
E. Košpo DEF
-
M Viti DEF7
2
1
N. Fortini DEF9
-
E. Kouadio DEF2
-
C Ndour MID10
1
-
H Caviglia MID81
2
-
A Richardson MID1
-
E Dzeko FWD10
1
-
C Kouamé FWD1
-