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US Cremonese v Milan : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 1st Mar, 11:30 BST, Stadio Giovanni Zini, Cremona

Davide Nicola welcomes Massimiliano Allegri to the Stadio Giovanni Zini on Sunday morning, as their US Cremonese and Milan troops meet in the Serie A. Our predictions are based on in-depth statistical analysis of each side, across 17 of the main markets. Data shown and the odds are unique to each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.


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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means that there will be a maximum of 3 goals scored by Cremonese and Milan combined during a standard 90 mins. Latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this conclusion, and we're suggest there's a 76% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 57% chance of Milan coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Cremonese
19%
6.506.00
Draw
24%
4.204.20
Milan
57%
1.501.50
Milan 1-0
14%
6.506.00
Milan 2-0
11%
6.506.50
Draw 1-1
11%
8.007.50
Milan 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Draw 0-0
8%
11.009.50
Cremonese 1-0
7%
15.0012.00
Milan 3-0
6%
10.009.50
Milan 3-1
5%
13.0011.00
Cremonese 2-1
5%
19.0017.00
Draw 2-2
4%
19.0017.00
Cremonese 2-0
3%
34.0023.00
Milan 4-0
3%
21.0015.00
Milan 4-1
2%
23.0019.00
Milan 3-2
2%
29.0021.00
Cremonese 3-1
1%
51.0034.00
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
1.911.85
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1.911.85
Home 1st Goal
39%
3.003.30
Away 1st Goal
56%
1.441.44
No 1st Goal
6%
11.009.50
BTTS - Yes
46%
2.002.00
BTTS - No
54%
1.751.73
BTTS - Home Win
8%
13.0011.00
BTTS - Draw
16%
6.005.50
BTTS - Away Win
22%
3.603.40
Home/draw
43%
2.502.50
Away/draw
81%
1.111.12
Home/away
76%
1.221.22
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1.291.29
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
3.753.40
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
3.403.10
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
1.331.33
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
6.006.00
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1.131.11
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
13.0012.00
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1.041.03
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1.051.04
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
11.009.50
Home DNB
35%
5.004.50
Away DNB
74%
1.171.17
Cremonese win to nil
11%
11.00-
Milan win to nil
35%
2.38-
Cremonese / Cremonese
8%
11.009.00
Cremonese / Milan
4%
23.0017.00
Cremonese / Draw
5%
19.0015.00
Draw / Cremonese
7%
13.0011.00
Draw / Milan
19%
4.004.20
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.50
Milan / Cremonese
2%
41.0034.00
Milan / Milan
36%
2.252.20
Milan / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Cremonese have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 3. Cremonese have conceded 31 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Cremonese have played 12 games at home, winning 2, drawing 6 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 11 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Milan lay in 2nd place on 53 points in the Serie A league table having played 24 matches. Milan are unbeaten away after 13 games and have kept 6 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below them in the table, winning 14, drawing 8 and losing 1 game. They have scored 39 goals and kept 10 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Milan have conceded 18 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Milan have played 13 away games, winning 8, drawing 5 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Cremonese
Milan
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter2520143961 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-1A
Mar 8
w
 
0-1F
2
Milan2415812253 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
-
-
3
Napoli2515551350 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 26
w
 
2-1F
Apr 4
4
Roma2515281547 
l
 
1-3A
Feb 22
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
5
Juventus2513752046 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
5-0A
Apr 26
d
 
0-00-0
6
Atalanta2511951342 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
May 10
d
 
1-1F
7
Como 19072411852041 
May 24
d
 
1-1A
Feb 18
w
 
1-3A
8
Bologna259610233 
Apr 4
w
 
1-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Lazio25898133 
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
Mar 15
10
Sassuolo259511-632 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 3
11
Udinese259511-1032 
d
 
1-1F
May 17
Apr 12
w
 
0-3F
12
Parma257810-1329 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 22
Feb 22
d
 
2-2F
13
Cagliari257711-728 
d
 
2-2F
Apr 12
May 24
w
 
0-1F
14
Torino257612-1927 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Mar 22
w
 
2-3A
15
Cremonese255911-1224 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Mar 1
16
Genoa255911-824 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
May 17
17
Lecce256613-1424 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Fiorentina254912-1021 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
19
Pisa2511212-2215 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2F
20
Verona252914-2415 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-0F
Apr 19
Win / draw / win form
13
Milan have not lost in 13 consecutive away league games
Cremonese 15TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
10
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
6
Lost
11
Milan 2ND
20 league games
Away
13
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
8
Goal Statistics

An absolutely dismal PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for US Cremonese fans, as should a 5 Serie A matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Milan have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 18 consecutive Serie A matches. Their PG of 1.7 against US Cremonese on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Cremonese 15th Milan 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Cremonese scoring 1 goal or less
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Cremonese’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+30
Milan have scored 30% more goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Cremonese
PG (predicted goals)
Milan
0.8
1.7
Attack rating
CRE
ACM
45%
better
view stats
Games scored13
23
Failed to score12
1
Scored first8
16
Goals scored21
40
Avg. goals scored0.8
1.7
Avg. shots per game7
10
Avg. shots per goal8
6
Conversion rate for13
17
Avg. XG for1
1.7
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
CRE
ACM
31%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
13
Clean sheets7
11
Conceded first12
7
Goals conceded33
18
Avg. goals conceded1.3
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded12
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
11
Conversion rate against11%
9%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+31%

Cremonese v Milan Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Cremonese Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25547
F BaschirottoF BonazzoliJ VandeputteG Pezzella
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Baschirotto DEF252
2
-
F Terracciano DEF242
4
-
F Bonazzoli FWD2252
3
-
E Audero GLK21
-
J Vandeputte MID214
2
-
J Vardy FWD2151
4
-
R Floriani DEF20
2
-
W Bondo MID20
4
-
A Zerbin FWD202
1
-
G Pezzella DEF191
7
-
M Bianchetti DEF192
2
-
A Grassi MID19
3
-
T Barbieri DEF181
5
-
A Sanabria FWD1811
2
-
M Payero MID171
6
-
F. Folino DEF111
-
F Ceccherini DEF8
1
1
M. Faye DEF7
1
-
M Collocolo MID6
1
-
F Moumbagna FWD5
-
M Silvestri GLK4
-
Y Maleh MID3
-
M Djuric FWD3
-
S Luperto DEF21
-
M Thorsby MID21
-
D Okereke FWD2
-
Milan Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23845
M Maignan C PulisicA RabiotA Rabiot
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Maignan  GLK23
3
-
M Gabbia DEF23
3
-
L Modric MID2323
3
-
A Saelemaekers MID2223
2
-
R Loftus-Cheek MID2231
1
-
F Tomori DEF212
4
-
S Pavlovic DEF2021
2
-
S Ricci MID2013
1
-
Y Fofana MID2012
4
-
D. Bartesaghi DEF192
2
-
C Nkunku  FWD1852
-
A Rabiot MID1744
4
1
R Leão FWD1772
1
-
C Pulisic FWD1782
-
K Winter DEF161
1
-
Z. Athekame DEF1511
3
-
P Estupiñán DEF121
2
1
S Giménez FWD9
1
-
N Füllkrug FWD81
-
A Jashari MID6
-
P Terracciano GLK2
-
D Odogu DEF1
-