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Lecce v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 18th May, 17:00 BST, Via Del Mare, Lecce

Atalanta are on the road on Saturday evening, as manager Gian Piero Gasperini takes his men to visit Lecce and Luca Gotti at the Via Del Mare in the Serie A. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Click the tabs below to explore it all.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Lecce or Atalanta are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The stats show that both have form in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 48% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
27%
13/5
17%
5/2
1%
Draw
25%
13/55/2
Atalanta
48%
1/1
11%
21/20
Draw 1-1
12%
6/111/2
Atalanta 1-0
10%
7/1
14%
13/2
7%
Atalanta 2-1
9%
15/27/1
Atalanta 2-0
8%
9/1
18%
8/1
6%
Lecce 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
5%
Lecce 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/1
9%
17/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Atalanta 3-1
5%
14/112/1
8%
Atalanta 3-0
4%
16/1
13%
14/1
Lecce 2-0
4%
18/1
17%
14/1
Atalanta 3-2
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Lecce 3-1
3%
25/1
24%
20/1
9%
Lecce 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Atalanta 4-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/11
6%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/11
5%
-
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/5
13%
-
Away 1st Goal
52%
8/13
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
3%
7/10
6%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
11/2
24%
5/1
8%
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/410/3
2%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3/1
7%
11/4
5%
Home/draw
52%
4/5
8%
3/4
Away/draw
73%
2/7
8%
2/7
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/7-
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/5
6%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/11
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/1
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1-
Home DNB
45%
6/4
23%
6/4
Away DNB
65%
1/2
13%
10/21
Lecce win to nil
14%
11/2
19%
-
Atalanta win to nil
26%
5/2
17%
-
Lecce / Lecce
14%
5/1
14%
9/2
Lecce / Atalanta
4%
22/118/1
Lecce / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Lecce
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
Draw / Atalanta
16%
4/1
5%
4/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Atalanta / Lecce
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
26%
11/5
11%
21/10
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
11/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 36 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Lecce have conceded 40 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 12 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 18 games at home, winning 6, drawing 6 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 17 goals, conceded 25 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 5th place on 63 points in the Serie A league table having played 35 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 3 and losing 6 games. They have scored 57 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 18 away games, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Lecce
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Atalanta
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
 Inter3629526792 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Milan3622862974 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
 Bologna36181352467 
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
 Juventus36181352167 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2F
May 18
l
 
1-0A
 Atalanta Away35196102663 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1F
 Roma36179101960 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
 Lazio36185131059 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
2-2A
 Fiorentina36159121354 
Jun 2
l
 
3-2F
l
 
0-4A
May 26
 Napoli37131311752 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
 Torino36121410150 
May 26
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
 Genoa36111312-146 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
 Monza36111213-945 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
-
-
 Lecce Home3681315-2037 
w
 
1-0F
May 18
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
 Verona3681018-1434 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Udinese3651813-1733 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Cagliari3671217-2733 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
 Frosinone3671118-2532 
w
 
5-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Empoli368820-2632 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-3F
 Sassuolo367821-3029 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Salernitana3621024-4816 
w
 
4-1A
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
4
Atalanta have won 4 consecutive league games
5
Atalanta have not lost in 5 consecutive league games
Lecce 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
4
8
Games: Scored
2 / 2
2 / 2
Clean sheets
0 / 2
0 / 2
LEC
1
ATA
1
All league games since 2019
Lecce
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
7
13
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
LEC
2
ATA
3
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.1 for Lecce makes sense in this context.

Atalanta have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Lecce on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Lecce 13th Atalanta 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Lecce will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Lecce have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Atalanta’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.0
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Statistics Serie A - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264651/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
LEC
ATA
42%
better
view stats
Games scored22
31
Failed to score14
4
Scored first14
23
Goals scored32
65
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.9
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate9%
17%
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
LEC
ATA
26%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
22
Clean sheets6
13
Conceded first21
11
Goals conceded52
39
Avg. goals conceded1.4
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate14%
13%
KickOff rating
+26%

Lecce v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
367413
W FalconeN KrstovicL BandaY Ramadani
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK361
-
V Gendrey DEF3523
5
-
F Baschirotto DEF351
3
1
M Pongracic  DEF34
9
-
A Gallo DEF333
2
-
R Piccoli FWD335
5
-
N Krstovic FWD3371
4
1
Y Ramadani MID321
13
-
P. Chinazaekpere Dorgu DEF302
6
-
A Blin MID292
4
-
R Oudin MID2932
3
-
P Almqvist FWD2921
5
-
J González MID2711
6
-
H Rafia MID261
4
-
N Sansone FWD2522
4
-
M Kaba MID23
3
-
L Banda MID2124
5
1
L Venuti DEF12
1
-
S Pierotti FWD92
-
A Touba DEF6
1
-
M Berisha MID3
-
R Pop FWD11
-
J Corfitzen FWD1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3212610
B DjimsitiT KoopmeinersC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Djimsiti DEF351
4
-
Éderson MID3561
8
-
M Ruggeri DEF334
3
-
T Koopmeiners MID33125
5
-
C Ketelaere MID3296
1
-
M Pasalic MID3256
2
-
G Scalvini DEF313
3
-
S Kolasinac DEF311
5
-
M Roon MID315
10
-
D Zappacosta MID2921
5
-
A Lookman FWD2996
4
-
G Scamacca FWD27105
1
-
M Carnesecchi GLK26
-
A Miranchuk MID2435
1
-
E Holm MID2111
5
-
H Hateboer MID211
4
-
R Tolói DEF15
4
-
I Hien DEF131
2
-
M Bakker MID131
1
-
J Musso GLK10
-
M Adopo MID91
-
E Touré FWD82
1
-
J Palomino DEF4
-
G Bonfanti DEF1
-