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Parma v Cagliari : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 27th Feb, 19:45 BST, Ennio Tardini, Parma

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Serie A, and Carlos Antón Cuesta’s Parma will have the luxury of it on Friday evening. Fabio Pisacane’s Cagliari are their visitors to the Ennio Tardini. This preview has odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go through them. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history towards the bottom of the page.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to win this match, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis says the same. Parma and Cagliari have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance stats point towards more of the same. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday evening, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Parma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 37% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Parma
36%
-8/5
Draw
27%
-2/1
Cagliari
37%
-19/10
Draw 1-1
13%
-9/2
Cagliari 1-0
10%
-6/1
Parma 1-0
10%
-11/2
Cagliari 2-1
8%
-9/1
Draw 0-0
8%
-11/2
Parma 2-1
8%
-8/1
Cagliari 2-0
6%
-11/1
Parma 2-0
6%
-9/1
Draw 2-2
5%
-12/1
Cagliari 3-1
3%
-20/1
Parma 3-1
3%
-18/1
Cagliari 3-0
3%
-22/1
Parma 3-0
3%
-20/1
Cagliari 3-2
2%
-25/1
Parma 3-2
2%
-25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
-13/10
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
-11/20
Home 1st Goal
47%
-1/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
-23/20
No 1st Goal
5%
-11/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
-19/20
BTTS - No
49%
-4/5
BTTS - Home Win
16%
-9/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
-16/5
BTTS - Away Win
16%
-5/1
Home/draw
63%
-2/5
Away/draw
64%
-10/21
Home/away
73%
-2/5
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
-4/9
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
-13/8
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
-10/3
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
-2/11
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
-15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
-1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
-16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
-1/300
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
-1/11
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
-11/2
Home DNB
55%
-3/4
Away DNB
56%
-19/20
Parma win to nil
20%
--
Cagliari win to nil
20%
--
Parma / Parma
19%
-3/1
Parma / Cagliari
3%
-22/1
Parma / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Parma
13%
-19/4
Draw / Cagliari
12%
-11/2
Draw / Draw
19%
-3/1
Cagliari / Parma
3%
-22/1
Cagliari / Cagliari
17%
-18/5
Cagliari / Draw
6%
-11/1
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Parma have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 12th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 11 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 28 goals to 18 goals.

Home League Performance

Parma have played 13 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 6 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Cagliari are in 13th position in the Serie A on 28 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 13 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Cagliari have conceded 17 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Parma
Cagliari
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2520143961 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
2
Milan2415812253 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 22
l
 
0-1A
May 24
3
Napoli2515551350 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
l
 
1-0A
4
Roma2515281547 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
5
Juventus2513752046 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
6
Atalanta2511951342 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 26
l
 
2-1A
7
Como 19072411852041 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
8
Bologna259610233 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-2A
May 3
9
Lazio25898133 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
Feb 21
l
 
2-0A
10
Sassuolo259511-632 
May 24
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
11
Udinese259511-1032 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
May 10
d
 
1-1F
12
Parma257810-1329 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Feb 27
13
Cagliari257711-728 
Feb 27
l
 
2-0A
-
-
14
Torino257612-1927 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
May 17
w
 
1-2A
15
Cremonese255911-1224 
Mar 22
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
d
 
2-2A
16
Genoa255911-824 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
3-3A
l
 
3-0A
17
Lecce256613-1424 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2A
18
Fiorentina254912-1021 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2F
19
Pisa2511212-2215 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 15
20
Verona252914-2415 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
Win / draw / win form
Parma 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Cagliari 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Cagliari have beaten Parma in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Cagliari have not lost to Parma in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Parma since 2014
Parma
Cagliari
Goals: Scored
7
7
Games: Scored
4 / 7
3 / 7
Clean sheets
4 / 7
3 / 7
PMA
2
D
3
CAG
2
League games at Cagliari since 2015
Cagliari
Parma
Goals: Scored
20
10
Games: Scored
8 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
0 / 8
D
2
CAG
6
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Parma of late. It has been 5 Serie A games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Friday evening against Cagliari.

Parma 12th Cagliari 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Parma will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Cagliari will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-23
Parma have scored 23% fewer goals at home than predicted
-6
Cagliari’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Parma
PG (predicted goals)
Cagliari
1.3
1.3
Attack rating
PMA
CAG
23%
better
view stats
Games scored13
16
Failed to score12
8
Scored first7
7
Goals scored18
28
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate for9
16
Avg. XG for0.9
1
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
13%
better
PMA
CAG
view stats
Games conceded17
19
Clean sheets8
5
Conceded first13
16
Goals conceded31
33
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against1.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+13%

Parma v Cagliari Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24726
A BernabéM PellegrinoS. BritschgiM. Troilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Bernabé MID2531
-
M Pellegrino FWD2571
3
-
E Prato DEF241
4
-
O Sørensen MID241
2
-
M Keita MID241
1
-
S. Britschgi DEF212
4
-
E Valeri DEF211
2
-
N Estévez MID21
2
-
A Circati DEF201
5
-
L Valenti DEF18
4
-
C Ordoñez MID161
2
1
G Oristanio MID15
1
-
E Corvi GLK13
1
-
J Ondrejka FWD12
1
-
Z Suzuki GLK11
1
-
M. Troilo DEF9
4
2
P Almqvist FWD9
-
N Ndiaye DEF7
3
1
B Cremaschi MID5
-
H Caviglia MID32
-
G Strefezza FWD2
-
F Rinaldi GLK1
1
-
F Carboni DEF1
-
N Elphege FWD1
-
Cagliari Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25447
E CaprileS KilicsoyM PalestraA Obert
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Caprile GLK25
2
-
M Adopo MID2511
2
-
M Palestra MID2414
2
-
S Esposito FWD2434
4
-
A Obert DEF232
7
-
G Gaetano MID2323
4
-
G Zappa DEF223
2
-
G Borrelli FWD2231
3
-
R. Idrissi DEF202
3
-
Y Mina DEF161
3
-
M Folorunsho MID161
3
-
S Kilicsoy FWD164
1
-
L Mazzitelli MID1522
3
-
A Deiola MID122
3
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF11
1
-
M Felici FWD1121
3
-
L Pavoletti FWD101
1
-
J. Rodríguez Camejo DEF7
2
-
I Sulemana MID41
-
Y. Trepy FWD31
-
A Belotti FWD32
-
J. Liteta MID2
-
A Dossena DEF1
1
-