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Necaxa v León : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 18th Aug, 02:00 BST, Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient, Aguascalientes

León are away from home on Tuesday morning, as manager Javier Marcelo Gandolfi takes his team to visit Necaxa and Martín Varini Di Zioli at the Estadio Victoria de Aguascalient in the Liga MX. We provide predictions based on extensive statistical analysis of each side, across 17 major markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head stats are included across them all.


Best Tip: Both teams to score

Necaxa should have reason to feel positive ahead of this fixture and, funnily enough, so might Leon. The bookmakers don't think there's much between them and neither do we – there's no clear victor in this clash. So we look to the both teams to score market, where the signs are pointing in one direction. The form statistics, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Necaxa are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 44% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Necaxa
44%
23/20-
Draw
24%
12/5-
Leon
32%
2/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
Necaxa 2-1
9%
8/1-
Necaxa 1-0
8%
9/1-
Leon 2-1
8%
10/1-
Necaxa 2-0
7%
11/1-
Leon 1-0
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Necaxa 3-1
5%
16/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
Leon 2-0
5%
16/1-
Necaxa 3-0
4%
20/1-
Necaxa 3-2
3%
20/1-
Leon 3-1
3%
22/1-
Leon 3-2
3%
25/1-
Necaxa 4-1
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
23/20-
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/5-
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/10-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
61%
4/7-
BTTS - No
39%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
18%
9/2-
Home/draw
68%
4/11-
Away/draw
56%
4/6-
Home/away
76%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
61%
8/13-
Away DNB
48%
6/5-
Necaxa win to nil
20%
10/3-
Leon win to nil
14%
5/1-
Necaxa / Necaxa
24%
5/2-
Necaxa / Leon
3%
25/1-
Necaxa / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Necaxa
14%
5/1-
Draw / Leon
12%
6/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Leon / Necaxa
4%
22/1-
Leon / Leon
17%
15/4-
Leon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win form
6
Necaxa have not lost in 6 consecutive home league games
Necaxa 9TH
20 league games
Home
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Necaxa2 - 1Monterrey
Necaxa2 - 1Atlante
Necaxa0 - 0Guadalajara
Necaxa1 - 1Tigres
Necaxa2 - 1Mazatlan
Necaxa3 - 0Tijuana
Necaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
Necaxa0 - 3Toluca
Necaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
Necaxa0 - 1Atlas
Necaxa0 - 2Monterrey
Necaxa4 - 1S. Laguna
Necaxa1 - 1Cruz Azul
Necaxa0 - 1Pachuca
Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
Necaxa1 - 1Juarez
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Necaxa1 - 1America
Necaxa3 - 1Queretaro
Necaxa0 - 0Tigres
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ANecaxa1 - 3Toluca
HNecaxa2 - 1Monterrey
HNecaxa2 - 1Atlante
ANecaxa1 - 4Cruz Azul
HNecaxa0 - 0Guadalajara
HNecaxa1 - 1Tigres
ANecaxa1 - 3Queretaro
HNecaxa2 - 1Mazatlan
HNecaxa3 - 0Tijuana
ANecaxa0 - 0Puebla
HNecaxa0 - 1Pumas UNAM
ANecaxa1 - 2Pachuca
ANecaxa1 - 2Leon
HNecaxa0 - 3Toluca
ANecaxa2 - 1Juarez
HNecaxa4 - 1A. San Luis
ANecaxa0 - 2America
HNecaxa0 - 1Atlas
HNecaxa0 - 2Monterrey
ANecaxa3 - 1S. Laguna
Leon 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
2
Lost
15
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tijuana1 - 0Leon
Toluca4 - 1Leon
Puebla0 - 1Leon
A. San Luis1 - 2Leon
Guadalajara5 - 0Leon
Mazatlan4 - 2Leon
Monterrey1 - 0Leon
Queretaro2 - 0Leon
Pumas UNAM1 - 1Leon
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
America2 - 0Leon
Atlas2 - 0Leon
S. Laguna2 - 0Leon
Juarez2 - 0Leon
Tijuana5 - 0Leon
Tigres0 - 0Leon
Necaxa0 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul4 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Cruz Azul2 - 1Leon
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HLeon1 - 0Pachuca
ALeon0 - 1Tijuana
HLeon2 - 3Atlas
ALeon1 - 4Toluca
HLeon2 - 3America
HLeon3 - 1Juarez
ALeon1 - 0Puebla
HLeon2 - 0Atlas
ALeon2 - 1A. San Luis
ALeon0 - 5Guadalajara
HLeon0 - 3Tijuana
ALeon2 - 4Mazatlan
HLeon2 - 1Necaxa
HLeon2 - 1S. Laguna
ALeon0 - 1Monterrey
ALeon0 - 2Queretaro
HLeon1 - 2Tigres
ALeon1 - 1Pumas UNAM
ALeon1 - 2Pachuca
HLeon2 - 1Cruz Azul
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Necaxa since 2018
Necaxa
Leon
Goals: Scored
8
15
Games: Scored
4 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
4 / 8
NEC
2
LEO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Necaxa
0 - 1Leon
Necaxa2 - 1
1 - 2Leon
Necaxa3 - 2
0 - 1Leon
0 - 2Leon
2 - 4Leon
0 - 2Leon
League games at Leon since 2019
Leon
Necaxa
Goals: Scored
16
7
Games: Scored
8 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
0 / 8
D
2
LEO
6
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Leon
Leon2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Leon2 - 1
Leon3 - 0
Leon3 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Leon2 - 1
Goal Statistics
Necaxa 9th Leon 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Necaxa will score 1 or more goals
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Leon will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-20
Necaxa have scored 20% fewer goals at home than predicted
-44
Leon have scored 44% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2026/2027 season
Necaxa
PG (predicted goals)
Leon
1.7
1.4
Attack rating
36%
better
NEC
LEO
view stats
Games scored3
2
Failed to score0
1
Scored first1
1
Goals scored5
3
Avg. goals scored1.7
1
Avg. shots per game11
11
Avg. shots per goal7
11
Conversion rate for15
9
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
NEC
LEO
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded3
2
Clean sheets0
1
Conceded first2
2
Goals conceded5
4
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
5
Conversion rate against15%
19%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.7
KickOff rating
+20%

Necaxa v Leon Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Necaxa Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3312
L. Jiménez GonzálezJ CarranzaF. Méndez LaraR Ruiz
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L. Jiménez González GLK3
-
R Ruiz DEF3
2
-
F. Méndez Lara DEF31
-
C Vargas DEF3
-
A Oliveros DEF3
1
1
J Torres MID3
-
J. Ruiz MID3
-
D Leyva MID3
-
L Faravelli MID3
1
-
M Rodriguez FWD3
-
J Carranza FWD331
1
A Peña DEF21
-
M Zaleta MID21
-
R Pineda MID2
-
M Pedroza FWD21
-
J. Valencia Longa FWD21
1
-
R Monreal FWD2
1
-
M Espíndola MID1
-
P Reyna MID1
-
Leon Liga MX squad statistics 2026/2027
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3112
O GarcíaD ArcilaA AlvaradoR Echeverría
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O García GLK3
-
I Moreno DEF3
-
J. Guevara DEF3
1
-
L. Valadez Padilla MID3
-
F Beltran MID3
1
-
D Arcila MID31
1
-
R Echeverría MID3
2
-
I Rodríguez MID3
-
E Guerra FWD3
-
J Cortizo FWD31
-
S Chávez DEF2
-
B Colula DEF2
1
-
S Vegas DEF2
1
-
J Romaña DEF2
-
I Díaz FWD2
-
D Cambindo FWD21
1
A Alvarado FWD21
1
-
S Santos DEF1
-