Monterrey's team badge Toluca's team badge

Monterrey v Toluca : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thu 8th May, 02:00 BST, Estadio BBVA Bancomer, Guadalupe

Thursday morning sees Martín Gastón Demichelis’s Monterrey and Patrick Glockner’s Toluca go up against one another in a Liga MX clash at the Estadio BBVA Bancomer. We have predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across every major market, so there's nowhere better to prepare Liga MX clash.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Here we have a pair of impressive, attacking teams going head-to-head and, as such, we're predicting both of them to score at least 1 goal during the 90 minutes. Can respective managers Martín Gastón Demichelis or Patrick Glockner deliver a defensive plan that will shut out the opposition? Recent form statistics and historical head-to-heads, as well as the latest odds from the bookies, show that doesn't seem likely.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Monterrey are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 41% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.50.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Monterrey
41%
11/8
5%
-
Draw
23%
12/5-
Toluca
36%
2/1
7%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
11/2-
Monterrey 2-1
9%
17/2
5%
-
Toluca 2-1
8%
10/1-
Draw 2-2
7%
10/1-
Monterrey 1-0
7%
10/1
8%
-
Toluca 1-0
6%
12/1-
Monterrey 2-0
6%
12/1
13%
-
Monterrey 3-1
5%
16/1-
Toluca 2-0
5%
16/1-
Toluca 3-1
4%
20/1-
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1-
Monterrey 3-2
4%
20/1-
Toluca 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
-
Monterrey 3-0
3%
22/1-
Toluca 3-0
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
13/20
2%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
6/5
2%
-
Home 1st Goal
50%
8/11
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
48%
11/10
2%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
8/15
2%
-
BTTS - No
36%
11/8
5%
-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
3/1-
BTTS - Away Win
21%
4/1
5%
-
Home/draw
64%
4/11
3%
-
Away/draw
59%
8/15
2%
-
Home/away
77%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
2/11-
Under 1.5 Goals
17%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
6/4-
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
1/2-
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
7/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
2/11-
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/16
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1-
Home DNB
58%
4/6
3%
-
Away DNB
52%
11/10
5%
-
Monterrey win to nil
17%
4/1-
Toluca win to nil
15%
5/1-
Monterrey / Monterrey
22%
11/4-
Monterrey / Toluca
3%
25/1
13%
-
Monterrey / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Monterrey
14%
5/1
8%
-
Draw / Toluca
12%
6/1
8%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Toluca / Monterrey
4%
22/1-
Toluca / Toluca
19%
7/2
4%
-
Toluca / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
3
Toluca have won 3 consecutive away league games
7
Toluca have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
Monterrey 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Monterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey1 - 2Pachuca
Monterrey1 - 0America
Monterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
Monterrey1 - 2Tijuana
Monterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
Monterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey1 - 0Necaxa
Monterrey2 - 3Pachuca
Monterrey1 - 1Puebla
Monterrey1 - 1America
Monterrey5 - 1A. San Luis
Monterrey1 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey2 - 1Leon
Monterrey4 - 0Atlas
Monterrey0 - 0Pumas UNAM
Monterrey4 - 2Tigres
Monterrey0 - 0Mazatlan
Monterrey3 - 2Juarez
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMonterrey2 - 0Pumas UNAM
HMonterrey1 - 2Pachuca
AMonterrey2 - 0Leon
HMonterrey1 - 0America
AMonterrey1 - 2Tigres
HMonterrey3 - 1Guadalajara
HMonterrey1 - 2Tijuana
AMonterrey3 - 1Pumas UNAM
AMonterrey1 - 1Cruz Azul
HMonterrey4 - 2S. Laguna
AMonterrey0 - 1Mazatlan
HMonterrey3 - 1A. San Luis
AMonterrey4 - 2Queretaro
AMonterrey1 - 2Juarez
HMonterrey1 - 0Necaxa
AMonterrey3 - 3Atlas
HMonterrey2 - 3Pachuca
AMonterrey1 - 1Toluca
HMonterrey1 - 1Puebla
HMonterrey1 - 1America
Toluca 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis0 - 1Toluca
Atlas2 - 3Toluca
Puebla0 - 3Toluca
America3 - 0Toluca
Juarez0 - 4Toluca
Leon3 - 3Toluca
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Toluca
Mazatlan2 - 1Toluca
Tijuana2 - 4Toluca
America2 - 0Toluca
Tigres2 - 1Toluca
Necaxa1 - 3Toluca
Queretaro0 - 1Toluca
S. Laguna2 - 0Toluca
Pachuca2 - 2Toluca
Monterrey1 - 2Toluca
Cruz Azul1 - 1Toluca
Guadalajara0 - 0Toluca
Guadalajara1 - 0Toluca
A. San Luis1 - 5Toluca
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HToluca2 - 2Cruz Azul
AToluca1 - 0A. San Luis
AToluca3 - 2Atlas
HToluca2 - 1S. Laguna
HToluca3 - 2Pachuca
AToluca3 - 0Puebla
HToluca5 - 2Necaxa
AToluca0 - 3America
HToluca5 - 0Queretaro
AToluca4 - 0Juarez
HToluca2 - 1Guadalajara
AToluca3 - 3Leon
HToluca1 - 0Tigres
AToluca1 - 1Pumas UNAM
AToluca1 - 2Mazatlan
HToluca1 - 1Monterrey
AToluca4 - 2Tijuana
HToluca0 - 2America
AToluca0 - 2America
HToluca4 - 0America
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Monterrey since 2018
Monterrey
Toluca
Goals: Scored
12
5
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
MON
5
D
1
TOL
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Monterrey
1 - 2Toluca
Draw0 - 0Draw
Monterrey2 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey3 - 1
Monterrey2 - 0
Monterrey2 - 1
League games at Toluca since 2019
Toluca
Monterrey
Goals: Scored
13
7
Games: Scored
7 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
0 / 7
MON
1
D
3
TOL
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Toluca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Toluca1 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Monterrey
Toluca2 - 0
Toluca5 - 1
Goal Statistics

Monterrey have been consistent in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Liga MX games. Their PG of 1.7 against Toluca on Thursday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Monterrey 5th Toluca 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Monterrey will score 1 or more goals
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4+
7%
There is a 79% probability that Toluca will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Monterrey have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+21
Toluca have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/302777/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Monterrey
PG (predicted goals)
Toluca
1.7
1.6
Attack rating
%
better
MON
TOL
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
MON
TOL
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Monterrey v Toluca Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Monterrey Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3619129
J RodríguezG BerterameS CanalesS Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Medina DEF391
9
-
G Arteaga DEF3821
5
-
J Rodríguez MID371
6
-
S Canales MID371612
4
-
G Berterame FWD36191
4
2
Óliver Torres MID3462
3
1
Tecatito FWD33210
2
-
I. Fimbres Ochoa MID3241
3
-
R Rosa FWD3213
-
F Ambríz MID281
2
-
V Guzmán DEF27
2
-
E Andrada GLK26
6
-
L Ocampos FWD2625
2
1
J Cortizo FWD2521
5
-
H Moreno DEF24
3
-
Érick Aguirre DEF213
4
-
N Deossa MID1941
2
-
L Cárdenas GLK16
-
R Chávez DEF1621
4
-
A Alvarado FWD131
-
S Ramos DEF83
2
1
L Reyes DEF6
2
-
A Leone DEF3
-
Toluca Liga MX squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
34251110
M RuízPaulinhoA VegaM Ruíz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Vega FWD361211
6
-
M Ruíz MID3537
10
-
J Uriarte MID3488
1
-
Paulinho FWD34257
6
-
J Gallardo DEF3377
6
-
Luan DEF302
3
-
J Domínguez FWD3013
2
-
I Violante FWD2764
5
-
F Pereira DEF251
6
1
B García DEF2511
3
-
B Méndez DEF21
1
1
V Camarena MID21
4
1
Helinho  MID213
2
-
I López FWD211
-
R Morales FWD1731
-
F Amaya MID152
1
-
D Barbosa DEF141
2
-
F Romero MID13
3
-
E López DEF12
2
-
H Herrera MID122
2
-
P López GLK10
2
-
L García GLK5
-
A Briseño DEF51
-
K. Castillo MID2
-
L. Navarrete Torres DEF1
-