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Atalanta v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 28th Oct, 19:45 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

The Serie A is the focus for both Atalanta and Milan on Tuesday evening, as managers Ivan Juric and Massimiliano Allegri go head to head at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. Odds are there to get you maximum bang for your buck.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Atalanta and Milan will score at least two between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on form stats for each side, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 79%. Bookies have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
31%
21/10-
Draw
24%
12/5-
Milan
44%
5/4-
Draw 1-1
11%
11/2-
Milan 2-1
9%
8/1-
Milan 1-0
9%
8/1-
Atalanta 2-1
8%
10/1-
Atalanta 1-0
7%
10/1-
Milan 2-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1-
Milan 3-1
5%
16/1-
Atalanta 2-0
5%
16/1-
Milan 3-0
4%
20/1-
Atalanta 3-1
3%
22/1-
Milan 3-2
3%
22/1-
Atalanta 3-2
3%
28/1-
Atalanta 3-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
1/1-
Home 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
Away 1st Goal
50%
4/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13-
BTTS - No
41%
6/5-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
10/3-
Home/draw
56%
8/13-
Away/draw
69%
4/11-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
9/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/7-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1-
Home DNB
49%
6/5-
Away DNB
61%
8/13-
Atalanta win to nil
15%
5/1-
Milan win to nil
21%
10/3-
Atalanta / Atalanta
17%
15/4-
Atalanta / Milan
4%
22/1-
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Atalanta
12%
6/1-
Draw / Milan
15%
9/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Milan / Atalanta
3%
25/1-
Milan / Milan
23%
13/5-
Milan / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter75021015 
Dec 28
Mar 15
Mar 8
Nov 23
2
Napoli7502515 
Feb 22
Nov 22
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
3
Roma7502415 
Jan 3
Apr 19
Nov 2
Jan 25
4
Milan6411613 
Oct 28
May 10
-
-
5
Bologna7412613 
May 17
Jan 6
w
 
1-0F
Feb 1
6
Como 19077331412 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
Feb 8
Dec 21
7
Juventus7331212 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
8
Atalanta7250611 
-
-
May 10
Oct 28
9
Sassuolo7313010 
Nov 9
Mar 1
Dec 14
May 3
10
Cremonese6231-19 
Feb 8
Oct 25
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
11
Lazio722338 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Nov 30
Mar 15
12
Torino7223-78 
Jan 11
w
 
0-3F
Mar 22
Dec 7
13
Cagliari7223-28 
Dec 14
Apr 26
May 24
Jan 3
14
Udinese6222-38 
Mar 8
Nov 1
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
15
Lecce7133-56 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
Jan 18
w
 
0-2F
16
Parma7133-46 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Feb 22
Nov 9
17
Verona7043-74 
Mar 22
Dec 7
Dec 28
Apr 19
18
Fiorentina6033-43 
Nov 30
May 24
w
 
2-1A
Jan 11
19
Genoa7034-63 
May 3
Dec 21
Jan 6
May 17
20
Pisa7034-73 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Oct 24
Feb 15
Win / draw / win form
3
Milan have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Atalanta 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Pisa
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Atalanta2 - 0Monza
Atalanta6 - 1Verona
Atalanta5 - 1Genoa
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
AAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Torino
HAtalanta4 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 1Parma
HAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 3Parma
AAtalanta3 - 2Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta4 - 0Monza
HAtalanta1 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 0Milan
HAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta0 - 1Lazio
AAtalanta0 - 1Fiorentina
HAtalanta0 - 2Inter
AAtalanta4 - 0Juventus
HAtalanta0 - 0Venezia
AAtalanta5 - 0Empoli
HAtalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Milan 4TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Juventus0 - 0Milan
Udinese0 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 2Milan
Roma3 - 1Milan
Genoa1 - 2Milan
Venezia0 - 2Milan
Udinese0 - 4Milan
Napoli2 - 1Milan
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Bologna2 - 1Milan
Torino2 - 1Milan
Empoli0 - 2Milan
Juventus2 - 0Milan
Como 19071 - 2Milan
Verona0 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Cagliari3 - 3Milan
Monza0 - 1Milan
Fiorentina2 - 1Milan
Inter1 - 2Milan
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMilan0 - 0Juventus
HMilan2 - 1Napoli
AMilan3 - 0Udinese
HMilan1 - 0Bologna
AMilan2 - 0Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Cremonese
HMilan2 - 0Monza
AMilan1 - 3Roma
HMilan3 - 1Bologna
AMilan2 - 1Genoa
AMilan2 - 0Venezia
HMilan0 - 1Atalanta
AMilan4 - 0Udinese
HMilan2 - 2Fiorentina
AMilan1 - 2Napoli
HMilan2 - 1Como 1907
AMilan3 - 2Lecce
HMilan1 - 2Lazio
AMilan1 - 2Bologna
AMilan1 - 2Torino
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Milan
Goals: Scored
19
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
ATA
4
D
3
ACM
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Milan
0 - 2Milan
Atalanta5 - 0
1 - 3Milan
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
1 - 3Milan
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
6 / 11
ATA
4
D
5
ACM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Milan
0 - 1Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Milan2 - 0
Milan2 - 0
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Atalanta
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 1Atalanta
Goal Statistics

Milan's defensive record is to be admired, Massimiliano Allegri's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Atalanta have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for Massimiliano Allegri's side suggests that run should continue.

Atalanta 6th Milan 4th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-4
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+11
Milan have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
26%
better
ATA
ACM
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score0
1
Scored first5
4
Goals scored11
9
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.5
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for1.6
1.6
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
ATA
ACM
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded5
2
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded5
3
Avg. goals conceded0.8
0.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
13
Conversion rate against9%
8%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+32%

Atalanta v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6233
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK6
-
M Pasalic MID611
-
N Krstovic FWD623
-
K Sulemana FWD621
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF5
1
-
I Hien DEF5
1
-
R Bellanova MID5
-
L Samardžić MID511
-
D Maldini MID5
1
-
M Roon MID5
2
1
O Kossounou  DEF4
-
C Ketelaere MID42
-
Y Musah MID4
-
N Zalewski MID411
-
M Brescianini MID4
-
D Zappacosta MID41
1
-
H. Ahanor DEF3
-
G Scalvini DEF31
-
Éderson MID2
-
L Bernasconi MID2
-
G Scamacca FWD21
-
A Lookman FWD2
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6422
M GabbiaC PulisicC PulisicP Estupiñán
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Gabbia DEF6
-
S Pavlovic DEF61
-
F Tomori DEF6
1
-
L Modric MID611
-
A Saelemaekers MID611
1
-
Y Fofana MID611
1
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID61
-
C Pulisic FWD642
-
S Giménez FWD6
-
M Maignan  GLK5
-
P Estupiñán DEF51
1
1
A Rabiot MID41
1
-
K Winter DEF3
-
S Ricci MID3
-
C Nkunku  FWD3
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
Z. Athekame DEF2
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF2
1
-
R Leão FWD2
-
A Jashari MID1
-