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Atalanta v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Saturday evening at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Atalanta and Napoli. Gian Piero Gasperini and Walter Mazzarri going all-out to claim victory. We've got bespoke statistics for every major market, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from leading bookmakers.

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Atalanta's next match is v Torino at 19:45 on Monday 4th December
Napoli's next match is v Juventus at 19:45 on Friday 8th December
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Atalanta and Napoli was on Saturday 25th November 2023
Italian Serie A
November 25th 2023
Atalanta 1
2 Napoli
 
A. Lookman 53'44' K. Kvaratskhelia
79' E. Elmas
 
ATA
NAP
Shots On
5
4
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
5
4
Possession
44%
56%
Fouls
14
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
2/0
 
AtalantaNapoli
 
M. Carnesecchi
S. Kolašinac (G. Bonfanti 76')
G. Scalvini
B. Djimsiti
D. Zappacosta (H. Hateboer 33')
M. Bakker (M. Ruggeri 46')
C. De Ketelaere (L. Muriel Fruto 83')
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
M. Pašalić
T. Koopmeiners
A. Lookmanfootball icon (G. Scamacca 83')
P. Gollini
A. Rrahmani
(J. Nunes Jesus 39') M. Olivera Miramontes
(L. Skiri Oestigaard 78') Natan
G. Di Lorenzo
S. Lobotka
A. Zambo Anguissa
(J. Cajuste 78') P. Zieliński
football iconK. Kvaratskhelia
(V. Osimhen 63') G. Raspadori
(E. Elmas 63') M. Politano
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of Atalanta and Napoli delivering at least a couple of goals in this Serie A clash. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. It's available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Napoli coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Atalanta
34%
7/5
8%
7/5
8%
13/8
1%
31/20
Draw
25%
5/2
3%
12/512/547/20
7%
Napoli
41%
9/5
8%
9/5
8%
8/5
1%
7/4
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/211/221/4
7%
Napoli 2-1
9%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
17/29/1
Napoli 1-0
9%
10/1
10%
10/1
16%
17/2
5%
17/2
5%
Atalanta 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
8/1
5%
17/217/2
Atalanta 1-0
8%
9/117/29/117/2
10%
Napoli 2-0
6%
14/1
15%
16/1
13%
12/1
13%
13/1
Draw 2-2
6%
11/111/111/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
11/111/1
8%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
12/1
13%
12/1
13%
14/112/1
Napoli 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
20/118/119/1
5%
Atalanta 3-1
4%
18/1
10%
18/1
10%
18/118/1
6%
Napoli 3-0
3%
28/1
12%
33/1
17%
25/124/1
9%
Napoli 3-2
3%
25/125/122/125/1
13%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
22/1
12%
22/122/1
Atalanta 3-0
2%
22/1
12%
25/1
10%
28/1
12%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
3/4
3%
7/10
6%
8/11
4%
5/6
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
21/20
3%
21/20
5%
Evs
5%
19/20
4%
Home 1st Goal
47%
4/5
12%
10/11
5%
Evs
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
11/10
15%
11/10
5%
19/20-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1
8%
12/1
8%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
8/134/7
3%
8/13
3%
13/20
2%
BTTS - No
42%
6/513/10
5%
6/5
2%
23/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
10/3
9%
16/5
9%
7/2
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/33/13/1-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4/1
5%
15/4
6%
7/2
4%
-
Home/draw
59%
2/5
7%
2/5
7%
1/24/9
3%
Away/draw
66%
8/15
6%
8/15
2%
4/9
4%
13/25
1%
Home/away
75%
2/7
1%
2/7
1%
1/3
2%
33/100
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/42/9
2%
1/4
2%
1/4
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/129/10
5%
11/4
6%
29/10
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
2/17/4
5%
2/1
9%
41/20
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
2/52/5
3%
4/11
3%
4/11
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1
9%
4/1
9%
9/2
10%
21/4
9%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/6
3%
2/13
2%
1/8
1%
1/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/110/1
8%
9/1
11%
23/2
4%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/201/18
1%
1/25
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
1/251/40
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
10/1
8%
11/1
9%
9/121/2
12%
Home DNB
34%
8/11
5%
8/11
5%
5/617/20
2%
Away DNB
41%
1/1
9%
1/1
9%
5/649/50
2%
Atalanta win to nil
16%
7/2
10%
18/5
8%
4/1-
Napoli win to nil
20%
9/2
10%
9/2
10%
18/5
8%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
11%
16/53/1
2%
Atalanta / Napoli
3%
25/128/125/129/1
15%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/114/112/123/2
4%
Draw / Atalanta
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
4%
11/211/2
Draw / Napoli
13%
11/2
8%
11/2
8%
11/211/2
4%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/29/2
6%
9/222/5
7%
Napoli / Atalanta
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
10%
25/129/1
15%
Napoli / Napoli
19%
7/2
4%
19/5
7%
16/517/5
7%
Napoli / Draw
6%
12/112/1
13%
12/112/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 5th position in the league. Atalanta are winless in the 2 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 1 of those games.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won zero. Atalanta have conceded 2 goals, scored 1, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 2 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Napoli lay in 4th place on 21 points in the Serie A league table having played 12 matches. Napoli are unbeaten away after 6 games and have kept 3 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below them in the table, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored 22 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 11 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 6 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Atalanta
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Napoli
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
1-2A
Jan 21
 Inter1411212635 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 17
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 10
 Juventus1410311333 
Mar 3
Dec 8
Dec 9
Feb 25
 Milan14923929 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 11
May 12
Jan 7
 Roma147341124 
Apr 28
Dec 23
l
 
1-2A
Mar 30
 Napoli Away14734924 
-
-
Mar 17
l
 
3-2F
 Fiorentina14725623 
l
 
1-3A
May 19
Mar 3
Dec 23
 Bologna14572522 
May 12
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
 Atalanta Home13625820 
Mar 30
w
 
1-2F
Feb 4
l
 
3-2A
 Lazio14626020 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 28
w
 
3-0F
Apr 21
 Monza14464118 
Dec 29
Apr 7
Jan 14
l
 
2-1A
 Frosinone14536-418 
Apr 14
w
 
1-3A
Dec 30
May 19
 Lecce14374-316 
May 26
w
 
0-4F
May 26
Dec 4
 Torino13445-616 
Mar 10
Jan 7
w
 
2-0F
Feb 11
 Genoa14437-415 
Feb 18
d
 
2-2A
Feb 18
w
 
0-2F
 Sassuolo14437-515 
w
 
2-0F
Jan 21
Jan 28
d
 
1-1A
 Udinese14194-912 
w
 
4-1F
May 5
Apr 28
w
 
0-3F
 Empoli14329-1711 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 21
Apr 14
w
 
0-1F
 Verona14248-910 
Feb 4
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
Apr 7
 Cagliari14248-1310 
Dec 16
Feb 25
Dec 18
May 5
 Salernitana14158-188 
Jan 14
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Atalanta 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
2
Lost
7
Napoli 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Napoli have beaten Atalanta in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2014
Atalanta
Napoli
Goals: Scored
12
14
Games: Scored
8 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
1 / 9
ATA
3
D
1
NAP
5
All league games since 2014
Atalanta
Napoli
Goals: Scored
25
31
Games: Scored
16 / 18
15 / 18
Clean sheets
3 / 18
2 / 18
ATA
6
D
3
NAP
9
Goal Statistics

Napoli have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 5 consecutive Serie A outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Atalanta on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Atalanta 8th Napoli 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
Atalanta have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+15
Napoli have scored 15% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.6
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264408/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
1.4
1.5
Attack rating
10%
better
ATA
NAP
view stats
Games scored12
11
Failed to score1
3
Scored first7
6
Goals scored21
26
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate16%
15%
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
26%
better
ATA
NAP
view stats
Games conceded6
10
Clean sheets7
4
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded13
17
Avg. goals conceded1
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate13%
16%
KickOff rating
+26%

Atalanta v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12533
B DjimsitiG ScamaccaM RuggeriS Kolasinac
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK5
-
G Scalvini DEF12
-
B Djimsiti DEF12
2
-
S Kolasinac DEF131
3
-
D Zappacosta MID111
1
-
Éderson MID1341
1
-
M Pasalic MID1111
-
M Bakker MID7
-
T Koopmeiners MID1232
1
-
C Ketelaere MID1212
-
A Lookman FWD1342
2
-
Subs
F Rossi GLK
-
J Musso GLK8
-
H Hateboer DEF61
2
-
N Zortea DEF41
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF123
1
-
G Bonfanti DEF1
-
E Holm DEF6
1
-
M Adopo MID31
-
A Miranchuk MID4
-
G Scamacca FWD951
-
L Muriel FWD101
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14644
G LorenzoV OsimhenG LorenzoJ Cajuste
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Gollini GLK2
-
G Lorenzo DEF1414
3
-
A Rrahmani DEF9
1
-
Natan DEF8
2
-
M Olivera DEF111
2
-
F Anguissa MID13
-
S Lobotka MID141
2
-
P Zielinski MID1422
-
M Politano FWD1453
1
-
G Raspadori FWD1432
-
K Kvaratskhelia FWD1343
2
-
Subs
A Meret GLK12
-
N Contini GLK
-
J Jesus DEF5
-
L Østigård DEF121
-
A Zanoli DEF2
1
-
E Elmas MID102
2
-
D Demme MID
-
J Cajuste MID111
4
-
G Gaetano MID31
-
V Osimhen FWD1061
-
G Simeone FWD111
3
-
A Zerbin FWD3
-