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León v Guadalajara : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 20th Jul, 02:00 BST, Estadio León, León de los Aldamas

León and Guadalajara clash at the Estadio León on Sunday morning, with both Alexandre Moya Torralbo and Gabriel Alejandro Milito seeking a win in the Liga MX. For every Liga MX fixture, KickOff explores the stats for multiple markets. Important stats, including head-to-head results, are then brought forward alongside odds from leading bookmakers.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 74% chance of Leon and Guadalajara no more than 3 goals combined during this Liga MX match according to our predictive algorithm and, in the absense of a strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Leon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Leon
41%
5/4-
Draw
26%
9/4-
Guadalajara
33%
19/10-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Leon 1-0
11%
13/2-
Guadalajara 1-0
9%
15/2-
Leon 2-1
9%
17/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
8/1-
Guadalajara 2-1
8%
10/1-
Leon 2-0
7%
10/1-
Guadalajara 2-0
6%
14/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Leon 3-1
4%
18/1-
Leon 3-0
3%
20/1-
Guadalajara 3-1
3%
25/1-
Leon 3-2
2%
28/1-
Guadalajara 3-0
2%
33/1-
Guadalajara 3-2
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
43/40-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
8/11-
Home 1st Goal
49%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
46%
5/4-
No 1st Goal
5%
8/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/11-
BTTS - No
48%
10/11-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
11/2-
Home/draw
67%
4/11-
Away/draw
59%
8/15-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/3-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
9/4-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
11/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
1/4-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
7/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/12-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
16/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/40-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/14-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
8/1-
Home DNB
59%
4/6-
Away DNB
51%
11/10-
Leon win to nil
23%
11/4-
Guadalajara win to nil
18%
4/1-
Leon / Leon
22%
11/4-
Leon / Guadalajara
3%
28/1-
Leon / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Leon
15%
9/2-
Draw / Guadalajara
13%
11/2-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Guadalajara / Leon
3%
25/1-
Guadalajara / Guadalajara
17%
4/1-
Guadalajara / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win form
Leon 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
7
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Guadalajara 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Leon since 2018
Leon
Guadalajara
Goals: Scored
11
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
LEO
4
GUA
4
League games at Guadalajara since 2019
Guadalajara
Leon
Goals: Scored
8
7
Games: Scored
5 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
3 / 8
LEO
2
D
3
GUA
3
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Guadalajara of late. It has been 9 Liga MX games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday morning against León.

Leon 11th Guadalajara 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Guadalajara will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-18
Leon have scored 18% fewer goals at home than predicted
-18
Guadalajara have scored 18% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/303719/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Leon
PG (predicted goals)
Guadalajara
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
LEO
GUA
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
LEO
GUA
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Leon v Guadalajara Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE
Guadalajara Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
NO DATA AVAILABLE