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Roma v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 4th May, 17:00 BST, Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Roma and their manager Raul Procopio will be looking to get one over on Raffaele Palladino and his Fiorentina side on Sunday evening, as the pair meet at the Stadio Olimpico in the Serie A. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and the best odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The KickOff predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of Roma and Fiorentina serving up a minimum of 2 goals in this Serie A match. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookies like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Roma are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.65.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Roma 60%	13/20 8%	-
Draw 22%	27/10 6%	-
Fiorentina 18%	9/2 22%	-
Roma 1-0 12%	11/2	-
Roma 2-0 11%	13/2 6%	-
Draw 1-1 11%	6/1 8%	-
Roma 2-1 10%	15/2	-
Roma 3-0 7%	11/1 20%	-
Draw 0-0 6%	17/2	-
Roma 3-1 6%	12/1 13%	-
Fiorentina 1-0 6%	12/1 8%	-
Fiorentina 2-1 5%	16/1 13%	-
Draw 2-2 4%	16/1 13%	-
Roma 4-0 3%	25/1 10%	-
Roma 4-1 3%	28/1 15%	-
Roma 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Fiorentina 2-0 3%	25/1 13%	-
Fiorentina 3-1 1%	40/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 52%	1/1	-
Under 2.5 Goals 48%	4/5	-
Home 1st Goal 56%	4/9 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 40%	11/5 11%	-
No 1st Goal 4%	17/2	-
BTTS - Yes 50%	19/20 2%	-
BTTS - No 50%	4/5 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 26%	11/4 6%	-
BTTS - Draw 16%	4/1 5%	-
BTTS - Away Win 9%	10/1 22%	-
Home/draw 82%	1/7 3%	-
Away/draw 40%	6/5 13%	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 76%	3/10 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 24%	5/2 3%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 30%	5/2	-
Under 3.5 Goals 70%	3/10	-
Over 4.5 Goals 15%	11/2 7%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 85%	1/9 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 6%	14/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 94%	1/33	-
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/16	-
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	17/2	-
Home DNB 76%	1/4 4%	-
Away DNB 33%	11/4 10%	-
Roma win to nil 34%	13/8 13%	-
Fiorentina win to nil 9%	8/1 13%	-
Roma / Roma 32%	8/5 10%	-
Roma / Fiorentina 2%	40/1	-
Roma / Draw 6%	14/1	-
Draw / Roma 19%	10/3 4%	-
Draw / Fiorentina 8%	10/1 22%	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2 10%	-
Fiorentina / Roma 4%	22/1	-
Fiorentina / Fiorentina 9%	8/1 20%	-
Fiorentina / Draw 5%	16/1 13%	-

Win / draw / win Serie A table

Roma have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 16, drawn 5 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 53 goals to 49 goals.

Home League Performance

Roma have played 17 games at home winning 11, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 33 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Fiorentina are in 8th position in the Serie A on 59 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 1 and won 6. Fiorentina have conceded 16 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Roma Fiorentina
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Napoli	34	22	8	4	29	74	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	l 0-3A	l 2-1A
2	Inter	34	21	8	5	39	71	l 0-1A	w 0-1F	w 3-0F	l 2-1A
3	Atalanta	34	19	8	7	36	65	l 0-2A	May 12	w 1-0F	l 3-2F
4	Juventus	34	16	14	4	20	62	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	w 3-0F	d 2-2A
5	Bologna	34	16	13	5	15	61	l 2-3A	d 2-2F	May 18	l 1-0A
6	Roma Home	34	17	9	8	17	60	-	-	w 5-1F	May 4
7	Lazio	34	17	9	8	12	60	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	w 2-1A	w 1-2F
8	Fiorentina Away	34	17	8	9	19	59	May 4	l 5-1A	-	-
9	Milan	34	15	9	10	15	54	May 18	d 1-1A	w 2-1F	d 2-2F
10	Torino	34	10	13	11	-1	43	w 1-0F	May 25	d 1-1F	w 0-1F
11	Como 1907	34	11	9	14	-4	42	w 2-1A	l 2-0A	l 0-2A	w 0-2F
12	Udinese	34	11	8	15	-12	41	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	l 1-2F	May 25
13	Genoa	34	9	12	13	-12	39	w 3-1F	d 1-1F	w 2-1F	w 0-1F
14	Cagliari	34	8	9	17	-14	33	w 1-0F	d 0-00-0	w 1-0F	w 1-2A
15	Parma	34	6	14	14	-13	32	w 5-0F	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	d 1-1A
16	Verona	34	9	5	20	-32	32	w 1-0F	l 3-2A	w 3-1F	l 1-0A
17	Lecce	34	6	9	19	-32	27	w 4-1F	w 0-1F	w 1-0F	w 0-6F
18	Venezia	34	4	13	17	-21	25	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	d 0-00-0	May 12
19	Empoli	34	4	13	17	-27	25	l 1-2A	w 0-1F	w 2-1F	d 0-00-0
20	Monza	34	2	9	23	-34	15	w 4-0F	d 1-1F	d 2-2A	l 2-1A

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Win / draw / win form

Roma have not lost in 10 consecutive home league games

Fiorentina have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Roma	1 - 0	Verona
Roma	1 - 1	Juventus
Roma	1 - 0	Cagliari
Roma	2 - 1	Como 1907
Roma	4 - 0	Monza
Roma	1 - 1	Napoli
Roma	3 - 1	Genoa
Roma	2 - 0	Lazio
Roma	5 - 0	Parma
Roma	4 - 1	Lecce
Roma	0 - 2	Atalanta
Roma	2 - 3	Bologna
Roma	1 - 0	Torino
Roma	0 - 1	Inter
Roma	2 - 1	Venezia
Roma	3 - 0	Udinese
Roma	1 - 2	Empoli
Roma	1 - 0	Genoa
Roma	1 - 1	Juventus
Roma	1 - 3	Bologna

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

10 / 20

Clean sheets

10 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

Draw

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Roma	1 - 0	Inter
H	Roma	1 - 0	Verona
A	Roma	1 - 1	Lazio
H	Roma	1 - 1	Juventus
A	Roma	1 - 0	Lecce
H	Roma	1 - 0	Cagliari
A	Roma	1 - 0	Empoli
H	Roma	2 - 1	Como 1907
H	Roma	4 - 0	Monza
A	Roma	1 - 0	Parma
A	Roma	1 - 0	Venezia
H	Roma	1 - 1	Napoli
A	Roma	2 - 1	Udinese
H	Roma	3 - 1	Genoa
A	Roma	2 - 2	Bologna
H	Roma	2 - 0	Lazio
A	Roma	1 - 1	Milan
H	Roma	5 - 0	Parma
A	Roma	0 - 2	Como 1907
H	Roma	4 - 1	Lecce

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Cagliari	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Milan	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Napoli	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Verona	1 - 0	Fiorentina
Inter	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Lazio	1 - 2	Fiorentina
Monza	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Juventus	2 - 2	Fiorentina
Bologna	1 - 0	Fiorentina
Como 1907	0 - 2	Fiorentina
Torino	0 - 1	Fiorentina
Genoa	0 - 1	Fiorentina
Lecce	0 - 6	Fiorentina
Empoli	0 - 0	Fiorentina
Atalanta	3 - 2	Fiorentina
Parma	1 - 1	Fiorentina
Atalanta	2 - 3	Fiorentina
Cagliari	2 - 3	Fiorentina
Verona	2 - 1	Fiorentina
Salernitana	0 - 2	Fiorentina

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Empoli
A	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Cagliari
H	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Parma
A	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Milan
H	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Atalanta
H	Fiorentina	3 - 0	Juventus
A	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Napoli
H	Fiorentina	1 - 0	Lecce
A	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Verona
H	Fiorentina	0 - 2	Como 1907
A	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Inter
H	Fiorentina	3 - 0	Inter
H	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Genoa
A	Fiorentina	2 - 1	Lazio
H	Fiorentina	1 - 1	Torino
A	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Monza
H	Fiorentina	0 - 3	Napoli
A	Fiorentina	2 - 2	Juventus
H	Fiorentina	1 - 2	Udinese
A	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Bologna

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Roma have not lost to Fiorentina in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Roma

Fiorentina

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

9 / 10

6 / 10

Clean sheets

4 / 10

1 / 10

RMA

FIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Roma
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Roma	2 - 0
Roma	3 - 1
Roma	2 - 0
Roma	2 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	0 - 2	Fiorentina
Roma	4 - 0
Roma	4 - 1
Roma	2 - 0

Fiorentina

Roma

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 11

9 / 11

Clean sheets

2 / 11

0 / 11

RMA

FIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Fiorentina
Fiorentina	5 - 1
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Fiorentina	2 - 1
Fiorentina	2 - 0
	1 - 2	Roma
	1 - 4	Roma
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	2 - 4	Roma
Fiorentina	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Roma
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Goal Statistics

Roma have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 17 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Fiorentina on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

	Roma 6th	Fiorentina 8th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 16% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 84% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Fiorentina scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+9 Roma’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	+20 Fiorentina have scored 20% more goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	0.9 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2024/2025 season

RMA

FIO

better

view stats

Games scored	28		27
Failed to score	6		7
Scored first	17		19
Goals scored	49		53
Avg. goals scored	1.4		1.6
Avg. shots per game	10		9
Avg. shots per goal	7		6
Conversion rate for	15		18
Avg. XG for	1.5		1.3
KickOff rating		+3%

better

RMA

FIO

view stats

Games conceded	20		22
Clean sheets	14		12
Conceded first	15		12
Goals conceded	32		34
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1
Avg. shots/game conceded	9		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		8
Conversion rate against	11%		12%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.2
KickOff rating		+2%

Roma v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Roma Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
34	11	3	7
M Svilar	A Dovbyk	A Dovbyk	G Mancini

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Svilar GLK	34			-
A Angeliño DEF	34	2	1	1 -
E Ndicka DEF	34		1	2 -
G Mancini DEF	33	1		7 -
M Koné MID	30	2	1	7 -
A Dovbyk FWD	30	11	3	-
Z Celik DEF	27		2	4 -
T Baldanzi MID	27	1	1	2 -
S Shaarawy FWD	27	3	3	2 -
B Cristante MID	26	2	2	7 -
N Pisilli MID	25	2	1	6 -
L Pellegrini MID	24	2	1	4 -
P Dybala FWD	24	6	3	2 -
M Malvano FWD	23	5	2	2 -
E Shomurodov FWD	23	4	3	1 -
L Paredes MID	20	1	1	4 -
A Saelemaekers FWD	19	6	3	4 -
M Hummels DEF	13			1 -
D Rensch DEF	10		1	-
S Abdulhamid DEF	4		1	-
V Nelsson DEF	4			-
L Gourna-Douath MID	4			2 -
A Salah-Eddine DEF	3		1	-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
11	26	3	26
A Dovbyk	A Dovbyk	A Dovbyk	A Angeliño

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
A Dovbyk FWD	11	26	3	13
A Saelemaekers FWD	6	9	3	9
P Dybala FWD	6	19	3	19
M Malvano FWD	5	14	2	14
E Shomurodov FWD	4	12	3	6
S Shaarawy FWD	3	11	3	11
B Cristante MID	2	3	2	3
N Pisilli MID	2	7	1	6
A Angeliño DEF	2	5	1	26
M Koné MID	2	8	1	10
L Pellegrini MID	2	14	1	15
T Baldanzi MID	1	4	1	5
G Mancini DEF	1	6		7
L Paredes MID	1	7	1	9
S Abdulhamid DEF			1	2
D Rensch DEF		2	1	1
M Hummels DEF		1		1
Z Celik DEF		2	2	11
E Ndicka DEF		5	1	4
A Salah-Eddine DEF		1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2245	53	143
E Ndicka	Z Celik	M Koné

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Ndicka DEF	2245	31	111
G Mancini DEF	1723	37	122
A Angeliño DEF	1454	44	107
M Svilar GLK	1131		10
M Koné MID	1110	36	143
B Cristante MID	1106	41	102
L Paredes MID	1055	25	50
Z Celik DEF	963	53	97
M Malvano FWD	685	19	87
P Dybala FWD	656	17	97
A Saelemaekers FWD	580	30	80
L Pellegrini MID	566	23	68
N Pisilli MID	533	23	44
M Hummels DEF	433	31	61
S Shaarawy FWD	409	17	50
A Dovbyk FWD	395	3	63
T Baldanzi MID	326	12	43
E Shomurodov FWD	225	11	44
D Rensch DEF	197	15	31
V Nelsson DEF	116	5	18
S Abdulhamid DEF	97	3	11
L Gourna-Douath MID	92	7	11
A Salah-Eddine DEF	81	1	2

Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2024/2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
32	17	5	7
L Ranieri	M Kean	Dodô	Dodô

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Ranieri DEF	33	1	2	5 -
Dodô DEF	32		5	7 -
D Gea GLK	31		1	1 -
P. Comuzzo DEF	30			5 -
L Beltrán MID	30	5	5	4 -
M Kean FWD	29	17	3	6 -
R Gosens DEF	28	5	4	5 -
D Cataldi MID	25	3		1 -
R Mandragora MID	25	3	3	6 -
Y Adli MID	24	4	5	4 1
F Parisi DEF	23	1		2 -
A Richardson MID	23			5 -
A Colpani MID	22	2	1	1 -
A Gudmundsson FWD	22	6	1	2 -
M Pongracic DEF	16			2 1
M Folorunsho MID	13			4 -
E Bove MID	12	1	2	3 -
N Fagioli MID	11		2	-
P Marí DEF	9			2 -
N Zaniolo MID	8			2 -
C Ndour MID	5			-
M Moreno DEF	4			-
P Terracciano GLK	3			-
M. Caprini FWD	2			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
17	40	5	17
M Kean	M Kean	Dodô	Dodô

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
M Kean FWD	17	40	3	12
A Gudmundsson FWD	6	13	1	10
L Beltrán MID	5	9	5	17
R Gosens DEF	5	8	4	14
Y Adli MID	4	5	5	14
D Cataldi MID	3	5		8
R Mandragora MID	3	10	3	9
A Colpani MID	2	12	1	14
E Bove MID	1	2	2	8
L Ranieri DEF	1	3	2	9
F Parisi DEF	1	4		4
A Richardson MID		4		4
Dodô DEF		6	5	17
P. Comuzzo DEF		1		2
M Pongracic DEF		1		1
M Folorunsho MID		2		3
D Gea GLK			1	1
N Fagioli MID		2	2	3
P Marí DEF		1
N Zaniolo MID		4
M Moreno DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1596	52	154
L Ranieri	R Gosens	Dodô

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
L Ranieri DEF	1596	37	109
Dodô DEF	1217	39	154
P. Comuzzo DEF	1099	39	110
D Cataldi MID	967	25	55
R Gosens DEF	936	52	137
D Gea GLK	890	1	9
Y Adli MID	789	30	66
R Mandragora MID	689	21	61
M Pongracic DEF	603	15	48
L Beltrán MID	534	20	104
A Richardson MID	445	23	61
A Gudmundsson FWD	434	9	44
A Colpani MID	406	15	54
P Marí DEF	358	8	33
N Fagioli MID	335	14	32
F Parisi DEF	335	21	64
E Bove MID	333	23	63
M Kean FWD	276	7	140
M Folorunsho MID	207	19	64
C Ndour MID	118	3	19
P Terracciano GLK	74
M Moreno DEF	69	8	14
N Zaniolo MID	57	2	24
M. Caprini FWD	6

Roma v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Roma have played 34 matches so far this season and lay in 6th place in the Serie A league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

Fiorentina are in 8th position in the Serie A on 59 points having played 34 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Roma v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

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