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Pachuca v Puebla : Liga MX match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca de Soto

Esteban Andrés Solari Poggio's Pachuca side will have home backing in the Liga MX on Sunday morning, as Rolando Hernán Cristante Mandarino's Puebla visit the Estadio Hidalgo. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Pachuca's next match is v A. San Luis at 23:00 on Saturday 14th March
Puebla's next match is v Necaxa at 01:00 on Saturday 14th March
The last Mexican Liga MX meeting between Pachuca and Puebla was on Sunday 8th March 2026
Mexican Liga MX
March 8th 2026
Pachuca 2
1 Puebla
 
V. Guzmán Guzmán 74'78' J. Pachuca Martinez
E. Valencia Lastra 87'
 
PAC
PUE
Shots On
4
6
Shots Off
11
4
Corners
2
4
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
10
9
Yellow/red cards
5/1
4/0
 
PachucaPuebla
 
S. Barreto
E. dos Santos Bauermann
B. García Carpizo
C. Sánchez Nava
O. Idrissi (V. Guzmán Guzmán 60')
C. Rivera Cuéllar
C. Moreno
S. Rodriguez (R. López Aburto 69')
A. Domínguez Figueroa (L. Quiñónes 86')
J. Rondón Giménez (E. Valencia Lastra 69')
R. Nunes do Nascimento (A. Bautista Gutiérrez 86')
 (A. Organista Orozco 46') L. Rey Mejía
J. Vargas Campos
N. Díaz Huincales
F. Monarrez Ochoa
I. Moreno
(O. de Jesús González Ojeda 88') A. Ramírez Jiménez
(E. Lozano Solana 61') E. Gómez Dutra
(P. Canelo 76') E. Guerra
football iconJ. Pachuca Martinez
R. Gutiérrez Hernández
(C. Baltazar Agraz 61') K. Velasco Bonilla

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We predict there's very little chance of a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Pachuca and Puebla will score a minimum of a couple of between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 77%. Bookies have it available at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Pachuca are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.62.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Pachuca
51%
81/1004/5
Draw
25%
13/512/5
Puebla
24%
16/514/5
Draw 1-1
12%
11/211/2
Pachuca 1-0
12%
6/111/2
Pachuca 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Pachuca 2-0
9%
15/27/1
Puebla 1-0
7%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
7%
9/117/2
Puebla 2-1
6%
14/110/1
Pachuca 3-1
5%
14/111/1
Pachuca 3-0
5%
14/111/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
Puebla 2-0
4%
20/116/1
Pachuca 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Puebla 3-1
2%
33/122/1
Pachuca 4-1
2%
28/120/1
Pachuca 4-0
2%
33/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
19/205/6
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
17/204/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/133/5
Away 1st Goal
42%
6/48/5
No 1st Goal
5%
9/117/2
BTTS - Yes
51%
4/54/5
BTTS - No
49%
19/2010/11
BTTS - Home Win
22%
3/111/4
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/47/2
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/16/1
Home/draw
76%
2/92/9
Away/draw
49%
10/1119/20
Home/away
75%
2/72/7
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
2/71/4
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
5/29/4
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
9/42/1
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/33/10
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/29/2
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/91/11
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/110/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/331/40
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/33
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/115/2
Home DNB
68%
1/37/20
Away DNB
42%
9/42/1
Pachuca win to nil
29%
9/4-
Puebla win to nil
13%
6/1-
Pachuca / Pachuca
28%
15/87/4
Pachuca / Puebla
3%
33/125/1
Pachuca / Draw
6%
12/111/1
Draw / Pachuca
17%
15/419/5
Draw / Puebla
9%
8/115/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
Puebla / Pachuca
4%
22/118/1
Puebla / Puebla
12%
6/15/1
Puebla / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win form
Pachuca 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Pachuca2 - 1Necaxa
Pachuca3 - 1Atlas
Pachuca2 - 0Juarez
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca2 - 1Leon
Pachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
Pachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
Pachuca1 - 2Tigres
Pachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
Pachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Pachuca0 - 1Cruz Azul
Pachuca0 - 2Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 0Mazatlan
Pachuca3 - 0Monterrey
Pachuca0 - 0America
Pachuca0 - 0Tigres
Pachuca1 - 0America
Pachuca4 - 1Tijuana
Pachuca1 - 1Mazatlan
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPachuca2 - 1Necaxa
APachuca0 - 1Mazatlan
APachuca2 - 1Tigres
HPachuca3 - 1Atlas
HPachuca2 - 0Juarez
APachuca0 - 0Queretaro
HPachuca0 - 0America
HPachuca2 - 1Leon
APachuca0 - 2Guadalajara
APachuca1 - 2Juarez
HPachuca3 - 1Pumas UNAM
APachuca0 - 1S. Laguna
HPachuca0 - 1Guadalajara
APachuca2 - 2Toluca
HPachuca1 - 2Tigres
APachuca2 - 2Juarez
APachuca1 - 0Necaxa
HPachuca2 - 1A. San Luis
APachuca2 - 2Puebla
HPachuca0 - 2Queretaro
Puebla 18TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
D
3
Lost
14
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A. San Luis0 - 1Puebla
Tijuana0 - 0Puebla
Cruz Azul1 - 0Puebla
Atlas1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 2Puebla
Juarez4 - 4Puebla
America2 - 1Puebla
Queretaro3 - 1Puebla
Necaxa1 - 0Puebla
Toluca3 - 1Puebla
Pumas UNAM0 - 0Puebla
Tigres7 - 0Puebla
Mazatlan2 - 1Puebla
Guadalajara1 - 0Puebla
Leon1 - 0Puebla
Juarez2 - 0Puebla
Queretaro2 - 0Puebla
Pachuca2 - 1Puebla
Atlas3 - 2Puebla
S. Laguna0 - 2Puebla
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPuebla3 - 1Tigres
APuebla1 - 0A. San Luis
HPuebla0 - 4America
HPuebla2 - 3Pumas UNAM
APuebla0 - 0Tijuana
HPuebla0 - 0Toluca
APuebla0 - 1Cruz Azul
HPuebla2 - 1Mazatlan
APuebla0 - 1Atlas
APuebla2 - 1Leon
HPuebla0 - 3Cruz Azul
APuebla4 - 4Juarez
APuebla1 - 2America
HPuebla4 - 3Tijuana
APuebla1 - 3Queretaro
HPuebla0 - 2Guadalajara
HPuebla2 - 2Pachuca
APuebla0 - 1Necaxa
APuebla1 - 3Toluca
HPuebla2 - 4Monterrey
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Pachuca have not lost to Puebla in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Pachuca since 2018
Pachuca
Puebla
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
7 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
0 / 7
PAC
5
D
1
PUE
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Pachuca
Pachuca2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Pachuca5 - 1
Pachuca1 - 0
1 - 3Puebla
Pachuca1 - 0
Pachuca2 - 0
League games at Puebla since 2019
Puebla
Pachuca
Goals: Scored
9
19
Games: Scored
6 / 8
8 / 8
Clean sheets
0 / 8
2 / 8
PAC
5
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Puebla
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3Pachuca
1 - 4Pachuca
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Pachuca
0 - 1Pachuca
0 - 4Pachuca
Draw1 - 1Draw
Goal Statistics

Pachuca's defensive record is to be admired, E. Solari Poggio's men having conceded 1 or less in 8 consecutive Liga MX outings. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.0 for Puebla makes sense in this context.

Pachuca 9th Puebla 18th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Pachuca will score 1 or more goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Puebla will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-15
Pachuca have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted
-21
Puebla have scored 21% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga MX - 2025/2025 season
Pachuca
PG (predicted goals)
Puebla
1.6
1
Attack rating
12%
better
PAC
PUE
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score10
11
Scored first11
9
Goals scored36
29
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal8
9
Conversion rate for12
12
Avg. XG for1.2
1.1
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
22%
better
PAC
PUE
view stats
Games conceded21
21
Clean sheets7
5
Conceded first15
14
Goals conceded31
53
Avg. goals conceded1.1
2
Avg. shots/game conceded9
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against12%
19%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.6
KickOff rating
+22%

Pachuca v Puebla Liga MX lLine ups will show here when available.

Pachuca Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28569
C MorenoKenedyV GuzmánE Bauermann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Moreno GLK28
7
1
C. Sánchez Nava DEF19
5
1
E Bauermann DEF27
8
1
S Barreto DEF2711
6
1
B García DEF2613
1
S. Rodriguez MID7
4
-
C Rivera MID1011
2
-
A Figueroa MID1922
2
-
Kenedy MID235
1
-
O Idrissi MID2452
4
1
S Rondón FWD104
-
Subs
J Téllez GLK1
-
J Berlanga DEF9
4
-
R Aburto DEF3
-
C. Alfaro DEF
-
V Guzmán MID2616
1
A Gutiérrez MID2722
5
1
P Reyna MID19
7
-
L Quiñones FWD282
5
1
E Valencia FWD1351
-
C. Alcántara FWD2
-
Puebla Liga MX squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22759
N HuincalesE GómezE GómezN Huincales
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Gutiérrez GLK10
4
-
I Moreno DEF14
1
-
J Martinez DEF1611
1
-
J Vargas DEF71
-
N Huincales DEF231
8
1
F. Monarrez Ochoa DEF
-
K Velasco MID92
2
-
L Mejía MID212
3
-
A Jiménez MID8
2
-
E Gómez FWD2675
1
-
E Guerra FWD
-
Subs
J Rodríguez GLK7
1
-
A. Gamarra MID13
3
1
O. de Jesús González Ojeda MID
-
C Baltazar MID2043
-
A Orozco MID2711
4
-
B Garnica MID111
-
Ángelo Araos MID71
-
E Solana FWD223
2
-
A Canelo FWD1
-
E. Navarro FWD18
5
-