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Lecce v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 3rd May, 17:00 BST, Via Del Mare, Lecce

Napoli, led by manager Antonio Conte, visit Marco Silva and his Lecce side at the Via Del Mare on Saturday evening in the Serie A. Serie A stats are the foundation of the predictions you'll find below, with head to head (H2H) performance included too. You can view it all, with infographics and the best odds available for every betting markets via the tabs.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning there will be no more than 3 goals scored during a standard 90 mins. The best odds on that outcome are just below, followed by relevant form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 60% chance of Napoli coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Lecce
17%
7.00
22%
-
Draw
23%
3.90
3%
-
Napoli
60%
1.53
6%
-
Napoli 1-0
14%
6.00-
Napoli 2-0
12%
6.50
7%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7.50
7%
-
Napoli 2-1
10%
8.50-
Draw 0-0
8%
9.00-
Napoli 3-0
7%
10.00
17%
-
Lecce 1-0
6%
15.00
15%
-
Napoli 3-1
5%
13.00
13%
-
Lecce 2-1
4%
21.00
24%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
19.00-
Napoli 4-0
3%
21.00
9%
-
Lecce 2-0
3%
34.00
17%
-
Napoli 4-1
2%
26.00
10%
-
Napoli 3-2
2%
29.00-
Lecce 3-1
1%
51.00
24%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
2.00-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.80-
Home 1st Goal
38%
3.75
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
57%
1.36
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
9.00-
BTTS - Yes
45%
2.05
3%
-
BTTS - No
55%
1.70
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
7%
15.00
25%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.75
6%
-
Home/draw
40%
2.38
6%
-
Away/draw
83%
1.10
4%
-
Home/away
77%
1.25-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.33-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.40-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.50
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.30
1%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
7.00-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.10-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.03-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.00
11%
-
Home DNB
33%
5.00
25%
-
Away DNB
76%
1.17
4%
-
Lecce win to nil
10%
11.00
22%
-
Napoli win to nil
37%
2.25
10%
-
Lecce / Lecce
7%
11.00
16%
-
Lecce / Napoli
4%
23.00-
Lecce / Draw
4%
19.00
12%
-
Draw / Lecce
6%
13.00
18%
-
Draw / Napoli
20%
4.00
8%
-
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50-
Napoli / Lecce
2%
41.00-
Napoli / Napoli
36%
2.30
12%
-
Napoli / Draw
5%
15.00-
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Lecce have played 34 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 19 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Lecce have conceded 52 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 16 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Lecce have played 17 games at home, winning 3, drawing 6 and losing 8 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 30 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 8 times in home league games.

Napoli lay in 1st place on 74 points in the Serie A league table having played 34 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 34 games against teams below them in the table, winning 22, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 54 goals and kept 16 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 5 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 17 away games, winning 9, drawing 6 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Lecce
Napoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Napoli Away3422842974 
May 3
l
 
1-0A
-
-
2
Inter3421853971 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
3
Atalanta3419873665 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
2-3A
4
Juventus34161442062 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
5
Bologna34161351561 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
6
Roma3417981760 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-1A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
7
Lazio3417981260 
l
 
1-2A
May 25
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
8
Fiorentina3417891959 
l
 
0-6A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
9
Milan34159101554 
l
 
2-3F
l
 
3-0A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
10
Torino34101311-143 
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Como 19073411914-442 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1A
12
Udinese3411815-1241 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-3A
13
Genoa3491213-1239 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
May 11
w
 
1-2F
14
Cagliari348917-1433 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
4-1F
May 25
w
 
0-4F
15
Parma3461414-1332 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-3A
w
 
2-1A
May 18
16
Verona349520-3232 
w
 
1-0F
May 11
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
17
Lecce Home346919-3227 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 3
18
Venezia3441317-2125 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
19
Empoli3441317-2725 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
20
Monza342923-3415 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
9
Lecce have not won in 9 consecutive home league games
Lecce 17TH
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
Goals: Scored
13
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lecce0 - 3Como 1907
Lecce1 - 1Venezia
Lecce0 - 1Roma
Lecce2 - 3Milan
Lecce0 - 1Udinese
Lecce0 - 0Bologna
Lecce0 - 4Inter
Lecce0 - 0Genoa
Lecce1 - 2Lazio
Lecce2 - 1Monza
Lecce1 - 1Juventus
Lecce1 - 1Empoli
Lecce1 - 0Verona
Lecce0 - 6Fiorentina
Lecce2 - 2Parma
Lecce1 - 0Cagliari
Lecce0 - 4Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Atalanta
Lecce0 - 2Udinese
Lecce1 - 1Monza
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALecce1 - 1Atalanta
HLecce0 - 3Como 1907
ALecce1 - 2Juventus
HLecce1 - 1Venezia
HLecce0 - 1Roma
ALecce1 - 2Genoa
HLecce2 - 3Milan
ALecce0 - 1Fiorentina
HLecce0 - 1Udinese
ALecce0 - 0Monza
HLecce0 - 0Bologna
ALecce3 - 1Parma
HLecce0 - 4Inter
ALecce1 - 4Cagliari
ALecce3 - 1Empoli
HLecce0 - 0Genoa
ALecce0 - 2Como 1907
HLecce1 - 2Lazio
HLecce2 - 1Monza
ALecce1 - 4Roma
Napoli 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monza0 - 1Napoli
Bologna1 - 1Napoli
Venezia0 - 0Napoli
Como 19072 - 1Napoli
Lazio2 - 2Napoli
Roma1 - 1Napoli
Atalanta2 - 3Napoli
Fiorentina0 - 3Napoli
Genoa1 - 2Napoli
Udinese1 - 3Napoli
Torino0 - 1Napoli
Inter1 - 1Napoli
Milan0 - 2Napoli
Empoli0 - 1Napoli
Juventus0 - 0Napoli
Cagliari0 - 4Napoli
Verona3 - 0Napoli
Fiorentina2 - 2Napoli
Udinese1 - 1Napoli
Empoli1 - 0Napoli
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNapoli2 - 0Torino
ANapoli1 - 0Monza
HNapoli3 - 0Empoli
ANapoli1 - 1Bologna
HNapoli2 - 1Milan
ANapoli0 - 0Venezia
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 1Inter
ANapoli1 - 2Como 1907
ANapoli2 - 2Lazio
HNapoli1 - 1Udinese
ANapoli1 - 1Roma
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli3 - 2Atalanta
HNapoli2 - 0Verona
ANapoli3 - 0Fiorentina
HNapoli1 - 0Venezia
ANapoli2 - 1Genoa
ANapoli3 - 1Udinese
HNapoli0 - 1Lazio
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Napoli have beaten Lecce in 3 consecutive away league meetings
5
Napoli have not lost to Lecce in 5 consecutive league meetings
3
Napoli have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Lecce
League games at Lecce since 2019
Lecce
Napoli
Goals: Scored
2
10
Games: Scored
2 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
1 / 3
NAP
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Lecce
0 - 4Napoli
1 - 2Napoli
1 - 4Napoli
League games at Napoli since 2020
Napoli
Lecce
Goals: Scored
4
4
Games: Scored
3 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
1 / 4
LEC
1
D
2
NAP
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Napoli1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
2 - 3Lecce
Goal Statistics

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Lecce fans, as should a 5 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Napoli have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 8 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Lecce on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Lecce 17th Napoli 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 81% probability of Lecce scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-44
Lecce have scored 44% fewer goals at home than predicted
-1
Napoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.7
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/283381/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Lecce
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
0.8
1.7
Attack rating
LEC
NAP
48%
better
view stats
Games scored17
29
Failed to score17
5
Scored first9
22
Goals scored24
54
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.6
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal13
6
Conversion rate for8
18
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+48%
Defence rating
LEC
NAP
43%
better
view stats
Games conceded27
18
Clean sheets7
16
Conceded first21
10
Goals conceded56
25
Avg. goals conceded1.6
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against16%
10%
Avg. XG against1.7
0.9
KickOff rating
+43%

Lecce v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Lecce Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
341045
W FalconeN KrstovicÞórir Jóhann HelgasonN Krstovic
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
W Falcone GLK34
1
-
F Baschirotto DEF342
3
-
L Coulibaly  MID34
3
-
N Krstovic FWD33103
5
-
S Pierotti FWD3242
5
-
T Morente FWD2831
3
-
F Guilbert DEF271
3
2
A Gallo DEF272
3
1
B Pierret MID27
2
-
Y Ramadani MID271
5
-
A Rebic  FWD261
3
1
K Gaspar DEF201
3
-
G Jean DEF19
-
H Rafia MID18
4
-
Þórir Jóhann Helgason MID174
-
M Berisha MID141
5
-
L Banda FWD141
1
-
M Kaba MID12
1
-
J Karlsson FWD111
2
-
D Veiga DEF9
-
K N’Dri FWD8
-
N Sansone FWD4
1
-
R Pop FWD3
-
M Sala DEF2
-
T. Coelho Oliveira DEF1
-
F Marchwiński MID1
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3412105
A RrahmaniR Lukaku R Lukaku G Lorenzo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rrahmani DEF3412
2
-
G Lorenzo DEF3332
5
-
M Politano FWD3333
2
-
R Lukaku  FWD321210
3
-
F Anguissa MID3164
5
-
A Meret GLK30
-
S McTominay MID30112
3
-
S Lobotka MID301
3
-
M Olivera DEF282
3
-
G Simeone FWD2711
1
-
D Neres  FWD2524
1
-
L Spinazzola DEF2311
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF221
1
-
B Gilmour MID221
-
G Raspadori FWD2241
1
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF18
2
-
J Jesus DEF151
2
-
C Ngonge FWD15
2
-
P Billing MID61
-
R Marín DEF4
1
-
N Okafor FWD4
-
S Scuffet GLK1
-