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Lazio v Parma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 19:45 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

The Serie A is the focus for both Lazio and Parma on Saturday evening, as managers Maurizio Sarri and Carlos Antón Cuesta battle it out at the Stadio Olimpico. You'll see statistics supporting our top of under 2.5 goals below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other betting markets we cover too. We aim to deliver as full a picture as possible, with Serie A performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Concentration will be required as Lazio and Parma go head-to-head, with almost nothing between the teams in defence, making it difficult to predict who will win. The statistics do not give us any proper confidence in that regard, but they are pointing strongly towards there being 2 goals or fewer in the fixture. It's a prediction which is available at best priced odds of 1.62 with the bookies, so we've made under 2.5 goals our tip of the day on this one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Lazio are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 42% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.80.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lazio
42%
1.80
11%
1.80
Draw
28%
3.40
6%
3.50
Parma
30%
4.75
17%
4.80
Draw 1-1
13%
6.50
7%
6.50
Lazio 1-0
13%
6.00
9%
5.50
Parma 1-0
10%
11.00
8%
9.50
Draw 0-0
10%
8.007.00
Lazio 2-1
8%
9.00
6%
8.00
Lazio 2-0
8%
7.50
7%
7.00
Parma 2-1
7%
17.00
11%
13.00
Parma 2-0
5%
23.00
12%
17.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
Lazio 3-1
3%
17.00
13%
15.00
Lazio 3-0
3%
15.00
25%
12.00
Parma 3-1
2%
41.00
20%
29.00
Parma 3-0
2%
51.00
24%
41.00
Lazio 3-2
2%
34.0026.00
Parma 3-2
1%
51.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
2.30
5%
2.20
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
1.62
3%
1.60
Home 1st Goal
49%
1.62
6%
1.60
Away 1st Goal
44%
2.75
8%
2.88
No 1st Goal
7%
8.007.00
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.05
2%
2.10
BTTS - No
54%
1.70
2%
1.67
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4.50
4%
4.33
BTTS - Draw
18%
5.00
9%
5.00
BTTS - Away Win
12%
11.00
8%
9.00
Home/draw
70%
1.18
4%
1.18
Away/draw
58%
1.95
13%
2.00
Home/away
72%
1.30
1%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
1.401.40
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
3.002.75
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
4.33
8%
4.00
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1.22
2%
1.20
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
9.008.00
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1.071.06
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
19.0017.00
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1.021.01
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1.081.07
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8.007.50
Home DNB
62%
1.30
7%
1.29
Away DNB
50%
3.40
15%
3.30
Lazio win to nil
26%
2.63
5%
-
Parma win to nil
18%
7.00
22%
-
Lazio / Lazio
29%
2.88
11%
2.70
Lazio / Parma
2%
41.0029.00
Lazio / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Draw / Lazio
18%
4.50
4%
4.50
Draw / Parma
9%
9.50
14%
9.00
Draw / Draw
17%
4.75
5%
4.60
Parma / Lazio
3%
26.0021.00
Parma / Parma
11%
8.00
16%
7.00
Parma / Draw
5%
17.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lazio have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 19 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 8 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. Lazio have outscored their opponents by 31 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Lazio have played 15 games at home winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 21 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Parma are in 12th position in the Serie A on 34 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Parma have conceded 24 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lazio
Parma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3022354269 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-2A
May 3
2
Milan3018932463 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
3
Napoli3019561662 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
4
Como 19073016953157 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
5
Juventus3015962354 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
6
Roma30173101754 
l
 
0-1A
May 17
May 10
l
 
2-1A
7
Atalanta30131161450 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
8
Lazio3011109343 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
9
Bologna3012612242 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
10
Sassuolo3011613-439 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 24
d
 
1-1A
11
Udinese3011613-739 
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
12
Parma3081012-1734 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
-
-
13
Genoa308913-633 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
14
Torino309615-1933 
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
15
Cagliari307914-1130 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
16
Fiorentina3061113-929 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 13
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
17
Cremonese306915-1927 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
18
Lecce307617-1927 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
19
Verona303918-3018 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
20
Pisa3021216-3118 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Lazio 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio1 - 0Milan
Lazio2 - 1Sassuolo
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Lazio3 - 2Genoa
Lazio0 - 3Como 1907
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 0Cremonese
Lazio1 - 1Bologna
Lazio2 - 0Lecce
Lazio2 - 0Cagliari
Lazio1 - 0Juventus
Lazio3 - 3Torino
Lazio0 - 1Roma
Lazio4 - 0Verona
Lazio0 - 1Lecce
Lazio1 - 1Juventus
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Lazio1 - 1Roma
Lazio1 - 1Torino
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALazio2 - 0Bologna
HLazio1 - 0Milan
HLazio2 - 1Sassuolo
ALazio0 - 2Torino
ALazio0 - 0Cagliari
HLazio0 - 2Atalanta
ALazio2 - 2Juventus
HLazio3 - 2Genoa
ALazio0 - 0Lecce
HLazio0 - 3Como 1907
ALazio1 - 0Verona
HLazio2 - 2Fiorentina
HLazio0 - 2Napoli
ALazio1 - 1Udinese
HLazio0 - 0Cremonese
ALazio1 - 0Parma
HLazio1 - 1Bologna
ALazio0 - 1Milan
HLazio2 - 0Lecce
ALazio0 - 2Inter
Parma 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Torino4 - 1Parma
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Milan0 - 1Parma
Bologna0 - 1Parma
Atalanta4 - 0Parma
Napoli0 - 0Parma
Lecce1 - 2Parma
Sassuolo1 - 1Parma
Pisa0 - 1Parma
Verona1 - 2Parma
Roma2 - 1Parma
Genoa0 - 0Parma
Cremonese0 - 0Parma
Cagliari2 - 0Parma
Juventus2 - 0Parma
Atalanta2 - 3Parma
Empoli2 - 1Parma
Lazio2 - 2Parma
Fiorentina0 - 0Parma
Verona0 - 0Parma
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma0 - 2Cremonese
AParma1 - 4Torino
AParma0 - 0Fiorentina
HParma1 - 1Cagliari
AParma1 - 0Milan
HParma2 - 1Verona
AParma1 - 0Bologna
HParma1 - 4Juventus
AParma0 - 4Atalanta
HParma0 - 0Genoa
AParma0 - 0Napoli
AParma2 - 1Lecce
HParma0 - 2Inter
AParma1 - 1Sassuolo
HParma1 - 0Fiorentina
HParma0 - 1Lazio
AParma1 - 0Pisa
HParma0 - 2Udinese
AParma2 - 1Verona
HParma2 - 2Milan
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Lazio have not lost to Parma in 5 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Lazio since 2015
Lazio
Parma
Goals: Scored
13
3
Games: Scored
5 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
0 / 5
LAZ
4
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lazio
Draw2 - 2Draw
Lazio1 - 0
Lazio2 - 0
Lazio4 - 1
Lazio4 - 0
League games at Parma since 2014
Parma
Lazio
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
2 / 6
6 / 6
Clean sheets
0 / 6
4 / 6
LAZ
5
PMA
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
0 - 1Lazio
Parma3 - 1
0 - 2Lazio
0 - 1Lazio
0 - 2Lazio
1 - 2Lazio
Goal Statistics
Lazio 8th Parma 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Lazio will score no more than 1 goal
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Parma will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
Lazio’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
Parma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lazio
PG (predicted goals)
Parma
1.3
1
Attack rating
21%
better
LAZ
PMA
view stats
Games scored16
16
Failed to score14
14
Scored first15
8
Goals scored31
21
Avg. goals scored1
0.7
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for12
9
Avg. XG for1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
24%
better
LAZ
PMA
view stats
Games conceded16
20
Clean sheets14
10
Conceded first10
16
Goals conceded28
38
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded11
8
Conversion rate against9%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.6
KickOff rating
+24%

Lazio v Parma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lazio Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27437
A MarusicG IsaksenD CataldiM Zaccagni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Marusic DEF2812
1
1
I Provedel GLK27
1
-
M Gila  DEF27
3
1
A Romagnoli DEF25
6
-
D Cataldi MID2533
5
-
G Isaksen FWD2441
-
M Zaccagni FWD233
6
1
M Cancellieri FWD2331
4
-
Pedro FWD2231
3
-
L Pellegrini DEF21
6
-
T Noslin FWD212
1
1
B Dia FWD1911
-
O Provstgaard DEF18
2
-
N Tavares DEF17
3
-
M Lazzari  DEF16
2
-
F Dele-Bashiru MID16
-
T Basic MID1612
1
R Belahyane MID121
1
1
K Taylor MID113
3
-
Patric DEF9
1
-
N Rovella MID81
2
-
D Maldini MID711
-
P Ratkov FWD7
-
E Hysaj DEF4
-
E. Motta GLK3
1
-
Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28828
M PellegrinoM PellegrinoE ValeriM. Troilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pellegrino FWD3081
4
-
M Keita MID291
1
-
E Prato DEF281
5
-
O Sørensen MID281
2
-
A Bernabé MID2731
-
E Valeri DEF262
2
-
N Estévez MID26
2
-
S. Britschgi DEF252
4
-
A Circati DEF231
5
-
L Valenti DEF22
6
-
C Ordoñez MID201
3
1
G Oristanio MID191
1
-
E Corvi GLK16
1
-
J Ondrejka FWD15
2
-
M. Troilo DEF141
6
2
Z Suzuki GLK13
1
-
P Almqvist FWD9
-
B Cremaschi MID8
-
N Ndiaye DEF7
3
1
H Caviglia MID72
-
G Strefezza FWD71
1
-
N Elphege FWD3
-
F Carboni DEF2
-
F Rinaldi GLK1
1
-