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Jagiellonia Bialystok v KS Gornik Zabrze : Ekstraklasa match betting preview, prediction and odds

Stadion Miejski, Bia?ystok

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Ekstraklasa, and Adrian Siemieniec’s Jagiellonia Bialystok will have the joy of it on Sunday afternoon. Jan Urban’s KS Gornik Zabrze are their visitors to the Stadion Miejski. You'll find statistics supporting our top of below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Ekstraklasa performances and head-to-heads included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds and bet smart.

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Jagiellonia Bialystok's next match is v S.Wroclaw at 19:30 on Friday 16th May
KS Gornik Zabrze's next match is v P.Gliwice at 16:30 on Saturday 17th May
The last Polish Ekstraklasa meeting between Jagiellonia and Gornik Z. was on Sunday 4th May 2025
Polish Ekstraklasa
May 4th 2025
Jagiellonia 1
1 Gornik Z.
 
O. Pietuszewski 20'34' K. Szczesniak
 
JAG
GOR
Shots On
6
4
Shots Off
13
Corners
5
6
Possession
51%
49%
Fouls
12
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
JagielloniaGornik Z.
 
S. Abramowicz
D. Stojinovič
M. Skrzypczak
J. Bragança Moutinho
N. Wojtuszek (A. Diéguez Grande 85')
J. Kubicki
J. Imaz Ballesté (K. Normann Hansen 71')
T. Romanczuk
M. Villar Alonso (E. Semedo 71')
M. Diaby Fadiga (A. Pululu 57')
O. Pietuszewskifootball icon (B. Mazurek 86')
F. Majchrowicz
M. Kmet
football iconK. Szczesniak
J. Sánchez Guillén
(D. Sarapata 75') S. Liseth
(P. Olkowski 46') F. Prebsl
P. Hellebrand
T. Ismaheel
(K. Lukoszek 82') L. Podolski
(L. Zahovič 46') A. Buksa
(O. Sow 46') Y. Furukawa

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The stats suggest we don't have an obvious winner in this fixture, but the evidence does point towards the conclusion that Jagiellonia and Gornik Z. will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither Adrian Siemieniec or Jan Urban has served up too many 0-0s lately either. The bookmakers are predicting over 1.5 goals too, with odds of 1.18 equating to approximately a 79% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Jagiellonia are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 53% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Jagiellonia
53%
8/15
17%
-
Draw
23%
3/1
14%
-
Gornik Z.
24%
17/4
38%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
7/1
14%
-
Jagiellonia 2-1
10%
15/2-
Jagiellonia 1-0
10%
8/1
5%
-
Jagiellonia 2-0
9%
15/2
15%
-
Gornik Z. 2-1
6%
16/1
31%
-
Gornik Z. 1-0
6%
18/1
27%
-
Jagiellonia 3-1
6%
11/1
8%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1-
Jagiellonia 3-0
5%
11/1
29%
-
Gornik Z. 2-0
3%
28/1
38%
-
Jagiellonia 3-2
3%
20/1-
Jagiellonia 4-1
3%
20/1
19%
-
Jagiellonia 4-0
2%
20/1
38%
-
Gornik Z. 3-1
2%
40/1
41%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
4/7
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
27/20
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
2/5
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
43%
2/1
20%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1-
BTTS - Yes
56%
4/6
6%
-
BTTS - No
44%
11/10
7%
-
BTTS - Home Win
26%
2/1
12%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
15%
-
BTTS - Away Win
13%
8/1
38%
-
Home/draw
76%
1/6
6%
-
Away/draw
47%
11/8
25%
-
Home/away
77%
2/9
5%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/6
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
11/8
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/5
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
8/1
10%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/14
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Home DNB
69%
2/9
13%
-
Away DNB
40%
3/1
45%
-
Jagiellonia win to nil
27%
2/1
20%
-
Gornik Z. win to nil
11%
10/1
38%
-
Jagiellonia / Jagiellonia
35%
11/8
21%
-
Jagiellonia / Gornik Z.
2%
33/1
17%
-
Jagiellonia / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
-
Draw / Jagiellonia
18%
7/2
10%
-
Draw / Gornik Z.
8%
11/1
41%
-
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
17%
-
Gornik Z. / Jagiellonia
4%
18/1
10%
-
Gornik Z. / Gornik Z.
10%
8/1
50%
-
Gornik Z. / Draw
6%
16/1
13%
-
Win / draw / win Ekstraklasa table

Jagiellonia have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Ekstraklasa league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 6 and lost 6 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Jagiellonia have outscored their opponents by 51 goals to 39 goals.

Home League Performance

Jagiellonia have played 15 games at home winning 9, drawing 4 and losing 2 games. They have scored 31 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 17 goals at home.

Gornik Z. are in 8th position in the Ekstraklasa on 42 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 18 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Gornik Z. have conceded 17 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 3 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Jagiellonia
Gornik Z.
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Lech Poznan3221383666 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
5-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-0A
2
Rakow3219852765 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
3
Jagiellonia H3217871459 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
MKS Pogon31165101653 
May 24
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-0A
5
L. Warsaw3114891550 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
d
 
1-1F
6
Gornik Z. Away3213712646 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
7
Cracovia3212911245 
l
 
2-4A
d
 
2-2F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-2F
8
Katowice3213613145 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
9
Korona32111011-843 
w
 
3-1F
l
 
3-1F
May 24
w
 
2-4F
10
Motor Lublin3112712-1043 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
4-0F
l
 
1-0A
11
P.Gliwice32101210042 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
May 17
12
RKS3211714-340 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
13
W Lodz3110714-1037 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
14
L.Gdansk3210616-1436 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
2-3A
w
 
1-2A
15
Zaglebie 3210616-1636 
l
 
1-3F
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-1F
16
Stal Mielec327817-1729 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
17
S.Wroclaw3261016-1528 
d
 
2-2A
May 16
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
Puszcza326917-2427 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Jagiellonia 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
7
L
4
Gornik Z. 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
3
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Jagiellonia since 2015
Jagiellonia
Gornik Z.
Goals: Scored
18
14
Games: Scored
9 / 10
8 / 10
Clean sheets
2 / 10
1 / 10
JAG
5
D
2
GOR
3
League games at Gornik Z. since 2015
Gornik Z.
Jagiellonia
Goals: Scored
15
14
Games: Scored
8 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
1 / 9
JAG
4
D
1
GOR
4
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for KS Gornik Zabrze of late. It has been 5 Ekstraklasa matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Sunday afternoon against Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Jagiellonia 3rd Gornik Z. 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Jagiellonia will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 69% probability that Gornik Z. will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+24
Jagiellonia have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted
-8
Gornik Z.’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Ekstraklasa - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/277213/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Jagiellonia
PG (predicted goals)
Gornik Z.
1.8
1.1
Attack rating
29%
better
JAG
GOR
view stats
Games scored28
20
Failed to score2
10
Scored first21
16
Goals scored51
39
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal6
8
Conversion rate for17
13
Avg. XG for1
2.5
KickOff rating
+29%
Defence rating
5%
better
JAG
GOR
view stats
Games conceded19
21
Clean sheets11
9
Conceded first9
11
Goals conceded38
35
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against13%
14%
Avg. XG against2
0.7
KickOff rating
+5%

Jagiellonia v Gornik Z. Ekstraklasa lLine ups will show here when available.

Jagiellonia Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291588
S AbramowiczJ ImazK HansenJ Moutinho 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Abramowicz GLK29
3
-
N Wojtuszek DEF111
2
-
M Skrzypczak DEF262
2
-
D Stojinovic DEF21
3
1
J Moutinho  DEF263
8
-
T Romanczuk MID2623
7
-
M Villar MID2724
-
J Kubicki MID3252
4
-
J Imaz MID32155
1
-
O. Pietuszewski MID1311
-
L Diaby-Fadiga FWD2731
5
-
Subs
M Stryjek GLK3
-
C. Polak DEF10
3
-
A Diéguez DEF162
2
1
T Silva DEF161
3
-
E Semedo MID7
-
B. Mazurek MID2
-
K Hansen MID2938
-
A Pululu FWD29101
6
-
Gornik Z. Ekstraklasa squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
29765
P HellebrandL ZahovicT IsmaheelT Ismaheel
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Majchrowicz GLK10
2
-
M. Kmet DEF912
2
-
F Prebsl DEF6
2
-
K Szczesniak DEF241
1
1
Josema DEF243
3
-
T Ismaheel MID3036
5
-
P Hellebrand MID312
3
-
S Liseth MID10
2
-
Y Furukawa MID2322
1
-
A Buksa FWD221
2
-
L Podolski FWD2653
5
-
Subs
M Szromnik GLK221
1
-
P Olkowski DEF1811
1
-
D. Mazurek DEF1
-
O. Sow MID101
-
K Lukoszek MID1842
4
-
L Ambros MID2611
2
-
D. Sarapata MID1511
1
-
L Zahovic FWD3075
1
-
S Bakis FWD13
-