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Cagliari v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 9th Nov, 17:00 BST, Sardegna Arena, Cagliari

Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca pays counterpart Davide Nicola a visit on Saturday evening in the Serie A, as their Milan and Cagliari sides go head to head at the Sardegna Arena. The odds you see on the page are provided directly from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from statistics over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner here, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Cagliari and Milan will find the net twice at least between them. We've seen goals when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Davide Nicola or Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca has served up too many 0-0s of late either. The bookmakers predict over 1.5 goals too, with best odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 78% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Milan coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cagliari
24%
7/210/3
Draw
24%
14/529/10
Milan
52%
3/43/4
Draw 1-1
11%
13/26/1
Milan 1-0
11%
15/213/2
Milan 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Milan 2-0
9%
8/115/2
Cagliari 1-0
7%
14/111/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
Cagliari 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Milan 3-1
5%
12/110/1
Milan 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/111/1
Cagliari 2-0
4%
22/118/1
Milan 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Milan 4-1
2%
25/118/1
Milan 4-0
2%
25/120/1
Cagliari 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
8/117/10
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/1021/20
Home 1st Goal
43%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
53%
1/2-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
53%
7/107/10
BTTS - No
47%
21/2021/20
BTTS - Home Win
12%
13/26/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/418/5
BTTS - Away Win
24%
12/59/4
Home/draw
48%
1/121/20
Away/draw
76%
2/111/5
Home/away
76%
1/41/4
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/329/10
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7/417/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
4/119/5
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/62/13
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
40%
12/521/10
Away DNB
69%
3/103/10
Cagliari win to nil
12%
8/1-
Milan win to nil
28%
9/4-
Cagliari / Cagliari
12%
6/111/2
Cagliari / Milan
4%
20/116/1
Cagliari / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Cagliari
9%
17/215/2
Draw / Milan
17%
15/418/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Milan / Cagliari
3%
33/125/1
Milan / Milan
30%
7/413/8
Milan / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cagliari have played 10 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Cagliari have conceded 13 goals, scored 4, failed to score in 5 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Cagliari have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 4 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 7th place on 17 points in the Serie A league table having played 10 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Milan have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cagliari
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Napoli118121025 
l
 
0-4A
May 25
l
 
0-2A
Mar 30
Inter117311224 
Dec 28
Apr 13
Feb 2
w
 
1-2F
Atalanta117131522 
Dec 14
Feb 16
Apr 20
Dec 6
Fiorentina116411322 
Apr 20
Dec 8
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
Juventus115601221 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
Nov 23
Jan 19
Lazio10613919 
Feb 2
Nov 4
Mar 2
d
 
2-2F
Milan Away10523617 
Nov 9
Jan 11
-
-
Udinese11515-216 
May 4
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 13
Bologna10361115 
l
 
0-2A
Mar 2
May 11
-
Torino11425-114 
w
 
3-2F
Jan 26
d
 
2-2A
Feb 23
Roma11344-213 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
Dec 29
May 18
Verona11407-812 
Nov 29
Apr 27
Feb 16
Dec 20
Empoli10253-211 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 6
Nov 30
Feb 9
Cagliari Home10235-99 
-
-
Jan 11
Nov 9
Como 190710235-99 
d
 
1-1F
May 11
Mar 16
Jan 14
Parma10163-29 
Feb 9
w
 
2-3F
Jan 26
l
 
2-1A
Monza11155-48 
Mar 30
Jan 5
May 25
w
 
0-1F
Venezia11227-98 
May 18
Dec 22
w
 
4-0F
Apr 27
Lecce11227-168 
Jan 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
Genoa10136-146 
Mar 9
Nov 24
Dec 15
May 4
Win / draw / win form
Cagliari 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
8
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Milan 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Milan have beaten Cagliari in 4 consecutive league meetings
12
Milan have not lost to Cagliari in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at Cagliari since 2014
Cagliari
Milan
Goals: Scored
6
13
Games: Scored
5 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
3 / 8
CAG
1
D
2
ACM
5
League games at Milan since 2015
Milan
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
21
4
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
D
1
ACM
7
Goal Statistics

Milan's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Cagliari have conceded in each of their last 9 Serie A matches. A PG of 1.7 for P. Rodrigues Fonseca's side suggests that run should continue.

Cagliari 14th Milan 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Cagliari will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
Cagliari’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+18
Milan have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283157/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Cagliari
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
CAG
ACM
49%
better
view stats
Games scored4
9
Failed to score6
1
Scored first3
6
Goals scored8
17
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal12
7
Conversion rate for8
14
Avg. XG for1.4
1.9
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
CAG
ACM
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded9
6
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first6
4
Goals conceded17
11
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
8
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.1
KickOff rating
+34%

Cagliari v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10222
S ScuffetR MarinS LupertoG Zappa
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Scuffet GLK10
-
T Augello DEF10
-
S Luperto DEF102
-
G Zappa DEF10
2
-
R Marin MID102
2
-
Z Luvumbo FWD101
-
R Piccoli FWD102
1
-
Y Mina DEF8
2
-
M Adopo MID81
1
-
A Deiola MID8
2
-
G Gaetano MID71
-
N Zortea MID71
-
G Lapadula FWD7
1
-
P Azzi DEF6
2
-
N Viola MID61
-
A Makoumbou MID6
1
-
J Palomino DEF51
1
-
M Prati MID5
1
-
L Pavoletti FWD5
1
-
A Obert DEF4
1
-
M Felici FWD2
-
K. Mutandwa FWD2
-
M Wieteska DEF1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11533
M Maignan C PulisicC PulisicÁlvaro Morata
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK11
1
-
C Pulisic FWD1153
-
Y Fofana MID101
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID10
1
-
N Okafor FWD101
-
R Leão FWD1013
-
E Royal DEF9
2
-
T Reijnders MID912
1
1
Álvaro Morata FWD92
3
-
S Chukwueze FWD91
-
F Tomori DEF8
1
-
T Hernández DEF822
1
Y Musah MID81
-
S Pavlovic DEF71
1
-
T Abraham FWD611
-
F Terracciano DEF5
2
-
M Thiaw DEF4
-
M Gabbia DEF41
1
-
D Calabria DEF3
-
L Jović  FWD3
1
-
K. Zeroli MID1
-
I Bennacer MID1
-