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Sassuolo v Roma : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 26th Oct, 14:00 BST, MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol, Reggio Emilia

It's a long trek for Gian Piero Gasperini's Roma side on Sunday afternoon, as they travel to the MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricol for a Serie A showdown with Fabio Grosso's Sassuolo. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from top bookmakers, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. We pay particular attention to Serie A match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Our calculations suggest that it's unlikely that this match will serve up 4+ goals, and the odds and statistics point in the same direction as KO's predictive algorithm on this one. Sassuolo and Roma have rarely served up a high volume of goals of late, whether that be in Serie A individually or in head-to-head clashes. So, without a convincing favourite draw or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. That's available at a best price of 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Roma coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Sassuolo
22%
4.33
13%
4.33
Draw
25%
3.50
3%
3.60
Roma
53%
1.80
6%
1.83
Roma 1-0
12%
6.50
17%
6.00
Draw 1-1
12%
6.506.50
Roma 2-0
10%
8.00
21%
7.50
Roma 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Draw 0-0
8%
9.50
18%
8.50
Sassuolo 1-0
7%
11.009.50
Sassuolo 2-1
6%
15.00
12%
12.00
Roma 3-0
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
Roma 3-1
5%
15.0013.00
Draw 2-2
5%
17.00
11%
13.00
Sassuolo 2-0
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
Roma 3-2
2%
29.00
15%
21.00
Roma 4-0
2%
29.0023.00
Roma 4-1
2%
34.0023.00
Sassuolo 3-1
2%
41.00
17%
26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
2.00
9%
2.00
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1.80
8%
1.75
Home 1st Goal
41%
2.60
13%
2.62
Away 1st Goal
54%
1.62
3%
1.62
No 1st Goal
5%
9.50
18%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
49%
1.95
7%
1.91
BTTS - No
51%
1.80
12%
1.83
BTTS - Home Win
10%
9.00
23%
7.50
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.80
BTTS - Away Win
22%
4.00
8%
3.90
Home/draw
47%
1.95
7%
1.95
Away/draw
78%
1.20
3%
1.22
Home/away
75%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1.33
5%
1.33
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3.40
13%
3.10
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
3.75
6%
3.40
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1.29
3%
1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7.00
13%
6.50
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1.10
2%
1.09
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
15.00
21%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1.03
1%
1.02
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.06
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10.00
18%
8.50
Home DNB
39%
3.25
13%
3.00
Away DNB
71%
1.33
6%
1.33
Sassuolo win to nil
12%
7.00
13%
-
Roma win to nil
31%
3.00
14%
-
Sassuolo / Sassuolo
11%
7.50
22%
6.50
Sassuolo / Roma
4%
23.00
12%
19.00
Sassuolo / Draw
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Draw / Sassuolo
9%
9.00
10%
8.50
Draw / Roma
17%
4.75
10%
4.50
Draw / Draw
16%
5.00
10%
4.80
Roma / Sassuolo
3%
34.00
17%
29.00
Roma / Roma
28%
2.88
10%
2.80
Roma / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Serie A table
Won
Draw
Lost
Sassuolo
Roma
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter75021015 
Feb 8
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
2
Napoli7502515 
l
 
0-2A
Jan 18
Nov 30
Feb 15
3
Roma7502415 
Oct 26
Jan 11
-
-
4
Milan6411613 
May 3
Dec 14
Jan 25
Nov 2
5
Bologna7412613 
Mar 15
Dec 28
w
 
1-0F
Apr 26
6
Como 19077331412 
Apr 19
Nov 30
Dec 14
Mar 15
7
Juventus7331212 
Jan 6
Mar 22
Mar 1
Dec 21
8
Atalanta7250611 
Mar 1
Nov 9
Apr 19
Jan 3
9
Sassuolo7313010 
-
-
Jan 11
Oct 26
10
Cremonese6231-19 
Jan 25
l
 
3-2A
Feb 22
Nov 23
11
Lazio722338 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 8
May 17
w
 
0-1F
12
Torino7223-78 
Dec 21
May 10
l
 
0-1A
Jan 18
13
Cagliari7223-28 
Apr 4
Oct 30
Feb 8
Dec 7
14
Udinese6222-38 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 15
Nov 9
Feb 1
15
Lecce7133-56 
May 17
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
Jan 6
16
Parma7133-46 
Jan 3
May 24
Oct 29
May 10
17
Verona7043-74 
Feb 22
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 24
18
Fiorentina6033-43 
Dec 7
Apr 26
May 3
w
 
1-2A
19
Genoa7034-63 
Nov 3
Apr 12
Dec 28
Mar 8
20
Pisa7034-73 
Nov 24
Feb 1
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
4
Roma have won 4 consecutive away league games
Sassuolo 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
D
4
Lost
6
Roma 3RD
20 league games
Away
4
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
9
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
2
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Sassuolo since 2015
Sassuolo
Roma
Goals: Scored
11
18
Games: Scored
6 / 10
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
4 / 10
SAS
1
D
4
RMA
5
League games at Roma since 2014
Roma
Sassuolo
Goals: Scored
21
14
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
SAS
1
D
4
RMA
5
Goal Statistics

Roma's defensive record is very strong, Gian Piero Gasperini's men having conceded 1 or less in 9 consecutive Serie A matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Sassuolo makes sense in this context.

Sassuolo 8th Roma 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of Sassuolo scoring 1 goal or less
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Roma will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
Sassuolo have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
-9
Roma’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Sassuolo
PG (predicted goals)
Roma
1
1.6
Attack rating
5%
better
SAS
RMA
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score1
1
Scored first3
4
Goals scored8
7
Avg. goals scored1.1
1
Avg. shots per game6
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for19
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
SAS
RMA
52%
better
view stats
Games conceded4
2
Clean sheets2
4
Conceded first3
2
Goals conceded8
2
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
26
Conversion rate against12%
4%
Avg. XG against1.6
0.8
KickOff rating
+52%

Sassuolo v Roma Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Sassuolo Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7223
J DoigA PinamontiD BerardiJ Doig
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Doig DEF7
3
-
A Pinamonti FWD72
1
-
A Laurienté FWD711
-
A Muric GLK6
1
-
J Idzes DEF6
-
S Walukiewicz DEF6
-
T Muharemović DEF61
2
-
N Matić MID6
1
-
A Vranckx MID6
1
-
A Fadera FWD611
-
D Berardi FWD612
2
-
K Thorstvedt MID5
-
I Koné MID51
1
1
W Cheddira FWD51
1
-
E Iannoni MID41
1
-
C Volpato MID41
1
-
N Pierini FWD4
1
-
W Coulibaly DEF3
-
F Candé DEF3
-
F Romagna DEF2
-
D Boloca MID2
-
L Lipani MID2
-
S Turati GLK1
-
L Moro FWD1
-
Roma Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
7322
M SvilarM MalvanoM MalvanoE Ndicka
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Svilar GLK7
-
E Ndicka DEF7
2
-
G Mancini DEF7
1
-
B Cristante MID71
1
-
M Koné MID7
-
M Malvano FWD732
-
Wesley DEF61
2
-
Z Celik DEF61
-
E Ferguson FWD61
1
-
A Dovbyk FWD611
-
M Hermoso DEF5
1
-
A Angeliño DEF5
1
-
N Aynaoui MID5
-
P Dybala FWD5
-
D Rensch DEF4
-
T Baldanzi MID4
1
-
L Pellegrini MID41
-
S Shaarawy FWD4
-
K Tsimikas DEF3
1
-
J. Ziółkowski DEF3
1
-
N Pisilli MID2
-
L Bailey FWD1
-