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Atalanta v Inter Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Atalanta and their manager Gian Piero Gasperini will be looking to get one over on Simone Inzaghi and his Inter Milan side on Sunday evening, as the pair go head to head at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia in the Serie A. We have predictions, tips, and odds from leading bookmakers and head-to-head statistics across all the main betting markets, so there's nowhere better to prepare Serie A clash.

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Atalanta's next match is v Fiorentina at 14:00 on Sunday 30th March
Inter Milan's next match is v Udinese at 17:00 on Sunday 30th March
The last Italian Serie A meeting between Atalanta and Inter was on Sunday 16th March 2025
Italian Serie A
March 16th 2025
Atalanta 0
2 Inter
 
54' C. Zopalato Neves
87' L. Martínez
 
ATA
INT
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
7
6
Corners
2
6
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
11
14
Yellow/red cards
2/1
2/1
 
AtalantaInter
 
M. Carnesecchi
B. Djimsiti (L. Samardžić 74')
I. Hien
S. Kolašinac
R. Bellanova (M. Ruggeri 59')
M. de Roon
É. dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
M. Pašalić (C. De Ketelaere 59')
D. Zappacosta
A. Lookman (M. Brescianini 83')
M. Retegui (D. Maldini 74')
Y. Sommer
B. Pavard
A. Bastoni
F. Acerbi
(Y. Bisseck 66') D. Dumfries
football iconC. Zopalato Neves
N. Barella
(D. Frattesi 75') H. Mkhitaryan
(K. Asllani 90') H. Çalhanoğlu
(C. Correa 90') football iconL. Martínez
(M. Taremi 90') M. Thuram

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Atalanta or Inter are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Inter coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
31%
31/20
18%
8/5
13%
Draw
25%
23/10
6%
11/5
11%
Inter
44%
9/5
24%
9/5
24%
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2
7%
5/1
8%
Inter 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
13%
Inter 1-0
9%
17/2
14%
15/2
Atalanta 2-1
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
5%
Atalanta 1-0
7%
8/1
31%
7/1
20%
Inter 2-0
7%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/1
18%
10/1
Draw 0-0
6%
10/1
27%
15/2
23%
Inter 3-1
5%
20/1
24%
16/1
31%
Atalanta 2-0
5%
12/1
32%
10/1
15%
Inter 3-0
4%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Atalanta 3-1
3%
20/114/1
12%
Inter 3-2
3%
28/1
38%
20/1
24%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
28/1
26%
20/1
11%
Atalanta 3-0
2%
25/1
24%
18/1
17%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
10/11
18%
10/11
14%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
10/11
17%
5/6
13%
Home 1st Goal
46%
5/6
17%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
11/10
21%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
9/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
58%
7/10
13%
7/10
6%
BTTS - No
42%
21/20
18%
21/20
9%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/118/5
4%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4/1
33%
4/1
33%
Home/draw
56%
2/5
14%
4/9
11%
Away/draw
69%
1/2
10%
10/21
9%
Home/away
75%
1/3
3%
1/3
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
3/10
11%
3/10
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/2
30%
23/10
18%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
12/5
43%
21/10
19%
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
1/3
15%
1/3
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
11/2
50%
19/4
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/9
9%
1/9
5%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
12/1
63%
10/1
29%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
4%
1/33
3%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/16
3%
1/16
3%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
9/1
33%
15/2
23%
Home DNB
49%
4/5
18%
4/5
16%
Away DNB
61%
10/11
18%
10/11
18%
Atalanta win to nil
15%
7/2
31%
-
Inter win to nil
22%
4/1
11%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
20%
3/1
16%
3/1
13%
Atalanta / Inter
3%
25/1
24%
22/1
21%
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Atalanta
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Draw / Inter
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
14%
Draw / Draw
16%
9/2
8%
7/2
14%
Inter / Atalanta
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
Inter / Inter
18%
7/2
25%
10/3
24%
Inter / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Atalanta have played 28 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 2 games, drawn zero and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 7 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 match and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 13 games at home, winning 7, drawing 4 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 29 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Inter lay in 1st place on 61 points in the Serie A league table having played 28 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 63 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Inter have conceded 27 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Inter have played 14 away games, winning 8, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
Inter
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter Away2919733864 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
-
2
Napoli2918742261 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
3
Atalanta Home2917753558 
-
-
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
4
Bologna29141141553 
Apr 13
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
Apr 20
5
Juventus29131331752 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
d
 
4-4F
l
 
1-0A
6
Lazio291568951 
Apr 6
d
 
1-1A
May 18
w
 
0-6F
7
Roma2914781449 
May 11
w
 
0-2F
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
8
Fiorentina2914691648 
w
 
3-2A
Mar 30
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
9
Milan2913881147 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 20
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
10
Udinese2911711-440 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
w
 
2-3F
11
Torino299119038 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 11
12
Genoa2981110-935 
w
 
5-1F
May 18
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
13
Como 1907297814-1129 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-0F
May 25
14
Verona299218-2929 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
0-5F
May 4
w
 
0-5F
15
Cagliari296815-1626 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
16
Parma2951014-1425 
May 25
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-1F
Apr 5
17
Lecce296716-2725 
Apr 27
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
18
Empoli2941015-2322 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-3F
19
Venezia2931115-1920 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza292918-2515 
w
 
2-0F
May 4
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
Win / draw / win form
3
Atalanta have drawn 3 consecutive home league games
7
Atalanta have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
5
Atalanta have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive league games
Atalanta 3RD
20 league games
Home
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
6
L
1
Inter 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Inter have beaten Atalanta in 5 consecutive league meetings
12
Inter have not lost to Atalanta in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Inter
Goals: Scored
12
15
Games: Scored
7 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
3 / 10
ATA
2
D
4
INT
4
League games at Inter since 2014
Inter
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
27
6
Games: Scored
10 / 11
4 / 11
Clean sheets
7 / 11
1 / 11
D
3
INT
8
Goal Statistics

Inter Milan's defensive record is very strong, Simone Inzaghi's men having conceded 1 or less in 10 consecutive Serie A outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Atalanta makes sense in this context.

Atalanta 3rd Inter 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Inter will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+14
Inter have scored 14% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283326/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
Inter
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
ATA
INT
11%
better
view stats
Games scored24
26
Failed to score4
2
Scored first17
19
Goals scored63
63
Avg. goals scored2.3
2.3
Avg. shots per game12
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate for19
20
Avg. XG for2
2
KickOff rating
+11%
Defence rating
4%
better
ATA
INT
view stats
Games conceded16
16
Clean sheets12
12
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded26
27
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1
KickOff rating
+4%

Atalanta v Inter Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
262267
M CarnesecchiM ReteguiR BellanovaI Hien
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK26
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF2612
4
-
I Hien DEF23
7
-
S Kolasinac DEF202
5
-
R Bellanova MID256
3
-
M Roon MID2843
5
-
Éderson MID2931
4
1
D Zappacosta MID2242
1
-
M Pasalic FWD2623
1
-
A Lookman FWD23135
5
-
M Retegui FWD27224
1
-
Subs
R Patrício GLK2
-
F Rossi GLK
-
R Tolói DEF8
-
P. Comi DEF
-
M Ruggeri MID232
2
-
L Samardžić MID2621
2
-
M Palestra MID7
-
M Brescianini MID2232
1
-
C Ketelaere FWD2855
1
-
D Maldini FWD2
-
Inter Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271365
A BastoniM ThuramN Barella A Bastoni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Sommer GLK26
-
B Pavard DEF201
4
-
F Acerbi DEF151
-
A Bastoni DEF2814
4
1
D Dumfries MID2562
4
-
N Barella  MID2636
3
-
H Calhanoglu  MID2154
3
-
H Mkhitaryan MID2714
3
-
C Augusto MID2031
-
M Thuram FWD28134
1
-
L Martínez FWD27113
-
Subs
R Gennaro GLK
-
J Martínez GLK3
-
Y Bisseck DEF1812
3
-
M. Aidoo DEF
-
C. Alexiou DEF
-
M. Cocchi DEF
-
T. Berenbruch MID
-
D Frattesi MID2241
1
-
K Asllani MID162
3
-
M Arnautovic  FWD1021
1
-
J Correa FWD1012
1
-
M Taremi FWD2111
1
-