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AC Monza v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 23rd Nov, 19:45 BST, Stadio Brianteo, Monza

We’ve Serie A action to look forward to on Monday evening, as Ivan Juric and his AC Monza side host Paolo Vanoli’s Fiorentina at the Stadio Brianteo. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, statistics for seventeen major betting market have been published below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are also given.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

All things considered, our prediction for Monday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Monza and Fiorentina to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with stats below suggesting there will be plenty of firepower on the pitch, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monza are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 3.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monza
39%
9/4
14%
-
Draw
22%
13/5
3%
-
Fiorentina
39%
21/20
11%
-
Draw 1-1
8%
6/1
7%
-
Fiorentina 2-1
8%
8/1
6%
-
Monza 2-1
8%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
7%
11/1-
Fiorentina 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
-
Monza 3-1
5%
22/1
21%
-
Fiorentina 1-0
5%
9/1
5%
-
Monza 1-0
5%
12/1
13%
-
Fiorentina 3-2
4%
20/1-
Monza 3-2
4%
25/1
10%
-
Fiorentina 2-0
4%
11/1
20%
-
Monza 2-0
4%
18/1
10%
-
Draw 3-3
3%
33/1
17%
-
Fiorentina 3-0
3%
18/1
12%
-
Monza 3-0
3%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
8/13-
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
13/10-
Home 1st Goal
49%
11/10
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
49%
8/11
7%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
71%
8/15
3%
-
BTTS - No
29%
11/8
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
9/2
15%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
4%
-
BTTS - Away Win
26%
13/5
6%
-
Home/draw
61%
8/11
9%
-
Away/draw
61%
1/3
6%
-
Home/away
78%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
89%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
12%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
51%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
49%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
32%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
68%
1/5-
Over 5.5 Goals
17%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
83%
1/12
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
98%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
2%
14/1-
Home DNB
54%
11/8
13%
-
Away DNB
54%
8/15
9%
-
Monza win to nil
13%
6/1
13%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
13%
10/3
15%
-
Monza / Monza
16%
4/1
17%
-
Monza / Fiorentina
4%
20/1-
Monza / Draw
6%
12/1
13%
-
Draw / Monza
11%
13/2
12%
-
Draw / Fiorentina
15%
9/2
10%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Fiorentina / Monza
3%
25/1
10%
-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
25%
9/4
13%
-
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
12/1-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Monza have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won 2. Monza have conceded 22 goals, scored 15, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Monza have played 5 games at home, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 15th place on 9 points in the Serie A league table having played 11 matches. Fiorentina have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 8 goals and kept 0 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Monza
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lazio119201629 
Jan 24
l
 
3-1A
Jan 2
May 30
2
Inter119111528 
Apr 18
l
 
4-1A
Feb 21
l
 
2-1F
3
Roma118302127 
Jan 31
Nov 29
May 9
l
 
4-0A
4
Milan117311024 
Jan 2
Apr 4
Apr 11
Jan 5
5
Como 190711722823 
Dec 5
Feb 7
l
 
1-3A
Apr 4
6
Frosinone11623920 
Jan 9
Mar 14
l
 
0-3A
Feb 14
7
Juventus11533318 
Feb 28
Dec 14
d
 
2-2F
Apr 25
8
Bologna11524217 
Mar 21
l
 
2-1F
Dec 20
May 2
9
Cagliari11515-516 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 25
Dec 7
Mar 14
10
Napoli11434415 
l
 
1-4A
May 9
d
 
1-1A
Jan 17
11
Torino11425-214 
May 30
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2F
Feb 28
12
Atalanta11425-314 
l
 
0-1A
Feb 21
d
 
2-2A
Jan 31
13
Genoa11416-513 
Mar 7
Jan 5
Mar 21
l
 
2-1A
14
Lecce11317-1010 
Feb 14
l
 
3-2A
Jan 10
May 16
15
Fiorentina11236-89 
Nov 23
May 23
-
-
16
Parma11227-88 
May 16
d
 
1-1F
Apr 18
Dec 13
17
Sassuolo11227-138 
w
 
2-1F
Jan 17
Jan 24
w
 
2-4A
18
Monza11218-87 
-
-
May 23
Nov 23
19
Venezia11209-136 
May 2
Dec 20
Mar 7
w
 
2-4A
20
Udinese11128-135 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 11
Feb 7
Nov 29
Win / draw / win form
4
Monza have lost 4 consecutive league games
Monza 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza0 - 1Atalanta
Monza1 - 4Napoli
Monza4 - 0Cagliari
Monza2 - 1Sassuolo
Monza2 - 3Udinese
Monza0 - 2Catanzaro
Monza2 - 1Juve Stabia
Monza2 - 2Empoli
Monza1 - 0Modena
Monza2 - 0Bari 1908
Monza1 - 1Venezia
Monza3 - 0Palermo
Monza2 - 0V.Entella
Monza2 - 1Juve Stabia
Monza2 - 1Avellino
Monza3 - 0Pescara
Monza2 - 2Frosinone
Monza4 - 1Carrarese
Monza1 - 1Sudtirol
Monza1 - 0Cesena
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonza0 - 1Atalanta
AMonza1 - 2Bologna
HMonza1 - 4Napoli
AMonza2 - 3Torino
HMonza4 - 0Cagliari
AMonza1 - 3Lazio
HMonza2 - 1Sassuolo
AMonza2 - 3Lecce
AMonza1 - 1Parma
HMonza2 - 3Udinese
AMonza1 - 4Inter
HMonza0 - 2Catanzaro
AMonza2 - 0Catanzaro
HMonza2 - 1Juve Stabia
AMonza2 - 2Juve Stabia
HMonza2 - 2Empoli
AMonza2 - 3Mantova
HMonza1 - 0Modena
AMonza3 - 0Sampdoria
HMonza2 - 0Bari 1908
Fiorentina 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sassuolo2 - 4Fiorentina
Inter2 - 1Fiorentina
Genoa2 - 1Fiorentina
Venezia2 - 4Fiorentina
Roma4 - 0Fiorentina
Juventus0 - 2Fiorentina
Roma4 - 0Fiorentina
Lecce1 - 1Fiorentina
Verona0 - 1Fiorentina
Cremonese1 - 4Fiorentina
Udinese3 - 0Fiorentina
Como 19071 - 2Fiorentina
Napoli2 - 1Fiorentina
Bologna1 - 2Fiorentina
Lazio2 - 2Fiorentina
Parma1 - 0Fiorentina
Sassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
Atalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
Genoa2 - 2Fiorentina
Inter3 - 0Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFiorentina2 - 2Juventus
AFiorentina4 - 2Sassuolo
HFiorentina2 - 2Atalanta
AFiorentina1 - 2Inter
HFiorentina1 - 3Como 1907
AFiorentina1 - 2Genoa
HFiorentina1 - 1Napoli
AFiorentina4 - 2Venezia
HFiorentina1 - 2Torino
HFiorentina0 - 3Frosinone
AFiorentina0 - 4Roma
HFiorentina1 - 1Atalanta
AFiorentina2 - 0Juventus
HFiorentina0 - 0Genoa
AFiorentina0 - 4Roma
HFiorentina0 - 0Sassuolo
AFiorentina1 - 1Lecce
HFiorentina1 - 0Lazio
AFiorentina1 - 0Verona
HFiorentina1 - 1Inter
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monza since 2023
Monza
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
MON
2
FIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monza
Monza2 - 1
0 - 1Fiorentina
Monza3 - 2
League games at Fiorentina since 2023
Fiorentina
Monza
Goals: Scored
5
4
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
D
2
FIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Draw2 - 2Draw
Fiorentina2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

AC Monza's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday evening, not least because Fiorentina have conceded in each of their last 12 Serie A outings. A PG of 1.9 for I. Juric's side suggests that run should continue.

Monza 18th Fiorentina 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Monza will score 1 or more goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+14
Monza have scored 14% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Fiorentina have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2026/2027 season
Monza
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.9
1.9
Attack rating
%
better
MON
FIO
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MON
FIO
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Monza v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Monza Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11924
R MangasG. Pereira De SousaR MangasL. Lucchesi
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Mangas DEF1112
1
-
E. Kouadio DEF101
3
-
L. Lucchesi DEF10
3
1
A Carboni DEF10
2
-
S Birindelli DEF102
2
-
G. Pereira De Sousa FWD1091
1
-
E Akinsanmiro MID91
-
J. Robinson FWD921
-
A. Bakoune DEF8
-
M. Mout MID81
-
M. Foe Ondoa MID81
1
-
D Mota FWD82
-
N Tornqvist GLK7
-
M Folorunsho MID7
2
-
A Colpani MID71
1
-
P Cutrone FWD7
-
S. Goglichidze DEF61
1
-
E Zeballos  FWD51
-
O. Forson FWD5
-
L Colombo MID4
3
-
C Ngonge FWD4
-
D Thiam GLK3
-
Y. Maye DEF3
-
I Touré  MID2
1
-
V Antov DEF1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11433
D GeaM PellegrinoC NdourV Lopes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK11
1
-
R Drăguşin DEF111
2
-
N Fagioli MID112
1
-
C Ndour MID113
1
-
M Pellegrino FWD114
2
-
F. Mastantuono FWD114
1
-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF1022
1
-
V Lopes DEF10
3
-
M Brescianini MID91
-
W Gnonto FWD9
2
-
Beto FWD91
-
A. Njie FWD932
2
-
V. Valdepeñas Talavera DEF81
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD82
-
J Mário DEF71
-
C. Inao Oulaï MID7
2
-
M Pongracic  DEF51
-
A Atta MID5
-
L Ranieri DEF4
2
-
Dodô DEF4
1
-