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Lecce v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 14:00 BST, Via Del Mare, Lecce

Monday afternoon at the Via Del Mare, and it’s a Serie A showdown between Lecce and Atalanta. Eusebio Di Francesco and Raffaele Palladino going all-out to guide their side to the win. All the odds are delivered directly from the bookmaker, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

It may not be what the neutrals want to hear, but we're not predicting a thriller here. The statistics suggest Lecce and Atalanta both struggle to score on a consistent basis, and the odds suggest it's likely there's fewer than 2 goals in total as they go head-to-head. We think that's a great shout and, without an obvious outright winners to back, under 2.5 goals looks like a smart bet.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 45% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
27%
15/4
5%
19/5
Draw
28%
13/5
3%
14/5
Atalanta
45%
8/11
5%
7/10
Atalanta 1-0
14%
11/2
7%
5/1
Draw 1-1
13%
6/111/2
Draw 0-0
11%
9/18/1
Lecce 1-0
10%
11/1
8%
9/1
Atalanta 2-0
9%
7/1
7%
6/1
Atalanta 2-1
8%
15/213/2
Lecce 2-1
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
Lecce 2-0
5%
22/1
12%
18/1
Draw 2-2
4%
16/114/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
12/110/1
Atalanta 3-1
4%
14/1
15%
11/1
Lecce 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Atalanta 3-2
2%
28/1
12%
20/1
Lecce 3-0
1%
50/140/1
Atalanta 4-0
1%
28/1
12%
18/1
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
1/1
5%
10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
4/5
6%
4/5
Home 1st Goal
42%
13/8
4%
15/8
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/7
3%
11/20
No 1st Goal
7%
9/117/2
BTTS - Yes
44%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
56%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
10%
17/2
5%
8/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/14/1
BTTS - Away Win
16%
3/1
7%
27/10
Home/draw
55%
21/20
7%
11/10
Away/draw
73%
2/11
1%
2/11
Home/away
72%
2/71/4
Over 1.5 Goals
65%
1/3
2%
3/10
Under 1.5 Goals
35%
12/5
3%
9/4
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
5/2
3%
9/4
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
3/10
2%
3/10
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
11/25/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/91/10
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
14/1
15%
11/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/33
1%
1/40
Over 0.5 Goals
89%
1/161/20
Under 0.5 Goals
11%
9/18/1
Home DNB
47%
5/2
7%
12/5
Away DNB
65%
2/7
3%
2/7
Lecce win to nil
17%
7/1
11%
-
Atalanta win to nil
28%
7/4-
Lecce / Lecce
11%
7/1
6%
13/2
Lecce / Atalanta
4%
22/120/1
Lecce / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Lecce
8%
17/2
5%
9/1
Draw / Atalanta
18%
7/218/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Atalanta / Lecce
2%
40/133/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
31%
7/4
6%
6/4
Atalanta / Draw
5%
14/114/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 5 and won 6. Lecce have conceded 40 goals, scored 20, failed to score in 14 matches and kept 6 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 15 games at home, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 7th place on 50 points in the Serie A league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored 33 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 6 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lecce
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3022354269 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
2
Milan3018932463 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
May 10
3
Napoli3019561662 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
4
Como 19073016953157 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
5
Juventus3015962354 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1F
6
Roma30173101754 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 18
7
Atalanta30131161450 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
-
-
8
Lazio3011109343 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-0A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
9
Bologna3012612242 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
May 17
w
 
0-2F
10
Sassuolo3011613-439 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
11
Udinese3011613-739 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Parma3081012-1734 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Genoa308913-633 
May 24
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
w
 
0-1F
14
Torino309615-1933 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Cagliari307914-1130 
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 27
16
Fiorentina3061113-929 
Apr 20
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 24
17
Cremonese306915-1927 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
18
Lecce307617-1927 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
Apr 6
19
Verona303918-3018 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 25
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
20
Pisa3021216-3118 
w
 
1-0F
May 3
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Win / draw / win form
Lecce 18TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
Won
5
D
3
Lost
12
Atalanta 7TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
Atalanta have not lost to Lecce in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Lecce since 2020
Lecce
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
4
14
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
LEC
1
ATA
3
League games at Atalanta since 2019
Atalanta
Lecce
Goals: Scored
10
5
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
LEC
1
D
1
ATA
3
Goal Statistics
Lecce 18th Atalanta 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-35
Lecce have scored 35% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Atalanta have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
0.7
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
0.9
1.3
Attack rating
LEC
ATA
34%
better
view stats
Games scored15
25
Failed to score15
5
Scored first13
16
Goals scored21
41
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.4
Avg. shots per game6
10
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for11
13
Avg. XG for0.9
1.8
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
LEC
ATA
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded22
19
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first13
12
Goals conceded40
27
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against14%
10%
Avg. XG against1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%

Lecce v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30338
W FalconeN StulicA GalloD Veiga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK30
2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF301
4
-
A Gallo DEF303
2
-
Y Ramadani MID291
7
-
S Pierotti FWD291
2
-
D Veiga DEF281
8
-
N Stulic FWD283
1
-
L Coulibaly  MID2531
2
-
L Banda FWD2433
6
1
K Gaspar DEF21
6
1
R Sottil  FWD2112
1
-
K N’Dri FWD202
2
-
F. Camarda FWD171
1
-
J Siebert DEF131
2
-
M Berisha MID1323
-
O Gendelman MID122
-
C Ndaba DEF11
-
W Cheddira FWD9
-
Álex Sala MID81
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID7
-
O Ngom MID7
-
S Fofana MID4
-
G Jean DEF2
-
M. Pérez Sepúlveda DEF1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30848
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicN ZalewskiM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK30
-
B Djimsiti DEF27
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2723
2
-
M Roon MID2611
7
1
N Zalewski MID2624
3
-
N Krstovic FWD2684
2
-
I Hien DEF251
4
-
M Pasalic MID2534
2
-
C Ketelaere MID2333
3
-
Éderson MID231
1
-
L Samardžić MID2322
1
-
K Sulemana FWD2222
3
-
L Bernasconi MID203
3
-
G Scamacca FWD2081
2
-
R Bellanova MID181
1
-
H. Ahanor DEF16
1
1
G Scalvini DEF162
2
-
Y Musah MID161
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF151
1
-
S Kolasinac DEF13
3
-
G Raspadori FWD511
-