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Genoa v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 5th May, 19:45 BST, Luigi Ferraris, Genova

Milan are away from home on Monday evening, as manager Giuseppe Pillon takes his men to visit Genoa and Patrick Vieira at the Luigi Ferraris in the Serie A. We have predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Serie A clash.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by Genoa and Milan combined during the standard 90 minutes. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The top price currently available on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 43% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Genoa
30%
10/3
14%
-
Draw
27%
27/10
9%
-
Milan
43%
4/5
8%
-
Draw 1-1
13%
6/1
8%
-
Milan 1-0
11%
6/1-
Genoa 1-0
9%
11/1
20%
-
Milan 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1
5%
-
Milan 2-0
8%
15/2
6%
-
Genoa 2-1
7%
14/1
15%
-
Genoa 2-0
5%
20/1
11%
-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
-
Milan 3-1
4%
14/1
12%
-
Milan 3-0
4%
14/1
12%
-
Genoa 3-1
3%
33/1
17%
-
Milan 3-2
2%
25/1
10%
-
Genoa 3-0
2%
40/1-
Genoa 3-2
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
10/11
9%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
10/11
10%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
50%
8/15
6%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1
5%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
10/11-
BTTS - No
50%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
13%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
-
BTTS - Away Win
19%
3/1
11%
-
Home/draw
57%
19/20
8%
-
Away/draw
70%
1/5
4%
-
Home/away
73%
2/7
1%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
3/10
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
5/2
3%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
12/5
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/3
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
11/2
7%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1
5%
-
Home DNB
49%
9/4
24%
-
Away DNB
62%
1/3
8%
-
Genoa win to nil
17%
6/1
17%
-
Milan win to nil
25%
2/1
12%
-
Genoa / Genoa
11%
13/2
25%
-
Genoa / Milan
4%
22/1
12%
-
Genoa / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Genoa
9%
8/1
13%
-
Draw / Milan
18%
15/4
5%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
-
Milan / Genoa
2%
33/1-
Milan / Milan
29%
15/8
11%
-
Milan / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Genoa have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 11 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Genoa have conceded 31 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Genoa have played 17 games at home, winning 5, drawing 7 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 9th place on 54 points in the Serie A league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 16 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 17 away games, winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Genoa
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli3422842974 
l
 
1-2A
May 11
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1A
2
Inter3421853971 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
3
Atalanta3419873665 
May 18
l
 
5-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
4
Juventus34161442062 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
5
Bologna34161351561 
d
 
2-2A
May 25
May 9
l
 
2-1F
6
Roma3417981760 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
May 18
7
Lazio3417981260 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
8
Fiorentina3417891959 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
9
Milan Away34159101554 
May 5
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
10
Torino34101311-143 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-1A
11
Como 19073411914-442 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2A
12
Udinese3411815-1241 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-4F
13
Genoa Home3491213-1239 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
May 5
14
Cagliari348917-1433 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3A
15
Parma3461414-1332 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
l
 
2-1A
16
Verona349520-3232 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Lecce346919-3227 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3A
18
Venezia3441317-2125 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Empoli3441317-2725 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
20
Monza342923-3415 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Genoa 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Milan 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Milan have not lost to Genoa in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Genoa since 2014
Genoa
Milan
Goals: Scored
8
11
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
GEN
3
D
1
ACM
5
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Genoa
Goals: Scored
14
11
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
GEN
2
D
3
ACM
5
Goal Statistics
Genoa 13th Milan 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Genoa will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Genoa’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+5
Milan’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283386/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Genoa
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.1
1.4
Attack rating
GEN
ACM
36%
better
view stats
Games scored21
29
Failed to score13
5
Scored first10
16
Goals scored29
53
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.6
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
GEN
ACM
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
22
Clean sheets11
12
Conceded first20
16
Goals conceded41
38
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
13%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.2
KickOff rating
+6%

Genoa v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Genoa Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32848
A MartínA PinamontiA MartínJ Vásquez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Vásquez DEF332
8
-
A Pinamonti FWD3381
4
-
A Martín DEF324
5
-
M Frendrup MID322
5
-
S Sabelli DEF301
3
-
A Zanoli DEF281
3
-
M Thorsby MID281
5
-
N Leali GLK27
1
-
F Miretti MID2533
2
-
K Winter DEF223
6
-
P Masini MID221
3
-
M Badelj MID221
2
-
J. Ekhator FWD2211
1
-
Vitinha FWD212
1
-
M Bani DEF17
3
-
C Ekuban  FWD1614
1
-
J Messias FWD1411
1
-
A Matturro DEF13
2
-
B Norton-Cuffy DEF10
-
R Malinovskyi MID92
2
-
J Onana MID7
-
L. Kasa MID7
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF6
-
M Cornet FWD621
-
M Balotelli FWD6
2
-
S Otoa DEF1
1
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
331085
M Maignan T ReijndersR LeãoY Fofana
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK33
2
-
T Reijnders MID33105
2
1
Y Fofana MID3216
5
-
R Leão FWD3278
4
-
T Hernández DEF3143
4
1
C Pulisic FWD30108
1
-
T Abraham FWD2834
1
-
Y Musah MID252
5
-
S Chukwueze FWD243
-
M Gabbia DEF221
3
-
M Thiaw DEF21
2
-
S Pavlovic DEF2021
2
1
F Tomori DEF181
2
1
E Royal DEF18
5
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF16
5
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID15
1
-
F Terracciano DEF12
3
-
S Giménez FWD1131
3
-
L Jović  FWD112
1
-
J Félix FWD11
1
-
K Walker DEF9
1
-
R Sottil  FWD5
-
W Bondo MID4
1
-
M Sportiello GLK2
-