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Atalanta v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Antonio Conte will be hoping for a vital away win in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Napoli side to the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia to visit Atalanta and Raffaele Palladino. Analysing both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the stats, including head-to-heads, are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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Atalanta's next match is v Udinese at 17:00 on Saturday 7th March
Napoli's next match is v Lecce at 17:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Atalanta and Napoli was on Sunday 22nd February 2026
Italian Serie A
February 22nd 2026
Atalanta 2
1 Napoli
 
M. Pašalić 61'18' S. Beukema
L. Samardžić 81'
 
ATA
NAP
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
6
1
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
AtalantaNapoli
 
I. Hien
M. Pašalićfootball icon
M. de Roon
R. Bellanova (L. Bernasconi 57')
K. Sulemana (L. Samardžić 46')
M. Carnesecchi
S. Kolašinac (H. Ahanor 84')
G. Scalvini (B. Djimsiti 69')
N. Zalewski
D. Zappacosta
N. Krstović (G. Scamacca 57')
 (M. Politano 62') M. Gutiérrez Ortega
A. Buongiorno
(M. Olivera Miramontes 70') J. Nunes Jesus
R. Højlund
E. Elmas
(L. Spinazzola 63') P. Mazzocchi
V. Milinković Savić
football iconS. Beukema
(G. Santana do Nascimento 70') A. Vergara
S. Lobotka
(R. Lukaku Menama 85') A. de Almeida Santos

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It's not the news we want to be reporting, but we're not predicting a high-scoring affair here. The statistics suggest Atalanta and Napoli both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds are leaning towards there being fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think they're probably right and, with no obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals seems a good bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.45.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
43%
7/5
2%
1/1000
2%
Draw
28%
2/125/1
3%
Napoli
29%
23/10
3%
150/1
Atalanta 1-0
13%
6/1
7%
5/1
8%
Draw 1-1
13%
9/21/2
5%
Draw 0-0
11%
13/2
6%
9/2
7%
Napoli 1-0
10%
8/1
6%
8/5
Atalanta 2-0
8%
10/117/2
Atalanta 2-1
8%
9/11/5
Napoli 2-1
6%
11/119/4
Napoli 2-0
5%
14/117/4
Draw 2-2
4%
14/17/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
22/1
9%
18/1
Atalanta 3-1
3%
20/113/2
Napoli 3-1
2%
28/128/1
10%
Atalanta 3-2
2%
33/1
15%
33/1
12%
Napoli 3-0
2%
33/116/1
Napoli 3-2
1%
40/1
17%
60/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
13/10
5%
7/5
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/13
4%
8/15
3%
Home 1st Goal
50%
10/11
4%
19/20
Away 1st Goal
43%
5/411/8
No 1st Goal
7%
13/2
6%
9/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
45%
19/20
2%
21/20
1%
BTTS - No
55%
4/5
6%
7/10
3%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
9/2
9%
1/16
4%
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/37/1
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/250/1
4%
Home/draw
71%
1/31/1000
1%
Away/draw
57%
8/157/1
Home/away
72%
4/111/16
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
2/5
3%
4/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
2/1
7%
8/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
10/33/1
8%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/92/9
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
8/1
11%
22/1
7%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
1/1000
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/1
11%
80/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/50
1%
1/1000
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/12
1%
1/8
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
13/2
6%
9/2
14%
Home DNB
63%
8/13
3%
1/1000
Away DNB
49%
6/5
5%
45/1
Atalanta win to nil
27%
11/4-
Napoli win to nil
18%
9/2-
Atalanta / Atalanta
21%
3/1
6%
55/1
3%
Atalanta / Napoli
3%
33/1
15%
150/1
12%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
14/1
13%
100/1
Draw / Atalanta
15%
9/218/1
Draw / Napoli
12%
6/122/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/2
5%
14/1
5%
Napoli / Atalanta
3%
28/1
10%
7/1
9%
Napoli / Napoli
16%
4/18/13
4%
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/113/5
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 7th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 20 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Napoli lay in 3rd place on 50 points in the Serie A league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 32 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 20 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 13 away games, winning 7, drawing 1 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Napoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2722144367 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 14
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
2
Milan2716922357 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
3
Napoli2817561456 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
-
-
4
Roma2716381851 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
5
Como 19072814952551 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
6
Juventus2713861847 
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
7
Atalanta28121061346 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Bologna2711610439 
May 17
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
9
Sassuolo2711511-238 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
10
Udinese2810612-836 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
1-0A
11
Lazio278109-134 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
12
Parma278910-1233 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
13
Cagliari287912-830 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
w
 
1-0F
Mar 20
14
Torino288614-2130 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Genoa276912-727 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
16
Cremonese275913-1724 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
0-2F
17
Fiorentina275913-1224 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
18
Lecce276615-1824 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
19
Pisa2711214-2415 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 17
20
Verona272916-2815 
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 1Cremonese
Atalanta4 - 0Parma
Atalanta2 - 0Torino
Atalanta1 - 0Roma
Atalanta0 - 1Inter
Atalanta2 - 1Cagliari
Atalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
Atalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
Atalanta1 - 1Milan
Atalanta0 - 0Lazio
Atalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Atalanta4 - 1Lecce
Atalanta1 - 1Pisa
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Atalanta2 - 1Roma
Atalanta1 - 1Lecce
Atalanta2 - 0Bologna
Atalanta0 - 1Lazio
Atalanta0 - 2Inter
Atalanta0 - 0Venezia
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta2 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta2 - 1Cremonese
AAtalanta0 - 0Como 1907
HAtalanta4 - 0Parma
AAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta1 - 0Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Inter
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 3Verona
HAtalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
AAtalanta1 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
AAtalanta0 - 1Udinese
HAtalanta1 - 1Milan
AAtalanta1 - 1Cremonese
HAtalanta0 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Genoa2 - 3Napoli
Juventus3 - 0Napoli
Inter2 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Cremonese0 - 2Napoli
Udinese1 - 0Napoli
Roma0 - 1Napoli
Bologna2 - 0Napoli
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Torino1 - 0Napoli
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Sassuolo0 - 2Napoli
Parma0 - 0Napoli
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Monza0 - 1Napoli
Bologna1 - 1Napoli
Venezia0 - 0Napoli
Como 19072 - 1Napoli
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNapoli2 - 2Roma
ANapoli3 - 2Genoa
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
ANapoli0 - 3Juventus
HNapoli1 - 0Sassuolo
HNapoli0 - 0Parma
ANapoli2 - 2Inter
HNapoli2 - 2Verona
ANapoli2 - 0Lazio
ANapoli2 - 0Cremonese
ANapoli0 - 1Udinese
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli1 - 0Roma
HNapoli3 - 1Atalanta
ANapoli0 - 2Bologna
HNapoli0 - 0Como 1907
ANapoli1 - 0Lecce
HNapoli3 - 1Inter
ANapoli0 - 1Torino
HNapoli2 - 1Genoa
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Napoli have beaten Atalanta in 4 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Napoli
Goals: Scored
15
19
Games: Scored
10 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
1 / 11
ATA
3
D
1
NAP
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
2 - 3Napoli
1 - 2Napoli
1 - 2Napoli
1 - 3Napoli
Atalanta4 - 2
Atalanta2 - 0
1 - 2Napoli
0 - 1Napoli
Atalanta1 - 0
1 - 3Napoli
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
20
20
Games: Scored
9 / 12
11 / 12
Clean sheets
1 / 12
3 / 12
ATA
5
D
2
NAP
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Napoli3 - 1
0 - 3Atalanta
0 - 3Atalanta
Napoli2 - 0
2 - 3Atalanta
Napoli4 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1
0 - 2Atalanta
Napoli2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Napoli makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 7th Napoli 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Napoli scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-14
Atalanta have scored 14% fewer goals at home than predicted
-16
Napoli have scored 16% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
1.3
1
Attack rating
0%
better
ATA
NAP
view stats
Games scored20
19
Failed to score5
6
Scored first15
13
Goals scored34
38
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for14
16
Avg. XG for1.8
1.7
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
12%
better
ATA
NAP
view stats
Games conceded15
16
Clean sheets10
9
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded21
25
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+12%

Atalanta v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27747
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicM PasalicM Roon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK27
-
G Scalvini DEF142
2
-
I Hien DEF221
3
-
S Kolasinac DEF10
2
-
R Bellanova MID171
1
-
M Roon MID2311
6
1
M Pasalic MID2234
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2413
2
-
K Sulemana FWD2022
3
-
N Zalewski FWD2323
3
-
N Krstovic FWD2374
2
-
Subs
F Rossi GLK
-
M Sportiello GLK
-
O Kossounou  DEF141
1
-
M Bakker DEF
-
B Djimsiti DEF24
2
-
L Bernasconi DEF173
3
-
H. Ahanor DEF16
1
1
Y Musah MID141
1
-
L Samardžić MID2022
1
-
Éderson MID211
1
-
G Scamacca FWD1861
2
-
D. Vavassori FWD
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
239410
R HöjlundR HöjlundM PolitanoJ Jesus
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Milinković-Savić GLK20
-
S Beukema DEF162
2
-
J Jesus DEF20
9
1
A Buongiorno DEF241
2
-
P Mazzocchi  MID10
1
S Lobotka MID2311
1
-
E Elmas MID2513
2
-
M Gutiérrez MID1811
-
A Santos FWD42
-
A Vergara FWD1112
2
-
R Höjlund FWD2492
1
-
Subs
A Meret GLK81
1
-
N Contini GLK
-
L Spinazzola DEF2433
2
-
M Olivera DEF17
2
-
B Gilmour MID121
1
-
V. Prisco MID
-
E. De Chiara MID
-
R Lukaku  FWD51
1
-
M Politano FWD254
1
-
Giovane FWD62
-