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Necaxa v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 18th Aug, 02:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

Necaxa and León go head to head at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient on Tuesday morning, with both Martín Varini Di Zioli and Javier Marcelo Gandolfi seeking a win in the Liga MX. Stats drive the algorithmic predictions below for all the markets, and flipping between them delivers bespoke analysis, including head-to-head, form and much more besides. Odds from leading bookmakers are also provided. Click on the tabs below to explore.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Necaxa and Leon will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head in years gone by, and neither Martín Varini Di Zioli or Javier Marcelo Gandolfi has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.22 equating to roughly a 80% probability.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.10.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Necaxa 45%	11/10	-
Draw 24%	12/5	-
Leon 31%	21/10	-
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	-
Necaxa 2-1 9%	8/1	-
Necaxa 1-0 8%	8/1	-
Leon 2-1 7%	10/1	-
Necaxa 2-0 7%	11/1	-
Leon 1-0 7%	11/1	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Draw 0-0 5%	11/1	-
Necaxa 3-1 5%	16/1	-
Leon 2-0 4%	16/1	-
Necaxa 3-0 4%	20/1	-
Necaxa 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Leon 3-1 3%	22/1	-
Leon 3-2 3%	28/1	-
Necaxa 4-1 2%	33/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 57%	3/4	-
Under 2.5 Goals 43%	21/20	-
Home 1st Goal 51%	4/5	-
Away 1st Goal 46%	11/10	-
No 1st Goal 3%	11/1	-
BTTS - Yes 59%	8/13	-
BTTS - No 41%	6/5	-
BTTS - Home Win 24%	3/1	-
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 17%	9/2	-
Home/draw 69%	4/11	-
Away/draw 55%	4/6	-
Home/away 76%	3/10	-
Over 1.5 Goals 80%	2/9	-
Under 1.5 Goals 20%	3/1	-
Over 3.5 Goals 35%	7/4	-
Under 3.5 Goals 65%	2/5	-
Over 4.5 Goals 18%	9/2	-
Under 4.5 Goals 82%	1/7	-
Over 5.5 Goals 8%	10/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 92%	1/20	-
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1/25	-
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	11/1	-
Home DNB 62%	4/7	-
Away DNB 48%	5/4	-
Necaxa win to nil 21%	3/1	-
Leon win to nil 14%	5/1	-
Necaxa / Necaxa 23%	5/2	-
Necaxa / Leon 3%	25/1	-
Necaxa / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Necaxa 15%	9/2	-
Draw / Leon 12%	6/1	-
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	-
Leon / Necaxa 4%	22/1	-
Leon / Leon 16%	4/1	-
Leon / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win form

Necaxa have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

/ 0

Conceded

/ 0

Clean sheets

/ 0

Failed to score

/ 0

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Necaxa

Leon

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

4 / 8

8 / 8

Clean sheets

0 / 8

4 / 8

NEC

LEO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
	0 - 1	Leon
Necaxa	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Leon
Necaxa	3 - 2
	0 - 1	Leon
	0 - 2	Leon
	2 - 4	Leon
	0 - 2	Leon

Leon

Necaxa

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

0 / 8

LEO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Leon	2 - 1
Leon	3 - 0
Leon	3 - 1
Leon	2 - 1
Leon	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

	Necaxa 8th	Leon 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals	0 26% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 61% probability that Leon will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games

Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season

better

NEC

LEO

view stats

Games scored	0		0
Failed to score	0		0
Scored first	0		0
Goals scored	0		0
Avg. goals scored	0		0
Avg. shots per game	0		0
Avg. shots per goal	0		0
Conversion rate for	0		0
Avg. XG for	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

better

NEC

LEO

view stats

Games conceded	0		0
Clean sheets	0		0
Conceded first	0		0
Goals conceded	0		0
Avg. goals conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/game conceded	0		0
Avg. shots/goal conceded	0		0
Conversion rate against	0%		0%
Avg. XG against	0		0
KickOff rating		0%

Necaxa v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	3	1	2
L. Jiménez González	J Carranza	F. Méndez Lara	A Oliveros

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L. Jiménez González GLK	3			-
C Vargas DEF	3			-
A Oliveros DEF	3			1 1
R Ruiz DEF	3			2 -
F. Méndez Lara DEF	3		1	-
J Torres MID	3			-
J. Ruiz MID	3			-
D Leyva MID	3			-
L Faravelli MID	3			1 -
J Carranza FWD	3	3	1	1
M Rodriguez FWD	3			-
A Peña DEF	2		1	-
M Zaleta MID	2		1	-
R Pineda MID	2			-
R Monreal FWD	2			1 -
M Pedroza FWD	2	1		-
J. Valencia Longa FWD	2	1		1 -
M Espíndola MID	1			-
P Reyna MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	5	1	1
J Carranza	J Carranza	F. Méndez Lara	C Vargas

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Carranza FWD	3	5	1	1
M Pedroza FWD	1	1
J. Valencia Longa FWD	1	1		1
C Vargas DEF				1
F. Méndez Lara DEF			1	1
J Torres MID		4
J. Ruiz MID				1
D Leyva MID		3		1
L Faravelli MID		2		1
M Rodriguez FWD		1
A Peña DEF		1	1	1
M Zaleta MID			1	1
R Monreal FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
172	8	24
D Leyva	C Vargas	J Carranza

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Leyva MID	172	6	16
R Ruiz DEF	116	5	10
A Oliveros DEF	95		11
F. Méndez Lara DEF	91	3	11
L. Jiménez González GLK	89		2
A Peña DEF	69	2	10
C Vargas DEF	68	8	13
L Faravelli MID	67	3	8
J Carranza FWD	65	3	24
M Rodriguez FWD	61	6	13
J. Ruiz MID	54	6	16
J Torres MID	53	1	3
R Monreal FWD	52	1	13
R Pineda MID	20	1	3
M Zaleta MID	13		1
M Espíndola MID	12	1	2
P Reyna MID	11
M Pedroza FWD	8		1
J. Valencia Longa FWD	7	1	4

Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
3	1	1	2
O García	D Arcila	A Alvarado	R Echeverría

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
O García GLK	3			-
J. Guevara DEF	3			1 -
I Moreno DEF	3			-
L. Valadez Padilla MID	3			-
F Beltran MID	3			1 -
D Arcila MID	3	1		1 -
R Echeverría MID	3			2 -
I Rodríguez MID	3			-
E Guerra FWD	3			-
J Cortizo FWD	3	1		-
J Romaña DEF	2			-
S Chávez DEF	2			-
B Colula DEF	2			1 -
S Vegas DEF	2			1 -
I Díaz FWD	2			-
D Cambindo FWD	2	1		1
A Alvarado FWD	2		1	1 -
S Santos DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
1	3	1	1
D Arcila	E Guerra	A Alvarado	D Arcila

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Arcila MID	1	1		1
J Cortizo FWD	1	1		1
D Cambindo FWD	1	1
F Beltran MID		1
R Echeverría MID		1
I Rodríguez MID		1
E Guerra FWD		3
J Romaña DEF		1
S Chávez DEF		1		1
S Vegas DEF		3
I Díaz FWD		1
A Alvarado FWD		1	1
S Santos DEF		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
203	12	21
J. Guevara	J Cortizo	J Cortizo

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J. Guevara DEF	203	5	17
I Rodríguez MID	141	5	12
J Romaña DEF	108	2	6
J Cortizo FWD	105	12	21
R Echeverría MID	100	6	17
I Moreno DEF	90	7	11
S Vegas DEF	89	8	15
O García GLK	85
F Beltran MID	69	2	8
S Chávez DEF	68	3	9
D Arcila MID	56	1	4
I Díaz FWD	53	1	8
E Guerra FWD	45	5	11
S Santos DEF	30	1	1
B Colula DEF	26	2	4
L. Valadez Padilla MID	22
A Alvarado FWD	20		4
D Cambindo FWD	14	1	5