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Atalanta v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 17:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia faithful welcome Fiorentina's fans on Sunday evening, as Ivan Juric's Atalanta take on Paolo Vanoli's team in the Serie A. We've got odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for both teams. All can be selected using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds are pointing towards it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Atalanta and Fiorentina have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
49%
4/6
1%
-
Draw
27%
11/4
4%
-
Fiorentina
25%
9/2
8%
-
Atalanta 1-0
13%
13/2
15%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1-
Atalanta 2-0
10%
7/1
14%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
10/1
22%
-
Atalanta 2-1
9%
15/2-
Fiorentina 1-0
9%
14/1
15%
-
Fiorentina 2-1
6%
16/1
11%
-
Atalanta 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Atalanta 3-1
4%
12/1
13%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
25/1
10%
-
Atalanta 3-2
2%
22/1
21%
-
Fiorentina 3-1
2%
40/1-
Atalanta 4-0
2%
25/1
13%
-
Atalanta 4-1
2%
25/1
10%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
4/5
10%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1/1
11%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
8/15-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/8
9%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
47%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - No
53%
19/20
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
15/4
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
17/2
21%
-
Home/draw
75%
1/7
1%
-
Away/draw
51%
23/20
2%
-
Home/away
73%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
1/4
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
3/1
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
11/5
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
4/11
5%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
9/2
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/7
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
10/1
27%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/20
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/20
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
10/1
22%
-
Home DNB
67%
1/4
2%
-
Away DNB
43%
11/4
6%
-
Atalanta win to nil
30%
7/4
5%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
14%
8/1
10%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
32%
8/5
4%
-
Atalanta / Fiorentina
2%
33/1
17%
-
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Atalanta
18%
7/2
4%
-
Draw / Fiorentina
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
Fiorentina / Atalanta
4%
20/1
9%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
10%
7/1
16%
-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 13th place in the Serie A league table. Atalanta are unbeaten in 3 games against teams below them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 3 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 3 games against teams below in the table, having won 1, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 0 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Atalanta have outscored their opponents by 13 goals to 9 goals.

Home League Performance

Atalanta have played 6 games at home winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 7 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 7 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 20th position in the Serie A on 5 points having played 11 matches so far this season. Fiorentina are winless in the 11 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 9 of those games. Fiorentina are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won zero. Fiorentina have conceded 18 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter118031424 
Dec 28
Mar 15
Mar 22
l
 
3-0A
2
Roma11803724 
Jan 3
Apr 19
l
 
1-2F
May 3
3
Milan11641822 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Jan 11
l
 
2-1F
4
Napoli11713622 
Feb 22
Nov 22
l
 
1-3A
Feb 1
5
Bologna116321021 
May 17
Jan 7
d
 
2-2A
Jan 18
6
Juventus11542419 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Nov 22
May 17
7
Como 190711461618 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 1
l
 
1-2F
Feb 15
8
Sassuolo11515216 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
Apr 26
Dec 6
9
Lazio11434415 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 15
Apr 12
Jan 7
10
Udinese11434-515 
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
Dec 21
Mar 1
11
Cremonese11353-114 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Jan 4
Mar 15
12
Torino11353-614 
Jan 10
w
 
0-3F
Feb 8
d
 
0-00-0
13
Atalanta11272213 
-
-
May 24
Nov 30
14
Cagliari11245-510 
Dec 13
Apr 26
Jan 24
d
 
1-1F
15
Lecce11245-610 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
16
Pisa11164-69 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 16
Feb 22
d
 
0-00-0
17
Parma11155-78 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Dec 27
18
Genoa11146-87 
May 3
Dec 21
May 10
d
 
2-2A
19
Verona11065-106 
Mar 22
Dec 6
Dec 14
Apr 4
20
Fiorentina11056-95 
Nov 30
May 24
-
-
Win / draw / win form
6
Fiorentina have not won in 6 consecutive away league games
Atalanta 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
9
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Atalanta0 - 0Lazio
Atalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Pisa
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Atalanta0 - 0Cagliari
Atalanta1 - 1Torino
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Atalanta1 - 1Juventus
Atalanta3 - 2Empoli
Atalanta2 - 1Milan
Atalanta2 - 1Udinese
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
AAtalanta0 - 1Udinese
HAtalanta1 - 1Milan
AAtalanta1 - 1Cremonese
HAtalanta0 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
AAtalanta1 - 1Juventus
AAtalanta3 - 0Torino
HAtalanta4 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 1Parma
HAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 3Parma
AAtalanta3 - 2Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Roma
AAtalanta4 - 0Monza
HAtalanta1 - 1Lecce
AAtalanta1 - 0Milan
HAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta0 - 1Lazio
AAtalanta0 - 1Fiorentina
Fiorentina 20TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa2 - 2Fiorentina
Inter3 - 0Fiorentina
Milan2 - 1Fiorentina
Pisa0 - 0Fiorentina
Torino0 - 0Fiorentina
Cagliari1 - 1Fiorentina
Udinese2 - 3Fiorentina
Venezia2 - 1Fiorentina
Roma1 - 0Fiorentina
Cagliari1 - 2Fiorentina
Milan2 - 2Fiorentina
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Verona1 - 0Fiorentina
Inter2 - 1Fiorentina
Lazio1 - 2Fiorentina
Monza2 - 1Fiorentina
Juventus2 - 2Fiorentina
Bologna1 - 0Fiorentina
Como 19070 - 2Fiorentina
Torino0 - 1Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFiorentina2 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina0 - 1Lecce
AFiorentina0 - 3Inter
HFiorentina2 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 2Roma
AFiorentina0 - 0Pisa
HFiorentina1 - 2Como 1907
HFiorentina1 - 3Napoli
AFiorentina0 - 0Torino
AFiorentina1 - 1Cagliari
AFiorentina3 - 2Udinese
HFiorentina3 - 2Bologna
AFiorentina1 - 2Venezia
AFiorentina0 - 1Roma
HFiorentina2 - 1Empoli
AFiorentina2 - 1Cagliari
HFiorentina0 - 0Parma
AFiorentina2 - 2Milan
HFiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
18
15
Games: Scored
9 / 11
8 / 11
Clean sheets
3 / 11
2 / 11
ATA
4
D
3
FIO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
Atalanta3 - 2
2 - 3Fiorentina
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 2Fiorentina
Atalanta3 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Atalanta3 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
2 - 3Fiorentina
0 - 1Fiorentina
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
18
11
Games: Scored
10 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
1 / 11
ATA
2
D
3
FIO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina1 - 0
Fiorentina3 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
Fiorentina1 - 0
2 - 3Atalanta
1 - 2Atalanta
Fiorentina2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Fiorentina3 - 0
Fiorentina3 - 2
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Atalanta of late. It has been 7 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.4 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday evening against Fiorentina.

Atalanta 13th Fiorentina 20th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 76% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-30
Atalanta have scored 30% fewer goals at home than predicted
-13
Fiorentina have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.4
0.9
Attack rating
%
better
ATA
FIO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
ATA
FIO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Atalanta v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11233
M CarnesecchiK SulemanaN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK11
-
M Pasalic MID1112
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF10
1
-
I Hien DEF10
2
-
K Sulemana FWD1021
2
-
N Krstovic FWD1023
1
-
L Samardžić MID911
-
C Ketelaere MID92
2
-
R Bellanova MID9
-
D Zappacosta MID81
1
-
M Roon MID8
2
1
O Kossounou  DEF7
-
N Zalewski MID711
-
M Brescianini MID71
1
-
Éderson MID7
1
-
A Lookman FWD71
-
H. Ahanor DEF6
-
D Maldini MID6
1
-
Y Musah MID5
-
G Scamacca FWD51
1
-
G Scalvini DEF41
-
L Bernasconi MID4
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11214
D GeaR Mandragora S SohmM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK11
-
Dodô DEF11
2
-
R Mandragora  MID112
-
M Pongracic  DEF10
4
-
L Ranieri DEF101
4
-
J Fazzini MID10
-
M Kean FWD102
2
-
E Dzeko FWD10
1
-
R Gosens DEF91
1
-
S Sohm MID91
2
-
A Gudmundsson FWD921
2
-
R Piccoli FWD91
-
H Caviglia MID81
2
-
N Fagioli MID8
1
-
P Marí DEF7
2
-
C Ndour MID7
-
P. Comuzzo DEF6
-
N. Fortini DEF6
-
M Viti DEF5
1
1
F Parisi DEF3
1
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
E. Kouadio DEF1
-
A Sabiri MID1
-