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Parma v Napoli : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 12th Apr, 14:00 BST, Ennio Tardini, Parma

Antonio Conte takes his Napoli side to the Ennio Tardini in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, with Carlos Antón Cuesta's Parma their rivals. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've delved into our extensive database and pulled out the statistics that are most significant. Head to head (H2H) and recent form are included, and the KickOff predictions are produced from them. The best odds are there to make sure you get the best return.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but what is clear is that the odds suggest it'll have a maximum of 3 goals. Our statistical analysis says the same. Parma and Napoli have taken part in a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We feel confident predicting under 3.5 goals on Sunday afternoon, and the bookies have it priced at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Napoli coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Parma
22%
9/2
8%
-
Draw
26%
12/5-
Napoli
52%
7/10
3%
-
Napoli 1-0
14%
5/1
9%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Napoli 2-0
10%
6/1-
Napoli 2-1
9%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
9%
7/1
7%
-
Parma 1-0
8%
11/1
8%
-
Parma 2-1
5%
18/1-
Napoli 3-0
5%
12/1
8%
-
Napoli 3-1
5%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Parma 2-0
4%
25/1
10%
-
Napoli 3-2
2%
33/1-
Napoli 4-0
2%
25/1-
Napoli 4-1
2%
33/1-
Parma 3-1
2%
40/1
20%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
6/5-
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
4/6-
Home 1st Goal
40%
15/8
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/7
3%
-
No 1st Goal
6%
7/1
7%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
21/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
54%
7/10
2%
-
BTTS - Home Win
9%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
20%
10/3-
Home/draw
48%
11/10
5%
-
Away/draw
78%
1/7
1%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
2/5
3%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
2/1
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
3/1
8%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
1/4
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
7/1
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
1/12
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
18/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/50
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/12-
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
7/1
7%
-
Home DNB
40%
3/1
8%
-
Away DNB
70%
2/9
2%
-
Parma win to nil
13%
8/1-
Napoli win to nil
32%
13/8
5%
-
Parma / Parma
9%
8/1
10%
-
Parma / Napoli
4%
22/1
12%
-
Parma / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Parma
8%
9/1
9%
-
Draw / Napoli
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
16%
4/1-
Napoli / Parma
2%
40/1-
Napoli / Napoli
31%
13/8
1%
-
Napoli / Draw
5%
14/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Parma have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 5 and won 2. Parma have conceded 24 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Parma have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 21 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Napoli lay in 3rd place on 62 points in the Serie A league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 4 and losing 5 games. They have scored 40 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Napoli have conceded 25 goals and have failed to score in 6 matches.

Away league performance

Napoli have played 16 away games, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Parma
Napoli
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3022354269 
l
 
0-2A
May 3
w
 
3-1F
d
 
2-2A
2
Milan3018932463 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
Apr 6
l
 
2-1A
3
Napoli3019561662 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
4
Como 19073016953157 
d
 
0-00-0
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
May 3
5
Juventus3015962354 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
6
Roma30173101754 
May 10
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
0-1F
7
Atalanta30131161450 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1F
l
 
2-1F
8
Lazio3011109343 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
Apr 18
w
 
0-2F
9
Bologna3012612242 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
0-1F
May 10
l
 
2-0A
10
Sassuolo3011613-439 
May 24
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
11
Udinese3011613-739 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 18
May 24
l
 
1-0A
12
Parma3081012-1734 
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 12
13
Genoa308913-633 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
14
Torino309615-1933 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
15
Cagliari307914-1130 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Fiorentina3061113-929 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
17
Cremonese306915-1927 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 24
w
 
0-2F
18
Lecce307617-1927 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
19
Verona303918-3018 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
20
Pisa3021216-3118 
Apr 25
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
May 17
Win / draw / win form
Parma 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Parma0 - 2Cremonese
Parma1 - 1Cagliari
Parma2 - 1Verona
Parma1 - 4Juventus
Parma0 - 0Genoa
Parma0 - 2Inter
Parma1 - 0Fiorentina
Parma0 - 1Lazio
Parma0 - 2Udinese
Parma2 - 2Milan
Parma1 - 3Bologna
Parma0 - 0Como 1907
Parma0 - 1Lecce
Parma2 - 1Torino
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Parma0 - 0Napoli
Parma0 - 1Como 1907
Parma1 - 0Juventus
Parma2 - 2Inter
Parma2 - 2Torino
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HParma0 - 2Cremonese
AParma1 - 4Torino
AParma0 - 0Fiorentina
HParma1 - 1Cagliari
AParma1 - 0Milan
HParma2 - 1Verona
AParma1 - 0Bologna
HParma1 - 4Juventus
AParma0 - 4Atalanta
HParma0 - 0Genoa
AParma0 - 0Napoli
AParma2 - 1Lecce
HParma0 - 2Inter
AParma1 - 1Sassuolo
HParma1 - 0Fiorentina
HParma0 - 1Lazio
AParma1 - 0Pisa
HParma0 - 2Udinese
AParma2 - 1Verona
HParma2 - 2Milan
Napoli 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
D
3
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari0 - 1Napoli
Verona1 - 2Napoli
Atalanta2 - 1Napoli
Genoa2 - 3Napoli
Juventus3 - 0Napoli
Inter2 - 2Napoli
Lazio0 - 2Napoli
Cremonese0 - 2Napoli
Udinese1 - 0Napoli
Roma0 - 1Napoli
Bologna2 - 0Napoli
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Torino1 - 0Napoli
Milan2 - 1Napoli
Fiorentina1 - 3Napoli
Sassuolo0 - 2Napoli
Parma0 - 0Napoli
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Monza0 - 1Napoli
Bologna1 - 1Napoli
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANapoli1 - 0Cagliari
HNapoli2 - 1Lecce
HNapoli2 - 1Torino
ANapoli2 - 1Verona
ANapoli1 - 2Atalanta
HNapoli2 - 2Roma
ANapoli3 - 2Genoa
HNapoli2 - 1Fiorentina
ANapoli0 - 3Juventus
HNapoli1 - 0Sassuolo
HNapoli0 - 0Parma
ANapoli2 - 2Inter
HNapoli2 - 2Verona
ANapoli2 - 0Lazio
ANapoli2 - 0Cremonese
ANapoli0 - 1Udinese
HNapoli2 - 1Juventus
ANapoli1 - 0Roma
HNapoli3 - 1Atalanta
ANapoli0 - 2Bologna
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Parma since 2015
Parma
Napoli
Goals: Scored
4
9
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
PMA
1
D
2
NAP
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Parma
Draw0 - 0Draw
0 - 2Napoli
Parma2 - 1
0 - 4Napoli
Draw2 - 2Draw
League games at Napoli since 2014
Napoli
Parma
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
5 / 6
2 / 6
Clean sheets
4 / 6
1 / 6
PMA
1
D
1
NAP
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Napoli
Draw0 - 0Draw
Napoli2 - 1
Napoli2 - 0
1 - 2Parma
Napoli3 - 0
Napoli2 - 0
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Parma fans, as should a 5 Serie A games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Napoli have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Serie A games. Their PG of 1.5 against Parma on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Parma 12th Napoli 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.9
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Parma scoring 1 goal or less
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that Napoli will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Parma have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
Napoli’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Parma
PG (predicted goals)
Napoli
0.9
1.5
Attack rating
%
better
PMA
NAP
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
PMA
NAP
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Parma v Napoli Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Parma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28828
M PellegrinoM PellegrinoE ValeriM. Troilo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Pellegrino FWD3081
4
-
M Keita MID291
1
-
E Prato DEF281
5
-
O Sørensen MID281
2
-
A Bernabé MID2731
-
E Valeri DEF262
2
-
N Estévez MID26
2
-
S. Britschgi DEF252
4
-
A Circati DEF231
5
-
L Valenti DEF22
6
-
C Ordoñez MID201
3
1
G Oristanio MID191
1
-
E Corvi GLK16
1
-
J Ondrejka FWD15
2
-
M. Troilo DEF141
6
2
Z Suzuki GLK13
1
-
P Almqvist FWD9
-
B Cremaschi MID8
-
N Ndiaye DEF7
3
1
H Caviglia MID72
-
G Strefezza FWD71
1
-
N Elphege FWD3
-
F Carboni DEF2
-
F Rinaldi GLK1
1
-
Napoli Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2510510
R HöjlundR HöjlundM PolitanoJ Jesus
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Politano FWD2715
1
-
A Buongiorno DEF261
2
-
L Spinazzola DEF2633
2
-
E Elmas MID2613
2
-
R Höjlund FWD26102
1
-
S McTominay MID2573
1
-
S Lobotka MID2411
2
-
G Lorenzo DEF2311
1
-
V Milinković-Savić GLK21
-
J Jesus DEF21
9
1
M Gutiérrez DEF2011
-
M Olivera DEF19
3
-
S Beukema DEF182
2
-
A Rrahmani DEF1611
3
-
D Neres  FWD1633
3
-
F Anguissa MID1441
1
-
B Gilmour MID141
1
-
P Mazzocchi  DEF11
1
K Bruyne MID114
1
-
A Vergara MID1112
2
-
A Meret GLK91
1
-
Giovane FWD72
-
A Santos FWD62
-
R Lukaku  FWD51
1
-