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Sassuolo v Atalanta : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 14:00 BST, MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol, Reggio Emilia

Fabio Grosso and Raffaele Palladino pit their wits in the Serie A on Sunday afternoon, as Sassuolo face Atalanta at the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol. We've analysed both teams' last 20 Serie A matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's fairly unlikely that this match will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and stats are in line with KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Sassuolo and Atalanta have seldom been involved in a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or when going head-to-head. So, without a strong favourite win or double chance market, we're suggesting under 3.5 goals. You can go for that at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 46% chance of Atalanta coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sassuolo
28%
14/511/4
Draw
26%
5/213/5
Atalanta
46%
19/2019/20
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Atalanta 1-0
11%
7/16/1
Atalanta 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Sassuolo 1-0
8%
11/117/2
Atalanta 2-0
8%
17/215/2
Draw 0-0
8%
10/117/2
Sassuolo 2-1
7%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/111/1
Sassuolo 2-0
5%
20/114/1
Atalanta 3-1
4%
14/112/1
Atalanta 3-0
4%
16/112/1
Sassuolo 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Atalanta 3-2
2%
22/118/1
Sassuolo 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Sassuolo 3-0
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
10/1117/20
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
10/1117/20
Home 1st Goal
44%
11/829/20
Away 1st Goal
51%
4/64/6
No 1st Goal
5%
10/117/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
3/43/4
BTTS - No
49%
1/11/1
BTTS - Home Win
13%
6/111/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/217/5
BTTS - Away Win
20%
3/111/4
Home/draw
54%
4/55/6
Away/draw
72%
1/41/4
Home/away
74%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
2/72/7
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/45/2
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
11/521/10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/111/3
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
5/119/4
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/81/9
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/33
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/201/25
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/117/2
Home DNB
46%
7/417/10
Away DNB
64%
2/52/5
Sassuolo win to nil
15%
6/1-
Atalanta win to nil
26%
5/2-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
14%
5/119/4
Sassuolo / Atalanta
4%
22/118/1
Sassuolo / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / Sassuolo
10%
7/17/1
Draw / Atalanta
16%
4/14/1
Draw / Draw
15%
9/24/1
Atalanta / Sassuolo
3%
28/125/1
Atalanta / Atalanta
27%
21/1019/10
Atalanta / Draw
6%
12/111/1
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Win / draw / win Serie A table

Sassuolo have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Sassuolo have conceded 21 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Sassuolo have played 12 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Atalanta lay in 6th place on 42 points in the Serie A league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 9 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Atalanta have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Atalanta have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2520143961 
l
 
0-5A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Mar 15
2
Milan2415812253 
May 3
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 10
3
Napoli2515551350 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
l
 
3-1A
4
Roma2515281547 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
5
Juventus2513752046 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 22
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
6
Atalanta2511951342 
Mar 1
w
 
0-3F
-
-
7
Como 19072411852041 
Apr 19
l
 
2-0A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Bologna259610233 
Mar 15
d
 
1-1A
May 17
w
 
0-2F
9
Lazio25898133 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
10
Sassuolo259511-632 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
Mar 1
11
Udinese259511-1032 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2A
Mar 8
l
 
1-0A
12
Parma257810-1329 
d
 
1-1F
May 24
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
13
Cagliari257711-728 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
Apr 26
14
Torino257612-1927 
l
 
0-1A
May 10
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Cremonese255911-1224 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
16
Genoa255911-824 
l
 
1-2A
Apr 12
May 3
w
 
0-1F
17
Lecce256613-1424 
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-1F
Apr 4
18
Fiorentina254912-1021 
w
 
3-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
May 24
19
Pisa2511212-2215 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
20
Verona252914-2415 
Feb 20
w
 
0-1F
Mar 22
l
 
3-1A
Win / draw / win form
5
Atalanta have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Sassuolo 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sassuolo0 - 5Inter
Sassuolo1 - 0Cremonese
Sassuolo0 - 3Juventus
Sassuolo1 - 1Parma
Sassuolo0 - 1Torino
Sassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
Sassuolo2 - 2Pisa
Sassuolo1 - 2Genoa
Sassuolo0 - 1Roma
Sassuolo3 - 1Udinese
Sassuolo1 - 0Lazio
Sassuolo0 - 2Napoli
Sassuolo0 - 1Frosinone
Sassuolo0 - 2Catanzaro
Sassuolo2 - 0Carrarese
Sassuolo5 - 1Reggiana
Sassuolo1 - 1Bari 1908
Sassuolo1 - 0Pisa
Sassuolo2 - 0Brescia
Sassuolo2 - 0Juve Stabia
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASassuolo2 - 1Udinese
HSassuolo0 - 5Inter
ASassuolo3 - 1Pisa
HSassuolo1 - 0Cremonese
ASassuolo0 - 1Napoli
ASassuolo0 - 2Roma
HSassuolo0 - 3Juventus
HSassuolo1 - 1Parma
ASassuolo1 - 1Bologna
HSassuolo0 - 1Torino
ASassuolo2 - 2Milan
HSassuolo3 - 1Fiorentina
ASassuolo0 - 2Como 1907
HSassuolo2 - 2Pisa
ASassuolo3 - 0Atalanta
HSassuolo1 - 2Genoa
ASassuolo2 - 1Cagliari
HSassuolo0 - 1Roma
ASassuolo0 - 0Lecce
ASassuolo1 - 0Verona
Atalanta 6TH
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Lazio0 - 2Atalanta
Como 19070 - 0Atalanta
Pisa1 - 1Atalanta
Bologna0 - 2Atalanta
Genoa0 - 1Atalanta
Verona3 - 1Atalanta
Napoli3 - 1Atalanta
Udinese1 - 0Atalanta
Cremonese1 - 1Atalanta
Juventus1 - 1Atalanta
Torino0 - 3Atalanta
Parma1 - 1Atalanta
Genoa2 - 3Atalanta
Monza0 - 4Atalanta
Milan0 - 1Atalanta
Fiorentina1 - 0Atalanta
Juventus0 - 4Atalanta
Empoli0 - 5Atalanta
Verona0 - 5Atalanta
Como 19071 - 2Atalanta
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAtalanta2 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta2 - 1Cremonese
AAtalanta0 - 0Como 1907
HAtalanta4 - 0Parma
AAtalanta1 - 1Pisa
HAtalanta2 - 0Torino
AAtalanta2 - 0Bologna
HAtalanta1 - 0Roma
HAtalanta0 - 1Inter
AAtalanta1 - 0Genoa
HAtalanta2 - 1Cagliari
AAtalanta1 - 3Verona
HAtalanta2 - 0Fiorentina
AAtalanta1 - 3Napoli
HAtalanta0 - 3Sassuolo
AAtalanta0 - 1Udinese
HAtalanta1 - 1Milan
AAtalanta1 - 1Cremonese
HAtalanta0 - 0Lazio
HAtalanta1 - 1Como 1907
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sassuolo since 2014
Sassuolo
Atalanta
Goals: Scored
9
22
Games: Scored
6 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
4 / 10
SAS
2
D
3
ATA
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Sassuolo
0 - 2Atalanta
Sassuolo1 - 0
Sassuolo2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 4Atalanta
2 - 6Atalanta
0 - 3Atalanta
0 - 3Atalanta
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Atalanta since 2015
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
25
12
Games: Scored
10 / 11
10 / 11
Clean sheets
1 / 11
1 / 11
SAS
1
D
2
ATA
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Atalanta
0 - 3Sassuolo
Atalanta3 - 0
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta2 - 1
Atalanta5 - 1
Atalanta4 - 1
Atalanta3 - 1
Atalanta2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Atalanta2 - 1
Goal Statistics

Atalanta's defensive record is very strong, R. Palladino's men having conceded 1 or less in 11 consecutive Serie A games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.1 for Sassuolo makes sense in this context.

Sassuolo 10th Atalanta 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Sassuolo will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Sassuolo have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
+23
Atalanta have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Sassuolo
PG (predicted goals)
Atalanta
1.1
1.5
Attack rating
SAS
ATA
20%
better
view stats
Games scored16
20
Failed to score9
5
Scored first9
15
Goals scored29
34
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
14
Avg. XG for1.1
1.8
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
SAS
ATA
32%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
15
Clean sheets5
10
Conceded first15
8
Goals conceded35
21
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
10
Conversion rate against13%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+32%

Sassuolo v Atalanta Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24546
A MuricA PinamontiC VolpatoN Matić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Laurienté FWD2543
2
-
A Muric GLK24
4
-
J Idzes DEF24
1
-
S Walukiewicz DEF241
4
-
J Doig DEF24
4
-
A Pinamonti FWD2453
1
-
N Matić MID2311
5
1
A Fadera FWD2321
4
-
T Muharemović DEF2222
5
-
I Koné MID224
3
1
K Thorstvedt MID2022
6
-
D Berardi FWD1553
2
-
C Volpato MID1414
2
-
A Vranckx MID13
2
-
F Candé DEF12
2
-
L Lipani MID12
-
E Iannoni MID111
3
-
L Moro FWD11
1
-
W Coulibaly DEF10
1
-
F Romagna DEF3
-
U Garcia DEF21
-
D Boloca MID2
-
M Nzola  FWD2
-
S Turati GLK1
-
Atalanta Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25747
M CarnesecchiN KrstovicN KrstovicM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK25
-
B Djimsiti DEF22
2
-
D Zappacosta MID2212
2
-
N Zalewski MID2122
1
-
M Roon MID2111
6
1
C Ketelaere MID2133
2
-
Éderson MID211
1
-
N Krstovic FWD2174
2
-
I Hien DEF201
3
-
M Pasalic MID2024
2
-
L Samardžić MID1812
1
-
K Sulemana FWD1822
3
-
G Scamacca FWD1661
2
-
H. Ahanor DEF15
1
1
L Bernasconi MID152
2
-
R Bellanova MID151
1
-
O Kossounou  DEF141
1
-
Y Musah MID13
1
-
G Scalvini DEF122
2
-
S Kolasinac DEF8
2
-
G Raspadori FWD411
-