Napoli's team badge Milan's team badge

Napoli v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 6th Apr, 19:45 BST, San Paolo, Castelvolturno

the San Paolo plays host on Monday evening, as Antonio Conte's Napoli welcome Massimiliano Allegri's Milan in the Serie A. We've got odds for 17 different betting markets plus predictions, statistics and head-to-head data for the two sides. Simply click through the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this game will have 4 goals or more, and the odds and stats align with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Napoli and Milan haven't typically treated their fans to a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a strong favourite WDW or double chance market, we're recommending under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 39% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Napoli
34%
31/20
6%
8/5
Draw
27%
21/10
3%
21/10
Milan
39%
7/4
8%
19/10
Draw 1-1
13%
5/19/2
Milan 1-0
11%
13/2
6%
6/1
Napoli 1-0
10%
13/2
7%
11/2
Draw 0-0
9%
7/16/1
Milan 2-1
8%
10/117/2
Napoli 2-1
8%
9/18/1
Milan 2-0
7%
12/111/1
Napoli 2-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Milan 3-1
3%
22/1
12%
18/1
Napoli 3-1
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Milan 3-0
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Napoli 3-0
2%
25/1
13%
20/1
Milan 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Napoli 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
13/105/4
Under 2.5 Goals
56%
8/133/5
Home 1st Goal
47%
1/1
5%
1/1
Away 1st Goal
48%
21/20
7%
23/20
No 1st Goal
5%
7/16/1
BTTS - Yes
50%
19/2010/11
BTTS - No
50%
4/54/5
BTTS - Home Win
15%
5/1
9%
17/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/216/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/219/4
Home/draw
61%
2/5
3%
2/5
Away/draw
66%
1/2
2%
1/2
Home/away
73%
4/114/11
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
2/52/5
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
2/17/4
Over 3.5 Goals
23%
10/316/5
Under 3.5 Goals
77%
2/91/5
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
8/115/2
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/116/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/501/200
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/121/12
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/16/1
Home DNB
53%
4/5
8%
3/4
Away DNB
58%
10/11
9%
19/20
Napoli win to nil
19%
3/1
7%
-
Milan win to nil
22%
10/3
4%
-
Napoli / Napoli
19%
10/3
8%
3/1
Napoli / Milan
3%
28/1
15%
22/1
Napoli / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Napoli
14%
5/1
9%
19/4
Draw / Milan
13%
5/1
8%
11/2
Draw / Draw
18%
7/216/5
Milan / Napoli
3%
28/122/1
Milan / Milan
18%
7/2
10%
7/2
Milan / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Napoli have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 3rd position in the league. Napoli are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 1 and won 1. Napoli have conceded 5 goals, scored 6, scored in every game and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Napoli have played 14 games at home, winning 10, drawing 4 and losing 0 fixtures. They have scored 25 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 63 points in the Serie A league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 9 and losing 3 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Milan have played 15 away games, winning 9, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Napoli
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3022354269 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan3018932463 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
-
-
3
Napoli3019561662 
-
-
w
 
2-1F
Apr 6
4
Como 19073016953157 
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3A
5
Juventus3015962354 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
6
Roma30173101754 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
7
Atalanta30131161450 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
8
Lazio3011109343 
Apr 18
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
9
Bologna3012612242 
May 10
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
10
Sassuolo3011613-439 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2A
May 3
11
Udinese3011613-739 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Apr 11
w
 
0-3F
12
Parma3081012-1734 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
13
Genoa308913-633 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
May 17
14
Torino309615-1933 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3A
15
Cagliari307914-1130 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 24
w
 
0-1F
16
Fiorentina3061113-929 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
17
Cremonese306915-1927 
Apr 24
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
18
Lecce307617-1927 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
19
Verona303918-3018 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
20
Pisa3021216-3118 
w
 
3-2F
May 17
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
4
Napoli have won 4 consecutive league games
25
Napoli have not lost in 25 consecutive home league games
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Home
25
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
Draw
6
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Napoli since 2015
Napoli
Milan
Goals: Scored
20
19
Games: Scored
9 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
2 / 11
NAP
5
D
3
ACM
3
League games at Milan since 2014
Milan
Napoli
Goals: Scored
8
14
Games: Scored
6 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
6 / 12
NAP
6
D
3
ACM
3
Goal Statistics
Napoli 3rd Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Napoli will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Milan will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Napoli have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+21
Milan have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Napoli
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
1.2
1.3
Attack rating
NAP
ACM
10%
better
view stats
Games scored24
27
Failed to score6
3
Scored first17
19
Goals scored46
47
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.5
1.7
KickOff rating
+10%
Defence rating
NAP
ACM
16%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
17
Clean sheets10
13
Conceded first11
10
Goals conceded30
23
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%

Napoli v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2510510
R HöjlundR HöjlundM PolitanoJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Politano FWD2715
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF261
2
-
L Spinazzola DEF2633
2
-
E Elmas MID2613
2
-
R Höjlund FWD26102
1
-
S McTominay MID2573
1
-
S Lobotka MID2411
2
-
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK21
-
J Jesus DEF21
9
1
M Gutiérrez DEF2011
-
M Olivera DEF19
3
-
S Beukema DEF182
2
-
A Rrahmani DEF1611
3
-
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
F Anguissa MID1441
1
-
B Gilmour MID141
1
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF11
1
K Bruyne MID114
1
-
A Vergara MID1112
2
-
A Meret GLK91
1
-
Giovane FWD72
-
A Santos FWD62
-
R Lukaku  FWD51
1
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29946
M Maignan R LeãoA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK29
3
-
L Modric MID2923
4
-
A Saelemaekers MID2823
4
-
F Tomori DEF272
5
-
S Pavlovic DEF2641
3
-
Y Fofana MID2523
4
-
S Ricci MID2513
1
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF242
2
-
M Gabbia DEF24
3
-
C Nkunku  FWD2453
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2331
1
-
C Pulisic FWD2383
-
K Winter DEF2211
1
-
R Leão FWD2292
3
-
A Rabiot MID2154
5
1
Z. Athekame DEF2012
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF1611
3
1
N Füllkrug FWD141
-
S Giménez FWD10
2
-
A Jashari MID91
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF2
-