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Verona v Fiorentina : Serie A match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 4th Apr, 17:00 BST, Marcantonio Bentegodi, Verona

Verona and Fiorentina meet at the Marcantonio Bentegodi on Saturday evening, with both Paolo Sammarco and Paolo Vanoli seeking a win in the Serie A. Serie A statistics are the backbone of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head history included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds from leading bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Serie A Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 78% probability of Verona and Fiorentina scoring at least a couple of goals in this Serie A tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are included in the calculation , and the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 47% chance of Fiorentina coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Verona
29%
4.10
9%
4.20
Draw
24%
3.30
6%
3.40
Fiorentina
47%
1.90
9%
1.91
Draw 1-1
12%
6.50
7%
6.00
Fiorentina 1-0
9%
6.506.00
Fiorentina 2-1
9%
9.00
6%
8.00
Fiorentina 2-0
8%
8.50
6%
8.00
Verona 1-0
7%
11.009.00
Verona 2-1
7%
15.0012.00
Draw 0-0
6%
8.50
11%
7.50
Draw 2-2
6%
17.0015.00
Fiorentina 3-1
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Verona 2-0
4%
21.0015.00
Fiorentina 3-0
4%
15.0013.00
Fiorentina 3-2
3%
29.0023.00
Verona 3-1
3%
34.00
17%
26.00
Verona 3-2
2%
41.0029.00
Fiorentina 4-1
2%
34.0026.00
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
2.20
10%
2.15
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1.67
7%
1.65
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.50
4%
2.62
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.67
3%
1.67
No 1st Goal
3%
8.50
11%
8.00
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.951.95
BTTS - No
43%
1.801.75
BTTS - Home Win
15%
9.008.00
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.75
5%
4.80
BTTS - Away Win
23%
4.50
13%
4.20
Home/draw
53%
1.91
5%
1.85
Away/draw
71%
1.22
3%
1.22
Home/away
76%
1.33
3%
1.30
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1.40
5%
1.36
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3.00
12%
2.90
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
4.00
7%
3.80
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
1.25
3%
1.25
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
9.00
29%
7.50
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1.07
3%
1.07
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
19.00
27%
15.00
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1.02
1%
1.01
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1.08
2%
1.07
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
8.00
16%
7.50
Home DNB
46%
3.00
8%
2.88
Away DNB
64%
1.36
2%
1.36
Verona win to nil
14%
6.50
7%
-
Fiorentina win to nil
24%
3.00
9%
-
Verona / Verona
12%
7.00
7%
6.50
Verona / Fiorentina
3%
26.00
13%
23.00
Verona / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
Draw / Verona
10%
8.50
6%
8.50
Draw / Fiorentina
17%
4.755.00
Draw / Draw
17%
5.00
9%
4.60
Fiorentina / Verona
2%
34.0034.00
Fiorentina / Fiorentina
27%
3.10
8%
2.90
Fiorentina / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
Win / draw / win Serie A table

Verona have played 30 matches so far this season and are in 19th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 18 games, drawn 7 and won 3. Verona have conceded 52 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Verona have played 14 games at home, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 9 fixtures. They have scored 12 goals, conceded 23 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 6 times in home league games.

Fiorentina lay in 16th place on 29 points in the Serie A league table having played 30 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 7 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Fiorentina have conceded 4 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Fiorentina have played 15 away games, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Verona
Fiorentina
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Inter3022354269 
l
 
1-2A
May 17
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-0A
2
Milan3018932463 
Apr 19
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1F
3
Napoli3019561662 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-1A
4
Como 19073016953157 
May 10
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2F
5
Juventus3015962354 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
d
 
1-1A
May 17
6
Roma30173101754 
May 24
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2F
May 3
7
Atalanta30131161450 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 24
l
 
2-0A
8
Lazio3011109343 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
4-0A
Apr 13
d
 
2-2A
9
Bologna3012612242 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
10
Sassuolo3011613-439 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
11
Udinese3011613-739 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
5-1F
l
 
3-0A
12
Parma3081012-1734 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
13
Genoa308913-633 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
2-2A
14
Torino309615-1933 
l
 
0-3A
Apr 11
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
15
Cagliari307914-1130 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
4-0A
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
16
Fiorentina3061113-929 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2F
-
-
17
Cremonese306915-1927 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
18
Lecce307617-1927 
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
Apr 20
19
Verona303918-3018 
-
-
l
 
1-2A
Apr 4
20
Pisa3021216-3118 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Win / draw / win form
7
Verona have not won in 7 consecutive home league games
Verona 19TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
8
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Fiorentina 16TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Verona since 2014
Verona
Fiorentina
Goals: Scored
7
16
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
VER
3
D
1
FIO
5
League games at Fiorentina since 2015
Fiorentina
Verona
Goals: Scored
12
12
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
VER
3
D
4
FIO
3
Goal Statistics

Fiorentina's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday evening, not least because Verona have conceded in each of their last 5 Serie A games. A PG of 1.6 for P. Vanoli's side suggests that run should continue.

Verona 19th Fiorentina 16th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.2
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Verona will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Fiorentina will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Verona have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
Fiorentina have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Serie A - 2025/2026 season
Verona
PG (predicted goals)
Fiorentina
1.2
1.6
Attack rating
VER
FIO
34%
better
view stats
Games scored15
22
Failed to score15
8
Scored first6
12
Goals scored22
35
Avg. goals scored0.7
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal11
8
Conversion rate for9
12
Avg. XG for1
1.5
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
VER
FIO
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded25
25
Clean sheets5
5
Conceded first19
15
Goals conceded52
44
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
6
Conversion rate against19%
16%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.4
KickOff rating
+10%

Verona v Fiorentina Serie A lLine ups will show here when available.

Verona Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29727
V NelssonG OrbanA BernedeJ Akpro 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Nelsson DEF30
3
-
A Sarr FWD291
1
1
L Montipò GLK27
-
A Bernede MID2512
1
-
G Orban FWD2572
4
1
M Frese DEF242
5
-
D Bradaric DEF23
2
-
R Gagliardini MID221
6
-
C Niasse MID201
1
-
S Serdar MID202
3
-
D Mosquera FWD202
1
-
A Harroui MID191
2
-
R Belghali  DEF182
5
-
A Bella-Kotchap DEF17
3
-
A Musrati MID161
4
1
N Valentini DEF15
3
-
J Akpro  MID141
7
-
D Oyegoke DEF12
1
-
A Edmundsson DEF7
2
-
T Slotsager DEF7
-
K Bowie FWD71
1
-
F. Cham DEF6
-
T Suslov MID5
1
-
P Lirola DEF4
1
-
S Perilli GLK3
-
S Lovric MID2
-
I Tomich FWD1
-
J. Ajayi FWD1
-
Fiorentina Serie A squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
30849
D GeaM KeanA GudmundssonM Pongracic 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Gea GLK30
-
Dodô DEF2912
6
-
M Pongracic  DEF28
9
-
R Mandragora  MID2862
6
-
L Ranieri DEF271
7
-
N Fagioli MID2713
4
-
R Piccoli FWD2631
-
A Gudmundsson FWD2654
3
-
C Ndour MID252
2
-
M Kean FWD2581
4
-
P. Comuzzo DEF221
2
-
F Parisi DEF2011
5
-
R Gosens DEF1921
2
-
N. Fortini DEF16
-
J Fazzini MID15
1
-
M Brescianini MID111
1
-
M Solomon FWD92
-
G Fabbian MID8
2
-
J Harrison FWD81
-
E. Kouadio DEF3
-
D Rugani DEF2
1
-
T Lamptey  DEF2
-
A Sabiri MID1
-